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Bitcoin is trading around $67,925 as of 8 a.m. EST, valuing the network near $1.35 trillion in market cap. Over the past 24 hours, roughly $51.15 billion has changed hands, with price moving between $65,932 and $68,371.
Right now, BTC is moving sideways just below a major resistance zone. The recent bounce is running into a bigger bearish trend on higher timeframes. While momentum is trying to level out, the overall technical picture shows the market still needs stronger confirmation before any real shift higher.
Bitcoin Chart Outlook
On the daily timeframe, bitcoin is still in a bearish structure, shown by consistent lower highs and lower lows after the strong rejection around $97,900. The sharp selloff that wicked down near $59,930 looked like a panic flush, which was followed by a bounce back into the $68,000–$70,000 zone where price is now tightening.
Key resistance sits around $70,000 to $72,000, with a wider selling area between $75,000 and $80,000. Solid support is near $60,000, and if price slips under $59,000, the next downside area opens around $52,000 to $54,000.
Unless BTC can break back above $72,000 with strong volume, the daily outlook stays bearish.
On the 4 hour chart, bitcoin is showing a bounce that fits more as a pullback inside the larger downtrend. After dipping near $66,000, price has slowly pushed up toward the $68,000–$69,000 area, but trading volume is fading as it moves higher which points to weak buying strength.
Resistance is stacked around $69,500 to $71,000, while short term support is holding near $66,000 with a critical breakdown zone around $64,000. From a structure point of view, this looks like a classic relief move instead of a real trend reversal the type of bounce that feels bullish at first but usually runs into selling pressure above.

On the 1 hour timeframe, price is looking slightly stronger in the short term, forming small higher highs and higher lows that point to brief bullish momentum. Resistance is sitting around $68,500 to $69,000, and volume isn’t showing a strong surge yet, so any breakout still needs solid confirmation.
If bitcoin can hold above $69,000, it could push toward the $70,000 to $71,000 area. But if price drops back below $67,000, that short term bullish setup breaks down. Rejection around $69,000 to $70,000 could also send price back toward $66,000, and possibly as low as $64,000.
There’s some near term strength showing, but it’s still happening within a bigger bearish trend.

Momentum indicators suggest the market is cooling off and trying to steady, but not actually turning bullish yet. The RSI sits around 32, close to oversold but still neutral. The Stochastic is near 29, also in neutral territory. The CCI is about –85, which remains neutral as well.
The ADX is high around 54, showing a strong trend is still in play overall. The Awesome Oscillator is negative near –14,576, staying neutral, while momentum is at roughly –10,705, flashing a sell signal. The MACD is around –5,734, also giving a sell signal.
Overall, nothing here points to excitement or a strong reversal yet the tone remains cautious and heavy.
Moving averages are signaling a clear bearish trend across all key timeframes. Both simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential moving averages (EMA) are pointing down, showing ongoing selling pressure.
The shorter-term EMA (10) at $70,809 and SMA (10) at $69,539 are both in sell territory. The EMA (20) at $75,466 and SMA (20) at $77,022 confirm continued weakness. Longer-term averages follow the same pattern, with EMA (30) at $78,695, SMA (30) at $82,215, EMA (50) at $82,727, and SMA (50) at $85,372, all reinforcing the downward bias.
The moving average picture clearly favors the bears.
Even the longer-term averages are bearish, with the EMA (100) at $89,003 and SMA (100) at $88,709, as well as the EMA (200) at $94,887 and SMA (200) at $101,303, all showing sell signals. Overall, the trend continues to favor the downside, and breaking back above $72,000 with strong volume remains the key level for any meaningful upside shift.
Bull Verdict
If bitcoin manages to break and stay above $69,000 with rising volume, short-term momentum on the 1-hour chart could push price toward the $70,000–$72,000 resistance zone. Clearing $72,000 convincingly would start to weaken the daily bearish pattern and test the existing lower-high structure. In that case, what looks like a simple relief bounce could turn into a more significant move, shifting the market from a reactive rebound to a possible trend change.
Bear Verdict
If bitcoin cannot hold above $69,000–$70,000, especially with increasing selling volume, the larger downtrend stays in control. The daily chart still shows lower highs, and moving averages are all pointing down. Rejection around this resistance zone could push price back toward $66,000, then $64,000, with $60,000 as the next key support. Until $72,000 is broken with strong conviction, any rally remains fragile inside the prevailing bearish trend.

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If $BTC drops to 48K, here’s what $ETH probably does — based on numbers, not emotions.
First, look at what already happened.
BTC peaked near 126K and fell to 60K — roughly a 52% decline.
ETH peaked around 4,950 and dropped to 1,750 — about a 65% decline.
ETH didn’t just mirror BTC. It amplified the move by roughly 1.25x, mostly because of leverage and panic unwinds. That first wave of damage has already played out.
So the real question isn’t whether ETH can fall further.
It’s from what level, and under what conditions.
Now assume BTC loses 60K and trends down to 48K — another 20% downside.
ETH’s reaction depends entirely on where it’s trading when that happens.
Scenario 1: ETH recovers to 2,300–2,400 before BTC drops
This is the most reasonable setup.
Using the historical ETH/BTC volatility ratio (1.2x–1.3x): A 20% BTC decline implies roughly a 24–26% ETH decline.
2,400 → ~1,800
2,300 → ~1,700
That’s not chaos. That’s controlled fear.
Scenario 2: ETH is already weak around 1,900–2,000
Now the cushion is smaller. Liquidations trigger faster.
In that case: 1,500–1,400 becomes likely
Fast downside wicks are possible
Not because ETH is structurally broken — but because leverage gets flushed again.
Scenario 3: Full market panic (low probability, high impact)
This would require: • BTC losing 48K aggressively
• A macro shock or liquidity event
Only then do we discuss: 1,100–1,200 wicks
Sharp, emotional, short-lived extremes
Maximum pain. Minimal duration.
What most people ignore:
ETH already experienced its first panic leg at 1,750. Second legs, if they come, are usually: • Slower
• Less explosive
• More selective
That’s why survival matters more than prediction.
Straight conclusion:
ETH below 1,500 likely requires BTC to still be trending down.
ETH below 1,300 probably needs real systemic fear — not social media noise.
Overleveraged traders get wiped in this range.
Patient spot holders typically don’t.
Markets don’t pay you for conviction.
They pay you for risk control.
If BTC truly trades at 48K, where do real buyers step in for ETH?
1,400?
1,200?
Lower?
Serious takes only.

If $BTC drops to 48K, what does that realistically mean for $ETH ? Let’s break it down with data — not hype.

First, context matters.

BTC peaked around 126K and pulled back to 60K — roughly a 52% correction.
ETH topped near 4,950 and dropped to 1,750 — about a 65% drawdown.

So ETH didn’t just mirror BTC. It amplified the move by roughly 1.25x, largely due to leverage and panic unwinds. A big portion of that damage has already played out.

The real question now isn’t “Can ETH fall more?”
It’s from what level — and under what conditions?

Assume this scenario:
BTC loses 60K and drifts down to 48K — about a 20% decline.

How ETH reacts depends heavily on where it’s trading when that happens.

Scenario 1: ETH recovers to 2,300–2,400 before BTC drops
This is the most balanced setup.
Using the same 1.2x–1.3x volatility relationship:

A 20% BTC drop → 24–26% ETH drop

• 2,400 → ~1,800
• 2,300 → ~1,700

That’s not collapse — that’s controlled downside pressure.

Scenario 2: ETH is already weak around 1,900–2,000
Now the cushion is smaller.
Liquidations trigger faster.

In this case, ETH likely trades into the 1,500–1,400 zone, with potential quick wicks below.
Not because fundamentals break — but because leverage gets cleared again.

Scenario 3: True market panic (low probability, high impact)
This would require:
• BTC losing 48K aggressively
• A macro shock or liquidity crunch

Only then do we talk about 1,100–1,200 wicks — fast, emotional, short-lived moves designed to cause maximum pain.

Here’s what most overlook:
ETH already had its first panic leg at 1,750.

Second legs are usually:
• Slower
• Less explosive
• More selective

This is why survival matters more than prediction.

My view:
ETH under 1,500 likely requires BTC continuing lower.
Below 1,300 probably needs genuine panic — not social media fear.
Overleveraged traders won’t last in that range.
Patient spot holders often will.

Markets don’t reward bold predictions.
They reward disciplined risk management.

If BTC does move to 48K — where do you think ETH finds serious demand?
1,400? 1,200? Or lower?

Curious to hear thoughtful takes. 👇
#BTC☀ #BNB #Ethereum #BinanceSquareTalks