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CRYPTO QUANT | Fundamental & Technical Master | Help Other with Organic & Genuine INFO |( Not financial Advice #DYOR too ) | Username on X : @johar95567
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MOST IMPORTANT UPDATE 📊 on $BTC ALT season is dead ❌ No ALT season in 2026
TREND IDENTIFICATION 🔍
On Higher time frame $BTC is heavily bearish 🔴📉 We Drop from 126k To 82k -40% isn't just simple correction its clean reversal
On 1D time frame BTC takes just 3 days to drop from 95k to 82k but it takes 70 days to reclaim 95k You really think momentum is strong? If it's pump was Reversal so there was aggressive buying On HTF but HIGHER time frame showing elevator down Slow stair up elevator DOWN you know my this concept almost work $ZEC was clean example of that how I told you that it going to dump from 700$ to 350$ and it happens
WHAT : CHART PATTERN / STRUCTURE / INDICATORS/ ARE SAYING❓
Structure is bearish it's just normal Retracement of FIBS,
if we see pattern so there is clean head and shoulder pattern and
if we see indicators EMA 50 & 200 there BTC break 50 ema and now going to Touch again EMA50 and then Dump again EMA 50 is at 97k to 103k , EMA 200 is at 68000$ after retesting EMA50 EMA 200 will be our target 🎯
SUPPLY & DEMAND
I already shows all proofs that how big outflows happened by BLACK ROCK AND INSTITUTIONS IN BTC ETF
97k to 103k is supper supply zone 🔴 there are 3 rejection which are untouched and untouched supplies are stronger
FUNDAMENTALS
1 liquidity crises
2 no Rate cuts expected
3 wars
4 stock market at ATH and in every bear market Crypto start dumping 2 to 3 months before stock market
5) Qunatitive Easning never happen when Stock market would be at ATH we need necessary correction in Stock market and when stock market dump Crypto will be badly dump
#DYOR
On Higher time frame $BTC is heavily bearish 🔴📉 We Drop from 126k To 82k -40% isn't just simple correction its clean reversal
On 1D time frame BTC takes just 3 days to drop from 95k to 82k but it takes 70 days to reclaim 95k You really think momentum is strong? If it's pump was Reversal so there was aggressive buying On HTF but HIGHER time frame showing elevator down Slow stair up elevator DOWN you know my this concept almost work $ZEC was clean example of that how I told you that it going to dump from 700$ to 350$ and it happens
WHAT : CHART PATTERN / STRUCTURE / INDICATORS/ ARE SAYING❓
Structure is bearish it's just normal Retracement of FIBS,
if we see pattern so there is clean head and shoulder pattern and
if we see indicators EMA 50 & 200 there BTC break 50 ema and now going to Touch again EMA50 and then Dump again EMA 50 is at 97k to 103k , EMA 200 is at 68000$ after retesting EMA50 EMA 200 will be our target 🎯
SUPPLY & DEMAND
I already shows all proofs that how big outflows happened by BLACK ROCK AND INSTITUTIONS IN BTC ETF
97k to 103k is supper supply zone 🔴 there are 3 rejection which are untouched and untouched supplies are stronger
FUNDAMENTALS
1 liquidity crises
2 no Rate cuts expected
3 wars
4 stock market at ATH and in every bear market Crypto start dumping 2 to 3 months before stock market
5) Qunatitive Easning never happen when Stock market would be at ATH we need necessary correction in Stock market and when stock market dump Crypto will be badly dump
#DYOR
PINNED
ZEC Next Move 📉or📈 ?
Complete Technicals Analysis on $ZEC with pure Honesty
• TREND IDENTIFICATION
First of all Understand if coins start Dumping so it's doesn't means It will dumping 📉 Forever , it retrace Trap Retailer Make liquidity for next leg up in this case finding Trend And structure on HTF is so important
On 1Day time frame ZEC is pure Bearish 🔴 and it's Retracement which Every coin do at least at 0.5 FIB level zone
On 4H it's still Bearish and have MSS , Market structure shift at 550$ which is supply zone closing
And near MSS line there is Magical FIB where market always Deviate (90%)
SUPPLY ZONE & Experience
525$ to 550$ Is clean SUPPLY Zone which is Untouched in previous 1H Supply zone price stuck around 20 days and Reject 3 time
If you see In charts Market need just 10 days to fall from 640$ to make bottom of 320$ and need 28 days to reclaim Price from 320$ to 500$
Everyone knows in excess Selling price make FVG and Supply zone And From 525$ to 600$ there are already so many FVGs
whole Market is now Bullish everyone making LONG and waiting for retesting and LONG and thinking we are back to 700$ which is not GOOD and soon Market trap them badly
Its not REVERSAL !
Because in reversal market Vigorously Pumpu after making Bottom and in our case market reclaims 500$ in 28 days
Market moving in Elevator down slow stair up elevator Down which is one of strongest And mine best strategy and every time This strategy work
FAKEOUT Or BREAKOUT ?
So honestly speaking Breakout is full real because if you see Activity on Buying Volume is up and better performing than CVD futures
Breakout is valid but Charts are not so GOOD
Same analysis for $ZEN $DASH $ZK and click on Golden tokens for trading or below bars for Future trading
• TREND IDENTIFICATION
First of all Understand if coins start Dumping so it's doesn't means It will dumping 📉 Forever , it retrace Trap Retailer Make liquidity for next leg up in this case finding Trend And structure on HTF is so important
On 1Day time frame ZEC is pure Bearish 🔴 and it's Retracement which Every coin do at least at 0.5 FIB level zone
On 4H it's still Bearish and have MSS , Market structure shift at 550$ which is supply zone closing
And near MSS line there is Magical FIB where market always Deviate (90%)
SUPPLY ZONE & Experience
525$ to 550$ Is clean SUPPLY Zone which is Untouched in previous 1H Supply zone price stuck around 20 days and Reject 3 time
If you see In charts Market need just 10 days to fall from 640$ to make bottom of 320$ and need 28 days to reclaim Price from 320$ to 500$
Everyone knows in excess Selling price make FVG and Supply zone And From 525$ to 600$ there are already so many FVGs
whole Market is now Bullish everyone making LONG and waiting for retesting and LONG and thinking we are back to 700$ which is not GOOD and soon Market trap them badly
Its not REVERSAL !
Because in reversal market Vigorously Pumpu after making Bottom and in our case market reclaims 500$ in 28 days
Market moving in Elevator down slow stair up elevator Down which is one of strongest And mine best strategy and every time This strategy work
FAKEOUT Or BREAKOUT ?
So honestly speaking Breakout is full real because if you see Activity on Buying Volume is up and better performing than CVD futures
Breakout is valid but Charts are not so GOOD
Same analysis for $ZEN $DASH $ZK and click on Golden tokens for trading or below bars for Future trading
Can we Target Midrange till next week
$BTC all Going Well Right Now Market is Moving with lack of strength if we saw Reversal We should Pump Vigorously
BUT $BTC stuck in range of 3% since 8 days , where is strength Reversal Are not like this !
Boring Market Nothing to do so much , some Coins are pumping Because they dump so so much in BTC CRASH happen in early FEB those ALTs reclaiming there Avergaes prices
like $XRP dump from 2$ to 1.1$ This isn't Usual so reclaiming is Possible
$BTC all Going Well Right Now Market is Moving with lack of strength if we saw Reversal We should Pump Vigorously
BUT $BTC stuck in range of 3% since 8 days , where is strength Reversal Are not like this !
Boring Market Nothing to do so much , some Coins are pumping Because they dump so so much in BTC CRASH happen in early FEB those ALTs reclaiming there Avergaes prices
like $XRP dump from 2$ to 1.1$ This isn't Usual so reclaiming is Possible
How To STOP OVER TRADING ?
I have seen that Majority of people Do OVER TRADING Not because after losses but after Successful trades ! ( mostly by Scalper or intraday traders )
Both are dangerous but I believe Over trading after making profits is worse
THINGS Include In OVER TRADING:
1) No clean setup 📊
2) Mids of sessions (Asia, London, NY) ⌚
3) Revenge and frustration after loss
4) Over confidence after wins 🏆
WHY OVER TRADE DESTROY ACCOUNTS :
1) Low quality setups
2) Broken Risk Management ( I have seen that many people in over trading didn't respect SLs )
3) Emotions has been Entered in Trades due to which you can't concentrate
How to Avoid this :
1) SET your rules :
Means your daily drawdown on portfolio is fixed let's assume 5% daily max Loss on whole portfolio
•) Now you make 3 trade 4 trade 5 trade it's upto you but once you loss 5% on portfolio Close the charts
•) same you Profits are fixed Let's assume 7% or 8% max daily profit once profit done Close charts
Trade only A+ setups
If charts shows multiple confluences trade, don't trade if you need to convince your mind to trade
Same Risk on every trade :
One of biggest cause of Over trading is Not using same Risk on every trade many trader use more portfolio in a single day leaving few opportunities for rest of day and then their excitement said to trade and that trade is over trade
Professional mind set :
1) Take Market as business not as Gamble sometime you have opportunity and sometime you have to stay silence
2) Protecting Capital is Far more better than making Profits
3) Risk Management + Consistentency >>>>>>>>>>> Excitement + Strategy
When you start following Rules made by you success start following you Believe that!
$BNB
Both are dangerous but I believe Over trading after making profits is worse
THINGS Include In OVER TRADING:
1) No clean setup 📊
2) Mids of sessions (Asia, London, NY) ⌚
3) Revenge and frustration after loss
4) Over confidence after wins 🏆
WHY OVER TRADE DESTROY ACCOUNTS :
1) Low quality setups
2) Broken Risk Management ( I have seen that many people in over trading didn't respect SLs )
3) Emotions has been Entered in Trades due to which you can't concentrate
How to Avoid this :
1) SET your rules :
Means your daily drawdown on portfolio is fixed let's assume 5% daily max Loss on whole portfolio
•) Now you make 3 trade 4 trade 5 trade it's upto you but once you loss 5% on portfolio Close the charts
•) same you Profits are fixed Let's assume 7% or 8% max daily profit once profit done Close charts
Trade only A+ setups
If charts shows multiple confluences trade, don't trade if you need to convince your mind to trade
Same Risk on every trade :
One of biggest cause of Over trading is Not using same Risk on every trade many trader use more portfolio in a single day leaving few opportunities for rest of day and then their excitement said to trade and that trade is over trade
Professional mind set :
1) Take Market as business not as Gamble sometime you have opportunity and sometime you have to stay silence
2) Protecting Capital is Far more better than making Profits
3) Risk Management + Consistentency >>>>>>>>>>> Excitement + Strategy
When you start following Rules made by you success start following you Believe that!
$BNB
Here is TIP for young beginners From my side ✨ in their Trading Journey 📊
80% Market moves in Ranges and 20% it volatile so Number of premium Setups Are less in Numbers but their Accuracy is so high 🎯
Here is Example of $BTC for Giving Leg of 33% BTC range for 70 days with range of 70% But it give leg of 33% in 9 days 🔴
And we Catch this Leg on $CRV With 43% dump 🔴 the setup was Highly Precise on H4 and these types of setup we found 1 in a month 💯 which is enough for Whole months
so rather then trade daily , trade on perfection
80% Market moves in Ranges and 20% it volatile so Number of premium Setups Are less in Numbers but their Accuracy is so high 🎯
Here is Example of $BTC for Giving Leg of 33% BTC range for 70 days with range of 70% But it give leg of 33% in 9 days 🔴
And we Catch this Leg on $CRV With 43% dump 🔴 the setup was Highly Precise on H4 and these types of setup we found 1 in a month 💯 which is enough for Whole months
so rather then trade daily , trade on perfection
I believe the data of CPI due to which $BTC $ETH $ZEC pump 📈🚀is fake , might be i wrong here but I am researching here at that's what I found
1) Big Economist believe that These are just random numbers , actually prices of things increase day by day ,
2) DATA is published on the basis of banks reports , buy actually People USA having not so much amount of liquidity (money) so for them therecis still inflation
3) Now think with your brain that in start of this month we have Shutdown , Why not enough liquidity , Government Fund bill didn't pass now at one hand we have liquidity crises this proof that conditions are Deteriorate
4) This are fake number to force on FED to do rate cuts because TRUMP want rate cuts to BOOM Market in his tenure Before MID TERM elections
what you think ?
1) Big Economist believe that These are just random numbers , actually prices of things increase day by day ,
2) DATA is published on the basis of banks reports , buy actually People USA having not so much amount of liquidity (money) so for them therecis still inflation
3) Now think with your brain that in start of this month we have Shutdown , Why not enough liquidity , Government Fund bill didn't pass now at one hand we have liquidity crises this proof that conditions are Deteriorate
4) This are fake number to force on FED to do rate cuts because TRUMP want rate cuts to BOOM Market in his tenure Before MID TERM elections
what you think ?
As CPI DATA has been Release $BTC 📈🚀 market Jumps from 66k to 69k 5% recovery we see in BTC and 7 to 8% recovery in Other TOP ALTs like $ETH , $SOL
What happens actually ?
Expected Data was 2.5%
Actual release 2.4%
Previous 2.7%
I told many time if Expected data came nothing happens but if unexpected came so we can see volatility as we see today
Actually Inflation decrease according Data , means Things are cheaper so FED might Cut rate Because Powell said in his one of interview we can't cut rates due to inflation
So BIG investors think that we can see Rates cuts in March so they start Buying and Price is all in
still we have 4 week on Rate cuts , market need lots of things To make clear shape Environment isnt So GOOD
What happens actually ?
Expected Data was 2.5%
Actual release 2.4%
Previous 2.7%
I told many time if Expected data came nothing happens but if unexpected came so we can see volatility as we see today
Actually Inflation decrease according Data , means Things are cheaper so FED might Cut rate Because Powell said in his one of interview we can't cut rates due to inflation
So BIG investors think that we can see Rates cuts in March so they start Buying and Price is all in
still we have 4 week on Rate cuts , market need lots of things To make clear shape Environment isnt So GOOD
See The Current price of $XMR is 326$ and when it was at 700$ So at that time I am warning you that these are just normal ALTs pumps 📈🚀
These are Not futures these are simple Privacy tokens , and at that time I told maybe price make some new high but very soon its going back to 420$ , 365$ , 320$
and 50% my bids has been Completed Prices goes perfectly according prediction like $ZEC predicton goes !
These are Not futures these are simple Privacy tokens , and at that time I told maybe price make some new high but very soon its going back to 420$ , 365$ , 320$
and 50% my bids has been Completed Prices goes perfectly according prediction like $ZEC predicton goes !
$XAG dumps 10% in last 30 minutes 🔴📉 and $XAU dumps 4% wipe 1.4Trillion from Market don't say I didn't warn You about this
On 2 February 2025 after Massive dump of 33% I post a detailed post regarding Future Price action of Silver and Gold
Both Coin retrace 50% of Their dumps as you can see clearly on charts and then dump again and make new low
also remember Gold market dump doesn't means CRYPTO or $BTC pump This is fake Narritive
On 2 February 2025 after Massive dump of 33% I post a detailed post regarding Future Price action of Silver and Gold
Both Coin retrace 50% of Their dumps as you can see clearly on charts and then dump again and make new low
also remember Gold market dump doesn't means CRYPTO or $BTC pump This is fake Narritive
I am expecting another USA🇺🇸 Government Shutdown 🔴 Very SOON Due to Following Reason and you know 31st January SHUTDOWN we already predict Perfectly On 15 November
1) Last time when SHUTDOWN over in November , USA government take debt of 619B$ To run government which are enough to run country for 2 month so we know there is expected SHUTDOWN in end of January
you see At 31st January Government SHUTDOWN happen
2) This time SHUTDOWN is over but we didn't know how it ends from where liquidity Came to run country , how Monetary bill pass
why government is hiding ? maybe things are not so good so i am expected another shutdown very soon before end Of FEB or Start of March
and you know what happens whenever SHUTDOWN came an aggresive Sell off
$BTC , $XRP , $ETH
1) Last time when SHUTDOWN over in November , USA government take debt of 619B$ To run government which are enough to run country for 2 month so we know there is expected SHUTDOWN in end of January
you see At 31st January Government SHUTDOWN happen
2) This time SHUTDOWN is over but we didn't know how it ends from where liquidity Came to run country , how Monetary bill pass
why government is hiding ? maybe things are not so good so i am expected another shutdown very soon before end Of FEB or Start of March
and you know what happens whenever SHUTDOWN came an aggresive Sell off
$BTC , $XRP , $ETH
You know why $BERA , $ME , $ASTER are pumping 📈🚀📈🚀 ?
Even Mostly Low caps Are pumping because USDT Dominance is at it's ATH so Liquidity can easily move from USDT to ALTs due to which Low cap alt looking so bullish because small Liquidity is enough for thier pumps
This is simple Pullbacks ,and retracement For me catching these oversold coin isnt GOOD this isnt Bullish Or reversal for me for following reason
1) Why Major Narritive coin like BTC BNB ETH SOL didn't pump like they are still stuck between 68k , 600$ 2000$ 85$ respectively
2) Only Low caps are pumping
3) Fundamental not so GOOD
Even Mostly Low caps Are pumping because USDT Dominance is at it's ATH so Liquidity can easily move from USDT to ALTs due to which Low cap alt looking so bullish because small Liquidity is enough for thier pumps
This is simple Pullbacks ,and retracement For me catching these oversold coin isnt GOOD this isnt Bullish Or reversal for me for following reason
1) Why Major Narritive coin like BTC BNB ETH SOL didn't pump like they are still stuck between 68k , 600$ 2000$ 85$ respectively
2) Only Low caps are pumping
3) Fundamental not so GOOD
Congratulations🎉🥳 $AUCTION Goes perfectly as we predicted 📈🚀📈🚀 Might be our Base was wrong that Whale was entering at 5am
Actually Whale enter but just for 2% then Our Whole trade was goes perfectly due to ALTs pull Back not because whale
Whatever what happen TP of 5% Hit 😂
$AUCTION
Actually Whale enter but just for 2% then Our Whole trade was goes perfectly due to ALTs pull Back not because whale
Whatever what happen TP of 5% Hit 😂
$AUCTION
USDT Dominance is at its ATH and Seeing these type of Pumps in ALT like in $BERA $ME , $ASTER we often see Now days but catching them as Bottom isn't GOOD decision for me
If you thinks vastly so you realize BTC SOL BNB ETH XRP is still at same prices and we are seeing Pump in ALts specially Low caps ALT because Liquidity FROM USDT ia going into ALTS
its not like Liquidity Flowing from BTC or SOL , secondly these ALTs are just for traps if we thisis bottom and we arr back or bull market start so why Major coins not pumping why Low caps only pumping ?
by the way small Scalp we also pick on AUCTION 📈🚀📈🚀 of 5%
If you thinks vastly so you realize BTC SOL BNB ETH XRP is still at same prices and we are seeing Pump in ALts specially Low caps ALT because Liquidity FROM USDT ia going into ALTS
its not like Liquidity Flowing from BTC or SOL , secondly these ALTs are just for traps if we thisis bottom and we arr back or bull market start so why Major coins not pumping why Low caps only pumping ?
by the way small Scalp we also pick on AUCTION 📈🚀📈🚀 of 5%
Yesterday , $BTC fall 4% $SOL 6% and $ETH 5% 🔴📉 Because Unemployment Rates Realeased By US government and it fell 0.1%
Expected was 4.4%
Actual Release 4.3%
What does it means ? ❓❓
1) It mean in USA there are less number of unemployed people than expected this lead US dollar to rise
( 1st Reason for Bearish )
2) Due to this DATA, fed Get reason of Not cutting rate because he said he will Cut rate on 2 reasons if Inflation decrease or Unemployment increase
( 2nd Reason For Bearish )
Because Cutting rate Will Lead inflation increase while Unemployment decrease
Right now Unemployment Rate decrease means Labour market is stable , no need of cutting rates which lead Dump in market , In FEB we are not seeing any rate cuts
Expected was 4.4%
Actual Release 4.3%
What does it means ? ❓❓
1) It mean in USA there are less number of unemployed people than expected this lead US dollar to rise
( 1st Reason for Bearish )
2) Due to this DATA, fed Get reason of Not cutting rate because he said he will Cut rate on 2 reasons if Inflation decrease or Unemployment increase
( 2nd Reason For Bearish )
Because Cutting rate Will Lead inflation increase while Unemployment decrease
Right now Unemployment Rate decrease means Labour market is stable , no need of cutting rates which lead Dump in market , In FEB we are not seeing any rate cuts
$BTC again dump 4% 📉 Market that's why I am telling you not to do anything Contonous 4 to 5 days I told you not to do something here are few reason 🔴
why we didn't open LONG because after some bullish Momentum structure become bearish at 69k I bought BTC at 65k and sell at 69k it was good scalp but risky then Structure is bearish so no LONG trade
Not short because Market drop 27% so it sp much exhaust SHORT wouldbe against Physiology
i told you levels , you can buy at that levels and see magic Hopefully Price would be tap our levels of 65k
why we didn't open LONG because after some bullish Momentum structure become bearish at 69k I bought BTC at 65k and sell at 69k it was good scalp but risky then Structure is bearish so no LONG trade
Not short because Market drop 27% so it sp much exhaust SHORT wouldbe against Physiology
i told you levels , you can buy at that levels and see magic Hopefully Price would be tap our levels of 65k
USA🇺🇸 shut down came to end end on 3rd FEB 2026 now there already lot of things to discuss again are you ready
On 13 FEB we have CPI Data which give us direction in which direction $BTC move in FEB That's why market becomes so much choppy Didn't crossing 69k Barrier
We have aleo discuss Narritive and some reason why BTC dump and why it dump more ?
$XRP $GHST
On 13 FEB we have CPI Data which give us direction in which direction $BTC move in FEB That's why market becomes so much choppy Didn't crossing 69k Barrier
We have aleo discuss Narritive and some reason why BTC dump and why it dump more ?
$XRP $GHST
This is a way of Buying something $AUCTION 📈🚀📈🚀
Listen The trade which I am taking is highly risky even not 5% of my portfolio I am using on this trade
there is Signal that some whales enter in this coin at 5 am 11 February 2025 according on chain Data lets see what happens
CMP 4.9$
My entries are spread between 4.9$ to 4.6$ IDK what will be SL because i am trading first time according onchain data
Listen The trade which I am taking is highly risky even not 5% of my portfolio I am using on this trade
there is Signal that some whales enter in this coin at 5 am 11 February 2025 according on chain Data lets see what happens
CMP 4.9$
My entries are spread between 4.9$ to 4.6$ IDK what will be SL because i am trading first time according onchain data
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