↗️ The price of S showed a strong upward movement, during which it formed a 2-hour FVG zone in the range of $0.04080 - $0.04320. If the price holds this zone during the correction, the upward movement will continue to the previous high of $0.05490.
US CEO Says Bitcoin (BTC) is “Exactly Where It Should Be!” Shares His Bottom Price Prediction!
The US CEO stated that Bitcoin is tracking its four-year halving cycle and that the price could pull back to levels around $40,000.
Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins have experienced sharp declines since October. While the BTC price has fallen to $60,000, losses are also growing in altcoins.
While there is no clear prediction about the market’s direction, some analysts argue that the bottom may have been reached at $60,000. Conversely, others suggest that the bottom hasn’t been reached and that further declines are possible.
Bitcoin Hasn’t Bottomed Out Yet!
According to Coindesk, Transform Ventures CEO Michael Terpin states that Bitcoin is following its four-year halving cycle and the price could pull back to the $40,000 level.
Speaking at the Consensus Hong Kong 2026 Conference, Michael Terpin stated that Bitcoin is following almost exactly the same historical halving cycle and patterns.
“According to Bitcoin’s halving cycle, we are exactly where we need to be.”
According to Terpin, the peak of the Bitcoin bull market will come in the fourth quarter of 2025, consistent with previous cycles.
The renowned figure, noting that the decline experienced after October is consistent with historical cycle patterns, believes there is still a way to go before the bottom.
“I think people believe that the bottom for Bitcoin will be at $80,000 and that this will only be a six-week bear market. But that seems ridiculous to me.”
Terpin even noted that predictions that Bitcoin would bottom out at $60,000 and immediately resume its rise were premature, saying, “That seems a bit early.”
Terpin did not offer a clear prediction on how long the bear market would last. At this point, he avoided predicting a year-long decline, stating that the market could face another pain point.
In this context, he argues that Bitcoin could fall to levels as low as $50,000 or even $40,000 before a bear market bottom is formed.
The visual of the Federal Reserve Chair scrutinizing a "miss" in jobless claims—227k actual vs 222k expected—encapsulates the market's obsession with bad news.
In this liquidity regime, a weakening labor market is paradoxically celebrated by risk assets, as it forces the central bank to abandon tightness and return to easing.
I do not worry about the health of the economy; I focus on the reaction function of the entity that controls the money supply.
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BlackRock just walked into DeFi. The world's largest asset manager ($14T AUM) is listing its $2.2B tokenized Treasury fund BUIDL on Uniswap.
Whitelisted institutions can now trade government bonds 24/7 via smart contracts, settled on Ethereum. And BlackRock didn't just list the product - they bought UNI tokens too. Market noticed. UNI spiked 40%.
This is BlackRock putting real money into a DeFi protocol while BTC sits at $67K. Their 2026 outlook calls Ethereum "the toll road of tokenization." Whether you like it or not, TradFi is building on-chain. The question is whether prices catch up to infrastructure.
Cryptocurrencies have become a matter of luck, not research and analysis.
Investing in cryptocurrencies, and you just get lucky and achieve your dream of wealth?
It's not entirely about analysis.
Yes… there's luck involved.
Let me tell you about myself.
I'm one of those people who:
– Caught the 2021 peak – Caught the 2022 pyromarket – Caught the 16,000 bottom – Was the first to talk about the AI sector at the end of 2022 as an upcoming trend
I analyzed, I worked hard, I studied, and I chose projects based on conviction.
I chose cryptocurrencies at the bottom, and they only rose 3-4 times.
And I entered by chance, without even knowing which cryptocurrency it was, just by luck… I swear to God, by luck, and it rose more than 40 times.
And I left a cryptocurrency I had chosen correctly because of a specific problem… and then it rose 100 times.
What's the lesson?
You can:
– Catch the peaks – Catch the troughs – Predict the trend correctly – Study, work hard, and get tired
And in the end… the result isn't always in your hands
Bitcoin?
Yes, analysis and experience are everything
But what about cryptocurrencies?
You can work and narrow the odds in your favor, but ultimately there's an element of luck, divine favor, and a predetermined destiny in this market.
If I wanted likes and engagement, I wouldn't have talked about this.
But it's my duty to tell you the truth:
Don't let anyone convince you they're a genius just because they made a profit with a single cryptocurrency, and don't believe anyone who pretends to hold the keys to the market.
This market involves science… and risk… and luck…
The important thing is to be aware before you enter and to understand the market correctly.
After all the Bitcoin halving, there was a strong rise in altcoins, as shown in the image.
✅ However, after Bitcoin's halving in 2024, the opposite occurred: a sharp decline in altcoins, and currently their market share is only 7%.
✅ The dump candle and the drop that occurred in October touched a strong support level and bounced back. If altcoin share rises above 8.3%, it will be the beginning of a positive trend.
Bitcoin's latest recovery lacks momentum as perpetual futures open interest remains 51% below its October peak, signaling a significant retreat in trader conviction and leverage.
JPMorgan is growing more optimistic on crypto in 2026, even as the market struggles to recover from the Oct. 10 crash.
Total digital asset market cap has dropped from $3.1T a month ago to $2.3T today, an $800B decline.
JPMorgan bullish in 2026 while we’re down from $31T to $23T in 30 days - that’s REAL NEED for a recovery - liquidity is tight - OI is shaky and sentiment is mixed - are they seeing something we don’t or just hedging bets? - keep your eyes on key resistance at $25T for any trends.
Bitcoin remains on the defensive within the $60,000–$72,000 range, with overbought conditions limiting any strong rebound.
Current signs of pressure: • Continued outflows from safes/funds • Reactive, non-proactive spot volumes (buying only on dips) • A clear slowdown in futures activity
Bottom line: Demand is there… but it’s shallow.
Any rally will be met with selling pressure from the oversupply.
The market needs genuine structural demand to break out of this range, otherwise it will remain sideways under pressure.
It came lower than expected which means the labor market is slightly improving.
This will lessen the odds of rate cuts in 2026.
4.3% beating expectations is a quiet win, jobs staying strong under President Trump. Fed probably gets less room to cut, inflation vigilance matters.$BNB $BTC $ETH
silver just ripped past $85, that’s a solid move today. i’ve been watching this quietly, felt like a setup for a pop. momentum like this usually flushes weak hands fast, holds those ready. if you’re in, patience pays, don’t get shaken by short-term spikes. metals are reminding everyone why they still matter, not just paper bets.