比特羊btc

Continue sharing the earnings of the ETH quantitative strategy for January [1-16]
Test capital: 3000u
Profit: 459.86
Among them, 4 days were losses, and 11 days were profitable
Half a month's profit: 15.3%
Isn't this better than those copy trading dentists being exposed?

#eth

The recent rise indeed exploded many short positions, and after that, there was no momentum left.

1. $BTC finally broke through 97000, but it seems no one is following the trend anymore, so we can only continue to observe. It doesn't rise when the US stock market is up, and it pulls back when the US stock market is down; I don't know what it wants to do;

2. $ETH followed suit and remained stagnant; everyone knows the good news, but it doesn't help much;

3. $SOL's on-chain activities have started to become active; let's see if it can pull up the main coins;

4. CME Group will launch futures for Cardano, Chainlink, and Stellar;

5. Federal Reserve's Bostic: Due to high inflation, tight policies need to be maintained;

6. BlackRock CEO: There is no AI bubble; there are sufficient reasons for interest rate cuts;

#Strategy增持比特币

The amount of Ethereum staked reaches a new high, with nearly 30% of the supply locked

According to data from the validatorqueue website, the amount of Ethereum staked has reached a historical high of 35.9 million ETH, accounting for approximately 29.61% of the total ETH supply. As of now, the number of ETH in the exit queue on the Ethereum PoS network is 160, with an estimated waiting time of about 4 minutes.

At the same time, the amount of ETH awaiting entry is 2,479,680, with an expected activation delay of about 43 days and 1 hour.

#ETH

Follow up on last Friday's major proposal for Optimism (OP): Starting from February this year, 50% of Superchain revenue will be used to repurchase OP tokens. This marks a watershed moment for the L2 sector in 2026. The logic is as follows:
1. Shift from narrative to revenue: Funds no longer believe in 'points' and 'governance,' but only in 'dividends' and 'burning'.
2. Stock reshuffling: Protocols like Base, which generated over $55M in profit last year, will see their token incentives logic completely transformed, altering valuation models. Note: 2026 will be the 'real money competition year' for L2s—those unable to generate real profits will accelerate toward zero.

$OP

I monitored the funding rates (Funding Rate) of major exchanges. After three days of consolidation and washouts, the rates have returned to a neutral range from the overheated levels seen during the New Year period. What does this mean? The logic is simple: the bubble of long-side leverage has been deflated. When prices remain relatively high but funding rates are declining, it indicates that spot market support has replaced the push from derivatives. This "spot-driven" consolidation is often a precursor to the next explosive rally. Don't get shaken off by temporary pullbacks—position structure matters more than candlestick colors

$BTC

2026 New Year's Opening Red, new strategy, made 10% profit in just a few days of January

#量化 #策略

Buy Binance Life
Achievement is being stuck in life!

Vitalik claims that Ethereum has just solved the biggest problem of blockchain

After ten years of effort, Ethereum has finally solved the blockchain trilemma.

Vitalik announced that ZK-EVM has reached production-level performance (proof time reduced to a few seconds, costs reduced by 45 times) + PeerDAS is now live on the mainnet = decentralization + consensus + ultra-large bandwidth, all three are achieved.

Future roadmap:

2026: Significantly increase gas limits + first batch of ZK-EVM nodes
2026-2028: Repricing and state adjustments for secure scaling
2027-2030: Zero-knowledge proof validators become the primary validation method, significantly increasing throughput

The security goal is to achieve 128-bit provability by the end of 2026.

Ethereum is not chasing trends, but is building a resilient, trustless world computer.

#ETH

The prediction market might be the most underestimated information system right now. In the past, to understand the macro situation, I had to browse news, read analyses, and filter out human noise myself, which was quite exhausting. It's different now. Before checking the news, I first take a look at Polymarket. I see where the money is being invested. Those who dare to wager 1 million US dollars are definitely thinking deeper than the average person. This is a consensus formed by real money, filtering out at least half of the noise. It's quite good to use it as an emotional thermometer. Polymarket may not always be accurate, but it's definitely credible. #加密市场观察

I see many people are getting into stocks or futures.

Because there are no markets in the cryptocurrency space anymore.

This question needs to be asked first: will the cryptocurrency space disappear?

I don't think so, after all, it has become the best tool for the Federal Reserve and Wall Street to harvest globally.

Being a harvesting tool, it is definitely much more convenient than stocks.

So since it won't disappear, there will definitely be markets.

The more everyone thinks it's over, the more it should be a time to set up.

So I think now is a good time.

Moreover, regardless of what one is playing, the important thing is to have income.

If there is no income, relying solely on trading will definitely lead to distortion and anxiety.

Anyway, I think the times when people are not optimistic are actually the best times to buy in, rather than to exit quickly.

Otherwise, wherever you go, you will lose money, just like a kitten fishing, in the end, you get nothing.

There will still be markets.

#加密市场观察

🚨
Breaking
The whale from the Satoshi Nakamoto era has purchased 5,630 bitcoins worth $500 million today.

Every market drop this year has been predicted correctly by the same person, and each time they have gone all in.

Merry Christmas. Although the holiday atmosphere is strong, the key word for today in trading is "vacuum."

Due to Western institutions and market makers collectively on holiday, CME and US stocks are closed, and the market has entered a phase of extreme liquidity shortage.

The logic is simple: in an order book as thin as a cicada's wing, a few hundred BTC in sell orders can create a large pit, and a few thousand ETH in buy orders can pull up a long green candle. Such fluctuations lack "sustainability" and are mostly a game between bots and retail investors.

I suggest everyone put down the market and spend more time with family. Today, without incremental funds entering the market, preserving the principal is more important than anything else.

#BTC

I finally finished translating the tens of thousands of words analysis by @MessariCrypto on the 2026 track and organized some notes (typed by hand)

First part: Basic situation
> Cryptocurrency - BTC, ZEC
BTC is decoupling from altcoins and becoming a macro asset
> DeFi Bank - Peak Money, Base App
Web3 Apps replace traditional banks
> Yield-bearing assets - USDai, syrupUSDC, sUSDe
Yield stablecoins replace traditional stablecoins with 0 yield

Second part: Productivity infrastructure
> Decentralized AI - Bittensor, Hyperliquid, EigenAI
Agents become the main force in on-chain trading.
> DePIN - Helium Mobile, Daylight, Hivemapper
Tokenization of physical assets, annual revenue expected to exceed 100 million USD.
> InfraFi - http://USD.AI, DayFi
Hardware financing

Third part: Applications and distribution
> Prediction markets - Polymarket, Kalshi, Allora
Prediction = service, agents achieve 24/7 liquidity.
> SocialFi - Zora, Farcaster, http://Pump.fun
Content is assets.
> RWA - Courtyard, Baxus, http://Rip.fun
Includes cards, wine, luxury goods

2026 Insights:
1. Entry > Protocol: Wallets (like Phantom or Coinbase Wallet) will earn more fees than public chains.
2. Real revenue: In 2026, we will not discuss TVL, but focus more on On-chain Revenue.
3. Computing power finance: Solving the sustainability issues of DeFi.

#加密市场观察