cryptomarket

Bitcoin ran hard, then reality hit. Losing $70K wasn’t just technical, it changed market behavior. This feels less like panic and more like a reset phase.
Bitcoin didn’t just pull back. It lost a level the market trusted.
For months, Bitcoin felt unstoppable. Every dip was bought, sentiment stayed bullish, and momentum carried price all the way to the October 2025 peak near $126,000. Confidence was high, risk was ignored, and the trend looked easy.
Then the tone quietly changed.
When Bitcoin slipped below $70,000, most traders initially brushed it off as another routine dip. But this time, the bounce never really showed strength. Selling pressure stayed persistent, volatility expanded, and price gradually slid toward the $60,000 zone. In the process, Bitcoin gave back around 50% of its gains from the peak.
That wasn’t panic.
That was the market hitting reset.
Why $70K Was More Than Just a Level
$70,000 wasn’t just technical support. It was psychological. Above it, the market believed the trend was safe. Below it, confidence cracked. Once that level flipped into resistance, behavior shifted quickly. Leverage began to unwind, late longs got trapped, and fear replaced the calm optimism that defined the rally.
This is usually how strong trends pause. Not with a single crash, but with a slow grind that exhausts both buyers and sellers.
What a Reset Phase Really Looks Like
Right now, Bitcoin isn’t trending. It’s resetting.
That typically comes with:
Choppy, unpredictable price actionSharp moves in both directionsFailed breakouts and weak recoveriesEmotional overtrading
These phases feel frustrating, but they’re necessary. Strong rallies don’t continue without clearing excess leverage and weak positioning first.
One thing that stands out is volume behavior. Selling waves have come with stronger volume, while bounces have looked lighter and less convincing. That usually suggests sellers still have short-term control, even if price is trying to stabilize.
The Most Important Level Right Now
The $60,000 area is the key decision zone for the market.
If buyers defend it, Bitcoin can consolidate, cool down volatility, and start building a healthier baseIf it fails decisively, the market may need to explore lower levels before confidence can return
At this stage, prediction matters less than reaction. Strong markets show demand quickly. Weak markets struggle to reclaim lost levels.
What This Phase Teaches Traders
Markets like this reward discipline, not excitement.
Strong rallies always need resetsPsychological levels matter more than indicatorsPatience usually beats prediction during high volatility
Personally, I’m not trying to guess the bottom. I’m watching how price behaves around key levels, how volume reacts, and whether buyers step in with conviction. This is a phase for observation, not aggression.
My Current Mindset
In conditions like these, my focus is simple: capital protection first, opportunity later. This is where many traders either overtrade or completely step away. Both extremes usually lead to mistakes. Slowing down and letting the market reveal its direction is often the smarter move.
The Bigger Picture
Bitcoin isn’t broken. Corrections like this have always been part of its cycles. The rally was fast and emotional. The reset is slow and uncomfortable. That contrast is normal.
In simple terms:
Bitcoin ran hard. Now it’s catching its breath.
The next real opportunity won’t come from hype. It’ll come when volatility cools, fear fades, and price proves it can stand on its own again.
This is just my market perspective, not financial advice.
👉 Do you see this reset as an accumulation phase, or do you think the market still needs more time to cool off?
#bitcoin
#BTC
#CryptoMarket

Many people think every cycle is different.
But when you study time + price together, you realize one thing:
History doesn’t repeat exactly… but it rhymes.
Right now, $BTC is showing similarities to the 2017 and 2021 cycles. And if that structure continues, we could still see serious downside before the true bottom forms.
Some are calling for $35,000 in the short term.
Is that possible? Yes.
Am I emotionally reacting to it? No.
Because I don’t trade based on fear.
I trade based on a framework.
My Strategy: TIME + PRICE
Most traders only watch price.
That’s why they miss the best opportunities.
I track Bitcoin on two axes:
TIME
PRICE
When you combine both, the market becomes much clearer.
⏳ The TIME Axis
Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving:
2012 cycle → 406 days
2016 cycle → 363 days
2020 cycle → 376 days
2024 cycle → Still developing
Notice something?
The timing is very similar every cycle.
If this pattern continues, the highest probability window for the next major cycle bottom is:
👉 October – November 2026
That is my TIME target.
When that window hits, I will be buying — regardless of what the price looks like.
Why?
Because timing prevents you from getting front-run.
Price alone can trap you. Time gives structure.
💰 The PRICE Axis
I started accumulating once we entered the $60,000 zone.
Even though the time window hasn’t arrived yet.
Why?
Because waiting for the “perfect” level is how most retail traders miss the entire move.
Retail mentality: “I’ll buy only if it hits X.”
Reality: If price never hits X, you stay sidelined forever.
My approach is simple:
If price offers value → I start buying.
If historical time window arrives → I buy no matter what.
What About a Lower Low?
Yes, the risk of a deeper correction is still real.
That’s why TIME matters so much.
Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I clearly said I would be a strong buyer in the $60,000 range.
People laughed.
They said Bitcoin would never revisit $60K.
I don’t argue with noise.
I stick to structure.
Now we’ve reached that zone.
But I’m still prepared for a potential move into the $45K–$50K region by late 2026. That’s my ultimate heavy accumulation area.
🔵 The On-Chain Confirmation: NUPL
One more thing I monitor closely:
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)
Historically, it signaled major bottoms:
2018 bear market
COVID crash
2022 capitulation
Right now?
We are not in the deep capitulation zone yet.
That tells me the real cycle low might still be ahead.
My Execution Plan
1️⃣ TIME Axis:
October–November 2026 → Strong BUY regardless of price.
2️⃣ PRICE Axis:
Below $60,000 → Strong BUY regardless of timing.
If either condition is met, I execute consistent daily buys.
No emotions.
No panic.
No chasing headlines.
The market feels messy right now.
But every cycle has this phase — confusion before clarity.
I’ve spent a decade studying macro cycles, and structure always beats emotion.
The real opportunity comes when others are scared.
Stay prepared. Stay disciplined.
$BTC

#BTC#bitcoin #Crypto#CryptoMarket #BTCanalysis #BitcoinCycle #CryptoInvesting

I’ve been closely studying the structure of Bitcoin, and the current cycle is starting to look very similar to 2017 and 2021. If history continues to rhyme, there’s a real possibility that $BTC could drop toward $35,000 within the next 10 days.
The real question is: Are you prepared for that scenario?
My strategy is different from most people. I don’t track Bitcoin based on price alone.
I track it on two axes:
TIME + PRICE
Most retail investors only focus on price. That’s exactly why they consistently miss the best entries.
🔹 TIME Axis
Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving:
2012: 406 days
2016: 363 days
2020: 376 days
2024: Still pending
These numbers are remarkably close. If this cycle aligns similarly, the highest-probability window for the next true bottom would be October to November 2026.
That’s my time target.
When that window hits, I buy — regardless of what the price looks like.
Because understanding time prevents you from being front-run.
🔹 PRICE Axis
I already began accumulating when # $BTC entered the $60,000 zone — even though the time window hasn’t arrived yet.
Why?
Because waiting for the “perfect” level is how you miss the entire move.
Retail investors say: “I’ll only buy at X price.”
But if price never reaches that level, they’re left watching from the sidelines.
My framework is simple:
If price offers value → I start buying.
If the historical time window hits → I buy, no matter the price.
Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer in the $60K range. People laughed. They believed Bitcoin would never revisit that zone.
I don’t argue with noise.
I stick to the plan.
Now that we’ve touched that area, the price thesis played out. But the risk of a lower low still exists — and that’s why the TIME axis matters.
📌 My Plan
1️⃣ TIME Axis: October–November 2026 → Strong BUY regardless of price.
2️⃣ PRICE Axis: Below $60,000 → Strong BUY regardless of timing.
There’s one more key indicator I monitor:
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) — an on-chain metric that historically signals true cycle bottoms (2018, COVID crash, 2022).
Right now, we are not in that deep capitulation “blue zone” yet. That’s why I wouldn’t be surprised to see BTC trade in the $45K–$50K range by late 2026.
That’s where I would feel confident going heavy.
The market feels messy right now — but every cycle goes through this phase.
I’ve studied macro for over a decade and have called most major market tops, including the October BTC ATH.
Ignore the noise.
Follow the framework.
Prepare before the headlines do.
$BTC #Bitcoin
#BTC
#CryptoMarket
#BitcoinCrash
#CryptoNews