The trade war just entered a new chapter. After a rollercoaster weekend, President Trump has officially raised the global import duty to 15%, following a major Supreme Court ruling that initially struck down his previous tariff authority.
For the crypto community, this isn't just "macro noise"—it’s a direct driver of volatility. Here’s why $BTC and the broader market are reacting.
🏛️ The Legal Tug-of-War
On Friday, the Supreme Court ruled (6-3) that the President’s 2025 tariffs exceeded his emergency powers. While Bitcoin saw a brief "relief rally" toward $68,000 on the news, the celebration was short-lived.
Within 24 hours, the administration pivoted, invoking Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 to impose a 10% duty, which was quickly hiked to 15% on Saturday. This new "temporary" duty is slated to last 150 days while a more permanent legal framework is built.
📉 Why is Crypto Reacting?
Tariffs act as a double-edged sword for digital assets:
Risk-Off Sentiment: Historically, trade wars create uncertainty. When investors get nervous about global trade, they often pull out of "risk assets" like Bitcoin and Altcoins, moving toward gold or cash.
Inflation & The Fed: Higher tariffs usually mean higher prices for consumers. If inflation stays sticky, the Federal Reserve might keep interest rates "higher for longer," which is generally bearish for crypto liquidity.
The "Hedge" Argument: On the flip side, some analysts argue that massive trade deficits and tariff-induced currency fluctuations make Bitcoin more attractive as a decentralized hedge against fiat debasement.
📊 Market Outlook
While the market has been in a "slow bleed" since the October 2025 highs, technical indicators like the MVRV ratio suggest we may be entering an "opportunity zone."
Pro Tip: Watch the $65k – $68k range. If Bitcoin can flip the recent volatility into support, the "tariff FUD" might be priced in. If not, expect more "choppiness" as the 150-day tariff window plays out.
What’s your move? Is this the dip to buy, or are you waiting for more clarity from Washington? Let us know in the comments! 👇
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