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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Jorge_75314:
6
As of **February 13, 2026**, Bitcoin (BTC) is navigating a period of significant volatility and "Ext
As of **February 13, 2026**, Bitcoin (BTC) is navigating a period of significant volatility and "Extreme Fear" in the market.
#btc
Below is a breakdown of the current market status and the key levels to watch:
$BTC
## Current Market Snapshot
* **Price:** Hovering around **$66,000 – $66,500** (approx. **₹60.6 Lakh**).
* **24h Trend:** Down about **1.1% to 1.8%**, continuing a downward trajectory that has seen BTC drop roughly **16% month-to-date**.
* **Market Sentiment:** The Fear & Greed Index is at a staggering **9 (Extreme Fear)**. Historically, this level of panic has often preceded local market bottoms, though it signals heavy short-term selling pressure.
---
## Technical & Macro Drivers
The market is currently reacting to a "risk-off" environment where investors are moving away from speculative assets. Key factors include:
* **Mining "Floor":** JPMorgan has revised the Bitcoin production cost estimate down to **$77,000**. Interestingly, the current price is trading *below* this estimated cost, which often puts pressure on miners but can signal a long-term support zone as network difficulty adjusts.
* **Support Levels:** Analysts are eyeing a defensive range between **$60,000 and $72,000**. If the $60k support fails to hold, some on-chain data points toward a "realized price" support near **$55,000**.
* **Upcoming Catalyst:** Markets are braced for the **U.S. CPI (inflation) data** release today. A higher-than-expected inflation reading could further dampen hopes for interest rate cuts, potentially adding more pressure to BTC.
---
### Key Data Summary
| Metric | Current Value (Approx.) |
| --- | --- |
| **All-Time High (Oct 2025)** | $126,272 |
| **Current Market Cap** | $1.33 Trillion |
| **Bitcoin Dominance** | 56.5% |
| **52-Week Low (Feb 6, 2026)** | $60,057 |
> **Note:** While short-term technicals look bearish (4th consecutive weekly decline), some institutional reports suggest that large-scale buyers are viewing these sub-$70k levels as an accumulation entry point for a potential late-2026 recovery.
**Would you like me to look into the specific performance of any altcoins (like Ethereum or Solana) to see how they are decoupling from BTC?**$BTC
#btc
Below is a breakdown of the current market status and the key levels to watch:
$BTC
## Current Market Snapshot
* **Price:** Hovering around **$66,000 – $66,500** (approx. **₹60.6 Lakh**).
* **24h Trend:** Down about **1.1% to 1.8%**, continuing a downward trajectory that has seen BTC drop roughly **16% month-to-date**.
* **Market Sentiment:** The Fear & Greed Index is at a staggering **9 (Extreme Fear)**. Historically, this level of panic has often preceded local market bottoms, though it signals heavy short-term selling pressure.
---
## Technical & Macro Drivers
The market is currently reacting to a "risk-off" environment where investors are moving away from speculative assets. Key factors include:
* **Mining "Floor":** JPMorgan has revised the Bitcoin production cost estimate down to **$77,000**. Interestingly, the current price is trading *below* this estimated cost, which often puts pressure on miners but can signal a long-term support zone as network difficulty adjusts.
* **Support Levels:** Analysts are eyeing a defensive range between **$60,000 and $72,000**. If the $60k support fails to hold, some on-chain data points toward a "realized price" support near **$55,000**.
* **Upcoming Catalyst:** Markets are braced for the **U.S. CPI (inflation) data** release today. A higher-than-expected inflation reading could further dampen hopes for interest rate cuts, potentially adding more pressure to BTC.
---
### Key Data Summary
| Metric | Current Value (Approx.) |
| --- | --- |
| **All-Time High (Oct 2025)** | $126,272 |
| **Current Market Cap** | $1.33 Trillion |
| **Bitcoin Dominance** | 56.5% |
| **52-Week Low (Feb 6, 2026)** | $60,057 |
> **Note:** While short-term technicals look bearish (4th consecutive weekly decline), some institutional reports suggest that large-scale buyers are viewing these sub-$70k levels as an accumulation entry point for a potential late-2026 recovery.
**Would you like me to look into the specific performance of any altcoins (like Ethereum or Solana) to see how they are decoupling from BTC?**$BTC
#btc Every cycle, $BTC drops 80%+ before the next major move:
• 2015: -83% → Massive rally
• 2018: -81% → New all-time highs
• 2022: -83% → Another explosive run
• 2026: -80% → ???
We've seen this movie before. The drawdowns look devastating in real-time, but they set the stage for what comes next.
The question isn't *if* Bitcoin recovers—it's whether you're positioned when it does.
Smart money accumulates when others capitulate.
• 2015: -83% → Massive rally
• 2018: -81% → New all-time highs
• 2022: -83% → Another explosive run
• 2026: -80% → ???
We've seen this movie before. The drawdowns look devastating in real-time, but they set the stage for what comes next.
The question isn't *if* Bitcoin recovers—it's whether you're positioned when it does.
Smart money accumulates when others capitulate.
#btc As of **February 13, 2026**, Bitcoin (BTC) is navigating a period of significant volatility and "Extreme Fear" in the market.
Below is a breakdown of the current market status and the key levels to watch:
## Current Market Snapshot
* **Price:** Hovering around **$66,000 – $66,500** (approx. **₹60.6 Lakh**).
* **24h Trend:** Down about **1.1% to 1.8%**, continuing a downward trajectory that has seen BTC drop roughly **16% month-to-date**.
* **Market Sentiment:** The Fear & Greed Index is at a staggering **9 (Extreme Fear)**. Historically, this level of panic has often preceded local market bottoms, though it signals heavy short-term selling pressure.
---
## Technical & Macro Drivers
The market is currently reacting to a "risk-off" environment where investors are moving away from speculative assets. Key factors include:
* **Mining "Floor":** JPMorgan has revised the Bitcoin production cost estimate down to **$77,000**. Interestingly, the current price is trading *below* this estimated cost, which often puts pressure on miners but can signal a long-term support zone as network difficulty adjusts.
* **Support Levels:** Analysts are eyeing a defensive range between **$60,000 and $72,000**. If the $60k support fails to hold, some on-chain data points toward a "realized price" support near **$55,000**.
* **Upcoming Catalyst:** Markets are braced for the **U.S. CPI (inflation) data** release today. A higher-than-expected inflation reading could further dampen hopes for interest rate cuts, potentially adding more pressure to BTC.
---
### Key Data Summary
| Metric | Current Value (Approx.) |
| --- | --- |
| **All-Time High (Oct 2025)** | $126,272 |
| **Current Market Cap** | $1.33 Trillion |
| **Bitcoin Dominance** | 56.5% |
| **52-Week Low (Feb 6, 2026)** | $60,057 |
> **Note:** While short-term technicals look bearish (4th consecutive weekly decline), some institutional reports suggest that large-scale buyers are viewing these sub-$70k levels as an accumulation entry point for a potential late-2026 recovery.
**$BTC
Below is a breakdown of the current market status and the key levels to watch:
## Current Market Snapshot
* **Price:** Hovering around **$66,000 – $66,500** (approx. **₹60.6 Lakh**).
* **24h Trend:** Down about **1.1% to 1.8%**, continuing a downward trajectory that has seen BTC drop roughly **16% month-to-date**.
* **Market Sentiment:** The Fear & Greed Index is at a staggering **9 (Extreme Fear)**. Historically, this level of panic has often preceded local market bottoms, though it signals heavy short-term selling pressure.
---
## Technical & Macro Drivers
The market is currently reacting to a "risk-off" environment where investors are moving away from speculative assets. Key factors include:
* **Mining "Floor":** JPMorgan has revised the Bitcoin production cost estimate down to **$77,000**. Interestingly, the current price is trading *below* this estimated cost, which often puts pressure on miners but can signal a long-term support zone as network difficulty adjusts.
* **Support Levels:** Analysts are eyeing a defensive range between **$60,000 and $72,000**. If the $60k support fails to hold, some on-chain data points toward a "realized price" support near **$55,000**.
* **Upcoming Catalyst:** Markets are braced for the **U.S. CPI (inflation) data** release today. A higher-than-expected inflation reading could further dampen hopes for interest rate cuts, potentially adding more pressure to BTC.
---
### Key Data Summary
| Metric | Current Value (Approx.) |
| --- | --- |
| **All-Time High (Oct 2025)** | $126,272 |
| **Current Market Cap** | $1.33 Trillion |
| **Bitcoin Dominance** | 56.5% |
| **52-Week Low (Feb 6, 2026)** | $60,057 |
> **Note:** While short-term technicals look bearish (4th consecutive weekly decline), some institutional reports suggest that large-scale buyers are viewing these sub-$70k levels as an accumulation entry point for a potential late-2026 recovery.
**$BTC
As of **February 13, 2026**, Bitcoin (BTC) is navigating a period of significant volatility and "Ext
As of **February 13, 2026**, Bitcoin (BTC) is navigating a period of significant volatility and "Extreme Fear" in the market.
#btc
Below is a breakdown of the current market status and the key levels to watch:
## Current Market Snapshot
* **Price:** Hovering around **$66,000 – $66,500** (approx. **₹60.6 Lakh**).
* **24h Trend:** Down about **1.1% to 1.8%**, continuing a downward trajectory that has seen BTC drop roughly **16% month-to-date**.
* **Market Sentiment:** The Fear & Greed Index is at a staggering **9 (Extreme Fear)**. Historically, this level of panic has often preceded local market bottoms, though it signals heavy short-term selling pressure.
---
## Technical & Macro Drivers
The market is currently reacting to a "risk-off" environment where investors are moving away from speculative assets. Key factors include:
* **Mining "Floor":** JPMorgan has revised the Bitcoin production cost estimate down to **$77,000**. Interestingly, the current price is trading *below* this estimated cost, which often puts pressure on miners but can signal a long-term support zone as network difficulty adjusts.
* **Support Levels:** Analysts are eyeing a defensive range between **$60,000 and $72,000**. If the $60k support fails to hold, some on-chain data points toward a "realized price" support near **$55,000**.
* **Upcoming Catalyst:** Markets are braced for the **U.S. CPI (inflation) data** release today. A higher-than-expected inflation reading could further dampen hopes for interest rate cuts, potentially adding more pressure to BTC.
---
### Key Data Summary
| Metric | Current Value (Approx.) |
| --- | --- |
| **All-Time High (Oct 2025)** | $126,272 |
| **Current Market Cap** | $1.33 Trillion |
| **Bitcoin Dominance** | 56.5% |
| **52-Week Low (Feb 6, 2026)** | $60,057 |
> **Note:** While short-term technicals look bearish (4th consecutive weekly decline), some institutional reports suggest that large-scale buyers are viewing these sub-$70k levels as an accumulation entry point for a potential late-2026 recovery.
**Would you like me to look into the specific performance of any altcoins (like Ethereum or Solana) to see how they are decoupling from BTC?**
#btc
Below is a breakdown of the current market status and the key levels to watch:
## Current Market Snapshot
* **Price:** Hovering around **$66,000 – $66,500** (approx. **₹60.6 Lakh**).
* **24h Trend:** Down about **1.1% to 1.8%**, continuing a downward trajectory that has seen BTC drop roughly **16% month-to-date**.
* **Market Sentiment:** The Fear & Greed Index is at a staggering **9 (Extreme Fear)**. Historically, this level of panic has often preceded local market bottoms, though it signals heavy short-term selling pressure.
---
## Technical & Macro Drivers
The market is currently reacting to a "risk-off" environment where investors are moving away from speculative assets. Key factors include:
* **Mining "Floor":** JPMorgan has revised the Bitcoin production cost estimate down to **$77,000**. Interestingly, the current price is trading *below* this estimated cost, which often puts pressure on miners but can signal a long-term support zone as network difficulty adjusts.
* **Support Levels:** Analysts are eyeing a defensive range between **$60,000 and $72,000**. If the $60k support fails to hold, some on-chain data points toward a "realized price" support near **$55,000**.
* **Upcoming Catalyst:** Markets are braced for the **U.S. CPI (inflation) data** release today. A higher-than-expected inflation reading could further dampen hopes for interest rate cuts, potentially adding more pressure to BTC.
---
### Key Data Summary
| Metric | Current Value (Approx.) |
| --- | --- |
| **All-Time High (Oct 2025)** | $126,272 |
| **Current Market Cap** | $1.33 Trillion |
| **Bitcoin Dominance** | 56.5% |
| **52-Week Low (Feb 6, 2026)** | $60,057 |
> **Note:** While short-term technicals look bearish (4th consecutive weekly decline), some institutional reports suggest that large-scale buyers are viewing these sub-$70k levels as an accumulation entry point for a potential late-2026 recovery.
**Would you like me to look into the specific performance of any altcoins (like Ethereum or Solana) to see how they are decoupling from BTC?**
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $65,684.86, showing a 24-hour change of -2.71%. Over the last week, the price has fallen by -7.01%, and its monthly performance shows a -25.57% decrease. Annually, Bitcoin has decreased by -31.29%.
Here's a breakdown of current market trends and factors influencing Bitcoin's price:
Current Market Sentiment & Price Action:
Bitcoin has seen recent volatility, with fluctuations around the $60,000 to $70,000 range.
The overall crypto market is currently shrinking, with a total market capitalization decrease of 5.90% from last week.
Despite some recent declines, there are signs of tentative improvement in sentiment as US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have recorded significant inflows.
However, uncertainty persists among traders regarding whether the market has fully recovered from recent downturns.
Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price:
Supply and Demand: Bitcoin has a limited supply of 21 million coins, creating scarcity. Its price is primarily driven by the dynamics of supply and demand.
Halving Events: Historically, Bitcoin halving events, which reduce the reward for miners and thus the rate of new Bitcoin production, have preceded significant bull markets. The last halving occurred in 2024, and the next is projected for 2028.
Market Sentiment and Speculation: Investor sentiment, often influenced by media coverage, regulatory news, and global economic conditions, significantly impacts Bitcoin's value. Speculative trading and investor emotions can lead to considerable price fluctuations.
Regulatory Developments: Government regulations play a crucial role, with how each government handles cryptocurrencies directly affecting Bitcoin's value
Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation and interest rates, also influence Bitcoin's price. During periods of high inflation, Bitcoin can be seen as a store of value.
Technological Advancements: Continuous technological development and updates within the Bitcoin network can also be a key factor.
Liquidity: While Bitcoin's market is large, it can be prone to price swings due to changes in liquidity, where large buy or sell orders can have a disproportionate effect.
#Bitcoin #btc #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
$BTC
Here's a breakdown of current market trends and factors influencing Bitcoin's price:
Current Market Sentiment & Price Action:
Bitcoin has seen recent volatility, with fluctuations around the $60,000 to $70,000 range.
The overall crypto market is currently shrinking, with a total market capitalization decrease of 5.90% from last week.
Despite some recent declines, there are signs of tentative improvement in sentiment as US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have recorded significant inflows.
However, uncertainty persists among traders regarding whether the market has fully recovered from recent downturns.
Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price:
Supply and Demand: Bitcoin has a limited supply of 21 million coins, creating scarcity. Its price is primarily driven by the dynamics of supply and demand.
Halving Events: Historically, Bitcoin halving events, which reduce the reward for miners and thus the rate of new Bitcoin production, have preceded significant bull markets. The last halving occurred in 2024, and the next is projected for 2028.
Market Sentiment and Speculation: Investor sentiment, often influenced by media coverage, regulatory news, and global economic conditions, significantly impacts Bitcoin's value. Speculative trading and investor emotions can lead to considerable price fluctuations.
Regulatory Developments: Government regulations play a crucial role, with how each government handles cryptocurrencies directly affecting Bitcoin's value
Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation and interest rates, also influence Bitcoin's price. During periods of high inflation, Bitcoin can be seen as a store of value.
Technological Advancements: Continuous technological development and updates within the Bitcoin network can also be a key factor.
Liquidity: While Bitcoin's market is large, it can be prone to price swings due to changes in liquidity, where large buy or sell orders can have a disproportionate effect.
#Bitcoin #btc #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
$BTC
#btc I don't even know what to add) the price is moving in a downward channel, and a bullish wedge is also visible. We are waiting for a breakout upwards) I have limit orders set at 65000 (they didn't reach it yesterday), 62600, and 58000. It's been almost a week of smooth movement downwards… in general, all reviews for the week are relevant) have a great day everyone!
$BTC 2.13 Viewpoint:
Yesterday's wave of increase has actually buried hidden dangers. From the perspective of trading volume, the price has been continuously rising, but the trading volume has never effectively expanded, which is a typical case of a price increase without corresponding volume. An increase without volume support is like trying to move forward without enough physical strength; the sustainability is often limited.
Subsequently, the price encountered resistance around 68400, directly forming a bearish engulfing pattern. This position itself is a previous high resistance zone, and since it neither broke through with volume nor showed clear top signals, it indeed lacks logical support to short. Originally, it was expected to retest the upper boundary of the bullish flag before choosing a direction, but the market did not provide a consolidation process; instead, it directly fell back inside the flag and broke below the previous low, creating a new low. Fortunately, it has not effectively broken the flag structure yet; once the flag is lost, it is highly likely to retest the 60000 area.
The current trend still revolves around several key levels:
68400 is a strong resistance level; without breaking through, it is difficult to say there is a trend-up.
If 66585 effectively breaks, it will re-enter the 66585–68400 range.
If it cannot hold above 66585, it is highly likely to maintain the 66585–64771 range.
Once 64771 is broken, the decline will further expand.
Operational Reference
• Breakout with volume at 66529, chase long on the right side.
• Break below 66033 and fail to reclaim on the pullback, chase short on the right side.
• Must strictly carry stop loss.
Small Level Structure:
1-hour Level
Hold above 66698, target 68416–69968
Fail to hold 66698, difficult to sustain an uptrend
4-hour Level
Break below 65656, target 64569–63586
Pressure and Support
Upper Pressure: 66698 – 68416 – 69968
Lower Support: 65868 – 65172 – 64166
Currently, this is a typical phase of choosing a direction within a range; the key is to observe the volume coordination and the gains and losses of key levels. Before the direction is clear, it is more important to patiently wait for confirmation signals than to make premature predictions. $BTC
#BTC走势分析 #btc #币安热门推荐
Yesterday's wave of increase has actually buried hidden dangers. From the perspective of trading volume, the price has been continuously rising, but the trading volume has never effectively expanded, which is a typical case of a price increase without corresponding volume. An increase without volume support is like trying to move forward without enough physical strength; the sustainability is often limited.
Subsequently, the price encountered resistance around 68400, directly forming a bearish engulfing pattern. This position itself is a previous high resistance zone, and since it neither broke through with volume nor showed clear top signals, it indeed lacks logical support to short. Originally, it was expected to retest the upper boundary of the bullish flag before choosing a direction, but the market did not provide a consolidation process; instead, it directly fell back inside the flag and broke below the previous low, creating a new low. Fortunately, it has not effectively broken the flag structure yet; once the flag is lost, it is highly likely to retest the 60000 area.
The current trend still revolves around several key levels:
68400 is a strong resistance level; without breaking through, it is difficult to say there is a trend-up.
If 66585 effectively breaks, it will re-enter the 66585–68400 range.
If it cannot hold above 66585, it is highly likely to maintain the 66585–64771 range.
Once 64771 is broken, the decline will further expand.
Operational Reference
• Breakout with volume at 66529, chase long on the right side.
• Break below 66033 and fail to reclaim on the pullback, chase short on the right side.
• Must strictly carry stop loss.
Small Level Structure:
1-hour Level
Hold above 66698, target 68416–69968
Fail to hold 66698, difficult to sustain an uptrend
4-hour Level
Break below 65656, target 64569–63586
Pressure and Support
Upper Pressure: 66698 – 68416 – 69968
Lower Support: 65868 – 65172 – 64166
Currently, this is a typical phase of choosing a direction within a range; the key is to observe the volume coordination and the gains and losses of key levels. Before the direction is clear, it is more important to patiently wait for confirmation signals than to make premature predictions. $BTC
#BTC走势分析 #btc #币安热门推荐
My friends, I have made an important decision. We held a group call, analyzed the market structure and current conditions — the long scenario for Bitcoin remains. Against this backdrop, I have decided to strengthen my position.
I entered with a volume larger than usual — I do this rarely, but right now my level of confidence is at its highest, so I cannot hide that I am increasing my risk.
I am working without a stop-loss — manipulations are possible, but I always have capital in reserve to manage my position and control risk. We are acting according to plan.
$BTC #btc
I entered with a volume larger than usual — I do this rarely, but right now my level of confidence is at its highest, so I cannot hide that I am increasing my risk.
I am working without a stop-loss — manipulations are possible, but I always have capital in reserve to manage my position and control risk. We are acting according to plan.
$BTC #btc
Review of the BTC history at three o'clock on the 13th:
At three o'clock in the morning, it was mentioned that the air force's main force would expand the short position.
Additionally, in the article at six o'clock, it was noted that attention should be paid to the fact that most of the short positions have already been closed, and the remaining short positions will deliberately use market prices to influence the price.
Now we have already seen that the BTC price has rapidly increased by four thousand points.
The article's timezone is UTC+8
#btc $BTC
At three o'clock in the morning, it was mentioned that the air force's main force would expand the short position.
Additionally, in the article at six o'clock, it was noted that attention should be paid to the fact that most of the short positions have already been closed, and the remaining short positions will deliberately use market prices to influence the price.
Now we have already seen that the BTC price has rapidly increased by four thousand points.
The article's timezone is UTC+8
#btc $BTC
A review of BTC's history from January 26 to today, February 13:
The article that began on January 26 mentioned paying attention to the 30-day event space, at that time the visible impact was temporarily speculated to be the U.S. government shutdown.
Later, on the 28th, it started to mention the construction of a high point, preparing for the arrival of the event space, and subsequently began to plunge.
After the plunge, news was seen that it was due to the newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman.
This situation continued to today, once again seeing the potential for another U.S. government shutdown on the 14th. However, based on the above, it can be understood that events are known before they occur, rather than randomly matching events after they happen.
Therefore, the historical review confirms that events are not identified by their occurrence time after they happen. Thus, this is more consistent than trying to find events after they occur, which may not necessarily yield correct results.
From this, in contrast to the upcoming news about the potential government shutdown in the U.S., it can be seen that the previous downward trend was essentially due to the newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman. However, many people do not know this, and many only focus on what they believe is important, attributing the decline to the government shutdown.
Therefore, it is now known that this group of people is not the main force. This group of non-main forces is equivalent to a small speculative group.
Thus, it can be understood that in the upcoming news of the U.S. government shutting down, it will bring a group of retail investors to short, rather than the previous main force suppressing.
It seems that this will be a rare opportunity for the air force main force to switch hands.
#NFA $BTC
#BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
The article that began on January 26 mentioned paying attention to the 30-day event space, at that time the visible impact was temporarily speculated to be the U.S. government shutdown.
Later, on the 28th, it started to mention the construction of a high point, preparing for the arrival of the event space, and subsequently began to plunge.
After the plunge, news was seen that it was due to the newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman.
This situation continued to today, once again seeing the potential for another U.S. government shutdown on the 14th. However, based on the above, it can be understood that events are known before they occur, rather than randomly matching events after they happen.
Therefore, the historical review confirms that events are not identified by their occurrence time after they happen. Thus, this is more consistent than trying to find events after they occur, which may not necessarily yield correct results.
From this, in contrast to the upcoming news about the potential government shutdown in the U.S., it can be seen that the previous downward trend was essentially due to the newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman. However, many people do not know this, and many only focus on what they believe is important, attributing the decline to the government shutdown.
Therefore, it is now known that this group of people is not the main force. This group of non-main forces is equivalent to a small speculative group.
Thus, it can be understood that in the upcoming news of the U.S. government shutting down, it will bring a group of retail investors to short, rather than the previous main force suppressing.
It seems that this will be a rare opportunity for the air force main force to switch hands.
#NFA $BTC
#BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Following our previous announcement
The final goals have been reached
And it has been confirmed that we have entered the Bear market
After Bitcoin closed below $100,000
Currently, we must maintain the number $62,000
And not close below it for a week
Currently, Bitcoin is heading towards the areas 85000$ - $90,000
To retest, then head towards the areas of $40,000
And this will be the last bottom before the surge to the peak of $200,000
Good luck to everyone
#btc
The final goals have been reached
And it has been confirmed that we have entered the Bear market
After Bitcoin closed below $100,000
Currently, we must maintain the number $62,000
And not close below it for a week
Currently, Bitcoin is heading towards the areas 85000$ - $90,000
To retest, then head towards the areas of $40,000
And this will be the last bottom before the surge to the peak of $200,000
Good luck to everyone
#btc
mogi:
كم شهر لازم يستمر
It has already gone out for the Valentine's Day gift 😅🍀 I'll come back in later #btc
B
BTCUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+6,171.93USDT
Quarkthrone:
Hola, por que no haces hedge? en un momento estabas 4k abajo y después resurgimiento. no te parece abrir un short esperando ese drawdown manteniendo el long?
Extreme Fear Critical Levels, All Eyes on the BTC Weekly Close🚨
BTC is hovering near $67.6K, and sentiment has shifted decisively into Extreme Fear. Yet price hasn’t collapsed. That divergence matters. When fear spikes but structure holds, the market is usually in one of two phases:
1. Late stage distribution before a breakdown
2. Final leverage washout before reversal
The weekly close will decide which.
📉 The Bearish Case: Weekly Close Below $60K
For bitcoin to close under $60K, three things likely need to happen:
1. A decisive loss of the $64K–$65K demand zone
2. Rising sell side volume into the weekend
3. Derivatives funding flipping deeply negative with sustained open interest expansion
A break below $60K would confirm a weekly lower low and shift structure into medium term bearish continuation. That opens liquidity pockets in the mid-$50Ks, where prior consolidation occurred. But right now, that breakdown hasn’t happened.
📈 The Bullish Case: Weekly Reclaim Above $70K
The more interesting scenario is a push back above $70K before weekly settlement. Why?
1. $70K is both psychological resistance and a structural pivot
2. A weekly close above it invalidates the recent breakdown attempt
3. It would mark a reclaim of the prior range high
Technically, BTC is compressing between $64K support and $70K resistance. Compression in high fear environments often resolves violently. If bulls defend $65K and force a short squeeze into the close, $70K+ becomes realistic.
So Which Is More Likely?
A weekly close above $60K is highly probable given current structure.
2. A close above $70K is possible but requires momentum expansion.
3. A close below $60K would require fresh downside catalysts and sustained selling pressure (not currently evident).
$BTC
#btc
1. Late stage distribution before a breakdown
2. Final leverage washout before reversal
The weekly close will decide which.
📉 The Bearish Case: Weekly Close Below $60K
For bitcoin to close under $60K, three things likely need to happen:
1. A decisive loss of the $64K–$65K demand zone
2. Rising sell side volume into the weekend
3. Derivatives funding flipping deeply negative with sustained open interest expansion
A break below $60K would confirm a weekly lower low and shift structure into medium term bearish continuation. That opens liquidity pockets in the mid-$50Ks, where prior consolidation occurred. But right now, that breakdown hasn’t happened.
📈 The Bullish Case: Weekly Reclaim Above $70K
The more interesting scenario is a push back above $70K before weekly settlement. Why?
1. $70K is both psychological resistance and a structural pivot
2. A weekly close above it invalidates the recent breakdown attempt
3. It would mark a reclaim of the prior range high
Technically, BTC is compressing between $64K support and $70K resistance. Compression in high fear environments often resolves violently. If bulls defend $65K and force a short squeeze into the close, $70K+ becomes realistic.
So Which Is More Likely?
A weekly close above $60K is highly probable given current structure.
2. A close above $70K is possible but requires momentum expansion.
3. A close below $60K would require fresh downside catalysts and sustained selling pressure (not currently evident).
$BTC
#btc
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