When the Russian invasion of Ukraine began on February 24, 2022, Bitcoin went on to rally roughly 37% in the following month.
At the time, markets initially reacted with fear — but capital quickly rotated.
Why?
• Sanctions increased demand for alternative rails
• Currency instability boosted hedge narratives
• Risk assets rebounded after forced liquidations
• Liquidity conditions mattered more than headlines
War is tragic.
But from a market perspective, geopolitical shocks don’t automatically mean bearish price action for Bitcoin.
Sometimes uncertainty increases volatility.
Sometimes it strengthens the “non-sovereign asset” narrative.
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