Doston, BTC ne October 2025 mein $126,198 ka ATH banaya, aur ab $67K par hai. 47% down. Whale ne $172M dump kiya. Ab market directionless hai. Exact situation bata raha hoon.

📉 Current Market Snapshot (12 Feb 2026)

Bitcoin Price: ~$67,565

All-Time High: $126,198 (6 October 2025)

Drawdown from ATH: -47%

24h Change: -0.26% (sideways)

Reality Check:

BTC $126,198 ATH se 47% down hai

$2.6 billion capital nikal chuka hai last 30 days mein

Whale ne $172 million BTC dump kiya recently

ETF outflows: $434 million (BTC), $80 million (ETH)

Source: Galaxy Research, Pintu News, Coinbase

🔴 Bearish Signals (Kyun Gira Sakta Hai)

1. No Strong Support

$67K ke neeche koi solid support nahi hai. Agar yeh toota:

$60K → Next psychological support

$54K-$57K → Worst case scenario (Galaxy Research forecast)

2. Institutional Outflows

Spot BTC ETFs se $434 million nikala

Spot ETH ETFs se $80 million nikala

3. RSI Oversold

RSI 30 ke neeche hai. Historically bounce aata hai, par timing uncertain.

🟢 Bullish Hope (Kyun Pump Ho Sakta Hai)

1. Oversold Bounce Possible

RSI 30 ke neeche = historically buying opportunity

2. Fed Rate Cut Expectations

March 2026 mein rate cut ki probability 19-21%

3. Bitcoin Dominance High

56.81% dominance = Altcoin season abhi nahi. BTC hi king hai.

💡 Mera Personal Game Plan

| Scenario | Price Level | My Action |

Extreme Fear | Below $60K | Heavy DCA start

Accumulation Zone | $60K-$67K | Slow buying

Wait & Watch | $67K-$75K | Kuch nahi Breakout | Above $75K | Conviction buy

🔥 Altcoin Update

XRP: ETF inflows strong ($1.3B total), supply squeeze hai

ETH: $1,950 par, undervalued lag raha hai

SOL: $142 par, active addresses 27 million (record high)

⚠️ Risk Management

Golden Rules:

1. Never all-in - Hamesha 20% cash reserve rakho

2. DCA karo - Lump sum mat daalo

3. Stop losses - Har trade pe define karo

4. No leverage - Is market mein leverage = loss your all capital

🎯 Bottom Line

Bitcoin $67K par "no man's land" mein hai.

Bullish: $75K break kare toh $100K+ possible

Bearish: $60K break kare toh $54K-$57K possible

Most likely: Sideways $60K-$75K

Main personally: Small DCA kar raha hoon $65K-$67K zone mein.

Aap kya sochte ho? Comment mein batao:

🚀 Bullish ($75K+ soon)

🐻 Bearish ($60K-)

😐 Sideways

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Disclaimer: Yeh sirf educational content hai. Crypto highly volatile hai. Apna research karo.

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