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Bitcoin drops below $68000, Ethereum pressured at $1990! Is the February crypto market an opportunity or a trap?
In February 2026, the crypto market experienced severe volatility, with Bitcoin dropping below the key support level of $68000, and Ethereum also facing pressure around $1990. Market sentiment oscillates between fear and hope, influenced by a combination of the Fed's policy shift, ETF fund flows, and Ethereum's technical upgrades, forcing investors to make difficult choices. This article will delve into the core messages of the crypto market in February, analyzing negative and positive signals to guide investors.
1. Negative factors: Three major risks are impacting the market
The Fed's hawkish stance delays interest rate cut expectations
1. Negative factors: Three major risks are impacting the market
The Fed's hawkish stance delays interest rate cut expectations
February 10th 15:00 Bitcoin Ethereum Strategy Analysis
February 10th 15:00 Strategy Analysis Bitcoin Ethereum Daily Line Consolidation Expected to Break Up Bitcoin From the Daily Chart, it has been three consecutive trading days of small Doji K-lines, with prices remaining below the MA10 daily moving average. Short-term attention should be on the breakout direction after consolidation; if it breaks through and stabilizes above the MA10 daily moving average, it is expected to continue the rebound strength and move upwards. Looking at the 4-hour level, the short-term currently shows continuous adjustment with the MA30 daily moving average being revised downwards. The current price remains above this line, while at the 1-hour level, the short-term support is focused on the MA120 daily moving average at 6.9, and the resistance level is focused on the MA256 daily moving average at 7.4. For Ethereum, looking at the daily chart, it has continuously formed three small red K-lines and is maintaining above 2000. Currently, the short-term shows initial stabilization, paying attention to whether it can continue the rebound strength and move upwards. The resistance level focuses on the MA256 daily moving average at 2220 at the 1-hour level, while the support level is simply focused on the short-term 2000 level. In terms of operations, it is advised to respond with a slightly bullish trend during consolidation. BTC: 68000 more, target 71000-73000 above 72500-74000, looking at a 2000 point pullback. ETH: 2000 more, target 2120/2160 above 2180/2250, looking at a 6-100 point daily analysis strategy with a high success rate! Analysis is not easy, I hope everyone can give a free follow.
Plunge of 40%! Did this coin go to zero overnight? Don't panic, this is your best opportunity to earn 100 times...
Introduction:
Last night, while countless people were still asleep, a popular cryptocurrency suddenly plummeted, evaporating 40% of its gains in an instant. The community was in an uproar, with some shouting 'run away' and others despairing and cutting losses—but did you know? Historically, every such 'panic moment' has been a signal for a reshuffling of wealth. This is not a crisis; it's a huge bonus hidden behind the plunge, and most people will never grasp it...
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1. The Truth Behind the Plunge: It's Not a Crash, but a Violent Washout by 'Smart Money'
Data shows that during this plunge, on-chain whale addresses increased their holdings by over $350 million, while 90% of the panic selling was by retail investors. Exchange flow monitoring reveals that a large number of chips are moving from short-term speculators to long-term holders.
Last night, while countless people were still asleep, a popular cryptocurrency suddenly plummeted, evaporating 40% of its gains in an instant. The community was in an uproar, with some shouting 'run away' and others despairing and cutting losses—but did you know? Historically, every such 'panic moment' has been a signal for a reshuffling of wealth. This is not a crisis; it's a huge bonus hidden behind the plunge, and most people will never grasp it...
---
1. The Truth Behind the Plunge: It's Not a Crash, but a Violent Washout by 'Smart Money'
Data shows that during this plunge, on-chain whale addresses increased their holdings by over $350 million, while 90% of the panic selling was by retail investors. Exchange flow monitoring reveals that a large number of chips are moving from short-term speculators to long-term holders.
Cryptocurrency Market Risk Control Guide: How to Protect Your Assets Amidst Volatility
Hello everyone, I am Er Ge. Below I will share my humble opinions on controlling funds. Interested friends, please follow Er Ge for different strategies and experience sharing every day.
The cryptocurrency market has attracted numerous investors with its high volatility and potential for high returns, but it also comes with significant risks. Recently, the cryptocurrency market experienced an unprecedented blow, with the price of Bitcoin plummeting from a high of $82,000 to $60,000, a drop of over 26%; and Ethereum's price falling from a high of $2,600 to $1,700, a decline of over 34%. Panic spread throughout the market, with total liquidations reaching $2.2 billion. In the aftermath of this bloodbath, how can investors effectively control risks to protect their assets? This article will provide risk control advice for investors from multiple perspectives.
The cryptocurrency market has attracted numerous investors with its high volatility and potential for high returns, but it also comes with significant risks. Recently, the cryptocurrency market experienced an unprecedented blow, with the price of Bitcoin plummeting from a high of $82,000 to $60,000, a drop of over 26%; and Ethereum's price falling from a high of $2,600 to $1,700, a decline of over 34%. Panic spread throughout the market, with total liquidations reaching $2.2 billion. In the aftermath of this bloodbath, how can investors effectively control risks to protect their assets? This article will provide risk control advice for investors from multiple perspectives.
Hello everyone, I am Erge. Today's Ethereum short-term strategy
Technical analysis: As of February 6, 2026, Ethereum price fluctuates around $1700, with key support at $1600 and strong support at $1500, while short-term resistance is at $2000. RSI is close to 30, indicating an oversold signal; the MACD indicator, after turning negative, has not yet fallen below the levels seen in mid to late November last year, indicating that there may still be room for adjustment in the short term.
Fundamental analysis: The market expects the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes to maintain interest rates, but the wording may lean hawkish, reinforcing expectations of "long-term high interest rates," which is negative for risk assets. The U.S. non-farm payroll data for January will be released today, with the market expecting an addition of 185,000 jobs. If the data is better than expected, it may further strengthen the Fed's hawkish stance, negatively impacting risk assets.
Operational suggestions:
Long opportunities: If the price pulls back to the $1600-$1650 range and signals such as a significant bullish candle and a rebound in the RSI indicator appear, a small long position can be taken, with a stop loss at $1550 and a target of $1800-$1900.
Short opportunities: If there is a rebound to the $1950-$2000 range and signals such as a significant bearish candle and a decline in the RSI indicator appear, a small short position can be taken, with a stop loss at $2050 and a target of $1750-$1700.
Risk control: Position size should not exceed 10% of the principal, and leverage should be ≤5 times. Strictly set stop losses, with individual losses not exceeding 2% of total funds.
Technical analysis: As of February 6, 2026, Ethereum price fluctuates around $1700, with key support at $1600 and strong support at $1500, while short-term resistance is at $2000. RSI is close to 30, indicating an oversold signal; the MACD indicator, after turning negative, has not yet fallen below the levels seen in mid to late November last year, indicating that there may still be room for adjustment in the short term.
Fundamental analysis: The market expects the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes to maintain interest rates, but the wording may lean hawkish, reinforcing expectations of "long-term high interest rates," which is negative for risk assets. The U.S. non-farm payroll data for January will be released today, with the market expecting an addition of 185,000 jobs. If the data is better than expected, it may further strengthen the Fed's hawkish stance, negatively impacting risk assets.
Operational suggestions:
Long opportunities: If the price pulls back to the $1600-$1650 range and signals such as a significant bullish candle and a rebound in the RSI indicator appear, a small long position can be taken, with a stop loss at $1550 and a target of $1800-$1900.
Short opportunities: If there is a rebound to the $1950-$2000 range and signals such as a significant bearish candle and a decline in the RSI indicator appear, a small short position can be taken, with a stop loss at $2050 and a target of $1750-$1700.
Risk control: Position size should not exceed 10% of the principal, and leverage should be ≤5 times. Strictly set stop losses, with individual losses not exceeding 2% of total funds.
Cryptocurrency market suffers a bloodbath, Bitcoin drops to $60,000, Ethereum drops to $1,700, is it time to buy the dip?
Hello everyone, I am Er Ge. Last night, the cryptocurrency market suffered an unprecedented blow, with the price of Bitcoin plummeting from a high of $82,000 to $60,000, a drop of over 26%; the price of Ethereum fell from a high of $2,600 to $1,700, a drop of over 34%. Panic spread throughout the market, with the total liquidation amount reaching $2.2 billion. After this bloodbath, has the cryptocurrency market hit bottom? Is it time to buy the dip? This article will analyze from three dimensions: technical analysis, fundamentals, and macro environment, to provide references for investors. Interested readers, please follow Er Ge here, thank you all. Now, without further ado, let's get into the topic.
Bitcoin falls below $75,000, Ethereum plummets 20%, is the cryptocurrency market facing its darkest hour?
Hello everyone, I am Er Ge, please click follow if you see this, alright, let's not beat around the bush, Er Ge will analyze the recent market situation with you.
[Introduction]
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has encountered an unprecedented blow, with the price of Bitcoin plummeting from a peak of $82,000 to $75,000, a decrease of over 8%; the price of Ethereum fell from a high of $2,600 to $2,200, a drop of over 15%. Panic sentiment spread throughout the market, with the total liquidation amount reaching $2.2 billion. After this bloodbath, has the cryptocurrency market hit rock bottom? What will be the future trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum? This article will analyze from three dimensions: technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic environments, providing references for investors.
[Introduction]
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has encountered an unprecedented blow, with the price of Bitcoin plummeting from a peak of $82,000 to $75,000, a decrease of over 8%; the price of Ethereum fell from a high of $2,600 to $2,200, a drop of over 15%. Panic sentiment spread throughout the market, with the total liquidation amount reaching $2.2 billion. After this bloodbath, has the cryptocurrency market hit rock bottom? What will be the future trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum? This article will analyze from three dimensions: technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic environments, providing references for investors.
Ethereum Strategy on February 5
Hello everyone, I am Er Ge,
The article was published at 15:30 Beijing time on February 5
Ethereum has been continuously declining recently. Given various news and the government shutdown delaying the release of non-farm payroll data, our overall direction is still bearish at high positions and short-term long at low positions.
Our layout thought this afternoon is to enter long positions lightly between 2065-2080, with a stop loss at 2000
First take profit level around 2185-2205
Second take profit level around 2290-2310
If it rises to around 2300, you can short at 2110 and take half profit, looking to see if it can break below the 2000 mark
Given various news and market conditions, what I want to say is don't blindly catch the bottom. What you think is the bottom is not the bottom; the real bottom is unfathomable. Today's strategy is also to aim for a short-term small rebound while still looking bearish overall.
The article was published at 15:30 Beijing time on February 5
Ethereum has been continuously declining recently. Given various news and the government shutdown delaying the release of non-farm payroll data, our overall direction is still bearish at high positions and short-term long at low positions.
Our layout thought this afternoon is to enter long positions lightly between 2065-2080, with a stop loss at 2000
First take profit level around 2185-2205
Second take profit level around 2290-2310
If it rises to around 2300, you can short at 2110 and take half profit, looking to see if it can break below the 2000 mark
Given various news and market conditions, what I want to say is don't blindly catch the bottom. What you think is the bottom is not the bottom; the real bottom is unfathomable. Today's strategy is also to aim for a short-term small rebound while still looking bearish overall.
#小非农数据不及预期 Ethereum short-term trend
As of February 5, 2026, the support situation in the chip concentration area below 2100 is at
2000-2070 USD (strong short-term support) Chip scale: approximately 4.2 million pieces, accounting for
5.3% of circulation. After the sharp drop in January-February 2026, the concentrated turnover area, the low point on February 2 is 2163, and the low point on the 5th is 2075; Causes: psychological integer threshold + weekly technical level + concentrated area of contract liquidation, funds are concentrated around 2000-2050 for hanging orders, short-term stop-loss and bottom-fishing orders resonate; Key: a significant drop below 2070 may accelerate the decline towards the 2000 integer
threshold. Additionally, it should be noted that the previous weekly level formed strong support rebounds multiple times above 2000 and 2050,
currently close to this position, pay attention to the breaking situation at 2000. The support situation in the chip concentration area below Bitcoin is at 68000-70000 (strong support during deep
pullback) Chip scale: approximately 2.1 million pieces, accounting for 1.10% of circulation, 2025
fluctuation and washing area, long-term holders (LTH) concentrated positions. Causes: historical
trading concentration area + whale lock-up area, liquidity center during deep pullbacks, non-extreme emotions are difficult to break effectively. Key: If the volume stops falling in this range, it is likely to trigger a technical rebound, targeting around 84000. Additionally, it should be noted that around 69000 is
an important turning point for tops and bottoms as the high point position for a long time before 2024,
with the area from 69500 to 70000 serving as the support for the previous weekly level's实体k线. This position acts as an important short-term support; if it does not break, it can be used as a medium to long-term trend for phased layout.
As of February 5, 2026, the support situation in the chip concentration area below 2100 is at
2000-2070 USD (strong short-term support) Chip scale: approximately 4.2 million pieces, accounting for
5.3% of circulation. After the sharp drop in January-February 2026, the concentrated turnover area, the low point on February 2 is 2163, and the low point on the 5th is 2075; Causes: psychological integer threshold + weekly technical level + concentrated area of contract liquidation, funds are concentrated around 2000-2050 for hanging orders, short-term stop-loss and bottom-fishing orders resonate; Key: a significant drop below 2070 may accelerate the decline towards the 2000 integer
threshold. Additionally, it should be noted that the previous weekly level formed strong support rebounds multiple times above 2000 and 2050,
currently close to this position, pay attention to the breaking situation at 2000. The support situation in the chip concentration area below Bitcoin is at 68000-70000 (strong support during deep
pullback) Chip scale: approximately 2.1 million pieces, accounting for 1.10% of circulation, 2025
fluctuation and washing area, long-term holders (LTH) concentrated positions. Causes: historical
trading concentration area + whale lock-up area, liquidity center during deep pullbacks, non-extreme emotions are difficult to break effectively. Key: If the volume stops falling in this range, it is likely to trigger a technical rebound, targeting around 84000. Additionally, it should be noted that around 69000 is
an important turning point for tops and bottoms as the high point position for a long time before 2024,
with the area from 69500 to 70000 serving as the support for the previous weekly level's实体k线. This position acts as an important short-term support; if it does not break, it can be used as a medium to long-term trend for phased layout.
Delay in Non-Farm Data Release, What Changes Will the Market Experience?
1. Current Macroeconomic Background and Sudden Variables
Delay in Non-Farm Data Release: The January non-farm employment report, originally scheduled for release on February 6, has been postponed due to the U.S. government shutdown. The market expects an increase of 55,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate remaining at 4.4%. The reason for the delay is a deadlock in Congress over immigration enforcement issues, which has prevented the Bureau of Labor Statistics from functioning normally.
Market Sentiment and Risk Preference: Recently, the cryptocurrency market has experienced a significant pullback, with Ethereum dropping nearly 4% in the early hours of February 4, falling below $2260. In the past 24 hours, over $700 million in contracts across the entire network were liquidated, with 169,800 investors being forcibly liquidated, among which the highest liquidation amount for ETH reached $8.4 million.
Delay in Non-Farm Data Release: The January non-farm employment report, originally scheduled for release on February 6, has been postponed due to the U.S. government shutdown. The market expects an increase of 55,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate remaining at 4.4%. The reason for the delay is a deadlock in Congress over immigration enforcement issues, which has prevented the Bureau of Labor Statistics from functioning normally.
Market Sentiment and Risk Preference: Recently, the cryptocurrency market has experienced a significant pullback, with Ethereum dropping nearly 4% in the early hours of February 4, falling below $2260. In the past 24 hours, over $700 million in contracts across the entire network were liquidated, with 169,800 investors being forcibly liquidated, among which the highest liquidation amount for ETH reached $8.4 million.
Market Panic and Accelerated Downside Risk Analysis After Ethereum Breaks Below $2100
1. Technical Analysis: The key support level of $2100
Importance of the support level: $2100 is a significant support level for Ethereum, as it is the low point from June 2025 and also the low point from November 2025, having been tested multiple times without breaking. If Ethereum falls below $2100, it will break this important support level, triggering panic in the market.
Impact of technical patterns: The daily chart of Ethereum shows consecutive large bearish candles, with an entity strength exceeding 2%, forming a waterfall-like breakdown pattern. The 21-week EMA has fallen below the 50-week EMA, forming a death cross technical pattern. If it breaks below $2100, it may further drop to $2000 or even lower.
Importance of the support level: $2100 is a significant support level for Ethereum, as it is the low point from June 2025 and also the low point from November 2025, having been tested multiple times without breaking. If Ethereum falls below $2100, it will break this important support level, triggering panic in the market.
Impact of technical patterns: The daily chart of Ethereum shows consecutive large bearish candles, with an entity strength exceeding 2%, forming a waterfall-like breakdown pattern. The 21-week EMA has fallen below the 50-week EMA, forming a death cross technical pattern. If it breaks below $2100, it may further drop to $2000 or even lower.
#Strategy增持比特币 Strategy Bitcoin Accumulation News Analysis
Strategy recently announced its plan to increase its Bitcoin holdings, with an investment amount of approximately $1 billion, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to about $5 billion.
Introduction to Strategy: Strategy is a globally renowned asset management company with over $1 trillion in assets under management, primarily investing in stocks, bonds, real estate, alternative assets, and other fields.
Market Reaction: Following the announcement, the price of Bitcoin rose by about 3%, and market sentiment improved somewhat.
Analysis of Accumulation Reasons
Asset Allocation Needs: Bitcoin, as an alternative asset, offers functions such as diversifying investment risks, hedging against inflation, and maintaining value appreciation. Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may aim to optimize asset allocation, enhance the diversity and stability of the investment portfolio.
Long-term Investment Value: Bitcoin, often referred to as digital gold, possesses characteristics such as scarcity, decentralization, and immutability, revealing its long-term investment value. Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may be aimed at positioning for the future and sharing in the long-term growth dividends of Bitcoin.
Institutional Recognition: An increasing number of institutional investors are beginning to recognize the investment value of Bitcoin and are entering the Bitcoin market. Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may be to keep up with market trends and avoid missing investment opportunities.
Improved Policy Environment: Regulatory policies for Bitcoin in various countries around the world are gradually becoming clearer, providing convenience for institutional investors to enter the Bitcoin market. Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may be to take advantage of the improved policy environment and expand its Bitcoin investment scale.
Market Impact Analysis
Price Impact: Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may drive Bitcoin prices up, especially during periods of low market sentiment, as institutional accumulation may help stabilize the market.
Sentiment Impact: As a globally recognized asset management company, news of Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may improve market sentiment and enhance investor confidence in Bitcoin.
Institutional Impact: Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may trigger a following response from other institutional investors, further pushing funds into the Bitcoin market.
Regulatory Impact: Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may attract the attention of regulatory agencies, leading to increased oversight of the Bitcoin market.
Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin is a significant market signal, indicating that institutional investors increasingly recognize the investment value of Bitcoin.
Strategy recently announced its plan to increase its Bitcoin holdings, with an investment amount of approximately $1 billion, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to about $5 billion.
Introduction to Strategy: Strategy is a globally renowned asset management company with over $1 trillion in assets under management, primarily investing in stocks, bonds, real estate, alternative assets, and other fields.
Market Reaction: Following the announcement, the price of Bitcoin rose by about 3%, and market sentiment improved somewhat.
Analysis of Accumulation Reasons
Asset Allocation Needs: Bitcoin, as an alternative asset, offers functions such as diversifying investment risks, hedging against inflation, and maintaining value appreciation. Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may aim to optimize asset allocation, enhance the diversity and stability of the investment portfolio.
Long-term Investment Value: Bitcoin, often referred to as digital gold, possesses characteristics such as scarcity, decentralization, and immutability, revealing its long-term investment value. Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may be aimed at positioning for the future and sharing in the long-term growth dividends of Bitcoin.
Institutional Recognition: An increasing number of institutional investors are beginning to recognize the investment value of Bitcoin and are entering the Bitcoin market. Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may be to keep up with market trends and avoid missing investment opportunities.
Improved Policy Environment: Regulatory policies for Bitcoin in various countries around the world are gradually becoming clearer, providing convenience for institutional investors to enter the Bitcoin market. Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may be to take advantage of the improved policy environment and expand its Bitcoin investment scale.
Market Impact Analysis
Price Impact: Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may drive Bitcoin prices up, especially during periods of low market sentiment, as institutional accumulation may help stabilize the market.
Sentiment Impact: As a globally recognized asset management company, news of Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may improve market sentiment and enhance investor confidence in Bitcoin.
Institutional Impact: Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may trigger a following response from other institutional investors, further pushing funds into the Bitcoin market.
Regulatory Impact: Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin may attract the attention of regulatory agencies, leading to increased oversight of the Bitcoin market.
Strategy's accumulation of Bitcoin is a significant market signal, indicating that institutional investors increasingly recognize the investment value of Bitcoin.
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Is it time to buy the dip after Ethereum's 40% drop?
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has experienced severe volatility, with the price of Ethereum plummeting from a high of $3800 to $2300, a decline of over 40%. Panic sentiment is spreading across the market, with a total liquidation amount of up to $2.2 billion. After this bloodbath, has Ethereum already hit the bottom? Is it time to buy the dip? This article will analyze the situation from three perspectives: technical analysis, fundamentals, and macro environment, to provide references for investors.
1. Technical Analysis: Oversold signals are emerging, and a short-term rebound is to be expected.
Price Trend: The daily chart of Ethereum shows a series of consecutive large bearish candles, with an entity strength exceeding 2%, forming a waterfall breakdown pattern. The 21-week EMA has fallen below the 50-week EMA, creating a death cross technical pattern. The key support level is at $2100, with strong support at $2000, and short-term resistance at $2600.
1. Technical Analysis: Oversold signals are emerging, and a short-term rebound is to be expected.
Price Trend: The daily chart of Ethereum shows a series of consecutive large bearish candles, with an entity strength exceeding 2%, forming a waterfall breakdown pattern. The 21-week EMA has fallen below the 50-week EMA, creating a death cross technical pattern. The key support level is at $2100, with strong support at $2000, and short-term resistance at $2600.
Is it time to buy the dip after Ethereum's 40% drop?
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has experienced severe volatility, with the price of Ethereum plummeting from a high of $3800 to $2300, a decline of over 40%. Panic sentiment is spreading across the market, with a total liquidation amount of up to $2.2 billion. After this bloodbath, has Ethereum already hit the bottom? Is it time to buy the dip? This article will analyze the situation from three perspectives: technical analysis, fundamentals, and macro environment, to provide references for investors.
1. Technical Analysis: Oversold signals are emerging, and a short-term rebound is to be expected.
Price Trend: The daily chart of Ethereum shows a series of consecutive large bearish candles, with an entity strength exceeding 2%, forming a waterfall breakdown pattern. The 21-week EMA has fallen below the 50-week EMA, creating a death cross technical pattern. The key support level is at $2100, with strong support at $2000, and short-term resistance at $2600.
1. Technical Analysis: Oversold signals are emerging, and a short-term rebound is to be expected.
Price Trend: The daily chart of Ethereum shows a series of consecutive large bearish candles, with an entity strength exceeding 2%, forming a waterfall breakdown pattern. The 21-week EMA has fallen below the 50-week EMA, creating a death cross technical pattern. The key support level is at $2100, with strong support at $2000, and short-term resistance at $2600.
ETH Analysis
Macroeconomic Market Background Review
Sudden Shift in Federal Reserve Policy Signals
According to the latest Federal Reserve policy statement and Powell's speech, market expectations have fundamentally changed:
Pause in the Rate Cut Cycle: The Federal Reserve announced at the January 28 meeting to maintain interest rates at 3.5%-3.75%, ending a series of three consecutive rate cuts since September 2025
Hawkish Statement: Powell emphasizes that current interest rates are at the "upper end of the neutral range", and the pace of inflation decline is slower than expected, with the first rate cut potentially delayed until June 2026
Policy Divergence: There are significant differences within the Federal Reserve, with Governors Milan and Waller casting dissenting votes, advocating for a continued rate cut of 25 basis points
Sudden Shift in Federal Reserve Policy Signals
According to the latest Federal Reserve policy statement and Powell's speech, market expectations have fundamentally changed:
Pause in the Rate Cut Cycle: The Federal Reserve announced at the January 28 meeting to maintain interest rates at 3.5%-3.75%, ending a series of three consecutive rate cuts since September 2025
Hawkish Statement: Powell emphasizes that current interest rates are at the "upper end of the neutral range", and the pace of inflation decline is slower than expected, with the first rate cut potentially delayed until June 2026
Policy Divergence: There are significant differences within the Federal Reserve, with Governors Milan and Waller casting dissenting votes, advocating for a continued rate cut of 25 basis points
January 22, 23:00 Thought Sharing
From the four-hour Ethereum price
Trend analysis, the K-line daily level shows that the recent price quickly dropped from 3188.01
to 2987.7, forming a series of bearish candles followed by a slight rebound, overall presenting a weak oscillation pattern. In the 4-hour level, after the previous sharp decline, it found support near 2864.29
and rebounded, but there is significant selling pressure in the 3030-3050 area above, currently in a high-level correction phase. MACD 4-hour level DIF and DEA are both negative, and
MACD histogram has turned from green to red, indicating that bearish forces still dominate in the short term. RS114
hovers around 37, not entering the oversold zone but close to the low, showing weak market sentiment.
Evening ETH Strategy
Long positions around 2905-2920, with a stop loss at 2860-2880
Take profit at 2965-2980-3000
Short positions around 3010-3000, with a stop loss at 3030-3050
Take profit at 2970-2935-2905
From the four-hour Ethereum price
Trend analysis, the K-line daily level shows that the recent price quickly dropped from 3188.01
to 2987.7, forming a series of bearish candles followed by a slight rebound, overall presenting a weak oscillation pattern. In the 4-hour level, after the previous sharp decline, it found support near 2864.29
and rebounded, but there is significant selling pressure in the 3030-3050 area above, currently in a high-level correction phase. MACD 4-hour level DIF and DEA are both negative, and
MACD histogram has turned from green to red, indicating that bearish forces still dominate in the short term. RS114
hovers around 37, not entering the oversold zone but close to the low, showing weak market sentiment.
Evening ETH Strategy
Long positions around 2905-2920, with a stop loss at 2860-2880
Take profit at 2965-2980-3000
Short positions around 3010-3000, with a stop loss at 3030-3050
Take profit at 2970-2935-2905
Yesterday's thoughts captured both long and short positions
In yesterday's post, precise points were provided, and congratulations to those who followed along, capturing nearly 200 points of space. Daily strategies are not meant for hindsight; the previous post was published on January 21 at 18:13, with the strategy thoughts entering the market at 19:45 on January 21 and ending at 00:30 on January 22. Once again, congratulations to the students who followed the thoughts, as the previous text provided precise points in advance for you to check on the homepage. Strategies are released irregularly every day; as the market changes, strategies have timeliness. Friends who want to follow in real-time can like and comment 1.
In yesterday's post, precise points were provided, and congratulations to those who followed along, capturing nearly 200 points of space. Daily strategies are not meant for hindsight; the previous post was published on January 21 at 18:13, with the strategy thoughts entering the market at 19:45 on January 21 and ending at 00:30 on January 22. Once again, congratulations to the students who followed the thoughts, as the previous text provided precise points in advance for you to check on the homepage. Strategies are released irregularly every day; as the market changes, strategies have timeliness. Friends who want to follow in real-time can like and comment 1.
Follow me for real-time sharing strategies and insights in the comments section
Yesterday's Strategy: Long and Short Both Profitable
In yesterday's post, precise points were given, congratulations to the students who followed along and captured nearly 200 points in both long and short positions. The daily strategy does not engage in hindsight. The previous post was published on January 21 at 18:13, and the strategy was initiated at 19:45 on January 21, ending at 00:30 on January 22. Congratulations again to the students who followed the strategy; previous posts have provided precise points in advance, which can be checked on the homepage. Strategies are released irregularly each day, and as the market changes, strategies have a time sensitivity. Friends who want to follow in real-time can click to follow and comment 1.
Yesterday's Strategy: Long and Short Both Profitable
In yesterday's post, precise points were given, congratulations to the students who followed along and captured nearly 200 points in both long and short positions. The daily strategy does not engage in hindsight. The previous post was published on January 21 at 18:13, and the strategy was initiated at 19:45 on January 21, ending at 00:30 on January 22. Congratulations again to the students who followed the strategy; previous posts have provided precise points in advance, which can be checked on the homepage. Strategies are released irregularly each day, and as the market changes, strategies have a time sensitivity. Friends who want to follow in real-time can click to follow and comment 1.
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