Bnbguy

🚨💭Precious Metals (February 7, 1:30 AM)
• International Gold: London gold quoted at $4942.64/ounce, with a daily increase of $240.01, showing significant volatility at a high level in the short term, with core support at $4650 and resistance at $4980-5000.
• International Silver: London silver quoted at $76.63/ounce, up $9.488, supported by industrial demand and low inventory, with significant volatility.
• Domestic Silver T+D: Quoted at 18390 yuan/kg, up 261 yuan from the previous day, with a fluctuation range of 17829-18848 yuan/kg.
• Core Drivers: Federal Reserve policy expectations, geopolitical situation, central bank purchases of gold continue to provide support; short-term vigilance is needed for high-level volatility risks, with a clear medium to long-term positive logic.
II. Cryptocurrency (February 7, 0:00)
• Bitcoin: Recovery trend, strong support at $64,000, first resistance at $68,000, second resistance at $72,000.
• Key Signals: The total network liquidation is below $5 million/hour, selling pressure is weakening; BTC spot ETF net inflow exceeds $100 million, institutions are bottom fishing; the Fear and Greed Index rises from 10 to 20, with sentiment recovering.
• Operation Tips: If it stabilizes above $68,000 with increased volume and the funding rate turns positive, you can try to go long with a small position; if it falls below $64,000 with reduced volume and a forced liquidation recovery, then observe or reduce positions.
III. A-shares (closing on February 6)
• Shanghai Composite Index: Closed at 4065.58, down 0.25%, with a transaction volume of 898.655 billion, the day's lowest was 4029.97, and the highest was 4095.03.
• CSI 300: Closed at 4,643.60, down 0.57%, with a transaction volume of 505.760 billion, lowest at 4,606.64, highest at 4,678.26.
• Shenzhen Component Index: Closed at 13,906.73, down 0.33%, with a transaction volume of 1,247.064 billion, lowest at 13,726.86, highest at 14,065.78.
• Core Characteristics: A slight pullback for two consecutive days, transaction volume has shrunk, market observation sentiment is rising, and short-term attention should be given to the effectiveness of previous support levels.
IV. Other Markets
• Non-ferrous: Shanghai tin main contract price at 366,710, with a rise of 1.03% within 26 minutes, showing market volatility.
• Live Pigs: The national average price for three-way live pigs is ¥15.07 per kg, down ¥0.43 per kg from the previous day, setting a new low in nearly nine months, showing a general decline.
V. Key Points of Market Analysis
1. Volume-Price Matching: An increase requires more volume, a decrease should have reduced volume; divergence between volume and price often signals a trend reversal.
2. Key Price Levels: Pay attention to support levels (such as $4,650 for gold and $64,000 for Bitcoin) and resistance levels (such as $4,980-$5,000 for gold and $68,000 for Bitcoin); a breakout or breakdown accompanied by increased volume signals is stronger.
3. Capital Flow: Net inflow/outflow of main funds, changes in ETF funds, etc., reflect institutional attitudes and market heat.
4. Sentiment Indicators: Fear and Greed Index, USDT premium, etc., to assist in judging market sentiment and the strength of external buying.
VI. Operation Suggestions
• Precious Metals: Those with low risk tolerance should observe, while medium to long-term investors can gradually build positions at lower prices, setting strict stop losses (international gold reference $4,600, Shanghai gold reference ¥1,080 per gram).
• Cryptocurrency: In the early stages of a rebound, positions should not exceed 30%, long position stop loss at $63,500, short position stop loss at $72,500, and strictly control leverage risk.
• A-shares: Mainly observing in the short term, waiting for stabilization signals, and focusing on opportunities for pullbacks in undervalued high-prosperity sectors

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