一哥缠论解盘

$FIL

🚨 FIL Emergency Entry Signal! The daily line rebound is about to take off, don’t miss it! 🚨

According to the Chande theory technical analysis, FIL is currently undergoing a daily line rebound. The four-hour second buy has been confirmed, and the daily target will be 1.12 to 1.2. FIL had a 30-minute level bottom divergence at 11 PM last night, which is likely to trigger a four-hour upward movement (a segment of the 30-minute line). After 11:30 PM, just patiently wait for the 30-minute second buy, with a four-hour rebound target of 0.96 to 1.

FIL Operating Strategy: Go Long
· 🎯 Entry Range: Around 0.88-0.89
· 🎯 Target: 0.94 0.96
· 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.85

PS: Altcoins can be highly volatile, make sure to set profit-taking and stop-loss measures to ensure that each loss does not exceed one-thirtieth of the principal. This is personal advice, for reference only, profits and losses are at your own risk.

2.12 #fil走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #黄金白银反弹

$BTC

 🚨BTC 68000 can’t hold? 4-hour MACD is about to cross down, don’t rush to give away your position!

According to technical analysis based on the theory of Chan, BTC experienced a 30-minute level top divergence around 7 AM yesterday, which triggered this wave of 4-hour level decline (30-minute segment). Currently, BTC does not yet have a complete five-wave structure at the 30-minute level. If a 4-hour bottom pattern + 30-minute level structure + 30-minute second buy occurs, then our opportunity to go long will come. For now, let’s be patient and wait.

Furthermore, from the historical K line perspective, it is generally likely for daily lows to drop for three consecutive days, with a high probability of continuing to fall for a few more days. If BTC breaks below the 68000 neckline and goes near 64000, the probability is quite substantial. Additionally, with the 4-hour MACD about to cross down, the risk of going long at this position is still rather high. For beginners, given the recent market volatility, it’s better not to play short-term trades. Instead, we can aim for a medium-term profit of about 15-20 points which is quite comfortable. At that time, the target will still look towards around 75000 to 77000.

2.10 day #btc走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #黄金白银反弹

$ETH

⚠️ Is ETH about to break? Don't rush to send money! Can it hold at 2000?

According to technical analysis based on the theory of Chan, ETH experienced a 30-minute level top divergence around 7 AM yesterday, which triggered this four-hour level decline (a segment of the 30-minute line). Currently, ETH already has a 30-minute level structure but it's non-divergent. If a four-hour bottom pattern + 30-minute level structure + 30-minute second buy appears, then our opportunity to go long will come. For now, let's remain patient.

Moreover, from the historical candlestick perspective, it's generally likely for daily lows to decrease for three consecutive days, and there is still a high probability of continuing to drop for a few more days. If ETH breaks below the 2000 neckline and heads towards 1900, the probability is quite significant. For beginners, given the recent volatile market conditions, it’s better not to play short-term trades; instead, we could aim for a medium-term gain of about 15-20 points, which would be quite comfortable. The target remains around 2400.

2.10 #eth走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #黄金白银反弹

$BTC

🚨BTC bottom signal confirmed! The pinning at 65700 has ended, and the bulls are gathering! 🚀

According to the Chande theory technical analysis, last night at 11 PM, BTC experienced a 30-minute level bottom divergence, which is very likely to trigger a four-hour upward movement (a segment of the 30-minute line), and the second buy in the four-hour pen has been established, with initial targets at 70800, 72500, and 74000. Currently, BTC has also retraced to near the Fibonacci 0.5 level.

Last night, the big coin was pinned down to around 65718, which was also a volume pin; generally, as long as the volume reclaims the support level, it indicates that the contract liquidation is very likely to bottom out. Currently, the BTC 30-minute structure is very full, having gone through two standard central areas plus a quasi-central area. Additionally, the four-hour MACD is about to golden cross, indicating a high probability of a bottom. I hope fans can catch a good medium-term rebound, and then wait for it to rise above 77000, followed by a complete four-hour structure + four-hour top divergence + four-hour pen second sell to make a medium-term short position.

2.12 #btc走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #黄金白银反弹

$DOGE

【Chande Theory Market Analysis】The textbook-style 'Second Buy' for doge has appeared! How high can this daily rebound go?

According to Chande Theory technical analysis, doge is currently experiencing a daily rebound. The four-hour 'Second Buy' has been confirmed, and the daily target will be 0.109 0.118. Last night at 11 PM, a 30-minute level bottom divergence occurred, which is likely to trigger a four-hour upward movement (a segment of the 30-minute line). After 11:30 PM, just patiently wait for the 30-minute 'Second Buy'; the four-hour rebound target is 0.96 1.

doge operating strategy: go long
· 🎯 Entry range: around 0.09-0.091
· 🎯 Targets: 0.95 0.99 0.103
· 🛑 Stop loss: 0.0863

PS: Altcoins are highly volatile, so be sure to set profit-taking and stop-loss levels, ensuring that no loss exceeds one-thirtieth of the principal. This is personal advice and for reference only; profits and losses are at your own risk.

2.12 #doge走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #黄金白银反弹

$ETH

The rules of the analysis! ETH's four-hour second buy established, is this the last opportunity to get in?

According to the analysis technique, at 11 PM last night, ETH experienced a 30-minute level divergence, which is likely to trigger a four-hour upward move (a segment of 30 minutes), establishing the second buy on the four-hour chart, with initial targets at 2100, 2160, 2200. Currently, ETH has also retraced to around the Fibonacci 0.618 level.

Last night, ETH spiked to around 1901, which was also a significant volume spike. Generally, as long as the volume recovers above the support level, it indicates a high probability of the contract hitting a bottom. At this moment, the stop-loss is slightly larger, so I plan to hold the previous position and wait for it to break 1987, and then add to the position when it retraces without breaking 1929.

2.12 #eth走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #Gold and silver rebound

$BTC

BTC big waterfall? Don't panic! The main force is digging a gold pit for you at 63500!💎

Why did ETH drop like a dog today, while BTC held up relatively well? Those who understand the theory can see: BTC has already formed two 30-minute central points, and the structure is much fuller than Ethereum.

📝 At this moment, we only need to do one thing: follow the structure, currently moving down in a four-hour timeframe.
🛑 Do not blindly guess the bottom, we must wait for the following signals to confirm the end of the decline:
✅ 4-hour bottom pattern
✅ 30-minute level bottom divergence
✅ 30-minute level second buy

🎯 Price spoiler:
63500-64500 (this is likely the bottom of this round of adjustment), but it still depends on the theory structure + bottom divergence + second buy. Rebound target: once the structure is completed, the 4-hour level rebound will directly go to 74500-77000!

⏰ Time node:
Tonight, there is likely to be a 30-minute three sell (short opportunity), the real medium-term long position opportunity is expected tomorrow afternoon or evening, then wait for the daily rebound to end (4-hour level top divergence) to short for 7-10 days medium-term short position, trading is not gambling, it is about responding and following the rhythm.

2.11 #btc走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #gold and silver rebound

$ETH

🚨ETH Big Waterfall? 2000 indeed couldn't hold! The next script for ETH has been written, don't panic! This is just a squat before the jump! 💎

Yesterday, I posted that 2000 was about to break, and today there's a big waterfall; this mouth has been opened.
According to the theory of Chan analysis, ETH is currently experiencing a four-hour level downward move. As for whether the four-hour level sell signal will turn into a buy signal or continue to make new lows, we just need to follow the structure. Whenever a four-hour bottom pattern + 30-minute level bottom divergence + 30-minute level buy signal appears, that will be when the decline ends, and we can continue to ride a wave of four-hour rebound.

From the current perspective, ETH has already broken the central axis. It is highly likely that a 30-minute sell signal will come out tonight, which may provide a short opportunity. My expected target for this round of four-hour decline is around 1860-1880, and then continue to rebound and break new highs to around 2360-2380. So let's be patient and wait. The earliest opportunity for this medium-term long position might be tomorrow afternoon or evening, and then we wait for the daily rebound to end (four-hour level top divergence) to take a short position for 7-10 days of medium-term short.

2.11 #eth走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #黄金白银反弹

$EGLD After breaking through the key resistance at 4.65, it is undergoing a healthy pullback with decreasing volume, indicating institutional support through deep buy orders.
🎯 Direction: Long
🎯 Entry: 4.62 - 4.58
🛑 Stop Loss: 4.52 (below the previous low and EMA50 support, strict stop loss)
🚀 Target 1: 4.85
🚀 Target 2: 5.00
Market Analysis: The price strongly broke through the resistance level of 4.65 (previous high transition level), followed by a decrease in volume, which is typical of a healthy reset after a breakout. The 4-hour candlestick indicates evident buying absorption, with very weak selling pressure.
Core Logic: 1. Technical Resonance: The price is stable above EMA20 (4.541), RSI (55.45) is in a healthy neutral zone, with no overbought risk. ATR (0.118) shows moderate volatility, favorable for trend continuation.
2. Order Book Signal: The deep imbalance is -4.81%, but the thickness of buy orders at the key support level (4.62-4.58) is significantly better than sell orders, forming an invisible support wall, which is typical of institutional accumulation and support structure.
3. Market Structure: Open interest is stable, and the funding rate is only 0.01%, eliminating the risk of short squeezes or excessive leverage. Price action shows orderly advancement rather than emotional FOMO. Pulling back to the breakout level and EMA20 area is a low-risk, high-reward entry point for bulls.

Trade here 👇$EGLD
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#btc走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #黄金白银反弹
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$ETH

$LINK is weakly consolidating below EMA20, at the daily level it is in a downward channel, but there are signs of buying absorption at the 4H level.
🎯 Direction: Flat
Market Analysis: The price (8.403) is below EMA20 (8.5131) and EMA50 (8.9018), indicating an overall bearish trend. RSI (42.55) is in a neutral to weak area, with no oversold signals. The 4H candlestick shows a long lower shadow in the 8.122-8.137 area, accompanied by stable buying volume (~0.5), indicating some demand in that area.
Core Logic: The key conflict is that both long and short momentum are unclear. Bearish Logic: The price is below the major EMAs, the daily trend is downward, and deep imbalance (-7.54%) shows slight selling pressure. Bullish Logic: Open interest is stable, funding rate is slightly positive (0.0078%), no signs of major players closing long positions, and buying absorption is observed near 8.12.
Currently lacking high win-rate trading structures. Long trades need to wait for the price to reclaim EMA20 (8.513) with a confirming increase in open interest; short trades require a rebound to the EMA20/50 resonance zone (8.51-8.90) with signals such as a positive funding rate and RSI divergence. Currently in a chaotic zone, risk control is priority, flat and watchful.

Trade here 👇$LINK
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#plasma #btc走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘
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$ETH

$BTC

The plan is set: accumulate long positions after a BTC four-hour pullback, short above 77000.

Currently, BTC is under pressure around the 0.382 level near 71563. Coupled with the recent short-term fluctuations, it is indeed difficult to trade in the short term. I still hope you can establish a medium-term position at the four-hour level.

According to the theory of cycles and technical analysis, BTC is currently experiencing a daily rebound. It is best to patiently wait for a four-hour level drop, estimating a pullback to the 0.618 or 0.782 levels to accumulate long positions. Then, take profits in batches in the 74000-77000 range, and short in batches above 77000, holding a short position for about 10-15 days.

From the 30-minute perspective, BTC has already seen a potential top divergence at the 30-minute level. I don't know if a second sell signal will emerge in the evening 30-minute chart. If it does, those who want to try a short can do so lightly, as the daily lows are still rising, and the pullback strength is lacking, so the shorts should be small positions.

2.9日 #eth走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #黄金白银反弹

$AVAX shows a continuous decline on the 4-hour chart, with the price having fallen below EMA20 (9.013) and testing recent low support.
🎯 Direction: No Position
Market Analysis: The price has retraced from the high of 9.18, and the buying ratio in the 4-hour candlestick remains below 0.5, indicating that active selling pressure is dominant. Although the funding rate is negative (-0.0259%), the open interest (OI) trend is stable, with no increase in OI that would indicate a short squeeze. The current decline seems more like long liquidation or distribution by major players.
Core Logic: The key contradiction lies in the deep imbalance (5.59%) and the divergence in price action. The order book shows that the thickness of buy orders (Bids) is significantly better than that of sell orders (Asks), indicating signs of institutional support and accumulation, but the price has failed to rebound, suggesting that the buying below may be passive absorption rather than active offense.
Technical Resonance: RSI (39.22) has not entered the oversold zone, leaving room for further decline. The price is below all EMAs (9.013/9.425), with a bearish structure. The current price level around 8.76 lacks clear PA signal support, with the previous low of 8.305 being a key liquidity area.
Trading Plan: Wait for two signals: 1. A clear 4-hour pin bar or bullish engulfing pattern appears in the deep buy zone (e.g., 8.70-8.75), accompanied by an increase in buying ratio above 0.55, then consider accumulating long positions on the left side. 2. If the price breaks down below the previous low of 8.30 with increased volume, then the downside opens up, and it may be prudent to short in the direction of the trend. Currently lacking a high win-rate structure, no position and waiting.

Trade here 👇$AVAX
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$ETH

$PYTH forms a downward continuation platform at the 4H level, with prices suppressed below EMA20 (0.0456), and the rebound is weak.
🎯 Direction: NoPosition
Market Analysis: Prices have retreated from a high of 0.0464, continuously closing in the red. The latest 4H candlestick buy/sell ratio of 0.5 shows a balance between bulls and bears, but overall trading volume has shrunk, indicating that the downward momentum has temporarily slowed, though this is not a reversal signal.
Core Logic: The key contradiction lies in the data divergence. The funding rate (-0.0013%) is negative, usually signaling bearish dominance or potential short squeeze, but the open interest (OI) trend is 'stable' rather than rising, weakening the short squeeze logic. Meanwhile, deep imbalance (1.45%) shows that sell orders (Asks) are significantly heavier than buy orders (Bids), creating heavy selling pressure above.
Technical Resonance: RSI (41.68) is in a weak zone but not oversold, with prices below all key EMAs (20/50), indicating a downward trend. The order book shows dense buy support from 0.0445 to 0.0447, but the selling volume from 0.0445 to 0.0446 is larger, forming short-term pressure.
Trading Plan: The current structure is a weak consolidation, lacking clear signals for going long or short. Going long requires waiting for prices to regain above EMA20 (0.0456) accompanied by an increase in OI; going short requires waiting for a rebound to the key resistance zone of 0.0459-0.0462, along with a positive funding rate and a decrease in OI. Currently, it is advisable to stay out and observe, waiting for the market to choose a direction.

Trade here 👇$PYTH
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#btc走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #黄金白银反弹
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$ETH

$BTC

BTC aims for 78865? A daily rebound has been confirmed; don't fall before dawn, patiently wait for a four-hour pullback.

According to Chande's technical analysis, BTC is currently undergoing a four-hour segment rebound (a daily rebound), so you just need to patiently wait for the four-hour pullback (four-hour segment buy) to enter long. The first target for the rebound is 74365, the second target is 78865, and the final target still depends on when the four-hour tops out.

From the perspective of the 10-minute segment level, it is currently forming a 10-minute segment central oscillation, and is now in the continuation of the third 10-minute segment. If you want to trade short-term, wait for the 10-minute segment pullback, and then you can make a move when the 10-minute segment exits.

2.8 #btc走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #BTC何时反弹？

$TRIA experienced a violent rebound of 13% after a sharp decline, but the 4H structure indicates a typical short-covering rally, rather than a healthy reversal. The price faced strong resistance at 0.01958 and formed a long upper shadow. Key data: Taker Volume shows net selling, funding rates remain negative, but open interest is stable, indicating the rebound is driven by short covering, not new long positions. The buy/sell order ratio continues to stay below 0.5, reflecting extremely weak market buying interest. The area between 0.0185-0.0196 constitutes a strong supply zone.
🎯 Direction: Short
🎯 Entry: 0.0178 - 0.0183
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.0197 (hard stop loss)
🚀 Target 1: 0.0160
🚀 Target 2: 0.0145
Logical core: Price action (PA) shows that the volume at the rebound peak is shrinking, which is a typical “dead cat bounce” with no follow-up buying. The order book is heavily stacked with sell orders (Ask) above 0.0181, creating significant resistance. Combined with negative funding rates and stable open interest, the main intention is to use the rebound for secondary distribution or to establish short positions, rather than accumulation. The rebound has not reclaimed the previous lower decline center (around 0.0188), and the market structure remains bearish. This rebound provides an excellent opportunity for high win-rate short positions.

Trade here 👇$TRIA
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#eth走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #黄金白银反弹
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$ETH

$ETH

Give up on short-term trading for ETH, and in the next layout, aim for 15-20 points.

Currently, ETH is under pressure around the four-hour resistance level of 2140, and it has been very difficult to trade short-term recently due to constant fluctuations. It's better to patiently wait for a drop on the four-hour chart, then catch the third rebound on the four-hour chart. At that time, the daily rebound target can be set at 2400.

According to Chen's theory of technical analysis, from the one-hour level, it can be seen that there is already a potential top divergence at the one-hour level, and it has diverged twice. Therefore, it is not suitable to go long at this position; if going short, wait for the one-hour level to sell after the second pen, which may have to wait until midnight.

PS: If short-term trading is difficult, then consider a medium-term order for a drop on the four-hour chart, entering long in batches when it retraces to 0.618 or 0.782, and aiming for 15-20 points is also good.

2.9 #eth走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹

$PIPPIN completed a breakout with high volume on the 4-hour level, and the current price is strongly consolidating near the breakout high, forming a healthy pullback.
🎯 Direction: Long
🎯 Entry: 0.230 - 0.234
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.203 (rigid stop loss)
🚀 Target 1: 0.260
🚀 Target 2: 0.285
Logic: The latest 4H candlestick saw a surge in trading volume to 190 million, which is 2.3 times that of the previous one, signaling a clear entry of institutional funds. The price rose directly from 0.189 to 0.237, breaking through all previous resistances. Although Taker Volume shows a sell signal, the price did not significantly retreat, and a dense buy order was formed around 0.234 (with significant buy order depth), which is a typical 'sell orders being absorbed' phenomenon. Open interest remains stable, and the funding rate is only 0.18%, with no extreme greed observed, indicating a healthy foundation for the rise, not a short squeeze. The current pullback to above the breakout level presents a low-risk, high-reward entry opportunity.

Trade here 👇$pippin
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$ETH

$ETH

⚠️ETH Air Force please note! Do not lick blood on the muzzle of the daily line rebound!

According to the theory of Chan's technical analysis, ETH is starting a daily line rebound. Currently, there is a continuation of a four-hour rebound. From the one-hour level, it is currently constructing a one-hour level center, and it is expected that in the evening or tomorrow morning, a one-hour departure will occur. As the current fluctuating range gradually narrows, the difficulty of operation has increased. It is still advisable to patiently wait for a four-hour pullback to go long. If you really want to go short against the trend, you must at least wait for the four-hour top pattern to appear + one-hour level top divergence + one-hour pen second sell to go short. Since the daily low points are gradually rising, I still do not recommend going short as the risk-reward ratio is too small.

From the 10-minute pen structure, it is currently continuing the 10-minute segment, and it is estimated that a 10-minute departure will occur tonight. 2124 and 2125 are also parallel tops, and it is highly likely to break. If you hold long positions and 2125 is indeed broken tonight, then hold on, based on the one-hour closing line. If it is a false break, reduce your position or close it, and patiently wait for a four-hour decline before entering long again.

2.8 Day #eth走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #BTC何时反弹？

$ETH

The big boss is cutting losses and leaving the market. Is ETH temporarily stabilizing, and is a reversal signal already present?

Currently, ETH is temporarily stabilizing near the gap from the surge and the weekly support level, and the daily chart is very strong, with almost no upper shadows. It has been reported that Yi Lihua has also been cutting losses and reducing leverage. For now, let's look for a daily rebound. The daily resistance level to aim for is the middle band of the daily Bollinger Bands. If it breaks through the middle band, we look at the upper band, and if it breaks below the middle band, we will continue to look for a bottom. According to the theory of cycles in technical analysis, ETH is currently experiencing a one-hour segment rebound, aiming first at the target range of 2300-2350. The second buy in the one-hour segment is the time to enter, so be patient and wait for a downward segment to emerge in 10 minutes. For now, let's look at around 1890, specifically observing the 10-minute structure; wherever the structure falls, that's where it will be.

Currently, the 10-minute segment has already completed two central pivots, and there has been a potential top divergence on the 10-minute chart. Whether the high point is broken in the afternoon or not, the second sell in the 10-minute segment is likely to occur. The rebound segment in the 10-minute chart is probably nearing its end, so just be patient and wait for a reversal segment in 10 minutes.

2.7 Day #eth走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #Cryptocurrency

$BTC

Is the violent rebound of BTC by 20% just the beginning? The target is 75100, but this wave of pullback must be caught!

Currently, ETH has shown a daily bottom formation. Although BTC has not yet shown a daily bottom formation, it is also in a bullish engulfing pattern. Today at 8 AM, the closing price had no upper shadow at all, which is very strong and indicates a short-term phase bottom. First, we look for a daily rebound, and with this wave, BTC has dropped from 98000 to 59800, a drop of nearly 40 points. Based on the drop, I estimated last night that it would at least rebound by 20 points, and now it has risen to around 7.2, which is also about 20 points. It is currently under pressure at the weekly resistance level near 7.2 (Figure 1). The one-hour segment has fallen from 90600 to 59800. If we pull a Fibonacci retracement, we first look for this wave's one-hour segment to rebound to 0.5, which is around 75100.

According to the theory of trading, the current BTC one-hour level structure is complete, although it is a one-hour level without divergence. However, this segment has rebounded by about 20 points, and the strength is very strong. We still look for a rebound in the one-hour level segment first. For now, we patiently wait for the one-hour pullback to finish (Figure 2). We will then wait for a complete 10-minute structure + bottom divergence + 10-minute second buy, because the theory of trading only waits for structure + divergence (Figure 3). If we must give a bottom position, then wait for a pullback to the one-hour small track to buy in batches. If you are aggressive and want to buy at 0.382, then place a quarter of your position at the spot at the 0.5 level, and then add another quarter. For conservative traders, start buying from 0.5 and reduce one level to 0.618 (Figure 4).

2.7 #btc走势分析 #一哥缠论解盘 #加密市场反弹