I’ve closely analyzed the Solana (SOL) chart using pure market structure, focusing on what has already happened and what is most likely to happen next. Based on this analysis, I see two possible scenarios, and both favor a bearish continuation.
Scenario 1: Pullback Before Further Decline
On the weekly timeframe, SOL broke a major structural low at $170.25, which marked a clear trend shift from bullish to bearish. After this shift: SOL created another lower low by breaking $125 This confirms a bearish structure (lower highs and lower lows) In this scenario, a pullback into the weekly supply zone at $178.33–$204.83 is expected.
Once price reaches this zone and forms a lower high, SOL may continue its bearish trend and break below $93, extending the downside move.
Scenario 2: Breakdown Before Pullback
In this case, SOL may: First break below the $93 low, creating a new lower low Then pull back into the weekly supply zone ($178.33–$204.83) Use that zone to form a lower high, confirming bearish continuation This scenario reflects strong bearish momentum, where price does not wait for a pullback before making another breakdown.
Conclusion Both scenarios indicate that SOL remains in a bearish market structure. Until price reclaims key highs and invalidates the current structure, downside risk remains dominant.
If this analysis helped clarify the situation for you, like the post and share your thoughts in the comments. $SOL #solana
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For you, it might be just a wick, but for long traders it’s more like manipulation. A small wick on the 1-hour timeframe can liquidate millions of dollars — now imagine this on the monthly timeframe, where billions in liquidations can be triggered.
Why am I telling you this? Because moves like this occur frequently in crypto. If you are a perpetual contracts trader, always set a proper stop-loss. Don’t play with liquidation. Even with a 99% win rate, one liquidation can wipe your account.
Second, risk management is like oxygen in crypto. Never trade perpetuals without it — it must be applied.
If your capital is not safe, how will you make money?