#下任美联储主席会是谁？ According to current market forecasts and the dynamics of the Trump administration, the most popular candidate for the next chairman of the Federal Reserve is Rick Rieder, the Chief Bond Investment Manager at BlackRock. As of January 24, 2026, his election probability on the prediction platform Polymarket has surged to 54%, far exceeding former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh (26%) and current Governor Christopher Waller (11%). Rieder has received positive feedback from the bond market for advocating to lower the federal funds rate from 3.5%-3.75% to 3%, and for supporting dovish policies such as pausing balance sheet reduction, making him a favored candidate for the Senate confirmation process as an 'outsider.' Trump plans to announce the nomination around January 28, before or after the Davos Forum, and he has recently expressed being 'impressed' with Rieder after an interview. Other candidates, such as White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett, have dropped out of the race as their probabilities fell to 6%.