#美国伊朗对峙 Geopolitical 'Powder Keg' Heats Up Again, Risk Assets Face Tests
As we enter 2026, tensions between the United States and Iran have escalated sharply. Both sides have shifted from diplomatic warnings to substantive military deployments and sanctions confrontations.
· Escalating Tensions: Since large-scale protests erupted in Iran in early January, the United States has repeatedly expressed support for the protesters and threatened intervention. In response, Iran has warned that it will consider any attack as 'total war'.
· Military Dynamics: The United States has increased troop deployments to the Middle East, including moving the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group to the region. Iran has announced that its military is on high alert.
· Sanction Intensification: On January 23, the United States implemented a new round of sanctions against Iran, targeting its oil export network.
Market Impact Observation: Traditionally, geopolitical crises in the Middle East may drive up oil prices and trigger risk aversion in the markets. Although U.S. President Trump recently stated that he has not completely closed the door on diplomatic solutions, the uncertainty is extremely high.
Is this level of confrontation a mere interlude of short-term market volatility, or could it be a black swan that changes the macro landscape? Do you think the attributes of cryptocurrency as a 'risk asset' or 'safe-haven asset' will prevail?
