QQCutie

The amount of Ethereum on exchanges has dropped to around ~16 million ETH, the lowest level since mid-2016.

This comes against the backdrop of ETH having decreased by about ~34% in the past month, currently trading around $2,000.

A significant reduction in the supply of ETH on exchanges often indicates that potential selling pressure is easing, as fewer coins on exchanges means less is available for immediate sale. This is often seen as a long-term accumulation signal.

However, in the short term, prices remain weak due to market sentiment and the overall flow of money not really returning. If strong demand emerges around the $2,000 level, the low supply on exchanges could set the stage for a significant rebound.

Will $BTC Lose 75% From Its All-Time High Again?

Will Bitcoin ($BTC ) lose 75% from its all-time high like many people predict?

The short answer is NO!!! Or at least, not for the same reasons and not in the same way as before. Many investors still rely heavily on historical patterns, assuming that because Bitcoin has crashed deeply in past cycles, it must repeat that behavior again. But markets evolve, and Bitcoin today is not the same asset it was five or ten years ago.

One major difference is who is involved now. In the early days, Bitcoin was mostly driven by retail investors, tech enthusiasts, and small funds. Today, we see large corporations, institutional investors, governments, and even presidents openly supporting or acknowledging Bitcoin. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, regulated custodians, and clearer legal frameworks have fundamentally changed the market structure. This kind of support did not exist in previous cycles.

Another important factor is market maturity. Bitcoin’s market capitalization is much larger than before, making extreme price swings harder to achieve. A 75% drop requires massive

So yeah, just buy BTC and hold guys, that's all you need !

Quick update on Bitcoin (BTC) ETF funds:

A total of 91,700 BTC has been sold since October 10, 2025 (equivalent to 8.3 billion USD)

The total amount of BTC held by ETFs decreased by 6.7% during the same period

Currently, ETFs are holding 6.3% of the total BTC supply (down from a peak of 6.8%)

Indeed, the inflow of funds into ETFs has been quite weak since October 10, and ETFs are also a reason for the strong sell-off of BTC.

Just for fun

Chart " cursed arrow "

Long also loses and short also loses 🤣🤣🤣

$ETH mãi đỉnhhhh

The future of crypto – bleak or full of potential?

Crypto has gone through many cycles of ups and downs, from being seen as a scam to attracting the interest of major organizations. Its future depends on technology, legality, and how people use it.

If crypto is only used for speculation, it will remain unstable forever. However, if it is widely applied in life, finance, and contracts, its true value will be established.

Crypto may not be the path to wealth for everyone, but it is likely to be a part of the financial world of the future.

👉 Where will crypto go: disappear, stagnate, or explode even more?

Crypto and financial bubbles – does history repeat itself?

Many people compare crypto to the dotcom bubble. During that time, many internet companies collapsed, but the survivors like Amazon changed the world. Crypto may be in a similar phase.

Not every project will survive, and indeed most will disappear. But the underlying technology may remain and thrive even more after the bubble bursts.

The question is who will survive, and who will be eliminated.

👉 Is crypto a bubble about to burst or the beginning of a revolution?

Holding crypto – freedom or taking risks?

One of the biggest differences with crypto is "not your key, not your coin". You hold your assets, no need for a bank. But this comes with a very high risk. Losing your private key means losing money permanently, and no one can help.

Hacking wallets, leaking seed phrases, sending to the wrong address… are all common mistakes. For those used to banks, this can be a huge shock. Crypto gives you full control, but it also does not give you a chance to correct mistakes.

👉 Is financial freedom in crypto worth sacrificing safety?

Can crypto replace traditional money?

Many people believe that crypto will replace fiat currency in the future. Fast transactions, no intermediaries, and no reckless printing. It sounds very appealing.

But in reality, crypto is too volatile to be used as a means of daily payment. No one wants to receive their salary in something that can lose 20% of its value in just a week. Traditional money, although it experiences inflation, is more stable.

Crypto may not completely replace traditional money, but may exist alongside it, with each serving different purposes.

👉 Can crypto become the main currency or just an investment asset?

BTC suddenly reversed and surged to 70K, but the likelihood is that this is just a false recovery.

The main reason comes from shorts closing positions and the exchange creating a short squeeze when the short ratio is too high, as I mentioned yesterday.

According to the liquidation Map, what is truly frightening lies ahead, with about tens of billions USD being liquidated if $BTC once again returns to the 60K mark.

Especially, there is a paradox currently, $BTC recovering but volume has dropped significantly, a bad signal with no cash flow from spot.

Personally, I will stand outside and observe more.

FOMO, FUD and crowd psychology in crypto

Crypto is a market of emotions. Good news spreads very quickly, bad news even faster. Just one KOL or whale speaking out can cause significant price fluctuations. Newcomers can easily get swept up by the crowd without thinking.

FOMO makes people buy at the peak, FUD makes people sell at the bottom. The result is that money transfers from the hands of the impatient to the hands of the experienced. This is a recurring rule.

Understanding market psychology is sometimes even more important than understanding technology. Those who can control their emotions will survive longer.

👉 In crypto, is knowledge or psychology the deciding factor for winning or losing?

Is the real value of crypto beyond just price increases?

Many people only see crypto through price charts. But blockchain was created not just for speculation. Smart contracts help automate transactions, DeFi allows borrowing and lending without banks, and transferring money across borders is faster and cheaper.

The issue is that not every project brings real value. Many coins exist just to 'pump prices'. This leads outsiders to view crypto as just a bubble.

Crypto has potential, but real value only comes when it solves real-world problems, not just enriches those who got in early.

👉 Does crypto currently have real value or is it mostly based on trust and speculation?

Crypto and the law – ban or regulate?

Many countries are unsure how to deal with crypto. Banning it is difficult because decentralized technology is not easy to control. Allowing it to float poses risks to the public and the financial system. As a result, crypto falls into a legal ‘gray area’ in many places.

The lack of a clear legal framework means that investors have freedom but must also accept high risks. When disputes, hacks, or fraud occur, it is very difficult to seek legal intervention. Conversely, if it is managed too tightly, crypto may lose its original decentralized nature.

The future of crypto is likely to be moderately regulated to mitigate risks while still allowing for technological innovation.

👉 Should crypto be completely free or need to be tightly regulated like banks?

Crypto – is investing or just gambling disguised as technology?

Many people enter crypto with the mindset of "quick wins." They do not care what the project does, just hearing news like "this coin will soon x10" is enough for them to buy. This way of playing is no different from gambling, only the app is used instead of a casino.

However, there are also those who see crypto as a serious investment. They research blockchain technology, the development team, practical applications, and hold for the long term. For them, crypto is like investing in early-stage technology stocks.

The problem is that the line between investment and gambling in crypto is very thin. The same market, but different approaches will yield completely different results. Crypto is not inherently gambling, but it can easily turn into gambling if the players lack knowledge and discipline.

👉 Is crypto an investment tool or just a legalized gamble?

Personally, I think any form of investment should be carefully considered and disciplined by oneself.

Scams in crypto – why are there more and more?

Scam, rug pull, ghost projects… are terms that continuously appear in the world of crypto. Just a nice website and a few promises of high returns can lure many people to invest money. When the amount of money is enough, the team disappears, leaving investors with a zero balance.

The main reason is that crypto still lacks strict regulation. Anyone can create a token or project without clear legal accountability. Additionally, greed and the desire to get rich quickly lead many people to overlook warning signs.

Crypto is not bad, but its environment facilitates bad actors to operate easily. Participants must protect themselves, as there are no banks or organizations to refund money.

👉 Is the fault in crypto or in the people participating in the market?

How to combat scams:

- Do not share your private key and password with anyone
- Thoroughly check all sources before investing
- Avoid trading on untrustworthy exchanges
- Do not send money to anyone, no matter how famous they are

The price volatility of crypto – an opportunity or a nightmare?

Crypto is famous for its rapid price fluctuations. Sometimes Bitcoin can increase by several dozen percent in just a few days, but it can also plummet without warning due to a tweet or bad news. For newcomers, this volatility is both attractive and frightening. Those who buy at the right time can make significant profits, but if they make a mistake, they can lose money very quickly.

Unlike traditional stocks, crypto is traded almost 24/7, with no "break hours". This causes investors' psychology to be easily swayed by emotions: seeing prices rise leads to FOMO buying, while seeing them drop causes panic selling. Many people don't lose because of a bad project, but because they can't withstand the pressure of volatility.

Volatility is also the reason crypto attracts large amounts of capital. Without volatility, there are no high profits. The issue lies in whether participants understand what game they are playing or not.

👉 Is the strong volatility of crypto an advantage or a sign of an overly risky market?

Market risk warning that is officially entering a downtrend phase.
There are 3 combined factors for my opinion like this.
The first is that you can clearly observe that BTC is forming lower lows, according to Dow theory this is a sign that BTC will continue to decrease.
The second is that $BTC continuously fails to break above the SonicR line, just forming a fake break then immediately being pushed down and currently being traded at the lower boundary for most of 2026.
The third is Coin-base Premium (representing institutions) continuously selling out causing this indicator to be very strongly negative, as I mentioned earlier, any day this indicator is still red, the market is unlikely to increase strongly again.

As I mentioned in the previous post
This is not yet the bottom for $BTC and it's still not the right time to buy BTC
If you want to optimize profits, wait until the fear index hits levels 8-9-10, at that point it's almost 99% certain to be the bottom of $BTC $ETH as well as other coins
If you start buying at the bottom from now, it's still fine, it won't affect your profits too much!
Trust me, buy BTC and hold! This is financial investment advice!

The light at the end of the tunnel has begun to glow 🔥

USDC is showing noteworthy movements 👀

Recent on-chain data indicates that the amount of USDC being deposited into exchanges is significantly increasing.

This is often seen as an early signal that buying liquidity is being prepared, as investors transfer stablecoins to exchanges to be ready for deployment.

In many previous phases, a strong increase in USDC inflow typically appeared before significant buying waves.

However, this is not yet a confirmed signal that the market will surge immediately, but rather reflects that buying liquidity is gradually being accumulated.

In the past 7 days, Binance accounted for 42.8% of the total spot trading volume, but sold $BTC three times more than all other major exchanges combined.

Although it has a lower volume than the total volume of the other exchanges, Binance still accounted for 79.7% of the total net selling pressure on the 5 largest spot exchanges.

Stablecoin cash flow has sharply decreased

After a growth phase with over 140 billion USD in additional market capitalization since 2023, the total market capitalization of stablecoins began to decline from December, ending a prolonged upward trend.

The most important signal lies in the stablecoin inflow to exchanges

Stablecoin inflow to exchanges → indicates demand to participate in the market, readiness to purchase risky assets

Stablecoin outflow from exchanges → prioritizes capital preservation, reduces risk

October: Liquidity remains extremely strong

The average net stablecoin flow per month exceeds 9.7 billion USD

Specifically, Binance accounts for nearly 8.8 billion USD

👉 This abundant liquidity has supported Bitcoin's strong rise to new highs

From November: The situation changes entirely

Previous net cash flows were almost completely wiped out

Initially, there was a sharp decline of 9.6 billion USD

After a short period of stabilization, the cash flow continued to be negative

More than 4 billion USD in stablecoins has been withdrawn.

Liquidity is withdrawing from the crypto market, and this is a factor that you need to closely monitor in the current phase.