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Understanding Bitcoin's Long Term Cycle
If you study $BTC monthly chart closely, you will notice one pattern That keeps repeating itself after every major bull run and new all time high, Bitcoin experiences a deep correction
Not a small pullback but a serious retracement , Usually more than 50%, Sometimes even 70 to 80%
Many people panic during these periods
They think the market is dead and Bitcoin is finished but history shows something different
These deep retracements are part of Bitcoin’s natural cycle
Now Let’s break it down
🔹The First Major Cycle🔹
2017 to 2018
In 2017, $BTC ran up to around $19k.
That was the biggest hype phase at the time
Everyone was talking about crypto,New investors were rushing in...Greed was high
Then came the crash$
From $19k, Bitcoin dropped by about 86% , It went all the way down to around $3k
Many people sold at a loss and quit crypto completely But that was not the end
It was just a reset
After that long consolidation, Bitcoin slowly started building strength again
🔹The Second Major Cycle🔹
2020 to 2022
After accumulating for years, Bitcoin broke out again…This time, it reached around $68k in 2021
Another all time high, wave of hype and round of new investors
Then history repeated itself
Bitcoin dropped by about 80% From 68k to around $15k.
Once again, people said crypto was over, fear dominated the market.
But smart money kept accumulating quietly.
🔹The Current Cycle🔹
2024 to 2026
Bitcoin recently pushed towards a new high around $126k on the chart
This fits the same pattern
Strong bull run, High excitement, High confidence, Many people expecting only upside
Then comes the correction
The chart shows a possible retracement of around 76% Which would bring price back to the 50k to 60k zone
This is not abnormal, It is consistent with past cycles
It is how Bitcoin resets before the next expansion
🔹 Possible Future Outlook 🔹
Based on past behavior, this is what the chart suggests
If Bitcoin completes another deep retracement and holds major support zones, it may enter a new accumulation phase
During this phase, price may move sideways for months
Many will lose interest
Then quietly, momentum will build again
When conditions are right another breakout will happen And another all time high will be formed
Not because of hype but because of long term adoption scarcity and growing institutional interest
🔹Here is my Final Thoughts🔹
Bitcoin does not move in straight lines , It moves in waves.
Up , Down, Sideways , Then up again.
Every major crash in Bitcoin’s history has looked like the end.
Every time, it turned out to be a new beginning.
The monthly chart is a reminder.
If you understand the cycle, you stop panicking , chasing pumps rather you start thinking long term
In crypto, patience is a strategy
Where do you think #bitcoin is heading next?
If you find this article interesting, give me a follow for more market insights
Don’t forget to like and repost for others
Not a small pullback but a serious retracement , Usually more than 50%, Sometimes even 70 to 80%
Many people panic during these periods
They think the market is dead and Bitcoin is finished but history shows something different
These deep retracements are part of Bitcoin’s natural cycle
Now Let’s break it down
🔹The First Major Cycle🔹
2017 to 2018
In 2017, $BTC ran up to around $19k.
That was the biggest hype phase at the time
Everyone was talking about crypto,New investors were rushing in...Greed was high
Then came the crash$
From $19k, Bitcoin dropped by about 86% , It went all the way down to around $3k
Many people sold at a loss and quit crypto completely But that was not the end
It was just a reset
After that long consolidation, Bitcoin slowly started building strength again
🔹The Second Major Cycle🔹
2020 to 2022
After accumulating for years, Bitcoin broke out again…This time, it reached around $68k in 2021
Another all time high, wave of hype and round of new investors
Then history repeated itself
Bitcoin dropped by about 80% From 68k to around $15k.
Once again, people said crypto was over, fear dominated the market.
But smart money kept accumulating quietly.
🔹The Current Cycle🔹
2024 to 2026
Bitcoin recently pushed towards a new high around $126k on the chart
This fits the same pattern
Strong bull run, High excitement, High confidence, Many people expecting only upside
Then comes the correction
The chart shows a possible retracement of around 76% Which would bring price back to the 50k to 60k zone
This is not abnormal, It is consistent with past cycles
It is how Bitcoin resets before the next expansion
🔹 Possible Future Outlook 🔹
Based on past behavior, this is what the chart suggests
If Bitcoin completes another deep retracement and holds major support zones, it may enter a new accumulation phase
During this phase, price may move sideways for months
Many will lose interest
Then quietly, momentum will build again
When conditions are right another breakout will happen And another all time high will be formed
Not because of hype but because of long term adoption scarcity and growing institutional interest
🔹Here is my Final Thoughts🔹
Bitcoin does not move in straight lines , It moves in waves.
Up , Down, Sideways , Then up again.
Every major crash in Bitcoin’s history has looked like the end.
Every time, it turned out to be a new beginning.
The monthly chart is a reminder.
If you understand the cycle, you stop panicking , chasing pumps rather you start thinking long term
In crypto, patience is a strategy
Where do you think #bitcoin is heading next?
If you find this article interesting, give me a follow for more market insights
Don’t forget to like and repost for others
Coinbase is down
users can't buy, sell or withdraw right now
This hits at a rough time for crypto, with $BTC already dipping amid market jitters
Could spark panic sells on other platforms, adding volatility and Reinforces the push for self-custodian wallets and DEXes, highlighting CEX risks.
Stay updated via official channels
Source: status.coinbase.com
#CryptoNewss
users can't buy, sell or withdraw right now
This hits at a rough time for crypto, with $BTC already dipping amid market jitters
Could spark panic sells on other platforms, adding volatility and Reinforces the push for self-custodian wallets and DEXes, highlighting CEX risks.
Stay updated via official channels
Source: status.coinbase.com
#CryptoNewss
Gold and silver just wiped out $1.4 trillion in about 20 minutes 😮
Today’s big economic news crashed markets.
Stronger than expected data on the jobs front and signs the Fed might stay hawkish pushed traders out of safe haven assets like gold and silver.
I have a different bias here
When confidence in the economy rises, money moves from gold into riskier assets like stocks and crypto.
In the short term $XAU dumped because traders took profits and might start rotating into growth markets.
But here’s the interesting part for crypto…
When traditional markets show strength, investors feel more comfortable taking on risk.
That means more capital could flow into Bitcoin and #Altcoins! soon 🤔
Over time, this strengthens the “store of value” narrative for $BTC
Because its Scarcity , Global and Decentralized
So while gold and silver gets hit
crypto could benefit from renewed demand 🤷🏻
Today’s big economic news crashed markets.
Stronger than expected data on the jobs front and signs the Fed might stay hawkish pushed traders out of safe haven assets like gold and silver.
I have a different bias here
When confidence in the economy rises, money moves from gold into riskier assets like stocks and crypto.
In the short term $XAU dumped because traders took profits and might start rotating into growth markets.
But here’s the interesting part for crypto…
When traditional markets show strength, investors feel more comfortable taking on risk.
That means more capital could flow into Bitcoin and #Altcoins! soon 🤔
Over time, this strengthens the “store of value” narrative for $BTC
Because its Scarcity , Global and Decentralized
So while gold and silver gets hit
crypto could benefit from renewed demand 🤷🏻
JUST IN: SEC Chair Paul Atkins says the US is now the “crypto capital of the world” with transparency and innovation leading the way.
This is bigger than many people think.
When regulators start speaking positively about crypto $BTC , it changes everything.
It brings clarity, TRUST, transparency, reduces fear and gives institutions confidence to enter.
More clear rules = more big money flow
More big money flow = stronger market ⬆️ 📉
This opens doors for ETFs, Web3 startups, buildersand long term investors.
It also means fewer shutdowns, Sanctions, and more legit projects.
my Long term view >
Crypto becomes more trusted, more adopted by the masses and more valuable.
This is how industries mature
m feeling Bullish and will be here to witness greatness 💫
#Bitcoin❗
This is bigger than many people think.
When regulators start speaking positively about crypto $BTC , it changes everything.
It brings clarity, TRUST, transparency, reduces fear and gives institutions confidence to enter.
More clear rules = more big money flow
More big money flow = stronger market ⬆️ 📉
This opens doors for ETFs, Web3 startups, buildersand long term investors.
It also means fewer shutdowns, Sanctions, and more legit projects.
my Long term view >
Crypto becomes more trusted, more adopted by the masses and more valuable.
This is how industries mature
m feeling Bullish and will be here to witness greatness 💫
#Bitcoin❗
🚨 BREAKING:
🇺🇸 FED JUST RELEASED INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:
Fed jobless claims came in higher than expected.
Expected: 222k
Actual: 227k
That means more people are filing for unemployment.
More job losses = weaker economy.
When the economy slows, investors get nervous and Risk assets like stocks and crypto $BTC usually feel it first
In the short term, this can bring pressure on $BTC , People move money into cash and safer assets
But there’s another side.
Weak jobs data increases the chance of rate cuts
Lower interest rates = more liquidity.
More liquidity = good for Bitcoin long term.
So short term Volatility and fear.
Long term Potential fuel for the next move up , This is why macro matters in crypto.
What do you think?
Bearish now or bullish later 👇
🇺🇸 FED JUST RELEASED INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:
Fed jobless claims came in higher than expected.
Expected: 222k
Actual: 227k
That means more people are filing for unemployment.
More job losses = weaker economy.
When the economy slows, investors get nervous and Risk assets like stocks and crypto $BTC usually feel it first
In the short term, this can bring pressure on $BTC , People move money into cash and safer assets
But there’s another side.
Weak jobs data increases the chance of rate cuts
Lower interest rates = more liquidity.
More liquidity = good for Bitcoin long term.
So short term Volatility and fear.
Long term Potential fuel for the next move up , This is why macro matters in crypto.
What do you think?
Bearish now or bullish later 👇
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