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Customer service Xiao He sends the closing command red envelope for welcoming the God of Wealth, wishing everyone a smooth and safe new year, full of happiness and blessings for the spring.
The most popular morning abbreviation everyone loves to send (two capital letters)
The Roman numeral for the number 11 (two capital letters)
The first two letters of "yummy"(two capital letters)
The first letter of the English word for "future"(one capital letter)
The first letter of the English word for "value"(one capital letter)
Red Packet Code:
The most popular morning abbreviation everyone loves to send (two capital letters)
The Roman numeral for the number 11 (two capital letters)
The first two letters of "yummy"(two capital letters)
The first letter of the English word for "future"(one capital letter)
The first letter of the English word for "value"(one capital letter

⚔️ War Scenario: BTC & Crypto in a US-Iran Conflict
Geopolitical tensions are at a boiling point. If a full scale conflict between the US and Iran were to ignite, the crypto market would likely face a "bifurcated" reality: short term panic followed by a fundamental narrative shift.
📉 Phase 1: The "Risk-Off" Liquidation (Short-Term)
Historically, the initial 24–72 hours of major conflict trigger a global flight to safety. Despite its digital gold label, Bitcoin often behaves as a high-beta risk asset during sudden Black Swan events.
• Mass Liquidations: Expect sharp volatility (±10\%). In June 2025, missile strikes saw $1 billion in liquidations within hours as traders exited margin positions.
• Correlation with Equities: BTC would likely mirror a drop in the S&P 500 as institutional investors sell liquid assets to cover margins elsewhere.
📈 Phase 2: The "Hard Asset" Pivot (Mid-Term)
Once the initial shock subsides, Bitcoin’s core value proposition censorship-resistant, scarce digital energy takes center stage.
• Energy Backed Value: Arthur Hayes argues that since Bitcoin is stored energy, a spike in oil prices (common in Middle East wars) would naturally drive up the fiat value of BTC.
• Currency Collapse Hedge: We already see Iranians withdrawing BTC to personal wallets at record rates to escape the plummeting rial. In a full war, this "flight to sovereignty" would go global.
• Sanction Proofing: Both state actors and private citizens use crypto to bypass traditional banking freezes, creating a floor of rigid demand.
🏁 Professional Verdict
A war would likely crush speculative altcoins and meme tokens as liquidity dries up. However, for Bitcoin, the scenario mirrors the 1970s oil shocks for gold: initial volatility, followed by a massive rerating as the world realizes the fragility of the fiat based "petrodollar" system.
Strategy: Watch the $60,000 support. If it holds during a strike, the Digital Gold narrative is officially confirmed
#MarketRebound $BTC $ETH $BNB