Is the "bottom" finally in? Here is the breakdown:
📉 Technical Structure: Downside Exhaustion?
The recent price action on the 4-hour chart suggests that the bearish momentum is hitting a brick wall:
Wave C Completion: BCH appears to have finished a five-wave bearish impulse within the larger Wave C. This structure typically signals that the selling pressure has reached a state of exhaustion. 😫
The Support Bounce: Price recently tested a heavy support zone (near the $470-$500 range) and responded with a sharp, impulsive rebound. This is a strong indicator that Wave (2) might already be complete. 📈
Bullish Divergence: On-chain data and RSI indicators are showing a slight bullish divergence, suggesting that while price was hitting lows, the selling "strength" was actually weakening. 🧐
🧭 Key Levels to Navigate
To confirm a full trend reversal, BCH needs to reclaim specific technical territory:
Level Type Price Target (USD) Significance
Immediate Support $470 – $500 Must hold to keep the "Bottom" thesis alive
Initial Confirmation $563 Reclaiming this shifts the 4H trend to bullish
Major Breakout $670 Confirmation of a broad macro trend reversal 🚀
⚠️ Trader's View: Until we see a decisive daily close above $670, this recovery could still be a "three-wave" corrective bounce. However, the structural completion of Wave C suggests that the downside risk is becoming increasingly limited at these levels.
🛡️ Strategy & Risk
If the $470 floor holds, we are looking at a high-reward accumulation zone. However, a break below the recent Wave C lows would invalidate this bullish wave count and signal a deeper trip into the abyss. Manage your risk and watch the volume on the breakout! 🛡️💰
