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$ETH $BTC There is a significant amount of buying activity from CoinBase. Binance is showing signs of slowing down its selling, so this rebound will likely continue until a worst-case scenario occurs. Our next plan is to wait for a breakout from the current range, a retest, and then go Long again
Spot CVD: -1.456B → spot is still net selling (dominant supply).
Futures CVD: -11.383B → futures are selling extremely strong (leverage is being squeezed).
Bid/Ask Delta (spot): +23.249M & (futures): +46.382M → short-term has a “buy burst”/absorption, but total CVD is still deeply negative.
OI (coins): ~4.566M (has decreased significantly from the previous high) → flush/closing positions (deleveraging), usually creates conditions for a technical rebound if there is real buying force.
Funding (8H OI-weighted): -0.0175 → short pays fees (bearish sentiment, easy to have a short squeeze if price reclaims).
Coinbase Premium: -0.0928 → weak US spot, a rebound that does not reclaim the key level will still easily “rebound to sell”.
2) BIAS
Bearish structure, but there are signs of “flush + absorption” → prioritize waiting for confirmation of the rebound. In short: downtrend, but a strong unexpected rebound still has a chance because OI has shrunk + negative funding.
3) Key zones
Demand: 2200–2150, below that 2100
Supply/resistance: 2300–2350, higher than 2430–2450, then 2520–2600
GOLD worldwide around ~4,814 USD/oz, slightly down after large fluctuations last weekend.
BTC currently around ~77,745 USD, continuing to decrease compared to yesterday due to risk sentiment in the market.
ETH around ~2,310 USD, also decreasing following the general trend of cryptocurrencies.
Hot political news: expectations of tighter monetary policy with leadership change at the Fed, increasing concerns about risk assets.
Hot news on gold: large fluctuations last weekend indicate that gold, after reaching a peak, has wobbled, reflecting money flows seeking safe havens but also facing profit-taking.
🔹 Macroeconomic context
Important time/event markers:
06.02: US jobs report (NFP).
11.02: US CPI (inflation).
18.02: FOMC meeting minutes.
🔹 Technical signals
BTC: main support around ~76,000 – 78,000 USD, resistance ~80,000 – 82,000 USD; staying above 80,000 for several sessions gives a better support signal.
ETH: support ~2,200 – 2,300 USD, resistance ~2,500 USD; bouncing above 2,500 will improve the outlook.
Monetary policy risk: leadership change at the Fed and expectations of higher interest rates may pressure risk assets.
Macroeconomic & geopolitical volatility: major economic data (CPI/NFP) or political tensions could cause significant money withdrawals from crypto.
Volatility of safe-haven assets: money flows shifting between gold, USD, and crypto could cause rapid stop-loss “sweeps,” affecting both exchanges and users.
Húp 11R with the self-built indicator Trend Flip from January 29 until now, it's only the fourth day Combining trailing stop following super trend, so TP drifts when it flips back, it will automatically cut With the current bad situation, we should look to SELL all markets $ETH
$BTC (15m) — BIAS: Neutral → slightly Bearish (range, prioritize sell-high until there is new money pushing up)
Futures CVD (total) = -7.397B → active sell force remains heavy, current rebound has not 'switched sides'.
Spot CVD = -803.046M + Short Spot CVD = -194.559M → spot remains net sell; there is a bounce but not enough to confirm 'spot leads trend'.
Funding 8H = +0.0049 → Long side is paying fees (lightly crowded) ⇒ can easily get swept down if support breaks.
Coinbase Premium = -0.1162 → weak/lacking US spot 'leader', upside is usually hard to sustain.
OI ~ 257.049K → cooling down/going down compared to the previous section ⇒ leaning towards de-risking (no new money seen opening trend).
✅ Scenario 1: Long Breakout
Entry (Stop): 88,050 (waiting for 15m candle to close above the top of range) Limit: 87,900 (retest held)
TP1: 88,450 TP2: 88,900 TP3: 89,500
SL: 87,520 Conditions to enter Long (must have): OI ↑ at the same time as price breakout (new money coming in). Futures Bid/Ask Δ positive increase + Futures CVD stops making LL, starts to pull up. Spot Bid/Ask Δ positive (spot 'supports' the bounce). Funding not spiking (not too hot), Coinbase premium returning to 0/positive is ideal.
✅ Scenario 2: Short Breakdown
Entry (Stop): 87,550 (15m candle closes below the bottom of range) Limit: 87,700 (pullback up fails)
TP1: 87,100 TP2: 86,600 TP3: 86,000
SL: 88,150
Conditions to enter Short (must have): Futures Bid/Ask Δ negative + Futures CVD continues to make LL (active selling). OI ↑ when price ↓ (short build) → strong continuation. If OI ↓ strongly during breakdown → 'flush' (easy to bounce), prioritize quick closes TP1/TP2. Funding still positive/slowly decreasing (long is still 'stuck'), spot Δ does not support / spot CVD does not bounce, premium remains negative.
BTCUSDT Perp (M15) | SMC + Nivex AI Pro Trend Update Recap: The previous short trade was successful following the red line (bearish trend). When the price fell, the indicator maintained its red bias, following the trend and trailing very well according to the structure
🧠 SMC (Smart Money Concept) Perspective The recent dump was a downward displacement, sweeping up sell-side liquidity and creating a short-term bottom. Then the price bounced strongly, creating a CHoCH/shift structure on the M15 (from downtrend to rebound), and then entered a pullback/mitigation phase. Currently, the price is "standing" around the rebound zone, waiting for confirmation whether this is a true reversal or just a pullback to fall further
🤖 Nivex AI Pro Signal 🟦 Line has turned GREEN → bias towards Long/continuation Entry: 87651.1 Trailing SL: 86993.6 TP1: 88631.6 TP2: 89612.2 TP3: 90592.7 Order Management: If TP1 is hit, you can move the SL to the Entry or continue to follow the Trailing Stop to make a substantial profit as the trend continues
The price of ETH is decreasing significantly at the beginning of the week But it is still in a strong Buy OB Zone If you see the daily candle retracing to the range of 3770-3800 Then confidently enter Long to hold up to 4200-4500
The ETH daily candle closes at 3780-3800 Then let's go long, everyone If the candle closes with full force, we will wait for further reactions #ETH #Long #views #Kris
BTC is down and stable pump The upward force is quite quality The reputable OB area around 107-108, you guys feel confident to Long up TP: 114k - 117k - .... There will be a correction after this move, so you guys can enter the order around 108500-109000
————————— The content shared is for reference only and should not be considered investment advice. Each person needs to manage risk and research before making decisions. #dyor
🔥🔥🔥 ETHEREUM FUSAKA UPGRADE SCHEDULE – OFFICIAL MAINNET ON 3/12 🪙
Ethereum developers have confirmed that the Fusaka upgrade will officially launch on the mainnet on 3/12, after completing tests on 3 testnets:
🗓 Holesky: 1/10
🗓 Sepolia: 14/10
🗓 Hoodi: 28/10
🗓 Mainnet (expected): 3/12
The Ethereum Foundation is also hosting a 4-week bug bounty competition with rewards of up to 2 million USD for those who discover vulnerabilities before the official launch 🔍
Fusaka is expected to help Ethereum and Layer2s operate more efficiently, thanks to PeerDAS technology, which allows for the validation of large data without needing to download everything.
Another step forward in the journey to truly help Ethereum “scale” 🔥
————————— The shared content is for reference only and not investment advice. Each individual needs to manage risks and research before making decisions. #DYOR
BTC reset OB Buy zone 103-106k just confidently Buy If we break this zone, I will have another setup This segment will retrace to the range of 114-117k Manage the orders carefully and don't let the profits slip away, guys #BTC #Kris #Cryptor