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usretailsalesmissforecast

CryptoGuider
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Υποτιμητική
Consumer Spending Came in Weaker than Expected What happened: U.S. retail sales for December 2025 were flat, coming in at 0.0% instead of the expected +0.4%, which means consumers didn’t increase spending as economists forecast. Core retail sales (which strip out volatile categories) also softened, suggesting broader weakness in consumption. Why it matters: Consumer spending drives ~70% of U.S. GDP. A miss signals slowing economic momentum, which can affect earnings growth and future GDP forecasts. Markets interpret this as evidence that the economy may be weakening — sometimes increasing hopes for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut to support growth. Stocks, especially consumer discretionary names (retailers, big ticket items), can underperform after such data. Market reaction: Indices took the news cautiously, with mixed moves and rotation among sectors. Weak retail data has made investors re-evaluate growth expectations and positioning. $POWER {future}(POWERUSDT) $ZRO {spot}(ZROUSDT) #usretailsalesmissforecast
Consumer Spending Came in Weaker than Expected

What happened:

U.S. retail sales for December 2025 were flat, coming in at 0.0% instead of the expected +0.4%, which means consumers didn’t increase spending as economists forecast.

Core retail sales (which strip out volatile categories) also softened, suggesting broader weakness in consumption.

Why it matters:

Consumer spending drives ~70% of U.S. GDP. A miss signals slowing economic momentum, which can affect earnings growth and future GDP forecasts.

Markets interpret this as evidence that the economy may be weakening — sometimes increasing hopes for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut to support growth.

Stocks, especially consumer discretionary names (retailers, big ticket items), can underperform after such data.

Market reaction:

Indices took the news cautiously, with mixed moves and rotation among sectors.

Weak retail data has made investors re-evaluate growth expectations and positioning.
$POWER
$ZRO
#usretailsalesmissforecast
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Ανατιμητική
🚨 BREAKING: US Retail Sales MISS Forecast – Macro Shock for$BTC ? 🚨 Retail sales just came in below expectations. That matters more than the headline suggests. Consumer spending drives roughly 70% of US GDP. When it weakens, the “strong economy” narrative starts to crack. Here’s what traders are pricing: • Slower demand • Cooling inflation pressure • Higher probability of Fed rate cuts • Dollar weakness risk Markets immediately start rotating. Equities hesitate because weaker spending hits corporate revenue expectations. Bonds catch a bid. Gold reacts. Crypto watches liquidity. For $BTC, this becomes a positioning story. If rate-cut expectations accelerate, liquidity conditions improve over time. That historically benefits Bitcoin. But short-term, macro uncertainty can trigger volatility spikes before direction is clear. What I’m watching: • DXY reaction • US 10Y yield movement • ETF flows • Whether BTC holds key support into this macro shift Retail sales misses don’t move markets alone. They shift narratives. And narratives drive capital flows. Macro just got interesting again. #usretailsalesmissforecast #BTC #WhenWillBTCRebound
🚨 BREAKING: US Retail Sales MISS Forecast – Macro Shock for$BTC ? 🚨

Retail sales just came in below expectations. That matters more than the headline suggests.

Consumer spending drives roughly 70% of US GDP. When it weakens, the “strong economy” narrative starts to crack.

Here’s what traders are pricing:
• Slower demand
• Cooling inflation pressure
• Higher probability of Fed rate cuts
• Dollar weakness risk

Markets immediately start rotating.

Equities hesitate because weaker spending hits corporate revenue expectations.

Bonds catch a bid.
Gold reacts.
Crypto watches liquidity.

For $BTC , this becomes a positioning story.

If rate-cut expectations accelerate, liquidity conditions improve over time. That historically benefits Bitcoin. But short-term, macro uncertainty can trigger volatility spikes before direction is clear.

What I’m watching:
• DXY reaction
• US 10Y yield movement
• ETF flows
• Whether BTC holds key support into this macro shift

Retail sales misses don’t move markets alone. They shift narratives. And narratives drive capital flows.

Macro just got interesting again.
#usretailsalesmissforecast #BTC #WhenWillBTCRebound
BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE 2017 AND 2021 PATTERN!!!🚨 BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE 2017 AND 2021 PATTERN!!! Look to this chart, $BTC will dump to $35,000 in 10 days. Are you actually prepared for that scenario? From my theory, I’ve identified the timing of the next cycle. I track BTC on two axes. TIME + PRICE. Most people only watch price. That's why they every time MISS the best entries. First, the TIME axis. Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving: - 2012: 406 days - 2016: 363 days - 2020: 376 days - 2024: still pending These numbers are close. So if this cycle lines up, the highest probability window for the next real bottom is Oct to Nov 2026. That is my time target. And when that window hits, I buy no matter what price looks like. Because time is how you don't get front run. Now the PRICE axis. I've already started buying since we entered the $60,000 zone. Even if the time window hasn't hit yet. Why? Because waiting for the perfect level is how you miss the whole move. Retail says "I'll only buy at X price". But if price never hits it, you're left behind. So my approach is simple. If price gives value, I start buying. If time hits the historical window, I buy regardless. That one framework explains everything. Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I said I'd be a strong buyer in the $60,000 range. People laughed. They said BTC would never see $60K again. I don't argue with noise. I stick to the plan. Now we've hit that zone, and the price call played out. But the risk of a lower low is still real. That's why the TIME axis matters. My plan: 1) TIME axis Oct to Nov 2026 is a strong BUY, regardless of price. 2) PRICE axis Below $60,000 is a strong BUY, regardless of time. If either one hits, I execute daily buys of $500,000. And there's one more thing I watch. NUPL - Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. The onchain indicator that historically flags the real cycle bottom. - 2018 - COVID crash - 2022 It caught all of them. Right now, we're not in that blue zone yet. We're still far from it. So I wouldn't be surprised to see BTC in the $45K to $50K zone by end of 2026. That's my ultimate bottom target, where I'd feel good going heavy. The market is messy right now, but this phase will pass. I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.$BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #USRetailSalesMissForecast

BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE 2017 AND 2021 PATTERN!!!

🚨 BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE 2017 AND 2021 PATTERN!!!

Look to this chart, $BTC will dump to $35,000 in 10 days.

Are you actually prepared for that scenario?

From my theory, I’ve identified the timing of the next cycle.

I track BTC on two axes.

TIME + PRICE.

Most people only watch price.
That's why they every time MISS the best entries.

First, the TIME axis.

Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving:

- 2012: 406 days
- 2016: 363 days
- 2020: 376 days
- 2024: still pending

These numbers are close.

So if this cycle lines up, the highest probability window for the next real bottom is Oct to Nov 2026.

That is my time target.

And when that window hits, I buy no matter what price looks like.

Because time is how you don't get front run.

Now the PRICE axis.

I've already started buying since we entered the $60,000 zone.

Even if the time window hasn't hit yet.

Why?

Because waiting for the perfect level is how you miss the whole move.

Retail says "I'll only buy at X price".
But if price never hits it, you're left behind.

So my approach is simple.

If price gives value, I start buying.
If time hits the historical window, I buy regardless.

That one framework explains everything.

Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I said I'd be a strong buyer in the $60,000 range.

People laughed.
They said BTC would never see $60K again.

I don't argue with noise.
I stick to the plan.

Now we've hit that zone, and the price call played out.

But the risk of a lower low is still real.

That's why the TIME axis matters.

My plan:

1) TIME axis
Oct to Nov 2026 is a strong BUY, regardless of price.

2) PRICE axis
Below $60,000 is a strong BUY, regardless of time.

If either one hits, I execute daily buys of $500,000.

And there's one more thing I watch.

NUPL - Net Unrealized Profit/Loss.

The onchain indicator that historically flags the real cycle bottom.
- 2018
- COVID crash
- 2022

It caught all of them.

Right now, we're not in that blue zone yet.
We're still far from it.

So I wouldn't be surprised to see BTC in the $45K to $50K zone by end of 2026.

That's my ultimate bottom target, where I'd feel good going heavy.

The market is messy right now, but this phase will pass.

I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.

Follow and turn notifications on.

I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.$BTC
$ETH
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #USRetailSalesMissForecast
Bev Masias w7mB:
people will laugh even now ... 😒
BTCUSDT
Μακροπρ. άνοιγμα
Μη πραγμ. PnL
+63.00%
Noella Faltus TJ1M:
https://www.binance.com/game/button/btc-button-Jan2026?ref=1015688543&registerChannel=GRO-BTN-btc-button-Jan2026&utm_source=share
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Ανατιμητική
$ETH 🚨 TRADE SIGNAL – ETH/USDT 🚨 Asset: Ethereum Current Price: $2,020 📊 Structure Overview $2,000 is a strong psychological and technical level. Price reaction around this zone decides direction. 🟢 Bullish Setup (If Holding Above $1,980) Entry Zone: $1,990 – $2,030 Stop Loss: $1,920 Targets: 🎯 TP1: $2,120 🎯 TP2: $2,250 🎯 TP3: $2,400 $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) Sustained break above $2,150 strengthens bullish continuation. 🔴 Bearish Setup (If Breaks Below $1,980) If 4H candle closes below $1,980: Short Targets: 🎯 $1,900 🎯 $1,820 🎯 $1,750 📌 Summary Above $2,000 → Bullish bias Below $1,980 → Pullback likely $ETH Tell me timeframe (15m / 1H / 4H / Daily) and whether this is spot or futures, and I’ll tighten the setup.#USRetailSalesMissForecast
$ETH 🚨 TRADE SIGNAL – ETH/USDT 🚨
Asset: Ethereum
Current Price: $2,020

📊 Structure Overview

$2,000 is a strong psychological and technical level.
Price reaction around this zone decides direction.

🟢 Bullish Setup (If Holding Above $1,980)

Entry Zone: $1,990 – $2,030
Stop Loss: $1,920

Targets:
🎯 TP1: $2,120
🎯 TP2: $2,250
🎯 TP3: $2,400
$ETH

Sustained break above $2,150 strengthens bullish continuation.

🔴 Bearish Setup (If Breaks Below $1,980)

If 4H candle closes below $1,980:

Short Targets:
🎯 $1,900
🎯 $1,820
🎯 $1,750

📌 Summary

Above $2,000 → Bullish bias
Below $1,980 → Pullback likely
$ETH
Tell me timeframe (15m / 1H / 4H / Daily) and whether this is spot or futures, and I’ll tighten the setup.#USRetailSalesMissForecast
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Ανατιμητική
#usretailsalesmissforecast US retail sales coming in below expectations signals something deeper than just numbers, consumers are spending less, and that usually hits risk assets first. Historically, weak retail data increases uncertainty in crypto markets. If the trend continues, $BTC and major altcoins could see sharper moves driven by macro sentiment rather than on-chain fundamentals. The real question isn’t whether crypto will react, it’s how fast the market will price in a potential economic slowdown. #BTC #crypto #USDataImpact
#usretailsalesmissforecast US retail sales coming in below expectations signals something deeper than just numbers, consumers are spending less, and that usually hits risk assets first.

Historically, weak retail data increases uncertainty in crypto markets. If the trend continues, $BTC and major altcoins could see sharper moves driven by macro sentiment rather than on-chain fundamentals.

The real question isn’t whether crypto will react, it’s how fast the market will price in a potential economic slowdown.

#BTC #crypto #USDataImpact
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Ανατιμητική
BTCUSDT
Μακροπρ. άνοιγμα
Μη πραγμ. PnL
+63.00%
Sharyn Colaiacovo uFVC:
E lógico, Eles derrubaram os preços, E agora vão acumular, se livraram dos mão fraca,Agora quem seguro vai aproveitar a colheita.
US Retail Sales Miss Forecast — Markets on High Alert Fresh data shows US Retail Sales fell short of expectations, hinting at slower consumer spending and growing concerns about the overall strength of the US economy. This could create downward pressure on the Stock Market , the US Dollar , and global market sentiment. With inflation still persistent and interest rates remaining high, investors are increasingly worried about a possible economic slowdown or even a recession. Now, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve and what their next move might be. Do you think this is just a temporary pullback, or the start of a bigger market shift? #USRetailSales #MarketUpdate #usretailsalesmissforecast
US Retail Sales Miss Forecast — Markets on High Alert
Fresh data shows US Retail Sales fell short of expectations, hinting at slower consumer spending and growing concerns about the overall strength of the US economy.
This could create downward pressure on the Stock Market , the US Dollar , and global market sentiment. With inflation still persistent and interest rates remaining high, investors are increasingly worried about a possible economic slowdown or even a recession.
Now, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve and what their next move might be.
Do you think this is just a temporary pullback, or the start of a bigger market shift?
#USRetailSales #MarketUpdate #usretailsalesmissforecast
$OM USDT just printed a strong impulse move from 0.044 area to 0.0705 high on the 1H chart. That’s a clean breakout with heavy volume, now moving into short-term consolidation around 0.062–0.064. After a 37% daily push, this pause is healthy — not weakness yet. Structure-wise, 0.058–0.060 is the key demand zone. As long as OM holds above that, buyers remain in control and another attempt toward 0.0705 is likely. Break and close above 0.071 opens room toward 0.078–0.082 liquidity. Trade Setup (controlled risk, max 15x): Entry: 0.0600 – 0.0630 SL: 0.0565 TP1: 0.0705 TP2: 0.0780 TP3: 0.0820 Momentum is strong but after big spikes volatility is high manage size properly. If 0.0565 breaks, short-term structure flips weak. #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH #CPIWatch
$OM USDT just printed a strong impulse move from 0.044 area to 0.0705 high on the 1H chart. That’s a clean breakout with heavy volume, now moving into short-term consolidation around 0.062–0.064. After a 37% daily push, this pause is healthy — not weakness yet.

Structure-wise, 0.058–0.060 is the key demand zone. As long as OM holds above that, buyers remain in control and another attempt toward 0.0705 is likely. Break and close above 0.071 opens room toward 0.078–0.082 liquidity.

Trade Setup (controlled risk, max 15x):
Entry: 0.0600 – 0.0630
SL: 0.0565
TP1: 0.0705
TP2: 0.0780
TP3: 0.0820

Momentum is strong but after big spikes volatility is high manage size properly. If 0.0565 breaks, short-term structure flips weak.
#TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH #CPIWatch
Every Bitcoin Crash Looked Like This 📉 2012 Crash – Extreme Fear Mt. Gox Crash – Extreme Fear 2017–18 Crash – Extreme Fear Covid Crash – Extreme Fear FTX Crash – Extreme Fear 2026 Crash – Extreme Fear (now) Same story. Different year. Every time fear hits the extreme zone, people say “this time is different”. And every time, Bitcoin survives… and comes back stronger. Back then: $7 felt expensive $400 felt risky $3k felt scary $15k felt like the end Today, many wish they had bought at those prices. Fear is loud. Opportunities are quiet. Smart money builds positions when emotions are at the worst. Retail buys when headlines turn positive. This is not a time for panic. This is a time for patience, planning, and discipline. DYOR. Manage risk. Stay focused. #USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH
Every Bitcoin Crash Looked Like This 📉
2012 Crash – Extreme Fear
Mt. Gox Crash – Extreme Fear
2017–18 Crash – Extreme Fear
Covid Crash – Extreme Fear
FTX Crash – Extreme Fear
2026 Crash – Extreme Fear (now)
Same story. Different year.
Every time fear hits the extreme zone, people say “this time is different”.
And every time, Bitcoin survives… and comes back stronger.
Back then:
$7 felt expensive
$400 felt risky
$3k felt scary
$15k felt like the end
Today, many wish they had bought at those prices.
Fear is loud.
Opportunities are quiet.
Smart money builds positions when emotions are at the worst.
Retail buys when headlines turn positive.
This is not a time for panic.
This is a time for patience, planning, and discipline.
DYOR. Manage risk. Stay focused.

#USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH
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