TheMarketTeacher

GM

⚠️ US Government Shutdown Risk — Markets Are Underestimating This

Another macro risk traders should not ignore:
👉 A potential US government shutdown as early as Sunday, if lawmakers fail to pass a funding resolution.

Current estimates suggest ~75% probability this week.

If a shutdown occurs, markets could face:
• Temporary disruption in government operations
• Delayed economic data releases
• Increased political uncertainty and risk aversion

Historically, shutdowns don’t always cause immediate crashes — but they increase volatility, especially when combined with:
• Tight monetary policy
• Elevated geopolitical risk
• Heavy positioning in risk assets

For crypto markets, this means:
• Short-term uncertainty
• Potential knee-jerk reactions on headlines
• Increased sensitivity to macro news flow

Key takeaway:
🧭 This is not a black-swan — it’s a known risk.
📉 Volatility risk is asymmetric.
🧠 Risk management matters more than prediction this week.
#GovernmentShutdown #trump #crypto $BTC

GM

BTC, FOMC & Powell — What Really Matters Today

Markets are heading into today’s FOMC statement and press conference with expectations already fully priced in.

At this point, BTC has largely priced the outcome:
• No rate cuts are expected
• No major policy shift is likely
• Liquidity conditions remain unchanged

Because of that, the FOMC statement itself may have limited impact.

👉 The real catalyst, if any, will be the press conference and the tone of Jerome Powell:
• Any hint of concern about inflation persistence
• Any pushback against early rate-cut expectations
• Or unexpected language around financial conditions

Additionally, markets are watching political risk closely.

There is growing speculation that Donald Trump could announce a future appointment for a new Fed Chair, potentially overshadowing Powell’s message and injecting volatility across risk assets — including BTC.

Bottom line:
📊 Rates are priced in.
🎤 Powell’s words matter more than the decision.
⚠️ Political headlines remain an underpriced risk.
#Fed #FedWatch #Powell $BTC

GM

COPYING TRADERS

Copying traders feels safe, especially at the beginning.

But copying doesn’t teach:

how to think,

how to manage risk,

or how to handle losses.

It creates dependency, not skill.

Long-term success requires understanding, not imitation.

👉 Have you ever relied on copying instead of learning?

#trading #BeginnerTrader #tradingmindset #RiskManagement #education

GM

SMALL ACCOUNTS MYTH

A small account is not the reason most beginners fail.

Poor risk management is.

A small account traded with discipline can grow.

A large account traded emotionally will shrink.

Account size doesn’t fix behavior.

Discipline does.

👉 Do you think money would fix your trading problems?

#trading #RiskManagement #BeginnerTrader #tradingpsychology #discipline

GM

HOW LONG IT REALLY TAKES

Trading consistency doesn’t happen in weeks.

It takes months or years of learning, losing, adjusting, and repeating the process.

Anyone promising fast results is selling hope, not skill.

Progress in trading is slow, uneven, and often frustrating.

That’s normal.

👉 Did you expect trading to be easier than it actually is?

#trading #tradingmindset #RiskManagement #BeginnerTrader #education

GM

WEEKLY REMINDER

If you remember one thing this week, remember this:

Your job is not to make money today.

Your job is to still be trading next year.

Protecting your capital is the first skill every trader must master.

👉 Do you trade with a long-term mindset or short-term emotions?

#trading #tradingmindset #RiskManagement #BeginnerTrader #discipline

Follow me to get started. I’ll go through everything you need in trading 💪

GM

THE BIGGEST LIE BEGINNERS BELIEVE

The biggest lie beginners believe is this:

“If I find the perfect strategy, everything will work.”

Strategies don’t fail traders.

Lack of discipline does.

Without risk management, even the best strategy will eventually blow up.

With proper risk, even a simple strategy can survive.

Trading is not about secrets.

It’s about behavior.

👉 What do you think matters more long term: strategy or discipline?

#trading #RiskManagement #tradingpsychology #BeginnerTrader #education

GM

TRADING VS GAMBLING

Here’s a hard truth most beginners don’t want to hear.

If you enter a trade without knowing:

how much you can lose,

where you are wrong,

and when you will exit,

you are not trading.

You are gambling.

Gamblers focus on outcomes and hope.

Traders focus on risk and process.

One lucky win means nothing.

Consistency comes from doing the same disciplined actions over hundreds of trades.

👉 Do you define your risk before every trade?

#trading #RiskManagement #BeginnerTrader #discipline #tradingmindset

GM

WHY MOST BEGINNERS LOSE MONEY?

Most beginner traders don’t lose money because they can’t read charts.

They lose money because they start trading without rules.

At the beginning everything feels exciting:

new strategies, fast moves, social media profits.

So they risk too much, trade too often, and react emotionally.

The market doesn’t punish bad strategies first.

It punishes bad risk management and lack of discipline.

You don’t need to win more trades.

You need to survive long enough to learn.

Capital protection always comes before profit.

👉 What do you think hurts beginners more: emotions or poor risk management?

#trading #RiskManagement #tradingpsychology #BeginnerTrader #priceaction
$BTC

GM

Price action, risk management, and trading psychology are the foundation.

But trading also requires:
• a clear process
• patience and selectivity
• awareness of risk beyond the chart

Most beginners don’t fail because of strategy.
They fail because they trade without structure, discipline, and self-control.

👉 What do you think is the hardest part of trading: strategy, risk, or psychology?

#tradingmindset #trading #RiskManagement #tradingpsychology #BeginnerTrader

Show me you are gambler without showing me that you are gambler.

He used 40x leverage, which means his margin*leverage=position value. If price reaches liquidation price he lose all his money (margin). Do not go this way. Don’t use high leverage

You’re looking at line which shows only closed candles. There might be a wick below that.

When the market price reaches the liquidation price, your position will be removed and you will lose everything