The Lindy Effect

đŸ•°ïž Why Time is the Best Bullshit Detector

Happy Friday Binanciers!

A wealth advisor colleague called me a few days ago. His father-in-law just went all-in on Ethereum after ‘doing his research’. Smart contracts, DeFi, the whole pitch.

Then came the inevitable question: "Why are you still Bitcoin-only? Aren't you worried about missing out?".

My response was simple: "If you had to bet on what survives the next 100 years - the Bible or “The Let Them Theory” by Mel Robbins (Amazon’s best selling self-help book of the week).

He paused. "The Bible, obviously”.

"Exactly" was my response.

That's the Lindy Effect in action. And it's the single most powerful filter for separating signals from noise in investing.