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Past capitulation waves have preceded sharp recoveries, but this time price is still fighting technical resistance even as ledger activity surges.
Realized losses measure actual losses, not paper drawdowns. They spike when holders capitulate, choosing to lock in losses rather than wait for a rebound. Unlike unrealized losses, which can vanish if price recovers, realized losses represent final decisions.
For realized losses to surge into the billions, there must be aggressive selling pressure, but there must also be buyers willing to take the other side. Large capitulation events often coincide with liquidity stepping in at lower levels. Historically, these moments tend to cluster near market bottoms because much of the weaker positioning gets cleared out in one move.
That absorption piece matters.
However, context is key. The 2022 spike came after a prolonged drawdown and broader crypto deleveraging. Today’s environment includes macro uncertainty, shifting regulatory narratives and still-elevated volatility across majors. A realized loss spike increases the probability that sellers are exhausted, but it does not eliminate macro headwinds.
When weak hands are flushed, the composition of holders shifts. The coins that change hands during capitulation typically move from short-term, emotionally driven traders to longer-term buyers with stronger conviction or better cost bases. That redistribution can create a more stable foundation for price.
Another variable to watch is follow-through. In prior cycles, sustained recoveries required not just a single capitulation print but stabilization in spot demand and declining sell pressure in the weeks that followed. If realized losses remain elevated or quickly re-accelerate, that would suggest distribution is not finished.
For now, the data points to emotional extremes. Historically, that has been fertile ground for rebounds. Whether it becomes a durable trend shift depends on what happens after the panic subsides.
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The tokenized shares were issued by the BNP Paribas’ AssetFoundryTM platform using a “permissioned access model on Ethereum.”
This follows other experiments, including efforts to bring Swift onchain, and issue tokenized shares via Allfunds Blockchain.
BNP Paribas Asset Management is tapping Ethereum for a new blockchain pilot, this time issuing a tokenised share class of a French‑domiciled money market fund.
The tokenized shares, issued onchain using BNP Paribas’ AssetFoundryTM platform, will offer gated access via a "permissioned access model on Ethereum ... whereby holdings and transfers are restricted to eligible and authorised participants, in line with applicable regulatory requirements," according to the announcement.
The initiative was conducted as a one‑off, limited intra‑group experiment, enabling BNP Paribas to test new end‑to‑end processes, from issuance and transfer agency to tokenisation and public‑blockchain connectivity, within a controlled and regulated framework," the company wrote.
BNP Paribas Asset Management acted as the fund issuer, with BNP Paribas Securities Services business acting as transfer agent and dealer.
This second issuance of tokenised money market funds, this time using public blockchain infrastructure, supports our ongoing efforts to explore how tokenisation can contribute to greater operational efficiency and security within a regulated framework," Chief Digital and Data Officer at BNP Paribas Asset Management Edouard Legrand said in a statement.
BNP Paribas, a leading Paris-based multinational bank, has been an active participant in the institutional blockchain space. Last year, for instance, the firm issued an onchain share class of a money market fund in collaboration with Allfunds Blockchain, referring to the project as the "first natively tokenised money market fund."
The firm is also reportedly part of an experiment to bring the Swift global financial communications network to the Ethereum Layer 2 Linea, as well as a member of a joint project among big banks, reportedly including Santander, Bank of America, Barclays, Citi, Deutsche Bank, and Goldman Sachs, to explore issuing a stablecoin.
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اليوم الرابع من رمضان والفعاليات مازالت مستمرة 🎁 اربح لان اكثر من 50 دولار من خلال ارسال 1 دولار إلى الأيدي
lD: 1201771522
وأربح مستمر الى كل من يقوم بلمشاركة الارسال
اضافة الى هاذ ربح 10 دولار الكل من يطبق الشروط 👇
1- متابعة الصفحة
2- اعادة نشر المقالة
3- كتابة تم اسفل
4- ارسال 1 دولار الى lD: 1201771522
ومبروك عليكم الربح

#TrumpNewTariffs #TrendingTopic #YapayzekaAI #TradingCommunity #Binance $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Bitcoin immediately jumped 1.75% to about $67,769, following a breaking news that the Supreme Court has struck down President Trump’s broad tariff regime.
21shares Head of Macro Stephen Coltman noted “a negative ruling on tariffs could potentially hurt Treasuries and the dollar, while favoring stocks and crypto.”
Crypto prices jumped up on Friday morning following news that the U.S. Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s broad tariff regime.
Bitcoin
BTC+1.49%
immediately jumped 1.75% to about $67,769, according to The Block's price page. Other crypto majors are also in the green. Ethereum
ETH+1.76%
is trading around $1,960, up over 2%, Solana
SOL+3.80%
at $84 is up over 4%, while XRP, which has a large retail trading base, is up 1.55% to $1.42, according to The Block's price
Crypto stocks also rallied, with Bitcoin infrastructure-focused Fold leading the pack, up over 4.6%. Coinbase
CCOIN0%
, often seen as a bellwether stock for the crypto industry, is up 3.52% to $171.78 at the time of writin
The Supreme Court ruled on Friday that Trump lacked the authority to impose sweeping global tariffs. Restrictive trade policies, which some economists said negatively affected the U.S. and global economy, will likely now have to be renegotiated.
Trump has previously said it would be a "complete mess" to unwind his tariff agenda, imposed under the provision of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). Though some experts suggest it could be a boon for crypto
21shares Head of Macro Stephen Coltman noted "a negative ruling on tariffs could potentially hurt Treasuries and the dollar, while favoring stocks and crypto."
Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow range for the past two weeks between 65k and 70k, and bulls will be wanting to see 65k hold as a floor," Coltman said earlier Friday. "Conversely, a sustained move above 70k would indicate the recent selling may have exhausted itself.
It's a point echoed by VanEck Head of Research Matthew Sigel, who noted reduced tariff revenues would mean "money printing and debasement will accelerate." Bitcoin is often said to be a hedge against U.S. inflationary monetary policy.. data.
Cato estimated 60% of total tariff revenue in 2025 stemmed from those imposed under the IEEPA.
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Bitcoin remains trapped below its $79,000 True Market Mean level, with onchain models now framing a broad $79,000 to $54,900 structural range, Glassnode said.
Options markets show panic hedging fading, but analysts say liquidity conditions, ETF outflows, and macro uncertainty continue to cap conviction.
Bitcoin is still trading below a key onchain valuation benchmark heading into late February, as analysts say recent price action has reset the market’s structural framework, reflecting strained liquidity and the absence of sustained institutional demand.
Glassnode noted in its latest weekly report that bitcoin has decisively broken beneath the “True Market Mean” — a model tracking the aggregate cost basis of active supply. That level, currently around $79,000, has historically acted as a dividing line between expansionary and compression phases, it said.
With the breakdown confirmed, the firm sees the Realized Price near $54,900 — the average acquisition cost of all circulating coins — as the lower structural boundary. In previous cycles, the corridor between those two anchors has framed prolonged consolidation.
Bitcoin was trading around $67,700 at publication time, hovering within a broad $60,000 to $70,000 band that has defined recent price action, according to The Block’s price page.
Current price levels mark a further deterioration from earlier February conditions, when analysts noted bitcoin was “staying defensive” below $70,000 amid shallow demand. Since then, ETF flows have turned persistently negative, and spot sell pressure has intensified, reinforcing the lack of a structural bid beneath the market.
Glassnode’s data shows U.S. spot ETF net flows have rotated back into sustained outflows, removing what previously served as a steady source of marginal demand. Spot cumulative volume delta across major exchanges also flipped negative, signaling active sell-side aggression rather than passive liquidity gaps, the firm said.
While onchain accumulation metrics improved from outright distribution, appetite from large holders remains fragile, according to the Glassnode analysts. The Accumulation Trend Score has moved toward a neutral reading around 0.4, indicating that aggressive selling has eased, yet large-entity conviction has not returned in force. Liquidity conditions have stayed compressed, with realized profit-to-loss ratios stuck in a narrow band historically associated with stressed regimes, they said.
Meanwhile, derivatives positioning suggests the panic phase has cooled but not transitioned into renewed optimism. Implied volatility has retreated sharply from recent highs, and 25-delta skew — a gauge of downside hedging demand — has compressed from extreme levels. The data suggests traders are unwinding crash protection, but they are not rebuilding upside exposure in size, Glassnode said.
Macro conditions continue to shape the backdrop as well. Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January meeting carried a hawkish tone, emphasizing patience on rate cuts and keeping the possibility of further tightening in play if inflation persists.
Bitcoin is navigating an adjustment phase amid macroeconomic caution,” said Antonio Di Giacomo, senior market analyst at XS.com, pointing to resistance near $70,000 and intermediate support around $64,000 to $65,000. He added that the lack of clarity around monetary easing is weighing on speculative assets.
Nic Puckrin, co-founder of Coin Bureau, said that liquidity — rather than technical levels alone — will determine when a durable bottom forms. He highlighted onchain spot volume data showing continued sell-side pressure and suggested deeper capitulation toward the $55,000 to $58,000 region remains possible unless ETF inflows return or the dollar weakens materially.
The tone echoes a recent K33 report, which said bitcoin is approaching “late bear market territory,” with regime signals resembling those seen near the 2022 bottom. Yet analysts caution that structural recovery typically requires a clear improvement in liquidity, not just positioning resets.
Despite the market gloom, there are some early stabilization signals. Kraken’s global economist Thomas Perfumo noted that implied volatility has diverged below realized volatility — a pattern that has preceded recovery phases in prior corrections. Coin Days Destroyed, a proxy for long-term holder activity, has also stabilized, suggesting reduced supply pressure from older coins, Perfumo said.
Still, multiple analysts' opinions reviewed by The Block agree that conviction remains muted. ETF flows are not cushioning downside, large entities are not accumulating aggressively, and macro conditions have yet to pivot decisively.
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Crypto Council for Innovation Ji Hun Kim called the hours-long meeting on Thursday, which started at 9 a.m. ET, “constructive.”
Thursday’s meeting marks the third closed-door session convened by the White House between crypto advocates and banking groups as lawmakers wrestle with how to treat rewards on stablecoin holdings.
The White House hosted a third closed-door meeting on Thursday between crypto advocates and banking groups as negotiations over stablecoin yield continue to shape the fate of a broader crypto market structure bill.
Crypto Council for Innovation Ji Hun Kim called the hours-long meeting on Thursday, which started at 9 a.m. ET, "constructive."
The conversation built upon previous meetings to establish a framework that serves American consumers while reinforcing U.S. competitiveness," he said. "More to come to build upon today’s progress,” he added.
Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal struck a similar tone in a post on X, writing that “the dialogue was constructive and the tone cooperative” and adding: “More to come.”
Thursday’s meeting marks the third closed-door session convened by the White House between crypto advocates and banking groups as lawmakers wrestle with how to treat rewards on stablecoin holdings — one of the final sticking points in broader crypto legislation.
One source familiar with the meetings told the Block that the White House appeared intent on keeping participants there “until a deal is made.” The same source later said no compromise was reached.
A separate source familiar said that the White House proposed principles during the meeting whereby companies, including Coinbase, can offer or pay rewards for activities, including balances. Those were discussed during the meeting, the source familiar said.
It is unclear when there will be another meeting, but the source said it is up to the banks now.
Attendees include Ripple, the Blockchain Association, Crypto Council for Innovation and major bank trade associations.
"I expect conversation will continue," the source said.
The issue was addressed in a stablecoin law known as GENIUS, which passed over the summer and bars stablecoin issuers from paying direct interest to stablecoin holders. The law does not prohibit third-party platforms such as Coinbase from offering rewards.
Banks have argued that allowing yields would drain deposits from traditional institutions and hurt community banks, while crypto firms have said restricting such yields would stifle innovation.
Lawmakers have been working to pass broad legislation that would divvy up jurisdiction over crypto between the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission and set forth new regulatory standards.
Coinbase has become central to the debate. The exchange pulled its support ahead of a hearing to vote on legislation in the Senate Banking Committee, citing stablecoin yields as one of its concerns
During last week's White House meeting, banks laid out a set of "prohibition principles" on yield and interest, calling for a broad ban on any financial or non-financial benefits tied to holding, owning, or using payment stablecoins, with strict enforcement, anti-evasion measures, and tight restrictions on marketing or representations that could imply yields resemble deposits or insured interest.
An amendment made to the Senate Banking Committee's draft would allow crypto exchanges to offer yield on stablecoins if the customer takes certain actions, like selling their stablecoins. However, yield cannot be earned if the stablecoin is just sitting in the customer's account.
Eyes are on the Senate Banking Committee to see what their next crypto bill draft will look like and when the next hearing will be to vote on the legislation
Crypto stakeholders strongly opposed those principles. The Digital Chamber later released its own framework, aligning more closely with the Senate Banking Committee’s draft and retaining a provision calling for a study two years after enactment to assess the impact on bank deposits.
On Thursday morning, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse told Fox Business why he gave an 90% chance of a bill passing by the end of April, citing the White House meeting. "The White House is pushing hard on this, and I think that is a big reason why it will get done," Garlinghouse said
The Senate Agriculture Committee voted its version of a bill, though it did not receive Democratic support, with many voicing concern about a separate ongoing issue — President Donald Trump's conflicts of interest since he and his family have been involved in multiple crypto ventures
Last week, sources who spoke with The Block estimated the chances of a crypto market structure bill passing into law at between 25% and 60%. Sources also cited Trump's conflicts of interest and stablecoin yield as the two main roadblocks.
The chances of a bill passing have gone through a rollercoaster ride on predictions market Polymarket, ranging from as low as as 54% to 85% over the past few days. As of Thursday morning, the contract had settled to 72%.
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Institutional demand for Bitcoin leverage has plunged to a multi-year low.
The crypto market is currently suffering from a severe case of indifference, according to new data from the derivatives sector.
David Lawant, a prominent market analyst, has pointed to the collapsing premiums in Bitcoin futures as definitive proof that speculative appetite has completely evaporated.
In a post on X, Lawant stressed the CME Bitcoin basis typically acts as a key gauge of institutional demand for leverage, noting that the "carry" trade has all but vanished.
The "basis" refers to the difference in price between a Bitcoin futures contract and the underlying spot market. In a healthy, bullish market, futures trade at a premium (contango) as traders pay up for leverage.
Where's the carry? CME BTC basis is a great gauge for market apathy rn," Lawant wrote. "Constant-maturity basis is compressing across the curve to levels not seen since Oct '23."
The analysis offered by the expert shows that the market is currently displaying less demand for upside leverage than it did during some of the most chaotic market crashes of the last two years.
Traders are pricing in less demand for leverage now than they did during the "Liberation Day flush" of April 2025 and the "German/JPY unwind" of mid-2024.
This shows that the market has moved beyond fear and settled into deep apathy. Investors are not currently panic-selling, but they certainly aren't buying. This leaves the derivatives market with a "flatline" signal that hasn't been seen since the quiet accumulation phase of late 2023.
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