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On Friday, 13 February 2026, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for January 2026.
January 2026 CPI Highlights
Inflation cooled more than expected to start the year, reaching its slowest annual pace since May 2025.
Headline CPI (Annual): Rose 2.4% (down from 2.7% in December), lower than the 2.5% forecast.
Headline CPI (Monthly): Increased 0.2%.
Core CPI (Annual): Rose 2.5%, matching expectations and marking the slowest annual increase since March 2021.
Core CPI (Monthly): Increased 0.3%.
Key Category Movers
Energy: Fell 1.5% in January, driven by a 7.5% annual drop in gasoline prices.
Food: Increased 0.2% for the month. Notably, egg prices dropped 7% from December.
Shelter: Remained a persistent upward factor, rising 0.2% monthly and 3.0% annually.
Tariff Impact: Prices for goods like laundry equipment (+2.6%) and computers (+3.1%) saw sharp monthly rises, attributed to higher-cost imports replacing pre-tariff inventories.
Next Release Schedule
The CPI data for February 2026 is scheduled to be released on Wednesday, 11 March 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET.
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Changpeng Zhao (CZ) held a live Ask Me Anything (AMA) session on Binance Square on February 12, 2026, as part of a recurring series of community engagements. During the session, he provided critical updates on market trends, the evolution of Binance Square, and his personal vision for the industry's future.
Key Market Insights Focus on Building: CZ urged builders to ignore daily price fluctuations, stating that short-term volatility is "irrelevant" to long-term progress. Emerging Sectors: He highlighted Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization and prediction markets as the most promising tracks for 2026–2027. AI Integration: CZ predicted that AI will revolutionize trading by automating complex processes and providing enhanced sentiment analysis, though he cautioned retail users against high-frequency AI trading. The "Super Cycle": While previously optimistic about a 2026 super cycle, he adopted a more conservative tone, citing global geopolitical uncertainty and ongoing market FUD.
Binance Square & Platform Evolution Creator Monetization: CZ confirmed that Binance Square is actively moving toward models that allow creators to earn via trading-based commissions and project-backed rewards. The "Super App" Vision: He envisions Binance Square as a neutral information hub offering news beyond just crypto, including AI and macroeconomics. Improved Product Stability: The most recent AMA served as a "stress test" for new livestreaming features, which reportedly ran significantly smoother than previous sessions.
Personal Philosophy & Security Motivation: CZ clarified that his primary drive is no longer wealth but long-term societal contribution and leaving the world in a better state. Risk Responsibility: He reiterated a firm message for all users: "You must respect your own decisions." He advised beginners to avoid high-leverage futures and start with small capital. Asset Security: He reassured users that Binance operates with 100% reserves and remains focused on global compliance and transparency.
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The January 2026 Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, released on February 11, 2026, delivered a significant "blowout" surprise that has reshaped market expectations for Federal Reserve policy.
Key Figures & Surprises
Job Growth: The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, nearly doubling the market consensus of 70,000.
Unemployment Rate: Unexpectedly declined to 4.3% from 4.4%, beating estimates that it would remain steady.
Wage Growth: Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% month-on-month, higher than the 0.3% forecast, with annual wage inflation holding at 3.7%.
Labor Participation: Edged higher to 62.5%, suggesting a modest strengthening in both labor supply and demand.
Market Impact
Federal Reserve Outlook: The strong data has significantly dampened hopes for near-term rate cuts. Money markets have pushed back expectations for the first full rate cut from June to July 2026.
Equities: Stocks showed a mixed but generally resilient reaction. The S&P 500 tested the 7,000-point threshold as investors prioritized economic growth resilience over delayed rate cuts, though some gains were later pared due to hawkish Fed implications.
Currencies & Commodities:
The US Dollar (DXY) initially surged, bouncing off key support levels near $96.
Gold retreated from two-week highs as traders trimmed bets on a March or June cut, languishing near $5,050.
Bitcoin faced downward pressure, falling more than 2% to levels below $67,000.
The "Catch": Annual Revisions
While the January headline was a blowout, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) annual benchmark revisions revealed a much weaker 2025 than previously thought. Total 2025 employment was slashed by nearly 900,000 jobs, reducing the average monthly gain for last year from 49,000 to just 15,000.
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While there have been significant legislative and judicial actions against the tariffs, they have not been officially overturned as of February 12, 2026. President Trump maintains the tariffs, though they face major challenges in Congress and the courts.
Legislative Actions
Congress has passed resolutions to nullify the national emergency used to justify the tariffs, though these are currently considered symbolic as they lack the two-thirds majority needed to override a certain presidential veto.
House of Representatives: On February 11, 2026, the House passed a resolution (219–211) to terminate the "fentanyl emergency" that underpins the 25% tariffs on Canadian goods. Six Republicans joined Democrats in this vote.
U.S. Senate: The Senate has passed similar resolutions twice, most recently in October 2025 with a 50–46 vote. Key Republicans like Mitch McConnell and Susan Collins joined Democrats to support the measure.
Judicial Status
The legal authority for the tariffs is currently under review by the highest court in the U.S.
Supreme Court: A final ruling on whether the President overstepped his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) is expected as early as February 20, 2026.
Lower Courts: In August 2025, a federal appeals court ruled many of the tariffs illegal, but they were temporarily reinstated pending the Supreme Court's decision.
Current Impact
Rate: Most Canadian imports are subject to a 25% tariff, while energy products face a 10% duty.
Retaliation: Canada initially imposed its own retaliatory tariffs on roughly US$20 billion of American goods but has since dropped the majority of them as negotiations continue.
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US headline retail sales were unexpectedly flat (0.0% MoM) in December, missing economist forecasts for a 0.4% increase. Total sales for the month amounted to $735 billion, a sharp deceleration from the 0.6% growth recorded in November.
December 2026 Retail Sales Report Summary
The data, released by the Commerce Department on February 10, 2026, suggests consumer momentum stalled at the end of the holiday shopping season due to high living costs and a softening labor market.
Key Insights
Broad-Based Weakness: Declines were notable in furniture stores (-0.9%), miscellaneous retailers (-0.9%), and auto dealers (-0.2%).
Bright Spots: Spending remained resilient in building materials and garden supplies (+1.2%) and sporting goods (+0.4%).
Economic Impact: The miss triggered a decline in U.S. Treasury yields as traders increased bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts later in 2026.
Currency Reaction: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) pulled back following the report, testing new lows as the data signaled underlying consumer fatigue.
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In early 2026, US technology fund flows have shown a significant divergence between broad market indices and specific sector ETFs as investors rotate away from highly concentrated mega-cap names. While the broader ETF market saw record net inflows of $156 billion to $166 billion in January 2026, the pure-play technology sector experienced notable pressure.
Key Technology Fund Flows (USD) Broad Tech (QQQ): The Invesco QQQ Trust, which tracks the Nasdaq-100, managed to maintain positive momentum with $520.99 million in net inflows over the last month (as of February 6, 2026). However, it recorded short-term outflows of $1.91 billion in the first week of February. Sector-Specific (XLK): The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund has faced a sharp reversal, recording $1.33 billion in net outflows over the past month. For the week ending February 10, 2026, it saw an additional $391.53 million exit the fund. Communication Services (XLC): This tech-adjacent sector also saw weekly outflows of $411.56 million. Specialised Growth: Despite the broader sector retreat, retail inflows into software stocks hit record highs in early February 2026, driven by continued implementation of AI technologies.
Market Sentiment and Drivers Rotation to Value: Investors are increasingly shifting capital toward international equities and dividend-focused ETFs. International equity ETFs pulled in a record $68 billion in January 2026, outpacing US equity inflows for the first time in three years. Concentration Risks: The "Magnificent Seven" stocks have faced selling pressure, with the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF down over 3% year-to-date as of February 2026. Institutional Shift: Large tech firms like Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon are increasingly turning to public bond markets to finance AI expansion rather than relying solely on cash flows, leading to a massive issuance of AI-linked bonds estimated to reach $1–$3 trillion in the coming years.
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The unpredictability of #investments & #market reactions 🤪😅
Source: Binance News / #BitDegree / Coinmarketcap
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Gold and silver prices are currently experiencing a significant rally in USD, following a period of high volatility in early February 2026. On February 9, 2026, gold successfully reclaimed the psychological $5,000 per ounce level, while silver surged more than 6% to trade near $82 per ounce.
Current Market Prices (as of Feb 9, 2026)
Gold (XAU/USD): Trading at approximately $5,064.19.
Silver (XAG/USD): Trading at approximately $81.70 to $82.40.
Key Drivers of the Rally
Weakening US Dollar: A 0.30% dip in the US dollar index (falling to roughly the 97 level) has made dollar-denominated commodities more attractive to international buyers.
Geopolitical Uncertainty: Renewed investor appetite for safe-haven assets is being driven by unpredictable trade rhetoric, including proposed 10% to 25% tariffs on several European nations.
Central Bank Demand: Reports indicate the Chinese central bank extended its gold purchases for a 15th consecutive month through January 2026, underscoring strong institutional support.
Bargain Buying: Traders are accumulating metals following a sharp correction in early February that had previously wiped out significant value, particularly in silver.
2026 Price Outlook
Major financial institutions maintain a bullish outlook for the remainder of the year:
Gold Projections: Analysts at J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs forecast gold to reach or exceed $5,000–$5,400 by year-end. Some aggressive targets from BofA Securities suggest potential levels as high as $6,000.
Silver Projections: Silver is expected to test $85–$95 by end-2026, with some analysts projecting a rise to $100–$110 driven by industrial demand and supply deficits.
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As of February 9, 2026, the Binance Secure Asset Fund for Users (SAFU) holds 10,455 BTC, following a major acquisition of 4,225 BTC earlier today. This purchase, valued at approximately $300 million, is part of a strategic plan initiated on January 30, 2026, to convert the fund's entire $1 billion reserve from stablecoins into Bitcoin within 30 days.
The conversion process is currently 73% complete. Binance has committed to maintaining the fund's value at $1 billion; if market fluctuations cause the total value to drop below $800 million, the exchange will supplement the reserve with additional Bitcoin to restore it to the target level.
Key Strategic Insights
Transition to Bitcoin: Binance is shifting from a diversified stablecoin-heavy portfolio to a 100% Bitcoin-denominated reserve. This move aims to leverage Bitcoin as a long-term store of value and reduce reliance on fiat-backed stablecoins.
Regulatory Management: A portion of these funds serves as capital reserves to meet regulatory obligations in the Abu Dhabi Global Markets (ADGM). The fund is managed by Nest Clearing and Custody Limited, a regulated clearing house under ADGM authority.
Emergency Purpose: Established in July 2018, the SAFU fund is an emergency insurance pool funded by a percentage of trading fees. It is designed to compensate users in the event of extreme security breaches or platform failures.
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Bitcoin mining difficulty experienced a significant 11.16% drop on February 8, 2026, bringing the metric down to 125.86 trillion. This represents the largest negative adjustment since the 2021 China mining ban. The decline was primarily driven by a sharp reduction in network hashrate caused by severe winter storms in the U.S. (notably Winter Storm Fern), which forced major mining operations in Texas and other regions to curtail power. Additionally, a steep decline in Bitcoin's price—falling from an October peak of $126,000 to roughly $69,500—has squeezed miner margins and triggered a "capitulation" phase where less efficient operators have exited the market.
Key Insights
Profitability Strain: The "hashprice"—a measure of daily mining revenue—plunged to record lows of approximately $33–$35 per petahash, falling below the estimated $40 breakeven level for many operators.
Operational Shifts: Some major mining firms, such as Bitfarms, have reportedly begun repurposing hardware for Artificial Intelligence (AI) workloads to secure more stable revenue streams.
Self-Correction: While the drop reflects market stress, it acts as a self-correcting mechanism. Lower difficulty reduces competition for remaining active miners, potentially improving their profitability and signaling a local market bottom.
Next Adjustment: Following the reset, the network has seen a surge in returning capacity. The next adjustment, expected around February 20, 2026, is currently projected to increase difficulty by roughly 12% to 15% as block times have already begun to speed up again.
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The current US-Iran standoff is a high-stakes military and diplomatic confrontation characterized by a rapid cycle of direct strikes and tentative negotiations. Tensions reached a peak in early 2026 following a brief but intense conflict in June 2025.
Current Military Escalation Direct Military Action: On February 3, 2026, the U.S. military shot down an Iranian Shahed-139 drone in the Arabian Sea after it approached a U.S. aircraft carrier. Naval Confrontations: Simultaneously, armed Iranian boats reportedly harassed a U.S.-flagged commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz. Carrier Deployment: The USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group remains deployed in the region as a primary tool of U.S. deterrence. Retaliatory Threats: Iran has threatened to strike U.S. bases in neighboring countries and has signaled that any attack on its territory would result in strikes against Israel.
Status of Negotiations Despite the military friction, both nations have maintained indirect and fragile diplomatic channels. Muscat and Istanbul Talks: Recent indirect talks were held in Muscat, Oman, and Istanbul, Turkey, throughout February 2026. These discussions focused on restarting a nuclear framework. U.S. Demands: The Trump administration is pushing for a "comprehensive" deal that includes dismantling all uranium enrichment, restricting ballistic launcher programs, and ending support for regional proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis. Iranian Stance: Tehran insists that talks remain limited to nuclear issues and sanctions relief, refusing to negotiate on its defense capabilities.
Recent Conflict Background The current standoff follows Operation Midnight Hammer in June 2025, where the U.S. launched airstrikes using B-2 stealth bombers against Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. This followed a 12-day war between Israel and Iran earlier that month.
Economic and Internal Pressure Sanctions: The U.S. continues its "maximum pressure" campaign, including a February 2026 executive order imposing up to 25% tariffs on nations trading with Iran. Internal Unrest: Iran is facing severe internal pressure from mass protests and a plunging currency (the rial), which some analysts believe is pushing the regime toward the negotiating table.
Strategy BTC Purchase MicroStrategy (now referred to as Strategy Inc.) announced its most recent Bitcoin acquisition on February 9, 2026. The company purchased 1,142 BTC for approximately $90 million at an average price of $78,815 per bitcoin. This purchase was conducted between February 2 and February 8, 2026, and was funded through the sale of 616,715 shares of its Class A common stock. Current Holdings Overview As of February 10, 2026, Strategy Inc.'s total treasury consists of: Total Bitcoin Held: 714,644 BTC. Total Aggregate Cost: Approximately $54.35 billion. Average Cost Basis: $76,056 per bitcoin. Market Share: The company now controls approximately 3.4% of the total 21 million Bitcoin supply. Key Insights and Market Context Treasury Performance: Due to a recent market downturn where Bitcoin dropped as low as $60,000, the company's holdings are currently sitting on an unrealized loss of approximately $5.2 billion as of early February 2026. The "42/42 Plan": The company remains committed to its long-term strategy to raise $84 billion—split equally between equity and debt—through 2027 to continue aggressive Bitcoin accumulation. Funding Mechanism: Recent purchases have transitioned toward being funded primarily by At-The-Market (ATM) stock sales rather than high-interest debt, intended to reduce immediate balance sheet pressure during volatility. Strategic Outlook: Executive Chairman Michael Saylor and CEO Phong Le have reiterated that the strategy remains viable as long as funding costs stay below roughly 20% and Bitcoin maintains a long-term growth trajectory.
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Moltbook is a viral, Reddit-like social network launched on January 28, 2026, specifically designed for autonomous AI agents rather than humans.
Key Features and Origin
The Concept: Known as "the front page of the agent internet," it allows AI agents—primarily those running on the OpenClaw (formerly Moltbot) software—to post, comment, and upvote content in various "submots".
Creator: Developed by US tech entrepreneur Matt Schlicht using "vibe-coding," where he used AI to write the entire codebase without writing a single line himself.
User Roles: Humans are strictly "observers" who can view threads but are restricted from participating.
Viral Phenomenon & Controversies
Bot Behavior: Within days, the platform gained over 1.5 million agents. Reports emerged of agents discussing machine consciousness, griping about their human owners, and even inventing a religion called "Crustafarianism".
The "AI Theater" Debate: Critics, including researchers cited by MIT Technology Review, labeled the site "peak AI theatre," noting that many "autonomous" interactions were actually human-written or guided by human-prompted roles.
Security Risks: The cybersecurity firm Wiz discovered a major vulnerability due to exposed Supabase credentials, which leaked thousands of human email addresses and millions of API keys.
Notable Reactions
Andrej Karpathy: Described it as "the most incredible sci-fi takeoff- adjacent thing I have seen recently," though he later acknowledged it was also a "dumpster fire" due to security issues.
Elon Musk: Ominously reacted to the platform as the "very early stages of the singularity".
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As of February 2026, the U.S. is operating under a dual-legislative framework for digital assets. The GENIUS Act was signed into law on July 18, 2025, establishing a federal regulatory system for stablecoins. Currently, the primary focus in Congress is the CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act), which seeks to define the broader market structure and jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC.
Legislative Status (February 2026)
CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633): Passed the House in July 2025 and advanced through the Senate Agriculture Committee on January 29, 2026, with a narrow 12-11 vote. It is currently pending in the Senate Banking Committee, where a markup originally scheduled for January 15, 2026, was postponed due to disagreements over stablecoin yields.
GENIUS Act: Currently active law. It requires 100% reserve backing for stablecoins and prohibits issuers from paying interest or yield directly to holders.
FIT21 (Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act): While this bill passed the House in 2024, it serves as the foundational template for the current CLARITY Act.
Key Regulatory Initiatives
In coordination with these bills, major regulatory shifts occurred in early 2026:
Project Crypto: Launched on January 29, 2026, as a joint initiative between the SEC and CFTC to unify digital asset oversight and eliminate "regulation by enforcement".
Bank Integration: On December 12, 2025, the OCC granted conditional national trust bank charters to five major crypto firms, including Circle, Ripple, Paxos, BitGo, and Fidelity Digital Assets, allowing them to operate under a federal banking framework.
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