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🟢 Is Ethereum's Capitulation a Signal to Buy?
Ethereum's on-chain data is flashing a major signal. The MVRV Z-Score has dropped to -0.42, pushing it into the historical capitulation zone. This metric shows the market price is now below the average price paid by investors, indicating widespread selling and pain.
This creates a classic investor dilemma. On one hand, capitulation zones have often preceded major buying opportunities, as seen in past cycles. Some analysts view this as a chance to accumulate at a discount. On the other hand, this reading is not as severe as the absolute bottoms of past bear markets (like -0.76 in 2018), suggesting the selling pressure may not be fully exhausted yet.
The market is in a tug-of-war. While spot ETH ETFs are seeing strong institutional inflows, broader market outflows show retail fear is high.
What's next? This is a high-conviction moment. Is this the final flush before a reversal, or just another step down? History suggests watching for a stabilization in the Z-Score combined with a surge in sustained buying volume.
#Ethereum #ETH #MVRV #CryptoAnalysis
#WhaleDeRiskETH $ETH
Ethereum's on-chain data is flashing a major signal. The MVRV Z-Score has dropped to -0.42, pushing it into the historical capitulation zone. This metric shows the market price is now below the average price paid by investors, indicating widespread selling and pain.
This creates a classic investor dilemma. On one hand, capitulation zones have often preceded major buying opportunities, as seen in past cycles. Some analysts view this as a chance to accumulate at a discount. On the other hand, this reading is not as severe as the absolute bottoms of past bear markets (like -0.76 in 2018), suggesting the selling pressure may not be fully exhausted yet.
The market is in a tug-of-war. While spot ETH ETFs are seeing strong institutional inflows, broader market outflows show retail fear is high.
What's next? This is a high-conviction moment. Is this the final flush before a reversal, or just another step down? History suggests watching for a stabilization in the Z-Score combined with a surge in sustained buying volume.
#Ethereum #ETH #MVRV #CryptoAnalysis
#WhaleDeRiskETH $ETH
Bitcoin $BTC has historically bottomed around the −1.0 MVRV Pricing Band.
That level currently sits at $52,040.
#BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #WhaleDeRiskETH #MVRV
That level currently sits at $52,040.
#BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #WhaleDeRiskETH #MVRV
【In-depth Analysis】If a black swan arrives, where is BTC's 'century iron bottom'? Lock in the extreme range of $29,800 - $37,600
If the future market encounters liquidity exhaustion or a macro black swan (such as a U.S. stock market recession), where will Bitcoin drop to? Based on the MVRV model, on-chain holding costs, and CME historical gaps, whether in 2025 or 2026, once a major bear market begins, $29,800 - $37,600 will be the ultimate defense in a mathematical sense.
This is not panic; it is preparation for a 'once in a decade' golden pit. 👇
🔍 Why is it $29,800 - $37,600? Three major pieces of evidence
In this range, the technical aspects and on-chain data have formed a perfect resonance:
1. 👻 Ghost Gap (The CME Gap): $29,760
This is not panic; it is preparation for a 'once in a decade' golden pit. 👇
🔍 Why is it $29,800 - $37,600? Three major pieces of evidence
In this range, the technical aspects and on-chain data have formed a perfect resonance:
1. 👻 Ghost Gap (The CME Gap): $29,760
蛤吉米:
万一没到4万以下你这不直接踏空
📊 Cardano ($ADA ) Analysis: Are We in the "Deep Value" Zone? 🚀
Eagle-eyed traders know that while big moves (like major exchange consolidations) can sometimes shift the data, the MVRV Percentile for Cardano ($ADA ) is sending a massive signal right now! 📣
This chart doesn't just look at the raw price—it tracks where the MVRV sits relative to the current cycle. It’s a specialized way to see if ADA is overbought or drastically undervalued. 🌡️
🔍 Breaking Down the Signal:
The 0-10% Deep Undervaluation Zone: We’ve officially hit the "capitulation" floor for this cycle. The MVRV has been higher than this value over 90% of the time! 📉
Extreme Market Stress: This deep green area shows the market has reached a point of maximum pain. Historically, this is where "smart money" starts looking to build positions while everyone else is fearful. 🧠💼
Historically Bullish: In previous cycles, hitting this bottom percentile has consistently acted as the foundation for a major bullish recovery. 🏹🆙
The Exit Signal: Just a reminder—when this metric climbs into the 90-100% "Overheated" zone, that’s when the risk of a correction is at its highest. 🛑🔥
Cardano cycles are a test of patience. 🔄 While the sentiment might feel low, the data suggests we are in the zone that has historically rewarded the most disciplined holders! 💎🙌
#Cardano #ADA #CryptoAnalysis #MVRV #CardanoCommunity
$ADA
Eagle-eyed traders know that while big moves (like major exchange consolidations) can sometimes shift the data, the MVRV Percentile for Cardano ($ADA ) is sending a massive signal right now! 📣
This chart doesn't just look at the raw price—it tracks where the MVRV sits relative to the current cycle. It’s a specialized way to see if ADA is overbought or drastically undervalued. 🌡️
🔍 Breaking Down the Signal:
The 0-10% Deep Undervaluation Zone: We’ve officially hit the "capitulation" floor for this cycle. The MVRV has been higher than this value over 90% of the time! 📉
Extreme Market Stress: This deep green area shows the market has reached a point of maximum pain. Historically, this is where "smart money" starts looking to build positions while everyone else is fearful. 🧠💼
Historically Bullish: In previous cycles, hitting this bottom percentile has consistently acted as the foundation for a major bullish recovery. 🏹🆙
The Exit Signal: Just a reminder—when this metric climbs into the 90-100% "Overheated" zone, that’s when the risk of a correction is at its highest. 🛑🔥
Cardano cycles are a test of patience. 🔄 While the sentiment might feel low, the data suggests we are in the zone that has historically rewarded the most disciplined holders! 💎🙌
#Cardano #ADA #CryptoAnalysis #MVRV #CardanoCommunity
$ADA
📊 Bitcoin MVRV: Is This the "Ultimate Buy" Signal? 🚀
Even with massive on-chain movements like Coinbase’s 800,000 $BTC consolidation potentially skewing the data, the current MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) signal is looking too juicy to ignore! 🤑
This isn’t just your basic MVRV chart. Instead of looking at raw numbers, this analysis measures where the MVRV sits relative to the current cycle. By adding this probabilistic layer, we get a much clearer picture of how the market is actually feeling right now. 🌡️
🔍 Here is the breakdown:
The 0-10% Percentile Zone: We are currently at an extremely low level for this cycle. In fact, the MVRV has been higher than this over 90% of the time! 📉
Extreme Market Stress: This signals that the market has survived a period of intense pressure. Historically, entering this "oversold" zone has been a massive opportunity for intelligent positioning. 🧠💼
The Bullish Bounce: These low levels have consistently acted as the launchpad for major bullish recoveries. 🏹🆙
The Overheat Warning: On the flip side, when this metric hits the 90% zone, it’s time to be careful. That’s when the market is "overheated," usually leading to a correction. 🛑🔥
Bitcoin operates in a constant loop: one day everyone is FOMOing in, the next day, nobody wants to touch it. 🔄 If history is any guide, the crowd is currently looking away right when things are getting interesting! 💎🙌
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #MVRV #BullMarket #CryptoInvestingTips
$BTC
Even with massive on-chain movements like Coinbase’s 800,000 $BTC consolidation potentially skewing the data, the current MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) signal is looking too juicy to ignore! 🤑
This isn’t just your basic MVRV chart. Instead of looking at raw numbers, this analysis measures where the MVRV sits relative to the current cycle. By adding this probabilistic layer, we get a much clearer picture of how the market is actually feeling right now. 🌡️
🔍 Here is the breakdown:
The 0-10% Percentile Zone: We are currently at an extremely low level for this cycle. In fact, the MVRV has been higher than this over 90% of the time! 📉
Extreme Market Stress: This signals that the market has survived a period of intense pressure. Historically, entering this "oversold" zone has been a massive opportunity for intelligent positioning. 🧠💼
The Bullish Bounce: These low levels have consistently acted as the launchpad for major bullish recoveries. 🏹🆙
The Overheat Warning: On the flip side, when this metric hits the 90% zone, it’s time to be careful. That’s when the market is "overheated," usually leading to a correction. 🛑🔥
Bitcoin operates in a constant loop: one day everyone is FOMOing in, the next day, nobody wants to touch it. 🔄 If history is any guide, the crowd is currently looking away right when things are getting interesting! 💎🙌
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #MVRV #BullMarket #CryptoInvestingTips
$BTC
Annalee Harns gt29:
The « gold mine » of the means as he said !
We are at the end of the cryptos story
Internet and epstein files have had reason of it
Bitcoin($BTC ) hit bottom, according to the indicator
#MVRV 👀
The MVRV (Market-Value-to-Realized-Value) indicator is a key thermometer that compares the current market value of bitcoin ($BTC ) with the price at which its coins were acquired on average. 📈
This reveals whether the market is overheated (overvalued) or oversold (undervalued).
🗞 More details
#MVRV 👀
The MVRV (Market-Value-to-Realized-Value) indicator is a key thermometer that compares the current market value of bitcoin ($BTC ) with the price at which its coins were acquired on average. 📈
This reveals whether the market is overheated (overvalued) or oversold (undervalued).
🗞 More details
CryptoQuant warns: a "second hump of the camel" is forming on the BTC chart 🐪
🔍 The MVRV ratio indicates a possible beginning of a downtrend as early as the end of August — until September 10.
Analysts compare the current situation to market movements in 2021 — back then, the second peak ended with a strong correction.
📉 If the signal is confirmed — this could mark the beginning of a medium-term decline phase in the market.
❓ What do you think, will the 2021 scenario repeat? Or is the market already operating under new rules? Write in the comments 👇
#btc #bitcoin #crypto #CryptoQuant #MVRV
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
🔍 The MVRV ratio indicates a possible beginning of a downtrend as early as the end of August — until September 10.
Analysts compare the current situation to market movements in 2021 — back then, the second peak ended with a strong correction.
📉 If the signal is confirmed — this could mark the beginning of a medium-term decline phase in the market.
❓ What do you think, will the 2021 scenario repeat? Or is the market already operating under new rules? Write in the comments 👇
#btc #bitcoin #crypto #CryptoQuant #MVRV
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#Bitcoin Shows Signs of Stabilization: Can $BTC Rebound Toward $120K?
Since mid-2025, institutional confidence in Bitcoin (#BTC ) has steadily increased, as the asset’s annualized volatility fell to near 30%, the lowest ever recorded in its history. This decline in volatility has drawn attention from long-term investors, signaling that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a purely speculative asset toward a more mature macro hedge in institutional portfolios.
Financial giant #JPMorgan recently emphasized that Bitcoin remains undervalued relative to gold, highlighting its evolving role in diversified investment strategies rather than simply being a speculative vehicle. This view aligns with a broader trend of growing institutional adoption, particularly among hedge funds, family offices, and corporate treasuries.
On-Chain Metrics #Signal Structural Strength
Several on-chain indicators reinforce the argument that Bitcoin’s current price may underestimate its intrinsic value.
#MVRV Ratio at 2.1: This metric, which compares market capitalization to realized value, remains well below overheated levels near 4, suggesting BTC is not in a speculative bubble.
Shrinking Exchange Reserves: Bitcoin held on exchanges continues to decline, reflecting a trend of long-term accumulation rather than short-term trading.
ETF Inflows: Despite volatility, exchange-traded fund inflows have remained steady, indicating sustained institutional demand.
Together, these indicators suggest a structurally bullish foundation, with both long-term holders and institutional investors supporting Bitcoin at current levels.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch...
read more 24crypto .news
Since mid-2025, institutional confidence in Bitcoin (#BTC ) has steadily increased, as the asset’s annualized volatility fell to near 30%, the lowest ever recorded in its history. This decline in volatility has drawn attention from long-term investors, signaling that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a purely speculative asset toward a more mature macro hedge in institutional portfolios.
Financial giant #JPMorgan recently emphasized that Bitcoin remains undervalued relative to gold, highlighting its evolving role in diversified investment strategies rather than simply being a speculative vehicle. This view aligns with a broader trend of growing institutional adoption, particularly among hedge funds, family offices, and corporate treasuries.
On-Chain Metrics #Signal Structural Strength
Several on-chain indicators reinforce the argument that Bitcoin’s current price may underestimate its intrinsic value.
#MVRV Ratio at 2.1: This metric, which compares market capitalization to realized value, remains well below overheated levels near 4, suggesting BTC is not in a speculative bubble.
Shrinking Exchange Reserves: Bitcoin held on exchanges continues to decline, reflecting a trend of long-term accumulation rather than short-term trading.
ETF Inflows: Despite volatility, exchange-traded fund inflows have remained steady, indicating sustained institutional demand.
Together, these indicators suggest a structurally bullish foundation, with both long-term holders and institutional investors supporting Bitcoin at current levels.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch...
read more 24crypto .news
Bitcoin Oversold — Is Accumulation Underway?
Oversold metrics are signaling a potential buying opportunity. With the MVRV ratio at -11.5%, Bitcoin sits in a classic accumulation zone where long-term holders quietly accumulate supply.
The recent bounce, however, is not yet a confirmed trend—it reflects a short-term reaction driven by support levels holding firm and clear oversold conditions. While these signals highlight opportunity, a true reversal in momentum will require Bitcoin to reclaim and sustain $95,000.
Investors monitoring this phase can interpret it as a measured accumulation window. The market is quietly preparing, and those with patience may position themselves advantageously for the next significant move in BTC.
#BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoAccumulation #MVRV #MarketInsight
Oversold metrics are signaling a potential buying opportunity. With the MVRV ratio at -11.5%, Bitcoin sits in a classic accumulation zone where long-term holders quietly accumulate supply.
The recent bounce, however, is not yet a confirmed trend—it reflects a short-term reaction driven by support levels holding firm and clear oversold conditions. While these signals highlight opportunity, a true reversal in momentum will require Bitcoin to reclaim and sustain $95,000.
Investors monitoring this phase can interpret it as a measured accumulation window. The market is quietly preparing, and those with patience may position themselves advantageously for the next significant move in BTC.
#BTC #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoAccumulation #MVRV #MarketInsight
🚨 $BTC Alert: Rare Zone Detected!
$BTC is trading near **-1 SD of short-term holders’ average cost** — historically a **risk redistribution zone**, not a crash point.
📉 Past examples:
- 2020: ~$3k
- 2021: ~$29k
- 2022: $15k–$20k
- 2024: ~$49k
- 2025: $74k–$85k
💡 **Insight:** Selling pressure from weak hands is fading. Prolonged dips below this level are rare. Expect **local bottoms or consolidation before next impulse**.
🔹 Not a buy signal, but a **critical market condition marker**.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Binance #BTCAnalysis #MVRV
$BTC is trading near **-1 SD of short-term holders’ average cost** — historically a **risk redistribution zone**, not a crash point.
📉 Past examples:
- 2020: ~$3k
- 2021: ~$29k
- 2022: $15k–$20k
- 2024: ~$49k
- 2025: $74k–$85k
💡 **Insight:** Selling pressure from weak hands is fading. Prolonged dips below this level are rare. Expect **local bottoms or consolidation before next impulse**.
🔹 Not a buy signal, but a **critical market condition marker**.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Binance #BTCAnalysis #MVRV
Ethereum ($ETH ) is showing strong bullish signals! 🚀
The recent 15%+ rebound from lows, coupled with a bull flag pattern and positive on-chain data, suggests we could see significant upside momentum.
A key indicator, the MVRV deviation bands, shows ETH stabilizing near historical support, which has often been a launching pad for rallies toward $5,000!
The critical hurdle to watch? Holding above the 200-day EMA near $3,550 to confirm the bullish setup.
Can ETH reclaim $4,500 this October? Things are looking promising! 👀
#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #BullFlag #MVRV
The recent 15%+ rebound from lows, coupled with a bull flag pattern and positive on-chain data, suggests we could see significant upside momentum.
A key indicator, the MVRV deviation bands, shows ETH stabilizing near historical support, which has often been a launching pad for rallies toward $5,000!
The critical hurdle to watch? Holding above the 200-day EMA near $3,550 to confirm the bullish setup.
Can ETH reclaim $4,500 this October? Things are looking promising! 👀
#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #BullFlag #MVRV
ADA's Amazing Leap! Can it break through $1 in September? Investors hold their breath in anticipation.
🚀 Latest developments in Cardano: Can ADA break through the $1 barrier in September?
In recent months, the price trend of Cardano (ADA) has shown a bullish stance 📈, but caution is warranted regarding potential profit-taking risks ⚠️, which may temporarily hinder price increases. According to the average coin age (MCA) data, accumulation of tokens across the network is quietly occurring, which means that holders are gradually hoarding coins in preparation for the next price rise 💪.
📊 Recent market overview
As of August 25, Cardano's price has shown fluctuations in the short term. In the past three days, Bitcoin (#BTC ) fell from $117,000 to $111,500, a drop of 4.6%, which also put pressure on the altcoin market 💥. During the same period, Cardano's market cap dropped by 6.67%, with prices falling from $0.93 to $0.86.
In recent months, the price trend of Cardano (ADA) has shown a bullish stance 📈, but caution is warranted regarding potential profit-taking risks ⚠️, which may temporarily hinder price increases. According to the average coin age (MCA) data, accumulation of tokens across the network is quietly occurring, which means that holders are gradually hoarding coins in preparation for the next price rise 💪.
📊 Recent market overview
As of August 25, Cardano's price has shown fluctuations in the short term. In the past three days, Bitcoin (#BTC ) fell from $117,000 to $111,500, a drop of 4.6%, which also put pressure on the altcoin market 💥. During the same period, Cardano's market cap dropped by 6.67%, with prices falling from $0.93 to $0.86.
Bitcoin Bear Market Signals Emerge: CMO Indicator Falls Below Key Threshold, Analyst Warns of Downside Risks; Ethereum Competitor Cardano Shows Reversal Pattern, Short-Term Bullish Expectations Clear
The cryptocurrency market has recently re-entered a critical phase of bullish and bearish competition. Well-known cryptocurrency analyst and trader Ali Martinez shared the latest market analysis with 153900 followers on his X platform (formerly Twitter), pointing out that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing clear signs of a bear market. At the same time, he provided a differentiated technical outlook for Cardano (ADA), a significant competitor in the Ethereum (ETH) ecosystem, drawing widespread market attention.
Bitcoin: Dual indicators release bearish signals, key price level becomes the battleground between bulls and bears
Bitcoin: Dual indicators release bearish signals, key price level becomes the battleground between bulls and bears
📉 Is the market deceptive... or are opportunities hiding in the shadows?
On January 26, Santiment, a company specializing in analyzing cryptocurrency markets, highlighted an important point that many may overlook:
Cryptocurrencies that show a negative MVRV indicator may present smart entry opportunities.
🔍 What does that simply mean?
When the MVRV indicator is negative, it means that most traders are currently at a loss.
And here — as BlockBeats analyzes — the level of buying risk may decrease, especially as the negativity of the indicator increases.
📊 Currently prominent cryptocurrencies with a negative MVRV indicator:
🔗 Chainlink: -9.5%
🟦 Cardano: -7.9%
💎 Ethereum: -7.6%
⚡ XRP: -5.7%
🟠 Bitcoin: -3.7%
💡 Why do investors care about this indicator?
MVRV = Market Value to Realized Value
It is a measure used to determine:
Is the average investor winning or losing?
Is the market valuation high or low?
When the indicator is negative...
📉 Pain dominates the market
👀 But sharp eyes start to watch
⚠️ Important Note:
This is analytical data and not investment advice. The decision is always your responsibility, and knowledge is the first line of defense.
💬 What do you think?
Do you see these numbers representing real opportunities or just calm before the storm?
Share your opinion, share the post, and don't forget to like 👍
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#CryptoAnalysis #MVRV #Bitcoin #altcoins #Santiment
On January 26, Santiment, a company specializing in analyzing cryptocurrency markets, highlighted an important point that many may overlook:
Cryptocurrencies that show a negative MVRV indicator may present smart entry opportunities.
🔍 What does that simply mean?
When the MVRV indicator is negative, it means that most traders are currently at a loss.
And here — as BlockBeats analyzes — the level of buying risk may decrease, especially as the negativity of the indicator increases.
📊 Currently prominent cryptocurrencies with a negative MVRV indicator:
🔗 Chainlink: -9.5%
🟦 Cardano: -7.9%
💎 Ethereum: -7.6%
⚡ XRP: -5.7%
🟠 Bitcoin: -3.7%
💡 Why do investors care about this indicator?
MVRV = Market Value to Realized Value
It is a measure used to determine:
Is the average investor winning or losing?
Is the market valuation high or low?
When the indicator is negative...
📉 Pain dominates the market
👀 But sharp eyes start to watch
⚠️ Important Note:
This is analytical data and not investment advice. The decision is always your responsibility, and knowledge is the first line of defense.
💬 What do you think?
Do you see these numbers representing real opportunities or just calm before the storm?
Share your opinion, share the post, and don't forget to like 👍
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#CryptoAnalysis #MVRV #Bitcoin #altcoins #Santiment
Is Bitcoin Entering a Bear Market? CryptoQuant Issues a Warning!
Recently, analysts at CryptoQuant have discovered some concerning signals through on-chain data, indicating that Bitcoin may be at the beginning of a bear market. While pullbacks in Bitcoin are not uncommon during a bull market, the current valuation indicators suggest that this adjustment could be deeper than before.
CryptoQuant's analysts found some troubling signals in the on-chain data. For instance, the Bitcoin bull-bear cycle indicator is currently at the most bearish level of this cycle, and the Z-score of the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has fallen below the 365-day moving average. This indicates that Bitcoin’s upward momentum has weakened.
Moreover, Bitcoin's demand is also contracting, and the pace at which whales are accumulating has slowed. Last week, Bitcoin's demand plummeted at the fastest rate since July 2024, dropping by 103,000 BTC in one go. It's not just the whales; the annual accumulation rate of other large investors has also significantly decreased, from 368,000 BTC in January to 268,000 BTC now.
What's more concerning is that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have now become net sellers of BTC, in stark contrast to the frenzied buying seen during the same period last year. So far this year, these ETFs have only bought about $700 million worth of BTC, whereas last year around this time, they bought $8.7 billion. This adds additional downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.
Additionally, the number of BTC flowing into the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase, from other platforms has also fallen below the 90-day moving average. Since February 13, Coinbase has been in a price adjustment period, when BTC was approximately $96,000. Typically, when demand is high, BTC flows into Coinbase, but the situation has reversed now.
CryptoQuant's analysts also mentioned that if BTC cannot maintain the support level between $75,000 and $78,000, the price could drop to $63,000. As of the time of writing, BTC is priced at $83,400, while $63,000 is the lowest on-chain realized price range for traders.
Do you think Bitcoin has entered a bear market? Will Bitcoin rebound or continue to decline in the coming weeks? At this moment, would you choose to buy the dip or continue to wait and see?
#比特币 #熊市预警 #CryptoQuant #MVRV
Recently, analysts at CryptoQuant have discovered some concerning signals through on-chain data, indicating that Bitcoin may be at the beginning of a bear market. While pullbacks in Bitcoin are not uncommon during a bull market, the current valuation indicators suggest that this adjustment could be deeper than before.
CryptoQuant's analysts found some troubling signals in the on-chain data. For instance, the Bitcoin bull-bear cycle indicator is currently at the most bearish level of this cycle, and the Z-score of the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has fallen below the 365-day moving average. This indicates that Bitcoin’s upward momentum has weakened.
Moreover, Bitcoin's demand is also contracting, and the pace at which whales are accumulating has slowed. Last week, Bitcoin's demand plummeted at the fastest rate since July 2024, dropping by 103,000 BTC in one go. It's not just the whales; the annual accumulation rate of other large investors has also significantly decreased, from 368,000 BTC in January to 268,000 BTC now.
What's more concerning is that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have now become net sellers of BTC, in stark contrast to the frenzied buying seen during the same period last year. So far this year, these ETFs have only bought about $700 million worth of BTC, whereas last year around this time, they bought $8.7 billion. This adds additional downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.
Additionally, the number of BTC flowing into the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase, from other platforms has also fallen below the 90-day moving average. Since February 13, Coinbase has been in a price adjustment period, when BTC was approximately $96,000. Typically, when demand is high, BTC flows into Coinbase, but the situation has reversed now.
CryptoQuant's analysts also mentioned that if BTC cannot maintain the support level between $75,000 and $78,000, the price could drop to $63,000. As of the time of writing, BTC is priced at $83,400, while $63,000 is the lowest on-chain realized price range for traders.
Do you think Bitcoin has entered a bear market? Will Bitcoin rebound or continue to decline in the coming weeks? At this moment, would you choose to buy the dip or continue to wait and see?
#比特币 #熊市预警 #CryptoQuant #MVRV
❗️The next 6–12 months will be bearish or show sideways price movement, as the Bitcoin bull cycle has ended – CEO #CryptoQuant Ki Yong Joo.
Among the indicators, he noted the market value to realized value ratio (#MVRV ), the spent coin output ratio (#SOPR ), and net unrealized profit or loss (#NUPL ) – these indicators showed turning points in past market cycles.
💡 Some users reminded that in 2020 CryptoQuant already gave a false sell signal #BTC .
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
Among the indicators, he noted the market value to realized value ratio (#MVRV ), the spent coin output ratio (#SOPR ), and net unrealized profit or loss (#NUPL ) – these indicators showed turning points in past market cycles.
💡 Some users reminded that in 2020 CryptoQuant already gave a false sell signal #BTC .
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#Bitcoin (BTC) Holds $109K as Short-Term Holders Capitulate but Long-Term Conviction Remains Strong
Bitcoin ($BTC ) has faced weeks of downward pressure after peaking at $124,000 in mid-August, with prices dipping as low as $107,270 before modestly rebounding to $109,540. While short-term holders are showing signs of capitulation, long-term investors continue to demonstrate conviction, suggesting the market may be nearing a turning point.
Bitcoin Price Action: From $124K Peak to $107K Low
After briefly crossing the $124,000 mark three weeks ago, Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase. As of the latest trading session, #BTC was priced at $109,540, marking a 0.56% daily gain but still reflecting a 3.74% monthly decline.
This retracement mirrors past market cycles, where overheated rallies often invite profit-taking, leading to a sharp but temporary downturn before stabilization.
Short-Term Holders Show Signs of Capitulation
The recent pullback has placed significant pressure on short-term holders (STHs), who often buy during price surges and panic-sell during downturns.
STH MVRV Falls Below 1
According to analyst Burak Kesmeci, the STH Market Value to Realized Value (#MVRV ) ratio dropped below 1 after 132 consecutive days in profit.
MVRV < 1: Indicates STHs are holding at a loss.
Previous instance: The last dip below 1 occurred in February 2025, lasting 58 days and coinciding with a Bitcoin plunge to $79,000.
This decline #signals that many newer investors are now underwater, heightening the risk of panic-driven exits.
Unrealized Profit/Loss Confirms Weakness...
read more 24crypto .news
Bitcoin ($BTC ) has faced weeks of downward pressure after peaking at $124,000 in mid-August, with prices dipping as low as $107,270 before modestly rebounding to $109,540. While short-term holders are showing signs of capitulation, long-term investors continue to demonstrate conviction, suggesting the market may be nearing a turning point.
Bitcoin Price Action: From $124K Peak to $107K Low
After briefly crossing the $124,000 mark three weeks ago, Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase. As of the latest trading session, #BTC was priced at $109,540, marking a 0.56% daily gain but still reflecting a 3.74% monthly decline.
This retracement mirrors past market cycles, where overheated rallies often invite profit-taking, leading to a sharp but temporary downturn before stabilization.
Short-Term Holders Show Signs of Capitulation
The recent pullback has placed significant pressure on short-term holders (STHs), who often buy during price surges and panic-sell during downturns.
STH MVRV Falls Below 1
According to analyst Burak Kesmeci, the STH Market Value to Realized Value (#MVRV ) ratio dropped below 1 after 132 consecutive days in profit.
MVRV < 1: Indicates STHs are holding at a loss.
Previous instance: The last dip below 1 occurred in February 2025, lasting 58 days and coinciding with a Bitcoin plunge to $79,000.
This decline #signals that many newer investors are now underwater, heightening the risk of panic-driven exits.
Unrealized Profit/Loss Confirms Weakness...
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Bitcoin Warning! MVRV collapse, dropping below $100,000 is imminent!
💥 Bitcoin pullback alert! MVRV collapse, is the $100,000 support in jeopardy?
Recently, the market performance of Bitcoin [#BTC ] has made many investors' hearts race 📉. The MVRV indicator has fallen below the 365-day moving average (SMA365), which is usually a signal of weakening cycle strength and potential prolonged adjustments. In the short term, BTC is facing pullback pressure near $124,400, while whether the market can maintain support between $110,000 and $108,800 has become the most concerning issue for investors.
⚡ MVRV warning: Bitcoin adjustments may intensify.
#MVRV Ratio has fallen below the long-term average, indicating that investors' paper profits in the market are shrinking, and the resilience of the long-term trend has declined. From the high point of 2.77 in March 2024 to now, Bitcoin's momentum has significantly weakened after reaching a peak of $124,400 📉.
Recently, the market performance of Bitcoin [#BTC ] has made many investors' hearts race 📉. The MVRV indicator has fallen below the 365-day moving average (SMA365), which is usually a signal of weakening cycle strength and potential prolonged adjustments. In the short term, BTC is facing pullback pressure near $124,400, while whether the market can maintain support between $110,000 and $108,800 has become the most concerning issue for investors.
⚡ MVRV warning: Bitcoin adjustments may intensify.
#MVRV Ratio has fallen below the long-term average, indicating that investors' paper profits in the market are shrinking, and the resilience of the long-term trend has declined. From the high point of 2.77 in March 2024 to now, Bitcoin's momentum has significantly weakened after reaching a peak of $124,400 📉.
#XRP Eyes New All-Time High as Rare Golden Cross Pattern Emerges
XRP is trading with renewed bullish momentum after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (#SEC ) officially closed its case against Ripple, removing a multi-year cloud of legal uncertainty. With investor sentiment surging, on-chain metrics now suggest that the digital asset could be on the verge of another significant rally—possibly setting a new all-time high.
#Ripple ’s Legal Victory Sets Stage for #Bullish Momentum
On August 7, 2025, Ripple and the SEC reached a final resolution in their high-profile legal battle over alleged unregistered securities sales. Both parties agreed to drop appeals related to Judge Analisa Torres’ ruling, which fined Ripple but also prohibited institutional sales of XRP moving forward.
The closure of the case has provided regulatory clarity, a factor that market observers say could help institutional adoption of XRP accelerate. The token’s price reacted positively, rising to $3.32 by press time—up 0.65% in the past 24 hours and nearly 11% in the past week, according to data from Finbold.
Golden Cross in #MVRV Ratio Signals Potential Upside
According to data from Santiment, XRP’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has just formed a rare golden cross. This technical pattern occurs when the short-term MVRV ratio crosses above its 200-day moving average (MA)—a signal that often precedes substantial price rallies.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted the development in an August 8 post on X (formerly Twitter), noting that this pattern has appeared only twice in recent years. In both cases, $XRP posted massive gains shortly afterward—630% in one instance and 54% in another.
The MVRV ratio is a key on-chain metric that measures whether an asset is undervalued or overvalued compared to its historical acquisition price. A rising MVRV often indicates increasing profitability among holders, potentially attracting more buyers.
Potential Price Targets: $24.42 in Sight?
more: 24crypto(dot)news
XRP is trading with renewed bullish momentum after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (#SEC ) officially closed its case against Ripple, removing a multi-year cloud of legal uncertainty. With investor sentiment surging, on-chain metrics now suggest that the digital asset could be on the verge of another significant rally—possibly setting a new all-time high.
#Ripple ’s Legal Victory Sets Stage for #Bullish Momentum
On August 7, 2025, Ripple and the SEC reached a final resolution in their high-profile legal battle over alleged unregistered securities sales. Both parties agreed to drop appeals related to Judge Analisa Torres’ ruling, which fined Ripple but also prohibited institutional sales of XRP moving forward.
The closure of the case has provided regulatory clarity, a factor that market observers say could help institutional adoption of XRP accelerate. The token’s price reacted positively, rising to $3.32 by press time—up 0.65% in the past 24 hours and nearly 11% in the past week, according to data from Finbold.
Golden Cross in #MVRV Ratio Signals Potential Upside
According to data from Santiment, XRP’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has just formed a rare golden cross. This technical pattern occurs when the short-term MVRV ratio crosses above its 200-day moving average (MA)—a signal that often precedes substantial price rallies.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted the development in an August 8 post on X (formerly Twitter), noting that this pattern has appeared only twice in recent years. In both cases, $XRP posted massive gains shortly afterward—630% in one instance and 54% in another.
The MVRV ratio is a key on-chain metric that measures whether an asset is undervalued or overvalued compared to its historical acquisition price. A rising MVRV often indicates increasing profitability among holders, potentially attracting more buyers.
Potential Price Targets: $24.42 in Sight?
more: 24crypto(dot)news
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