macan.hl - borrowed conviction

#CPIWatch : The Moment of Truth for Crypto! 🚨 ​Today’s January CPI data release is the "make or break" catalyst for February. After a week of range-bound price action and cautious sentiment, the volatility engine is about to start. ​📊 The Numbers to Watch: ​Forecast: Headline CPI is expected at 2.5% YoY (down from 2.7% in Dec). ​Core CPI: Also expected at 2.5% YoY. ​The "Whisper" Number: Any print above 2.6% will likely trigger a "higher-for-longer" scare, putting immediate pressure on $BTC and $ETH . ​📉 Scenario Analysis: ​Bull Case (CPI < 2.5%): Inflation is cooling faster than expected. The Fed has a green light for rate cuts. Markets pump as the Dollar weakens. 📈 ​Bear Case (CPI > 2.6%): Sticky inflation + strong labor market = Fed "Wait and Watch" mode. Expect a sharp "flush" of long positions. 📉 ​The Fake-Out: Beware the "Initial Spike." Often, the market jumps one way in the first 5 minutes only to reverse as the full report is digested. ​🛡️ Tactical Strategy: ​Wait for the Dust: Stay flat 15 mins before and 30 mins after the release (8:30 AM ET). ​Watch the $66,500 Level: Analysts are flagging this as a critical "cycle bottom" support for $BTC. ​Tight Stops: High volatility = high slippage. Protect your capital first. ​Final Note: Today isn't about being "right" on the prediction; it's about reacting to the data. Trade the chart, not the bias. ​#Crypto #Bitcoin #CPI #ETH #BinanceSquare #RiskManagement