In the midst of the rapid development of technology and the world of digital finance, we are reminded that all forms of sustenance come only from Allah ﷻ.
Humans are required to strive, but the results are entirely in His decree. Allah ﷻ says:
وَأَن لَّيْسَ لِلْإِنسَانِ إِلَّا مَا سَعَىٰ "And that man has nothing but what he strives for." (QS. An-Najm: 39)
Exchange, technology, and digital assets are merely means (intermediaries). They are not the ultimate goal, nor are they the determinants of fate.
What is more important is knowledge before action, honesty in the process, patience in trials, and reliance after maximum effort.
Allah ﷻ also says: وَمَن يَتَّقِ ٱللَّهَ يَجْعَل لَّهُۥ مَخْرَجًۭا وَيَرْزُقْهُۥ مِنْ حَيْثُ لَا يَحْتَسِبُ
"Whoever is mindful of Allah, He will make for him a way out, and provide for him from where he does not expect." (QS. At-Thalaq: 2–3)
So do not make profit the sole purpose, and do not make loss a reason to despair.
For blessings are more important than mere numbers.
May every step we take be within the corridor of what is lawful, every effort be valued as worship,
and every result bring benefits, tranquility, and blessings.
Our Lord, accept from us; indeed, You are the All-Hearing, the All-Knowing. Ameen, O Lord of the Worlds 🤍
#TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned reflects the accumulation of bipartisan opposition to President Trump's tariff measures, due to concerns about the impact on the domestic economy, the constitutionality of trade policies, and relationships with strategic partners such as Canada. The recent voice of the U.S. House of Representatives is an important symbol of the political shift, but practical implementation will still depend on the Senate and the possibility of a presidential veto.
#USNFPBlowout US NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) "blowout" = US labor data far above market expectations. This signals that the economy remains very strong and the labor market remains tight.
1. Macro Economic Impact 2. Impact on Dollar & Yield 3. Impact on Crypto & Stocks 4 What to Monitor? 5. Crypto Trader Strategy
Futures vs Spot (Trader Education) 🔴 LIQUIDATION OF FUTURES (PERPS) Occurred due to leverage Positions forced to close by exchange Long liquidated → quick dump Short liquidated → sharp pump Main characteristic: • Large candle Volume spike OI drops drastically 👉 Main source of market volatility $XAU 🔴 LIQUIDATION OF SPOT (INDIRECT) Spot does not have automatic liquidation Occurred through: • Panic sell Forced sell (loan/margin spot) Movement slower & more stable Often becomes accumulation area of smart money 👉 Spot confirms trends, does not trigger
Long-Term Investors: Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) during corrections can be a strategy, especially for gold as a store of value and silver for green transition exposure.
Short-Term Traders Be cautious of major economic data releases (US CPI, NFP, Fed decision).
Use support/resistance levels as references. Confirm breaks with volume.
Silver is suitable for traders who enjoy high volatility.
Hedging: Gold remains a hedge against inflation and turmoil.
Warning The market is waiting for new catalysts. Always use risk management (stop-loss) and adjust your analysis to your investment/trading time frame. Monitor news from The Fed, ECB, and US inflation data.
Key Resistance: $2,430 (all-time high), next target if break: $2,500.
Trend: Long-term bullish trend still intact, but in a consolidation/correction phase after a strong rally.
Indicator: RSI above/below 50 will indicate momentum. Watch if the price can hold above the 50-day MA.
B. SILVER (XAG/USD)
Current Important Level (around $28-$30/oz):
Key Support: $27.50, then $26.00 (strong support area).
Key Resistance: $30.00 (psychological), breaking could lead to $32-$35.
Trend: Bullish, but more volatile than gold. Currently testing the main resistance area.
Gold/Silver Ratio: Around 78-80. This means, 1 oz gold = 80 oz silver. Historically low ratio (<60) indicates silver is undervalued relative to gold, or a risk-on phase.
Interest Rates: US inflation data (CPI) remains the focus. If inflation is high, The Fed may maintain high interest rates, which usually suppresses gold prices (since the yields on interest-bearing assets like bonds become more attractive).
Quantitative Easing (QE) vs Tightening (QT): Signals of policy easing (cutting rates) will greatly strengthen gold.
2. Geopolitics & Uncertainty
Tensions in the Middle East, Ukraine, and others drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
3. Strength of the US Dollar (USD)
Inverse relationship. Strong dollar → Gold in USD tends to decrease, and vice versa. The strength of the USD is influenced by Fed policies and relative economic conditions.
4. Global Physical Demand
China & India: Demand from the two largest consumers in the world, especially during wedding seasons and festivals.
Central Banks Worldwide: (China, Turkey, India, etc.) continue to increase their gold reserves, supporting long-term prices.
B. For SILVER (Industrial & Precious Metal):
1. Gold Factors + Industry Dynamics
Silver has a positive correlation with gold as a precious metal, but its volatility is higher.
Industrial Demand (50%+ of total demand): Renewable energy (solar panels), electronics, electric vehicles (EV). The global green transition becomes a strong long-term supporter.
2. Global Economic Conditions:
Recession expectations may suppress silver prices due to weakening industrial demand. However, if a recession is followed by significant stimulus (QE), silver could recover quickly as a commodity asset.