0303解盘
Iran's diplomatic dove military hawk, repeatedly oscillating with significant fluctuations
The market's entanglement stems from the contradictions and fluctuations of the battlefield. The Iranian ruling class is mainly composed of three factions: the clerical group (religious authoritarianism), the Revolutionary Guard (controlling money and military), and the secular government (administrative management). The unexpected extermination of the upper levels of the first two has caused chaos in the order of power, leading to a tug-of-war between the diplomatic dove (government-led) and military hawk (guard-led). The dog farm conveniently exploits the news impact, repeatedly rubbing against it, causing significant fluctuations and squeezing high-leverage contract players.
Yesterday planned to buy at 635, last night during the day, after two attempts, it did not break the low point, entered the market at 653 to buy, half an hour later, it quickly surged significantly, gradually taking profits and leaving the market, selling a portion.
Last night, after piercing the triangular area, the big cake fell back into the range. There is objective resistance, but the speed and amplitude of the surge are both strong, in line with the expected judgment of "gradual desensitization, oscillating upwards." The shorts can only be short and quick, but it is also not advisable to chase long at high levels; temporarily, the focus is on buying on dips.
Trading plan
Pull back to 655-658 to stabilize, enter long
72-74 range, obviously exhausted, then short