From 126,000 to 66,000, is the winter about to end?
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Brothers, these past two months have seen BTC drop from 126,000 to a low of 60,000, and now it's around 70,000. The feeling of a halving is back. Many people in the group are starting to doubt life, saying the bull market is over. But to be honest, those who have experienced 3/12, 5/19, and FTX know that such crashes are common.
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Those analysts on Wall Street have recently been discussing one thing: the crypto winter generally lasts for 13 months, and this cycle may be nearing its end. Think about it, from last year's peak to now, the timing almost matches up. The most pessimistic prediction from Stifel is a drop to 38,000, but they also acknowledge that Q1 2026 might be the turning point. Interestingly, Standard Chartered's year-end target is still 150,000 USD.
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Let me tell you, the winter has never ended in excitement; it quietly passes in fatigue. The market is in this state now—no one is making calls, posts about liquidation are flooding in, and everywhere you see "never again." Those who understand know that such times often present opportunities.
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To be honest, I’m as steady as an old dog in this wave. Why? Because cash is king. Those who leveraged and chased highs and lows have long been liquidated. Short-term trading is just giving away money; shorting in a bull market is certain death. History doesn’t simply repeat, but it does rhyme—there's always a major rally following each significant drop; what came after 3/12? And what followed 5/19? The cycle will never be absent.
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Buying at the bottom and riding the major wave, waiting four to five years for a violent surge, is it worth it? I think it is. Be patient, what’s the rush?
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Are you adding to your position or observing? Let's discuss your thoughts in the comments
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The above is just my personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Investing carries risks; proceed with caution. DYOR.
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