What do you think 2026 holds for the start of a new crypto cycle?
Hello crypto investors! I would like to open a discussion on a topic I find interesting, the current price action and what the future might look like for Bitcoin and crypto in both the short and long term. My current view on the market: In the short term (the next few months), it feels like right now everyone has accepted we are in a bear market. And the market is reacting accordingly, prices are dropping, people are deleveraging, and we are seeing a lot of capitulation. At the moment, we have found a local bottom for Bitcoin at around 60k, and now its starting to look very obvious to me that the cycle is repeating. The overall picture is: Just buy when the market bottoms sometime from late summer to early winter of this year. Accumulate as much as possible during these months, and then the price should start going up, probably starting sometime early 2027 for the next 2 years. So just HODL and sell for a profit sometime in 2028/2029. Right? And then repeat. Now I also wonder, If this is really the "base case" and everyone expects this, meaning buying a lot during this year, wouldnt that mean the price shouldnt drop much further because of the massive amount of buyers? I also realize the market needs a "cleansing." Many companies and individuals probably took on too much risk coming into this cycle, invested more than they could afford to lose, and are now being forced to sell. This selling pressure might continue for a while. So its impossible to know the exact bottom in short term, maybe we see Bitcoin at 50s, 40s or maybe even lower. I feel like the strategy remains the same: avoid leverage, dont borrow money to invest, and just keep buying/chilling. Is it really this easy, or is it more complicated than I am making it out to be? What do you guys think will happen for the rest of 2026? Also, when people say "nobody knows anything", I usually assume its a short term price action which is indeed impossible to predict. But the big picture seems quite clear. As the saying goes, "when in doubt, zoom out." Anyway, this is what I am seeing, what do you guys think will happen this year? I am curious to see your perspectives!:)
Bitcoin is approaching a decisive inflection point where volatility is not a risk, but a signal. In the near term, price action suggests a technical relief bounce toward the $83k area as liquidity above current levels is tested. This move, however, should be viewed as a structural reaction rather than confirmation of a sustained uptrend. Following that bounce, the market is likely to enter a controlled corrective phase, gradually rotating price into the $65k–$55k range. #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #GoldSilverRebound
$ASTER — Selling pressure has been absorbed, and the structure is starting to shift. Long $ASTER Entry: 0.58 – 0.60 Stop Loss: 0.45 Target 1: 0.650 Target 2: 0.720 Target 3: 0.790 $ASTER has held a clean demand zone after a pullback, being rejected on the downside, and selling pressure has noticeably weakened. The recent decline has been absorbed, indicating that buyers are returning. As long as the price holds above the support level, a continuation of the rebound is more likely than another downward wave. $ASTER #GoldSilverRebound #AISocialNetworkMoltbook #VitalikSells #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund
$STABLE – Bearish signal forming, downtrend expected. Short $STABLE Entry: 0.0274 – 0.028 SL: 0.03 TP: 0.025 – 0.023 – 0.021 $STABLE is facing resistance. H1 and H4 charts show the start of a downtrend. Be careful chasing the price. #STABLE! #USCryptoMarketStructureBill #WhenWillBTCRebound $STABLE
Bitcoin is doing what it always does when things get tough. It gets rid of people who're not serious about Bitcoin it takes in all the selling from people who are scared and then it slowly takes control again while everyone is talking about what is going on with Bitcoin. This is not a thing for Bitcoin. It is just a time for people to rethink how they feel about Bitcoin. The price of Bitcoin is not moving up or down much just moving a little from side, to side which is boring for people who want to make money from Bitcoin and it hurts people who make decisions based on emotions. This is how Bitcoin gets ready for a big move upwards. Bitcoin is not looking weak now. Bitcoin is actually getting people ready, for what's going to happen next. When people get scared they start to sell Bitcoin. This gets rid of some of the bad investments. At the time people who really believe in Bitcoin start to take control. The same people who get really nervous and sell their Bitcoin when the price goes down will be the ones trying to buy it when the price goes up. They will tell themselves that they knew Bitcoin was going to go up along. This zone always looks uninteresting to amateurs — and extremely dangerous to anyone who understands what typically comes next.$BTC #BTCVSGOLD
$SUI/USDT: The $1.073-$1.166 Last Stand Analysis Summary: SUI's decline to $1.1204 reflects severe technical damage, with price now trading below all key Bollinger levels and the SAR pointing downward at $1.0430. Most concerning is the 85% drop in volume — a sign of lost interest or accumulation in stealth. The $1.073 low is the immediate support; a break here opens the path to $1.043. The Dead Cat Bounce Risk: Any rally toward $1.166 without a significant volume surge is likely a short-lived bounce — a "dead cat bounce" that traps bullish traders before resuming the downtrend. In weak markets, the first rebound often fails. Clear Action Plan: · Wait for confirmation: break above $1.166 or below $1.073 · Conservative entry: only above $1.15 with volume confirmation · Non-negotiable stop: below $1.07 for any long attempt Decision Time: Can SUI stabilize above $1.073 and build a base, or will it breakdown toward $1.04? Time to decide. #ByX IMPACT Leaederboard $SUIUSDT SUIUSDT-2.92%
#BTCvs黄金2026 Balance Sheet Attributes: Gold as "No-Debt Asset" vs BTC as "Risk Asset Category" The 2026 Global Corporate and Sovereign Fund Asset Allocation Report shows that gold is explicitly classified as a "no-debt safe-haven asset"—its value does not depend on any entity's credit commitment, and it does not require assuming counterparty risk, making it a core choice for institutions optimizing their balance sheets. The world's largest sovereign fund, Norway's GPFG, increased its gold allocation ratio to 5% in 2026, doubling from 2024, with the core logic being to "hedge against the risk of a credit system collapse." Meanwhile, BTC is still classified as a "high-risk alternative asset" on mainstream institutional balance sheets, requiring a 25% risk reserve. JPMorgan's financial report shows that its BTC holdings must bear 3 times the risk capital requirement compared to gold. The key difference is that gold is "value in itself," while BTC is "value conferred by consensus." When the financial system faces a credit crisis, gold's "no-debt attribute" makes it the ultimate value anchor, whereas BTC's value may significantly diminish due to the collapse of consensus, making its hedging logic more fragile. #GOLD #BTC #PreciousMetalsTurbulence #MarketCorrection
Perpetual futures attract new traders with leverage, 24/7 access, and fast PnL. Yet most early losses don’t come from bad markets, but from repeatable mistakes. 𝟭) 𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗹𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗴𝗲 High leverage leaves no room for error. Small price noise turns into liquidation while traders focus on upside instead of invalidation. 𝟮) 𝗡𝗼 𝗰𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗽𝗹𝗮𝗻 Entering because price is “moving fast” leads to emotional decisions. Without predefined stops and targets, losses expand. 𝟯) 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗶𝘇𝗲𝗱 𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 Risking too much makes every tick stressful. Discipline collapses when survival depends on one trade. 𝟰) 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗺𝗼𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘂𝗺 Late entries often meet profit-taking. Strength without structure offers no buffer for pullbacks. 𝟱) 𝗜𝗴𝗻𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗿𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗺𝗲 Trend strategies fail in ranges. Using one approach everywhere lowers probabilities. 𝟲) 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗴𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗰𝗼𝘀𝘁𝘀 Funding rates and fees compound. Flat price does not mean flat PnL in perps. 𝟳) 𝗧𝘂𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗹 𝘃𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗼𝗻 𝗹𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗳𝗿𝗮𝗺𝗲𝘀 Noise feels like signal. Without higher-timeframe context, traders react instead of execute. 𝟴) 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗱𝗲𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗻𝗰𝘆 Indicators don’t replace structure and liquidity. More signals often mean more confusion. Perp trading isn’t about a perfect strategy. It’s about 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘀𝗼𝗹𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗹𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝗲𝗻𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝘂𝗶𝗹𝗱 𝗱𝗶𝘀𝗰𝗶𝗽𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲. Are you using leverage as a tool — or letting it control you? #BTCvsGold2026#MarketCorrection #GOLD $BTC $BNB
All Digital assist are unstable now for war tension.
SatoshiSoul
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⛔WHY SILVER SUDDENLY MASSIVE RECITATION🚫🚫
Watching silver suddenly break down while the broader metals market starts behaving like memecoins really made me pause. Assets we once labeled as safe are no longer immune when crowd behavior takes over. At this point, the market is not being driven by fundamentals alone. Positioning, leverage, and emotional reactions to headlines are clearly steering price. When a trade becomes too crowded, risk stays hidden until everyone tries to exit at the same time. That is when volatility shows up and exposes how fragile the idea of safety really is. To me, this is a reminder that markets are often ruled more by human behavior than logic. Ignoring that reality is how even the safest looking assets can suddenly turn. #Silver #BTC $BTC
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🔴 Short $SENT Momentum is starting to weaken, unable to hold at high levels. The rebound is weak and has been under selling pressure. As long as it stays below resistance, continue to look bearish. #CZAMAonBinanceSquare #BitcoinETFWatch #USGovShutdown
🟢 Long $BULLA After the pullback, the price has started to stabilize, and the bearish momentum has noticeably weakened. The current range seems more like digesting selling pressure rather than continuing to distribute. As long as the support area holds and the price gradually strengthens, there will be opportunities for upward continuation. #CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USPPIJump #MarketCorrection #BULLA
🔴 Short $MEGA The structure is weak, and selling pressure dominates. The rebound is merely a correction, with the downward trend remaining the main direction. #CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USPPIJump #MarketCorrection