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公子乾坤独绝

微博《公子乾坤独绝》🎈微信公众号《公子的避风港》 币安聊天室ID:1090156908 🏅致力于打造独立的技术型交易员
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U.S. stocks dare not rise, gold dares not fall: tonight's non-farm payrolls are the real 'trigger point'Yesterday, the three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance: the Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 0.59%, the S&P 500 Index fell by 0.33%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.10%, setting a new historical high. Spot gold remains volatile around 5100 USD, while silver is consolidating in a narrow range around 85 USD. The significant pullback in gold and silver during the last round not only cleared out high-leverage funds but also filtered out weak hands. A sharp decline is enough to test the market's real confidence in gold. Currently, gold faces strong resistance in the range of 5100-5120, which is both a previous high trading area and an important psychological barrier. The support zone below is located at 5055-5030, formed by the EMA moving averages and key structural levels, serving as the core defense line for medium-term bulls.

U.S. stocks dare not rise, gold dares not fall: tonight's non-farm payrolls are the real 'trigger point'

Yesterday, the three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance: the Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 0.59%, the S&P 500 Index fell by 0.33%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.10%, setting a new historical high.
Spot gold remains volatile around 5100 USD, while silver is consolidating in a narrow range around 85 USD.
The significant pullback in gold and silver during the last round not only cleared out high-leverage funds but also filtered out weak hands. A sharp decline is enough to test the market's real confidence in gold.
Currently, gold faces strong resistance in the range of 5100-5120, which is both a previous high trading area and an important psychological barrier. The support zone below is located at 5055-5030, formed by the EMA moving averages and key structural levels, serving as the core defense line for medium-term bulls.
2.11 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Midday View Spot gold has rebounded smoothly after initially bottoming out, relying on support to launch a round of fluid rebounds. Through continuous upward BOS breakout structures, highs continue to rise, and prices have climbed to the strong resistance zone of 5080-5090, forming a clear bullish trend. Upon reaching the strong resistance area, a clear downward CHOCH structure was established on the 1-hour chart, with highs unable to continue rising, while the MACD indicator showed a top divergence signal. The rebound highs on the 30-minute chart are gradually lowering, with consecutive upper shadow lines indicating pressure, and the rebound volume continues to shrink, with insufficient bullish buying support, and the selling pressure above gradually intensifying. Current prices are oscillating in the key support range of 5035-5057. Although short-term moving average support is temporarily maintained, the overall structure is weak, and no stabilization reversal signals have emerged; it merely belongs to a weak consolidation within the downtrend process. If this support range is lost, it will directly damage the rebound stabilization structure, and prices are likely to slide towards the strong support range of 4960-4970, potentially completely reversing the short-term pattern and initiating a deeper decline. Overall, the market is in an adjustment phase after the end of the rebound, with clear downward BOS signals, a complete bearish structure, and a high probability that prices will continue to oscillate weakly. Focus on the break of the key support level of 5035-5040; if the support is lost, downward space will further open up. Even if a slight rebound occurs, it is more inclined to weak correction, making it difficult to change the overall bearish pattern. In terms of operation, it is recommended to primarily short on rallies, prioritizing playing for a pullback before key resistance levels and cautiously considering low buys only if support stabilizes. Trading suggestion: Short at the range of 5055-5070, targets 5035, 5000, 4970. If prices pull back to the range of 5030-5040 and a bullish engulfing, long lower shadow, or low-volume stabilization pattern appears, light positions can be entered for long trades.
2.11 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Midday View

Spot gold has rebounded smoothly after initially bottoming out, relying on support to launch a round of fluid rebounds. Through continuous upward BOS breakout structures, highs continue to rise, and prices have climbed to the strong resistance zone of 5080-5090, forming a clear bullish trend.

Upon reaching the strong resistance area, a clear downward CHOCH structure was established on the 1-hour chart, with highs unable to continue rising, while the MACD indicator showed a top divergence signal.

The rebound highs on the 30-minute chart are gradually lowering, with consecutive upper shadow lines indicating pressure, and the rebound volume continues to shrink, with insufficient bullish buying support, and the selling pressure above gradually intensifying.

Current prices are oscillating in the key support range of 5035-5057. Although short-term moving average support is temporarily maintained, the overall structure is weak, and no stabilization reversal signals have emerged; it merely belongs to a weak consolidation within the downtrend process.

If this support range is lost, it will directly damage the rebound stabilization structure, and prices are likely to slide towards the strong support range of 4960-4970, potentially completely reversing the short-term pattern and initiating a deeper decline.

Overall, the market is in an adjustment phase after the end of the rebound, with clear downward BOS signals, a complete bearish structure, and a high probability that prices will continue to oscillate weakly.

Focus on the break of the key support level of 5035-5040; if the support is lost, downward space will further open up.

Even if a slight rebound occurs, it is more inclined to weak correction, making it difficult to change the overall bearish pattern.

In terms of operation, it is recommended to primarily short on rallies, prioritizing playing for a pullback before key resistance levels and cautiously considering low buys only if support stabilizes.

Trading suggestion: Short at the range of 5055-5070, targets 5035, 5000, 4970.

If prices pull back to the range of 5030-5040 and a bullish engulfing, long lower shadow, or low-volume stabilization pattern appears, light positions can be entered for long trades.
Spot gold (XAU/USD) market outlook for next week. After experiencing a deep correction, spot gold is currently at a critical window for a technical rebound. The 4950-4970 pressure zone has clearly fallen into a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. After rebounding to the 4950-4970 pressure zone on the 1-hour chart, the pattern shows an increase in upper shadows and a shrinking body, indicative of fatigue, which is a typical signal of pressure. Meanwhile, trading volume has significantly shrunk compared to the early stage of the rebound, and the momentum of the bulls is weakening, making the current rise more inclined towards technical correction. On the 30-minute chart, bearish combinations such as engulfing patterns have emerged at this pressure zone, and the volume has moderately increased, confirming the selling pressure in this area. However, the price remains above the short-term moving averages, indicating that the bullish strength has not completely collapsed, and the market is temporarily in a delicate balance. This oscillation, which is neither up nor down, reflects a temporary equilibrium of forces between bulls and bears, and only an effective break of key price levels can break the deadlock. The current price of 4960-4970 is the bottom of the previous downward continuation platform, which has now transformed into a solid fortress that bulls find difficult to conquer. Given the current clear pressure and insufficient volume, it is highly likely that there will be a downward retracement, first testing the 4900-4910 support. If this support fails, it will open up further downward space, targeting the 4840-4850 area. Caution is needed regarding the opening gap risk brought by weekend geopolitical and macro data sudden news; if a gap up with volume breaks through, directly abandon short positions.
Spot gold (XAU/USD) market outlook for next week.

After experiencing a deep correction, spot gold is currently at a critical window for a technical rebound. The 4950-4970 pressure zone has clearly fallen into a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.

After rebounding to the 4950-4970 pressure zone on the 1-hour chart, the pattern shows an increase in upper shadows and a shrinking body, indicative of fatigue, which is a typical signal of pressure.

Meanwhile, trading volume has significantly shrunk compared to the early stage of the rebound, and the momentum of the bulls is weakening, making the current rise more inclined towards technical correction.

On the 30-minute chart, bearish combinations such as engulfing patterns have emerged at this pressure zone, and the volume has moderately increased, confirming the selling pressure in this area.

However, the price remains above the short-term moving averages, indicating that the bullish strength has not completely collapsed, and the market is temporarily in a delicate balance.

This oscillation, which is neither up nor down, reflects a temporary equilibrium of forces between bulls and bears, and only an effective break of key price levels can break the deadlock.

The current price of 4960-4970 is the bottom of the previous downward continuation platform, which has now transformed into a solid fortress that bulls find difficult to conquer.

Given the current clear pressure and insufficient volume, it is highly likely that there will be a downward retracement, first testing the 4900-4910 support.

If this support fails, it will open up further downward space, targeting the 4840-4850 area.

Caution is needed regarding the opening gap risk brought by weekend geopolitical and macro data sudden news; if a gap up with volume breaks through, directly abandon short positions.
In the evening, in the next city, opportunities won't wait for you forever. Don't overthink it, adjust while you do. Just thinking without action will never keep up with the rhythm.
In the evening, in the next city, opportunities won't wait for you forever. Don't overthink it, adjust while you do.

Just thinking without action will never keep up with the rhythm.
The fluctuation of gold trading on Friday is rapid, with risks accompanying opportunities, a short position at 4900 yielding 17 points! The sensitivity to the market determines whether you can stand on the cusp of opportunity, and the bullets in your pocket can achieve a qualitative leap.
The fluctuation of gold trading on Friday is rapid, with risks accompanying opportunities, a short position at 4900 yielding 17 points!

The sensitivity to the market determines whether you can stand on the cusp of opportunity, and the bullets in your pocket can achieve a qualitative leap.
2.6 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Evening Outlook Spot gold rebounded to the key resistance area of 4885-4890 in one hour, with an increase in upper shadows and a decrease in body size, indicating enhanced selling pressure. The volume has significantly shrunk compared to the initial rebound, suggesting that bearish momentum has not fully recovered, and this is only a short-term pressure without forming an effective breakout force. In the 30-minute timeframe, there is simultaneous pressure in the 4885-4890 range, with bearish patterns like engulfing candles appearing, further verifying the effectiveness of the pressure. The current downward BOS signal is clear, and the price is likely to continue the pressure trend, testing the support levels of 4860-5870. If this support level is broken, it will further explore the 4820-4830 range, and the bearish trend will be further strengthened. Trading suggestion: short at the 4900-4910 line, with targets at 4880, 4860, and 4820.
2.6 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Evening Outlook

Spot gold rebounded to the key resistance area of 4885-4890 in one hour, with an increase in upper shadows and a decrease in body size, indicating enhanced selling pressure.

The volume has significantly shrunk compared to the initial rebound, suggesting that bearish momentum has not fully recovered, and this is only a short-term pressure without forming an effective breakout force.

In the 30-minute timeframe, there is simultaneous pressure in the 4885-4890 range, with bearish patterns like engulfing candles appearing, further verifying the effectiveness of the pressure.

The current downward BOS signal is clear, and the price is likely to continue the pressure trend, testing the support levels of 4860-5870.

If this support level is broken, it will further explore the 4820-4830 range, and the bearish trend will be further strengthened.

Trading suggestion: short at the 4900-4910 line, with targets at 4880, 4860, and 4820.
Today's gold market is somewhat unusual. But as long as the strength and precise control of the points are in place, everything will come naturally.
Today's gold market is somewhat unusual.

But as long as the strength and precise control of the points are in place, everything will come naturally.
Partners who have walked together for two months successfully withdrew 19,000 dollars before the New Year. The process was not without challenges, but it was a steady and careful journey step by step. As the saying goes, seeing is not as good as doing; observing is far less effective than taking action yourself. I can only say that doing trades alone can easily lead to limitations and blind spots; following the rhythm is the best choice. Following the established script step by step, everything has its answers in advance; submitting the work seriously is a perfect score. Thank you for the trust from my partners; a measure of trust brings a measure of reward. Let's move forward together.
Partners who have walked together for two months successfully withdrew 19,000 dollars before the New Year. The process was not without challenges, but it was a steady and careful journey step by step.

As the saying goes, seeing is not as good as doing; observing is far less effective than taking action yourself.

I can only say that doing trades alone can easily lead to limitations and blind spots; following the rhythm is the best choice.

Following the established script step by step, everything has its answers in advance; submitting the work seriously is a perfect score.

Thank you for the trust from my partners; a measure of trust brings a measure of reward. Let's move forward together.
2.6 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Afternoon Perspective Spot gold has evolved from a pullback under pressure from high levels into a clear phase of pressure game dominated by bears. Overall, it remains in a downward trend, where multiple previous BOS breakout structure signals have confirmed the bearish dominance. The recent rebound belongs to a secondary corrective wave, and caution should be exercised for a secondary dip after the rebound ends. Currently, the downward BOS signal is clear, bearish momentum is strong, and there is a high probability of continuing the pressure trend, testing the 4825-4830 support. If this support level is breached, it will further dip into the 4800-4760 range, further strengthening the bearish trend. Operational Suggestion: Short at the 4850-4860 line, with targets at 4825, 4800, 4760.
2.6 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Afternoon Perspective

Spot gold has evolved from a pullback under pressure from high levels into a clear phase of pressure game dominated by bears.

Overall, it remains in a downward trend, where multiple previous BOS breakout structure signals have confirmed the bearish dominance.

The recent rebound belongs to a secondary corrective wave, and caution should be exercised for a secondary dip after the rebound ends.

Currently, the downward BOS signal is clear, bearish momentum is strong, and there is a high probability of continuing the pressure trend, testing the 4825-4830 support.

If this support level is breached, it will further dip into the 4800-4760 range, further strengthening the bearish trend.

Operational Suggestion: Short at the 4850-4860 line, with targets at 4825, 4800, 4760.
This round of gold has been handled very well. Stick to the signals and don't be swayed by emotions. Plan before taking action; the confidence in trading has always come from the unity of knowledge and action. Any technical analysis has n possibilities, and the gentleman only seeks the highest probability among these possibilities!
This round of gold has been handled very well. Stick to the signals and don't be swayed by emotions.

Plan before taking action; the confidence in trading has always come from the unity of knowledge and action.

Any technical analysis has n possibilities, and the gentleman only seeks the highest probability among these possibilities!
2.6 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Morning View Spot gold has evolved from a pullback after being pressured from a high point into a clear downtrend dominated by bears, currently in a phase of testing stability at a key support level. The 1-hour price has retraced to the key support range of 4767-4797, with K-line showing an increase in lower shadows and a decrease in the body size, indicating a stabilizing pattern, with buying pressure becoming stronger. However, the trading volume has significantly shrunk compared to the initial drop, currently only reflecting a short-term correction, without forming a clear counter-attack force. At this time, the market is in a phase of oscillation and game-playing after the decline, and directional choices need to wait for clear breakout signals. Overall, it is currently in a key support game phase dominated by bears, with operations primarily focused on shorting in line with the trend, and cautiously buying on dips as a supplement. Trading suggestion: Short at the 4835-4845 line, with targets at 4780, 4740, 4700.
2.6 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Morning View

Spot gold has evolved from a pullback after being pressured from a high point into a clear downtrend dominated by bears, currently in a phase of testing stability at a key support level.

The 1-hour price has retraced to the key support range of 4767-4797, with K-line showing an increase in lower shadows and a decrease in the body size, indicating a stabilizing pattern, with buying pressure becoming stronger.

However, the trading volume has significantly shrunk compared to the initial drop, currently only reflecting a short-term correction, without forming a clear counter-attack force.

At this time, the market is in a phase of oscillation and game-playing after the decline, and directional choices need to wait for clear breakout signals.

Overall, it is currently in a key support game phase dominated by bears, with operations primarily focused on shorting in line with the trend, and cautiously buying on dips as a supplement.

Trading suggestion: Short at the 4835-4845 line, with targets at 4780, 4740, 4700.
2.5 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Afternoon Viewpoint Spot gold formed a double top and head-and-shoulders composite structure after rising above 5100, then broke through a key support level, triggering a CHOCH structural transition signal. The 30-minute chart is in a clear downward channel, with rebound highs gradually decreasing and lows continually moving down, presenting a continuation pattern of the downward trend. On the 1-hour chart, a head-and-shoulders right shoulder formed near 5060, then broke below the neckline at 4900, completing the CHOCH and establishing a medium-term bearish trend. The current price is oscillating below the neckline, in the phase of confirming a pullback after the breakout. The price is in a downward channel after the breakout, and short-term rebounds are likely to be technical corrections. Trading suggestion: Sell at 4940-4930 range, target 4900, 4840, 4800.
2.5 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Afternoon Viewpoint

Spot gold formed a double top and head-and-shoulders composite structure after rising above 5100, then broke through a key support level, triggering a CHOCH structural transition signal.

The 30-minute chart is in a clear downward channel, with rebound highs gradually decreasing and lows continually moving down, presenting a continuation pattern of the downward trend.

On the 1-hour chart, a head-and-shoulders right shoulder formed near 5060, then broke below the neckline at 4900, completing the CHOCH and establishing a medium-term bearish trend.

The current price is oscillating below the neckline, in the phase of confirming a pullback after the breakout. The price is in a downward channel after the breakout, and short-term rebounds are likely to be technical corrections.

Trading suggestion: Sell at 4940-4930 range, target 4900, 4840, 4800.
The gold (XAU) opened with a maximum profit of 34 points; a good market must be utilized well. How much to grasp and how much to gain is all determined by one's own heart.
The gold (XAU) opened with a maximum profit of 34 points; a good market must be utilized well.

How much to grasp and how much to gain is all determined by one's own heart.
Still, Young Master has foresight. From planning to entering the market, moving defense to gradually cashing in, the whole process was clear in thought and executed well. During this time, he always focused on the big picture; the thought of running away was never considered. This round of decline has captured nearly a hundred points!
Still, Young Master has foresight. From planning to entering the market, moving defense to gradually cashing in, the whole process was clear in thought and executed well.

During this time, he always focused on the big picture; the thought of running away was never considered. This round of decline has captured nearly a hundred points!
公子乾坤独绝
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2.5 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Morning View

Spot gold faces pressure at the psychological barrier of 5000 and the structural level of 5100. A decline of this magnitude is unlikely to reverse quickly above 5400, so we will continue to look for short-term high short opportunities following the market.

The current price has dropped to around 4937, having broken below the strong support range of 4940-4950, and a downward BOS signal has appeared in the 15-minute chart, indicating a clear bearish pullback trend.

Trading suggestion: Short at 4950-4940, with targets at 4920, 4900, and 4860.

The underlying logic for gold's long-term rise has not changed, and the global central banks' long-term strategy to hedge against the dollar crisis remains intact. The recent decline is merely a purge of speculative bubbles, representing a healthy pullback. Institutions holding large amounts of physical gold will not sell off due to this drop, making the decline itself unsustainable.

Therefore, we should bravely buy at the bottom in the range of 4500-4000. It won't take a few months for structural repair to be completed before prices begin to rise again.
You may have missed the first opportunity to short spot gold at 4950, and if another opportunity comes later, you will need to reflect on your own issues for missing it. Currently, it has dropped below the 4800 line, with a profit margin of 150 points. How much of it did you seize? The reason for being beaten in the face of the big trend can only be attributed to being blinded alone; following the rhythm is the best choice.
You may have missed the first opportunity to short spot gold at 4950, and if another opportunity comes later, you will need to reflect on your own issues for missing it.

Currently, it has dropped below the 4800 line, with a profit margin of 150 points. How much of it did you seize?

The reason for being beaten in the face of the big trend can only be attributed to being blinded alone; following the rhythm is the best choice.
2.5 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Morning View Spot gold faces pressure at the psychological barrier of 5000 and the structural level of 5100. A decline of this magnitude is unlikely to reverse quickly above 5400, so we will continue to look for short-term high short opportunities following the market. The current price has dropped to around 4937, having broken below the strong support range of 4940-4950, and a downward BOS signal has appeared in the 15-minute chart, indicating a clear bearish pullback trend. Trading suggestion: Short at 4950-4940, with targets at 4920, 4900, and 4860. The underlying logic for gold's long-term rise has not changed, and the global central banks' long-term strategy to hedge against the dollar crisis remains intact. The recent decline is merely a purge of speculative bubbles, representing a healthy pullback. Institutions holding large amounts of physical gold will not sell off due to this drop, making the decline itself unsustainable. Therefore, we should bravely buy at the bottom in the range of 4500-4000. It won't take a few months for structural repair to be completed before prices begin to rise again.
2.5 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Morning View

Spot gold faces pressure at the psychological barrier of 5000 and the structural level of 5100. A decline of this magnitude is unlikely to reverse quickly above 5400, so we will continue to look for short-term high short opportunities following the market.

The current price has dropped to around 4937, having broken below the strong support range of 4940-4950, and a downward BOS signal has appeared in the 15-minute chart, indicating a clear bearish pullback trend.

Trading suggestion: Short at 4950-4940, with targets at 4920, 4900, and 4860.

The underlying logic for gold's long-term rise has not changed, and the global central banks' long-term strategy to hedge against the dollar crisis remains intact. The recent decline is merely a purge of speculative bubbles, representing a healthy pullback. Institutions holding large amounts of physical gold will not sell off due to this drop, making the decline itself unsustainable.

Therefore, we should bravely buy at the bottom in the range of 4500-4000. It won't take a few months for structural repair to be completed before prices begin to rise again.
In the evening, a four-game winning streak comes to an end. That's about it; it's already midnight, and a perfect day has ended. The young master said that one or two setbacks cannot defeat me. The layout of the short position at 5060 was also perfect, achieving a record of four consecutive wins. For players who trade frequently, the number of trades isn't many. But the young master's trades focus not on volume, but on stability and precision. The record can be viewed by oneself.
In the evening, a four-game winning streak comes to an end.

That's about it; it's already midnight, and a perfect day has ended.

The young master said that one or two setbacks cannot defeat me.

The layout of the short position at 5060 was also perfect, achieving a record of four consecutive wins.

For players who trade frequently, the number of trades isn't many. But the young master's trades focus not on volume, but on stability and precision. The record can be viewed by oneself.
Is the current price of spot gold in place? Hesitating for a second means missing out, and hesitating a step means a loss! Only by being sensitive to the market can one receive the returns they deserve. You may not understand the market trends, but you must learn to follow them. Execute properly to grasp the trend with ease!
Is the current price of spot gold in place? Hesitating for a second means missing out, and hesitating a step means a loss!

Only by being sensitive to the market can one receive the returns they deserve.

You may not understand the market trends, but you must learn to follow them. Execute properly to grasp the trend with ease!
It is said that what is lost must be recovered. This round should compensate for the losses, and there will be a surplus. Still, try to arrange more current price orders, as writing lengthy discussions, the market may move down.
It is said that what is lost must be recovered. This round should compensate for the losses, and there will be a surplus.

Still, try to arrange more current price orders, as writing lengthy discussions, the market may move down.
Confidence is at its peak! Changing direction is never hesitant. Empty out and give it your all, backhand more, going back and forth is a win-win. Continuous victories, no defeats in a day, very comfortable. Short-term and wave trading, everything you need. If you take the initiative, we have a story.
Confidence is at its peak! Changing direction is never hesitant.

Empty out and give it your all, backhand more, going back and forth is a win-win. Continuous victories, no defeats in a day, very comfortable.

Short-term and wave trading, everything you need. If you take the initiative, we have a story.
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