Longest consolidation range since the $0.90-$1.00 zone.
As long as local support holds, breakout still favours the upside. Clear minor high now established within this local range.
First move is probably a wick sweep that gets rejected by trapped longs, then price attempts to reach $0.81. Measured move of the rectangle puts the target around the same area.
$202 million more in sell orders than buy orders within 5% of price.
But here's what's interesting. That imbalance was over $600M a couple weeks ago. Each bounce is eating into the sell side bit by bit. Buyers are absorbing supply on every push up.
Problem is, look at price. Lower highs every single time. Buyers chew through a chunk of sellers, run out of gas, and price rolls over again. Then the sell side reloads.
Absorption only matters if buyers can sustain it. Right now they show up, take a bite, and disappear. The sell side thins out a little, then fills right back up.
$BTC –– How does a war between Iran & USA impact Bitcoin?
Everyone in crypto thinks war is bullish for Bitcoin. "Digital gold. Safe haven. Hedge against chaos."
Wrong.
BTC is not gold. It's not oil. It's not a commodity.
It's a risk asset. It sits in the same bucket as tech stocks and high-yield credit. When geopolitical risk spikes, that entire bucket gets sold.
Here's the sequence. It's the same every time:
1. Conflict escalates 2. Oil spikes on supply fear 3. Institutions go risk-off 4. Equities, crypto, and anything speculative gets dumped 5. Capital flows into oil, gold, treasuries, and cash 6. Selling doesn't stop until oil tops out
June 2025 Israel-Iran war:
Oil ran from $65 to $73. BTC was at $105K and dumped 10% to the mid $90Ks within days. Oil spiked up first. BTC dumped shortly after.
1991 Persian Gulf War:
Oil doubled from $17 to $40. Stocks, bonds, every risk asset on the planet bled. The selling didn't stop until oil topped out.
Same pattern. Thirty years apart.
Oil prices are the lead indicator for what will happen to Bitcoin. That's your early warning system. Not the news. Not Twitter. Not the headlines.
$XRP pushing into lower highs — higher timeframes still heavy.
Trading Plan — Short $XRP
Entry: 1.40 – 1.43 (intraday pullback)
SL: 1.50
TP1: 1.35
TP2: 1.32
TP3: 1.28
On the H1 chart, XRP printed a clear lower high at 1.49 after failing to reclaim the prior 1.51 swing. From there, price rolled over aggressively, breaking beneath the 1.44 and 1.42 supports with expanding bearish volume. The recent bounce from 1.38 looks weak and corrective, not impulsive. Structure is now firmly bearish with consecutive lower highs and lower lows. Sellers are in control, and any retracement into 1.40–1.43 likely offers continuation entries rather than reversal signals. As long as the price stays capped below 1.50, the bias remains to the downside. Liquidity rests under 1.38 and 1.32 — both natural magnets in the current momentum phase. Reclaiming 1.50 would invalidate the immediate bearish structure. Until then, the trend leans heavily.
Google searches for ‘Bitcoin going to zero’ at highest since 2022
Google searches for “Bitcoin going to zero” have surged to their highest level since the post‑FTX panic in November 2022, according to Google Trends data for the past five years. The spike aligns with Bitcoin’s latest drawdown from its Oct. 6, 2025, all‑time high near $126,000 to about $66,500 at the time of writing on Thursday, according to data from CoinGecko, leaving the asset almost 50% below its peak. At the same time, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index has plunged into extreme fear around 9, levels previously seen during the Terra ecosystem collapse and the FTX fallout in 2022. Google Trends shows that worldwide interest in the phrase “Bitcoin going to zero” last hit comparable levels in early November 2022, when FTX froze withdrawals, and Bitcoin crashed to around $15,000.
Today’s Bitcoin fears different from 2022 Crypto intelligence platform Perception analyzed narrative intelligence across 650+ crypto media sources and shared its findings with Cointelegraph. Founder Fernando Nikolic said that fear in 2022 was driven by internal events, such as cascading failures of centralized lenders and one of the industry’s largest exchanges, while today’s fear is “driven by macro fears and being amplified by a single bearish voice.” Nikolic said that Bloomberg’s Mike McGlone has been the loudest single voice driving the “Bitcoin could go to zero (or near-zero)” narrative, and that he has been a “one-man content machine this cycle,” calling Bitcoin to $10,000 on Feb. 3, saying markets were headed for a 2008-style crash and continuously calling for Bitcoin’s decline throughout the past month. He told Cointelegraph that McGlone is repeatedly amplified by crypto media sites and has “essentially been the go-to bearish quote for the past three weeks.” “This media saturation likely contributes directly to the Google search spike,” he said. Retail fear lags professional media sentiment Nikolic said that the actual counterpoint that “nobody is synthesizing” is that, while “Bitcoin to zero” searches are spiking, institutional buyers are accumulating more BTC, pointing to the fact that sovereign wealth funds, such as Abu Dhabi, are increasing their Bitcoin exchange-traded fund holdings, and large corporations like Strategy continue to stack BTC. According to Perception data, he said, media sentiment bottomed on Feb. 5, but has been recovering for two weeks, while Google “Bitcoin going to zero” searches are peaking now in mid-February. Related: Willy Woo warns quantum risk is eroding Bitcoin’s edge over gold Retail fear lags professional media sentiment by about 10-14 days, he said. “By the time the public is most scared, the professional narrative has already started to stabilize. The retail narrative and institutional behavior are moving in opposite directions.”
Research underpinning the index finds that spikes in global uncertainty tend to precede weaker output and slower growth as companies delay investment and hiring. Quantum fears have also been a persistent background narrative since October 2025, according to Nikolic, but he said that quantum fear spikes alongside price drops, not independently. “Bitcoin quantum” searches peaked in November 2025 and have been falling steadily since, according to Google Trends. “It’s an amplifier of existing bearish sentiment, not a standalone driver. The “Bitcoin going to zero” search trend is likely a composite of price-crash fear + quantum existential fear + McGlone-style macro doom, all converging in the same window.”
$XAU holding higher lows — structure building for a breakout.
Trading Plan — Long $XAU
Entry: Break & hold above 5,000
SL: Below 4,966
TP1: 5,080
TP2: 5,100
Gold remains in a broader consolidation after repeated rejections at 5,080–5,100. However, the reaction from 4,880–4,900 was strong and impulsive, confirming active buyer interest at support.
The recent rebound appears constructive, with the price attempting to establish higher lows rather than printing fresh weakness. This shift suggests accumulation beneath range highs.
As long as 4,880 holds, downside looks contained. A confirmed push through the 5,000 minor resistance would signal bullish continuation toward the 5,080–5,100 supply zone.
Failure at resistance would extend the range, but structure favors upside while price defends support.
Here’s What ChatGPT, Claude, and Grok Think About Eric Trump’s $1M Bitcoin Prediction
Bitcoin has recorded losses for about five consecutive weeks after a momentary upsurge at the beginning of the year. The cryptocurrency reversed after an initial rally to $97,939 in the second week of January 2026. Since then, BTC has declined nearly 40%, bounced off support, and is trading at $66,935 as of writing, according to TradingView’s data. Despite Bitcoin’s recent struggles, many analysts, particularly the crypto asset’s supporters, believe the bullish trend will return. One such supporter is Donald Trump’s pro-crypto son, Eric Trump, who recently stated his belief that Bitcoin will rally to $1 million. We asked AI solutions ChatGPT, Claude, and Grok about their opinions on the predictions of Bitcoin reaching $1 million and got the following responses: ChatGPT ChatGPT agrees with Trump’s prediction, but added the caveat that such a rally is not guaranteed. The AI solution provided reasons for aligning with Trump, including Bitcoin’s fundamental economics of rising demand amid fixed supply. According to ChatGPT, BTC can reach the $1 million target as early as 2027 if the industry experiences heavy institutional accumulation and very low selling. Notably, Bitcoin’s market cap will need to swell significantly for the cryptocurrency to achieve the $1 million dream. Beyond broad institutional investment, ChatGPT cited large holdings by governments or sovereign reserves and a high proportion of global wealth allocated to Bitcoin as the potential drivers for the million-dollar BTC dream. Claude According to Claude AI, Bitcoin can reach the $1 million. However, the main debate revolves around how soon it can happen. The AI solution analyzed Bitcoin’s historical performance, citing its rise from $0 to over $100,000 in less than 15 years as a yardstick to measure the cryptocurrency’s behavior. However, Claude noted that long-term projections suggest Bitcoin could reach between $1.4 million and $2.1 million by 2050. Meanwhile, more optimistic analysts project a shorter timeframe, targeting the mid-2030s for Bitcoin to reach the much-talked-about milestone. Grok Grok was affirmative in its response to the question of whether BTC can reach the $1 million target. According to Grok, Bitcoin can realistically hit $1 million, though the timeline, probability, and exact conditions remain heavily debated. The AI solution highlighted that it would take approximately a 15x increase from current levels for Bitcoin to achieve this feat, potentially pushing the digital asset’s market cap from roughly $1.3-$1.4 trillion to about $21 trillion. Grok noted that many prominent voices have gone beyond arguing whether Bitcoin can reach $1 million to debating that it could happen over the coming years. #StrategyBTCPurchase #BTC100kNext? #BTCVSGOLD
$BTC trading below key structure — regime still downside-favored.
Trading Plan — Defensive / No Position
Entry: Wait for reclaim or failed bounce into 70k–71k to Short
SL: Defined on confirmation setup
TP1: 60,000
TP2: 52,000
TP3: 44,000 region
Recent attempts to reclaim the 70–71k zone have failed. That area now acts as a rejection cluster, forming lower highs beneath dynamic resistance. Order flow suggests distribution rather than absorption. Until price shows clear strength reclaiming that zone, the path of least resistance remains lower. As long as BTC stays capped below 71k, continuation toward the 60k horizontal support remains technically consistent. A breakdown below 60k opens risk toward accelerated downside expansion, with stressed liquidity potentially extending into the low-40k region. BTC remains in a high-trend bearish environment. Price is trading below all major dynamic resistance levels — SMA200 (~99.6k), SMA50 (~82.6k), and EMA20 (~71.5k). This is not short-term volatility; this reflects structural damage across timeframes.
$XAG pushing into supply at $80 — structure starting to stall.
Trading Plan — Short $XAG
Entry: 79.2 – 80.0
SL: 81.2
TP1: 76.8
TP2: 76.0
TP3: 74.8
XAG expanded strongly yesterday, but price has now retraced directly into the $80 supply zone. The current reaction looks corrective rather than impulsive, with upside momentum slowing into resistance. Sellers are likely defending this area and no clean break or acceptance above $80 has occurred.
As long as price remains capped below 80, this sets up for a pullback toward the liquidity around 76.8 and potentially a deeper sweep into the 74.8 base if momentum accelerates.
SAYLOR’S AVERAGE PRICE GOING DOWN FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 2.5 YEARS
For the first time in 4 years - Saylor’s average BTC buy price went… DOWN.
Strategy purchased $168.4M of BTC, bringing MSTR’s average cost basis down $29 to $76,027. The last time this happened was on 25th September 2023, almost 2 and a half years ago.
The longer the market spends ranging, the bigger the move that follows. This has held at every single phase of the current cycle:
147 days of accumulation > $12,650 markup. 238 days of reaccumulation > $41,111 markup. 251 days of reaccumulation > $49,990 markup.
The cause is proportional to the effect. Now look at the distribution.
455 days. The longest phase on the entire chart by a wide margin. And the markdown has only just begun.
If cause and effect holds (which it has on every phase of this cycle), the move down from here is going to be more significant than anything we've seen so far. #BTCVSGOLD #BTC100kNext? #TrendingTopic