$ETH $ALLO $SOL
Tonight is destined to be another sleepless night!
Yesterday's fluctuations were just an appetizer; the real 'hell-level' market is officially kicking off tonight.
Two nuclear-level pieces of news are colliding on the same night:
On one side, Trump is showcasing military might before the U.S.-Iran negotiations, while on the other, non-farm data is being released.
Geopolitics + macroeconomics, a double whammy, the market could swing to extremes at any moment.
🚨 First, let's talk about the situation:
Trump is set to discuss the second round of U.S.-Iran talks next week, but he hasn't arrived yet—the aircraft carrier has already docked— the second strike group is fully deployed.
This isn't negotiation; it's laying the guns on the table to talk. The market isn't fooled; gold and oil are already reacting.
If talks break down, all technical indicators will become irrelevant, and risk-averse sentiment will spike instantly.
📅 Now, let's talk about the data:
Tonight at 21:30, non-farm.
This isn't ordinary data; it's the 'final judgment' for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
Data too strong? Rate cuts are unlikely, negative.
Data disappoints? Recession trading kicks in, possibly a sell-off followed by a V-shaped recovery.
On Friday, there's also CPI; this week is a 'double ghost knocking on the door', and the main players will not sit idle.
🛡️ Let's get real:
At this position, don't talk about the big picture, talk about risk control.
If you're a normal person, I suggest you stay out of the market for the 15 minutes before tonight's data.
Don't gamble on the data; you're not an institution, you can't handle that shock.
How will gold and Bitcoin move?
If geopolitical issues arise, gold will soar, and Bitcoin might occasionally follow a 'risk-averse script';
But if the volatility is caused by economic data, Bitcoin will only follow the U.S. stock market, don't fantasize that it's digital gold.
The core message tonight is simple:
Survive, wait until Friday's results, next week is your battlefield.
Don't get carried away, don’t hold positions, don’t tweak parameters in the eye of the storm.
Let’s chat in the comments; tonight, are you watching the show, or are you placing bets? 👀
