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BEARISH BTC $3.4B Options Expiry Forces Bitcoin Lower Price Drops Below Max Pain and Confirms Bearish Momentum 🔥

Bitcoin faced strong downward pressure on Friday December 5,2025 following the expiration of roughly $3.4 billion in BTC options contracts.Large expiration events often act as a gravity pull and this time was no different the market dragged toward the Max Pain level at $91,000 where the majority of contracts expire worthless.

$BTC slipping to $89,500 below Max Pain is especially significant.When price sinks under this level most call options lose all value maximizing profits for option writers market makers and intensifying short term bearish momentum.

Negative Funding Rate Confirms Market Bias

The Funding Rate currently at 0.001206 gives a clear view of futures sentiment.
• A negative reading means shorts are paying longs showing that traders are heavily positioned for downside.
• This bearish futures positioning aligns perfectly with the selling pressure driven by the massive options expiry and the gravitational pull toward $91,000.

$BTC


📌Conclusion

With BTC trading around $89,500 the market has effectively delivered maximum losses to call holders while rewarding issuers.The successful push below Max Pain reveals strong seller dominance and reinforces a cautious, bearish short term outlook. Until derivatives positioning shifts downside pressure is likely to remain the dominant force.

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Why December Belongs to the U.S The Coinbase Premium Is Exposing Bitcoin’s True Market Pressure 🔥

As December kicks off the Coinbase Premium Index a key metric that reflects the buying and selling pressure from U.S investors has become one of the most important signals for Bitcoin’s short term direction.From late November into early December the premium plunged sharply into negative territory moving almost perfectly in line with Bitcoin’s decline toward the $90K region.This negative spread shows that U.S traders were selling more aggressively than global markets creating meaningful downward pressure.

The Historical December Trend

Looking back over the last eight years December consistently shows weaker or negative premiums. This is largely driven by year end rebalancing tax loss strategies and reduced risk-taking among U.S investors.
• In tough years like 2018 and 2022 the premium collapsed deeply negative.
• In bullish phases like 2020 and 2023 the premium turned strongly positive and fueled rallies.
December reliably reveals the real conviction and liquidity strength coming from the U.S

December 2025 A Fast Reversal

This year the premium started sharply negative but rebounded positive within days. Such a quick reversal suggests early selling pressure may have exhausted itself allowing U.S buyers to step back in often a precursor to stabilization or short term relief.

Bottom Line

Bitcoin’s immediate direction still depends heavily on U.S flows. Monitoring the Coinbase Premium U.S spot demand and derivatives activity is crucial for anticipating the next major move.

$BNB

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Bitcoin Near $90K as Binance Futures Z Score Crashes Momentum Looks Fragile 🔥

Bitcoin is trading close to $90,000 but Binance futures data is revealing a clear slowdown in market strength.The Futures Volume Z Score has dropped sharply to 1.48 one of its weakest readings showing that derivatives activity is far lower than usual compared to monthly averages. This negative shift highlights a loss of momentum just as Bitcoin trades at elevated price levels.

What the Z Score Tells Us

A Z Score of 1.48 means current futures volume is significantly below its historical baseline.For a market that typically relies on high futures participation to sustain strong trends this is a notable signal.When volume weakens at the top of a rally it often reflects declining confidence among professional traders and reduced speculative appetite.

Why This Matters Now

Low futures activity suggests the uptrend is running without its usual leverage driven support.That makes Bitcoin more sensitive to corrections as liquidity is thinner and buyers are less aggressive. At the same time the reduced leverage could mean the rally is becoming healthier and less prone to sudden liquidations.

$BTC


📌Bottom Line

Unless futures volume begins to recover Bitcoin’s momentum will remain vulnerable.The sharp drop in the Z Score highlights a market in caution mode waiting for stronger conviction before the next major move.

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$BTC يكشف التحرك السعري الأخير على بينانس عن زيادة في حجم الشراء من جانب المشتريين مما يبرز قوة السوق من المشترين على مدار الأسبوعين الماضيين. تتبع هذه المقياس حجم التداولات حيث يأخذ المشترون السيولة بسعر السوق مما يعد علامة واضحة على الاستعجال من متداولي الزخم، والحيتان، والمراكز القصيرة التي تُجبر على الخروج.

ماذا تكشف الارتفاعات الأخيرة
لقد تلا كل انخفاض حاد خلال اليوم قفزة فورية في حجم الشراء من جانب المشتريين. يشير هذا السلوك إلى أن

المتداولين لا يزالون واثقين في شراء الانخفاضات

الحيتان تتدخل لامتصاص ضغط البيع

المراكز القصيرة تغلق بسرعة مما يدفع السعر للأعلى

تظهر الارتفاعات الأكثر حدة خلال التعافي السريع مما يشير إلى أن المشترين يحاولون استعادة السيطرة بعد عمليات سحب السيولة.

كيف يجب أن يفسر السوق ذلك
يمكن أن يغذي حجم الشراء من جانب المشتريين الموجات القصيرة الأجل ولكن دون متابعة سعر مستمرة، قد يعكس ذلك تعباً مؤقتاً بدلاً من القوة. تظهر الاتجاهات الحالية

رد فعل ضعيف بعد كل انخفاض

عمق السيولة المنخفض

اتجاه ناضج مع تقلبات أكثر توازناً

📌ملاحظة المخاطر
حجم الشراء من جانب المشتريين وحده ليس كافياً. يمكن أن تؤدي الارتفاعات إلى نتيجة من ضغط قصير أو مطاردات توقف. للحصول على إشارات أوضح، اجمع بين هذا المقياس ومعدلات التمويل، وخرائط السيولة، وهيكل السوق الأوسع.


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