王子路
Web3工程师/架构师 帮200项目从0到DEX/链游上线 合约安全Gas优化。每日分享开发干货 市场观察 一起少走弯路，公众号：Crypto DAO投研院
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The lower edge of the box has been effectively broken, and the support level has turned into a resistance level. If it doesn't break 68000, it will return to the box and continue to short.
The immediate impact of the non-farm data has ended, and after a quick rebound, there was a rapid decline, returning again to the original bearish trend. The view on 64000 remains unchanged. #btc $BTC
The immediate impact of the non-farm data has ended, and after a quick rebound, there was a rapid decline, returning again to the original bearish trend. The view on 64000 remains unchanged. #btc $BTC
【2026.2.11 Zhuge has only the Han in his heart, Cao Cao has no Wu in his eyes】
【Back then, the Hu horses came in autumn, this year they refuse to return south.
Several types of ironclad troops, 300,000, galloping with bows and arrows, parting the clouds.】
The Hu cavalry descends south, occupying without return, the 300,000 troops have no date to return. The shorts descend south, and the longs are once again slaughtered without a trace, seeing this momentum it seems there is no intention to head north, and even more madness may just be on the night of reunion on New Year's Eve. Some people have already drifted farther away, no longer having any red and green in their hearts, while more people are still eager to replicate the wealth myth of the cool breeze, a higher level of cognition has physically eliminated and plundered the lower level of time in the market, emotions and hopes...
Several types of ironclad troops, 300,000, galloping with bows and arrows, parting the clouds.】
The Hu cavalry descends south, occupying without return, the 300,000 troops have no date to return. The shorts descend south, and the longs are once again slaughtered without a trace, seeing this momentum it seems there is no intention to head north, and even more madness may just be on the night of reunion on New Year's Eve. Some people have already drifted farther away, no longer having any red and green in their hearts, while more people are still eager to replicate the wealth myth of the cool breeze, a higher level of cognition has physically eliminated and plundered the lower level of time in the market, emotions and hopes...
Hmm, it has broken below the lower boundary line of the box at 68000, and it's heading towards 64000. $BTC
See translation
【2026.2.10潮起潮落非尽头，留得仓位待风侯。】
【你越想随便做单，就越被市场拿捏。
只有不乱出手的人，才不会被结果牵着鼻子走。】
大家好，现在是东八区时间2026年2月10日下午的分享，欢迎来到本期的比特币行情分析：
从当前的比特币1小时图结构来看，比特币从前期高点82200一路下跌，最低插针触及到60000开始反弹，走出了一个V反形态，但是呢，在71665一线受到强有力的压制，多头力量几次上影线试图突破均收到空头压制，到了缩量横盘的箱体消耗一个阶段。目前盘面价格围绕在68000-72000区间震荡，多空在此博弈形成明显的分水岭。
那么这个时候我们就要注意了，第一点是上攻突破71665压制一线，刚才说到了几次上影线均没有突破前高压制，那么我们就要注意K线是否实质性突破，怎么才算实质性突破，就是K线放量上涨实质站稳71665上方打破压制位，并且回踩不破箱体中间虚线70000一线继续上攻，形成强有力支撑位，向上继续拉升，那么就可以确认71665形成压力位变支撑位。向上可看前支撑位72560-74000区间。如果只是像昨日向上插针72000形成上阴影快速收回箱体内，那么就是假突破诱多，继续箱体内来回震荡盘整。
第二点就是下穿跌破箱体支撑位68000一线，同样如果只是下影线刺破并快速反弹回到箱体70000一线，就是假跌破诱空。如果打破箱体下沿承接强度，继续放量下跌回不到箱体内部，那就是缩量盘整，随着空头强势聚集，多头弱势派发，就更容易寻找下方更低点支撑或承接区域。从盘面上看上一次下影线在67300若这种情况发生，下方的缺口支撑就在67000一线，甚至更下方的65000附近。当然，如果每次跌破箱体下方支撑位并快速收回箱体内部甚至再次试图突破箱体上方71665一线，那么说明此时买盘力量强势，大概率还要继续围绕箱体区间震荡盘整。
第三点就是量价是否一致，这个我们就要看MACD了，多空博弈，来回震荡，在方向没有真正出来之前，上突下破会经常发生，这个时候一旦量变方向就会出来。老的交易员都知道，支撑阻力位区间做单，更合理的策略就是回踩不跌破上突不刺穿的情况下，在箱体内随着行情震荡短线来回高抛低吸。最重要的是放弃鱼头鱼尾行情，止盈止损放在支撑阻力位之外，避免来回震荡插针扫损。
总得来说，小时线级别，比特币目前处于箱体震荡，上涨要放量实质性突破，下跌要缩量继续下行，只有真正突破箱体震荡才是方向真正的来临。
现在我们看一下日线级别，比特币从最高点12199.63一路下跌，在85000-95000区间短暂停后继续下行，最低触及60000开始收针反弹，目前价格在69000一线盘整，从盘面上来看仍然有下行的风险存在。从上下影线我们可以看到日线级别比特币在68000-72000区间盘整，1小时级别我们已经知道真正的方向来临之前需要强有力打破箱体形态。
我们来看一下斐波那契形态，价格从最低点60000往上看，目前比特币在0.50下方就是69100附近运行，上方0.382正是小时级别72000一线压制位，0.618在66700一线。也就是说若比特币打破箱体震荡，跌破箱体下沿线68000，下阶段的承接区域和支撑缺口我会放在66700一线。若比特币突破箱体上眼线72000附近，可以继续向上看74000-76000一线。那么现在的话，0.5附近就是很重要的多空分水领。若站上0.5附近并继续向上修复，那么0.5-0.382也就是69300-72000可以当成是一个趋势修复的区间。若站不上继续下杀，说明反弹更多的是弱势反冲风险，更偏向于向下寻底0.618附近，
综上所述：操作上更倾向于等待盘面突破箱体上下沿两条线给出确认的信号再进场，多头以收复0.5回踩不破为出发点，防守点就在0.5的下方也就是箱体下沿线68000，空头则等待跌破0.5反弹回不去的情况下再跌，目标就是看到0.618附近。$BTC
只有不乱出手的人，才不会被结果牵着鼻子走。】
大家好，现在是东八区时间2026年2月10日下午的分享，欢迎来到本期的比特币行情分析：
从当前的比特币1小时图结构来看，比特币从前期高点82200一路下跌，最低插针触及到60000开始反弹，走出了一个V反形态，但是呢，在71665一线受到强有力的压制，多头力量几次上影线试图突破均收到空头压制，到了缩量横盘的箱体消耗一个阶段。目前盘面价格围绕在68000-72000区间震荡，多空在此博弈形成明显的分水岭。
那么这个时候我们就要注意了，第一点是上攻突破71665压制一线，刚才说到了几次上影线均没有突破前高压制，那么我们就要注意K线是否实质性突破，怎么才算实质性突破，就是K线放量上涨实质站稳71665上方打破压制位，并且回踩不破箱体中间虚线70000一线继续上攻，形成强有力支撑位，向上继续拉升，那么就可以确认71665形成压力位变支撑位。向上可看前支撑位72560-74000区间。如果只是像昨日向上插针72000形成上阴影快速收回箱体内，那么就是假突破诱多，继续箱体内来回震荡盘整。
第二点就是下穿跌破箱体支撑位68000一线，同样如果只是下影线刺破并快速反弹回到箱体70000一线，就是假跌破诱空。如果打破箱体下沿承接强度，继续放量下跌回不到箱体内部，那就是缩量盘整，随着空头强势聚集，多头弱势派发，就更容易寻找下方更低点支撑或承接区域。从盘面上看上一次下影线在67300若这种情况发生，下方的缺口支撑就在67000一线，甚至更下方的65000附近。当然，如果每次跌破箱体下方支撑位并快速收回箱体内部甚至再次试图突破箱体上方71665一线，那么说明此时买盘力量强势，大概率还要继续围绕箱体区间震荡盘整。
第三点就是量价是否一致，这个我们就要看MACD了，多空博弈，来回震荡，在方向没有真正出来之前，上突下破会经常发生，这个时候一旦量变方向就会出来。老的交易员都知道，支撑阻力位区间做单，更合理的策略就是回踩不跌破上突不刺穿的情况下，在箱体内随着行情震荡短线来回高抛低吸。最重要的是放弃鱼头鱼尾行情，止盈止损放在支撑阻力位之外，避免来回震荡插针扫损。
总得来说，小时线级别，比特币目前处于箱体震荡，上涨要放量实质性突破，下跌要缩量继续下行，只有真正突破箱体震荡才是方向真正的来临。
现在我们看一下日线级别，比特币从最高点12199.63一路下跌，在85000-95000区间短暂停后继续下行，最低触及60000开始收针反弹，目前价格在69000一线盘整，从盘面上来看仍然有下行的风险存在。从上下影线我们可以看到日线级别比特币在68000-72000区间盘整，1小时级别我们已经知道真正的方向来临之前需要强有力打破箱体形态。
我们来看一下斐波那契形态，价格从最低点60000往上看，目前比特币在0.50下方就是69100附近运行，上方0.382正是小时级别72000一线压制位，0.618在66700一线。也就是说若比特币打破箱体震荡，跌破箱体下沿线68000，下阶段的承接区域和支撑缺口我会放在66700一线。若比特币突破箱体上眼线72000附近，可以继续向上看74000-76000一线。那么现在的话，0.5附近就是很重要的多空分水领。若站上0.5附近并继续向上修复，那么0.5-0.382也就是69300-72000可以当成是一个趋势修复的区间。若站不上继续下杀，说明反弹更多的是弱势反冲风险，更偏向于向下寻底0.618附近，
综上所述：操作上更倾向于等待盘面突破箱体上下沿两条线给出确认的信号再进场，多头以收复0.5回踩不破为出发点，防守点就在0.5的下方也就是箱体下沿线68000，空头则等待跌破0.5反弹回不去的情况下再跌，目标就是看到0.618附近。$BTC
Oh... Early in the morning, the breakthrough at 71800 begins to wash the盘!
The direction will soon be revealed. If there is no substantial breakthrough at 71800, it is still regarded as a market sentiment rebound and repair. The bullish momentum is strong, but the bearish pressure is also intense. With the reduction of locked-in profits by bulls and selling pressure, as well as bearish profit-taking, the contest between bulls and bears will become more intense.
At this moment, both sides of the bulls and bears are contesting not only in strength but also in faith. #BTC $BTC
The direction will soon be revealed. If there is no substantial breakthrough at 71800, it is still regarded as a market sentiment rebound and repair. The bullish momentum is strong, but the bearish pressure is also intense. With the reduction of locked-in profits by bulls and selling pressure, as well as bearish profit-taking, the contest between bulls and bears will become more intense.
At this moment, both sides of the bulls and bears are contesting not only in strength but also in faith. #BTC $BTC
This wave of faith recharge has been rubbed into the ground by the dog stock.
BTC, according to my prediction,
this round of the bearish market has temporarily finished,
it's time to enter a rebound and recovery market.
$BTC BTC Next, let's see if BTC can recover to the 75000 level for consolidation.
I still have faith.
I hope this wave of faith in Bitcoin won't let me down.
$BTC
this round of the bearish market has temporarily finished,
it's time to enter a rebound and recovery market.
$BTC BTC Next, let's see if BTC can recover to the 75000 level for consolidation.
I still have faith.
I hope this wave of faith in Bitcoin won't let me down.
$BTC
$BTC 76423
The rebound is not a reversal; it has not broken through 77000, and there is still a trend for a second bottom probe.
Let it move for a while; if it does not break 77000, you can continue to short. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
The rebound is not a reversal; it has not broken through 77000, and there is still a trend for a second bottom probe.
Let it move for a while; if it does not break 77000, you can continue to short. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC 76423
The rebound is not a reversal; it has not broken through 77000, and there is still a trend for a second bottom probe.
Let it move for a while; if it does not break 77000, you can continue to short. $BTC
The rebound is not a reversal; it has not broken through 77000, and there is still a trend for a second bottom probe.
Let it move for a while; if it does not break 77000, you can continue to short. $BTC
$KITE
Kite is the real Bitcoin. With this trend, it was possible to enter the market during normal conditions. Now that it has halved, it is a good time to enter, but the market is not favorable right now. I really miss the time two years ago when I was waiting for new coins to halve before entering; that was a time full of courage and hope. $KITE
Kite is the real Bitcoin. With this trend, it was possible to enter the market during normal conditions. Now that it has halved, it is a good time to enter, but the market is not favorable right now. I really miss the time two years ago when I was waiting for new coins to halve before entering; that was a time full of courage and hope. $KITE
【🚀 Sei Network 2026 New Year Explosion: Institutional-Level "Financial Monster" is Awakening!】
Recently, the overall market has been hard to watch, with Bitcoin and Ethereum continuously dropping, and gold has even surpassed 5000 points! Don't just focus on the old L1s, Sei (
$SEI
) Really went crazy in January 2026! 🔥 If 2025 was just warming up, then now it has directly entered "berserk mode." Of course, $SEI 's performance on the candlestick is still linked to the overall market trend, and from the 4H chart, it has been dropping all the way, typically having narrative but no price, with the price oscillating around value at this moment, appearing so valueless!
Although the price is so hard to see, I still want to briefly summarize this wave of terrifying "all-purpose evolution":
$SEI
) Really went crazy in January 2026! 🔥 If 2025 was just warming up, then now it has directly entered "berserk mode." Of course, $SEI 's performance on the candlestick is still linked to the overall market trend, and from the 4H chart, it has been dropping all the way, typically having narrative but no price, with the price oscillating around value at this moment, appearing so valueless!
Although the price is so hard to see, I still want to briefly summarize this wave of terrifying "all-purpose evolution":
$RIVER 32.088
Dear teachers, the river has risen so much, it's about to unlock, is it going to start falling now?
Dear teachers, the river has risen so much, it's about to unlock, is it going to start falling now?
$ZEN What do all the teachers think about ZEN?
This ZEN洗盘 is really something, constantly washing the price between 8.88 and 9.5, barely pushing above 10 USD then quickly dropping again.
The secret formula's筹码 is concentrated around 12 USD, yet it refuses to pump.
It's still lack of market liquidity, the bulls should at least push it up to around 12 USD.
Old coins aren't doing well either...
This ZEN洗盘 is really something, constantly washing the price between 8.88 and 9.5, barely pushing above 10 USD then quickly dropping again.
The secret formula's筹码 is concentrated around 12 USD, yet it refuses to pump.
It's still lack of market liquidity, the bulls should at least push it up to around 12 USD.
Old coins aren't doing well either...
Dear teachers, $ZEC CEO has been fired.
ZEC has crashed.
Will it break below 300 this time?
ZEC has crashed.
Will it break below 300 this time?
$ZEC 534.16
Dear teachers, can #ZEC be activated now?
Is the target this time 800?
{future}(ZECUSDT)
Dear teachers, can #ZEC be activated now?
Is the target this time 800?
{future}(ZECUSDT)
The ADP Private Sector Employment Report will be released tonight at 21:15 (commonly known as the small non-farm payroll).
Economists predict that the U.S. economy will add 73,000 jobs in December ADP employment, up from 64,000 in November, with the unemployment rate expected to drop from 4.6% to 4.5%. If the published value is greater than the expected value of 4.5%, it will be positive for the U.S. economy and the dollar, and negative for non-U.S. currencies.
ADP employment data is usually not considered a reliable leading indicator. Investors anticipate that the Federal Reserve will cut rates at least twice this year and are watching for more clues from the non-farm payroll data released on Friday.
It's already starting to drop before evening, the dollar index is falling, and $BTC and $ETH are also dropping. Let's check the data tonight!
Economists predict that the U.S. economy will add 73,000 jobs in December ADP employment, up from 64,000 in November, with the unemployment rate expected to drop from 4.6% to 4.5%. If the published value is greater than the expected value of 4.5%, it will be positive for the U.S. economy and the dollar, and negative for non-U.S. currencies.
ADP employment data is usually not considered a reliable leading indicator. Investors anticipate that the Federal Reserve will cut rates at least twice this year and are watching for more clues from the non-farm payroll data released on Friday.
It's already starting to drop before evening, the dollar index is falling, and $BTC and $ETH are also dropping. Let's check the data tonight!
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