Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).
What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.
Simple, but it’s done the job for years.
Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).
Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.
But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
$POL looks like it's forming a decent setup, where buyers secured back the support and most probably will now target that bullish CME near $12.80. #POLPriceAnalysis
$ARB has been moving in 3-step phases. Currently we are again in Step 1, where the next phase should be the movement back above the EMAs.
The current support might be the level price bounces from, but it is not confirmed yet. What we are sure about is that a bounce should happen anytime soon… if price decides to repeat its previous behavior.
Looks logical, so for now we are targeting the zone above the EMAs while taking some DCA entries. #ARBPriceAnalysis
Weekend markets were pretty volatile for $ETH , and after them we are left with a rather big CME gap currently, which we intend to fill (it is not shown on the chart but the CME gap top is near the resistance area).
Breakout seems not so volatile, yet buyers are keeping the dominance here so expecting this setup to work out. The game plan remains the same as long as the price stays above the region of $1,920-$1,900. #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC starts the week with the pressure to the local neckline zone (which is sitting right at the 100EMA).
Seeing a decent setup forming here, I am going to look for a break here and long until the next entry at $70,900, where I will be expecting to see a similar BOS setup, which would then open for us the movement toward our major target zone.
Expecting this to be the last push before the big reversal, so playing it safe and waiting for BOS on both setups! #BTCPriceAnalysis
$HYPE recently had a very strong breakout from the EMAs, but after the move buyers had difficulty maintaining the volume and sellers are now starting to dominate.
As sellers are in control — not fully yet, but for now — we see two potential entries for both long and short. Both are based on the local lows and local highs, so our attention is there. As soon as one of those levels gets reached and broken, we will trade accordingly. #HYPEPriceAnalysis
#Ripple had a strong dip recently, falling into the so-called doomsday area. Since then price has shown a smaller bounce, but despite that, our view is clear — we want to see continuation toward lower zones.
For us to consider any buying opportunity on $XRP , we would only be interested if price drops into the $0.60 region. Most likely many bigger players are also watching this zone as a potential buy area. #XRPPriceAnalysis
$HBAR is cooked, at least for now, while the price stays below the major resistance zone, which sellers have secured fully.
Despite the sell-side view we are seeing on the HBAR, we are also seeing a smaller recovery happening, which most likely would lead the price to the $0.105 area.
So we're expecting a smaller bounce here but the bigger picture is clear for us: we should keep moving down from here! #HBARPriceAnalysis
$XLM has been moving in a sideways accumulation area where price has been pressuring the 100 EMA for quite some time now.
As we enter the weekend markets, we are expecting a few scenarios from here. The key point would be the break of the EMAs, which would trigger a movement to the bullish CME gap.
But if that fails, then price might pressure the local low zone, which could form another similar bullish CME gap.
So we wait for the break of the EMAs, but we also keep an eye on the local lows just in case. #XLMPriceAnalysis
$UNI has a good chance for a potential long-term spot trade but what is more interesting to us is what is happening on the smaller timeframes, where we are expecting a good long setup to form! #UNIPriceAnalysis
$FLOKI is sitting right near the local support zone, which can turn into a bounce area. So far buyers are keeping this level clean and holding it strongly. I would say the R:R is too good not to try a long here, so that’s exactly what we will be doing. #FLOKIPriceAnalysis
$FIL had successfully bounced from a very important zone, where sellers tried to break the local support and failed in doing it. So what is the plan? We aim for a correction here, which would fill the major CME gap that looks pretty sweet as a target in our opinion.
What we are looking and waiting for is the EMA to be broken and secured by buyers. After that we will be expecting some kind of market structure break and an upside movement from there. #FILPriceAnalysis
$APT has been falling unconditionally, just making new lower lows without any remorse, and during conditions like this in the market, we have to be extra careful.
We might follow the trend and move to lower zones and form new local lows, or we might see a strong short squeeze, so near each new local low where a break of structure might be forming we are always looking at Plan A and Plan B scenarios.
For Plan A we need to break the local low and form a break of structure. For Plan B we need to see the reclaim of the previous BOS zone, which would result in a bullish momentum move. #APTPriceAnalysis
$ETH seems to have established some kind of supportive area, where buy-side volume is slowly growing and the movement to EMAs is getting more and more realistic.
The game plan remains the same; entry would be set around the $2,100 zone (after a successful break of structure). #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC is hovering closely to the 100EMA (light grey line), and as long as the price remains below the 100EMA and 200EMA, we are expecting to see the movement to lower zones.
As the EMAs have been holding the trend loud and clear, we are looking here for movement to lower zones, which eventually should turn into a breakout from the EMAs and a smaller correctional movement to upper zones! #BTCPriceAnalysis
Seeing $CAKE sitting inside the sideways channel (at the bottom of it) opens for us a potential for 250% of upside movement. Worth the risk.... #CAKEPriceAnalysis
The $ETH structure seems similar to the last time we had the dip where the price shifted apart from the EMAs.
Despite the current dip being more aggressive, we are still expecting a similar playout to happen, which would lead the price towards the EMAs to the region of $2,300-2,400. #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC has a nice small correctional movement towards the area of the EMAs, where price had rejection and now is showing signs of downside movement.
What we see is a similar structure that we have seen before as well, wherein a short-term downtrend price likes to form a new break of the local lows zone (BOS in other terms).
So as price had its smaller correction now, the most logical thing would be a short to a lower area, where we might see another liquidity sweep and then another smaller correction. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$TAO has filled each and every CME gap lately. Some took longer and some took less time, but eventually they all got filled.
Now what caught our attention is how slowly price is dipping to lower zones, yet there is no sharp or volatile move. This might indicate that a market structure break could form, which would activate a trend reversal.
This is what we are looking for — a proper MSB. Once we see that, we are going to aim for the fill of those unfilled CME gaps. #TAOPriceAnalysis