hyperliquid

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is hovering near the $30 mark at the time of writing on Saturday, extending a modest rebound of roughly 1% from the previous session. While the price recovery suggests improving short-term momentum, broader market behavior tells a more cautious story. Open Interest (OI) in HYPE futures continues to decline, highlighting reduced risk appetite among traders and signaling that conviction behind the rebound remains fragile.
Despite this hesitation, technical structure suggests HYPE is approaching a pivotal decision zone near $30 — a level that could determine whether the token transitions into a stronger recovery phase or resumes its broader downtrend.
Derivatives Data Signals Weakening Demand
Hyperliquid faces a near-term confidence challenge as the wider crypto market remains under corrective pressure. Following the rollout of HIP-3 — an upgrade enabling futures trading for tokenized commodities on the platform’s decentralized exchange — market attention is now shifting toward the anticipated HIP-4 update. This forthcoming upgrade is expected to introduce prediction markets, potentially expanding the platform’s product ecosystem and attracting new liquidity.
However, futures market dynamics indicate momentum has yet to return.
Data from CoinGlass shows HYPE futures Open Interest standing around $1.30 billion on Saturday but continuing its downward trajectory. This suggests traders are closing positions, reducing leverage, or moving capital to safer opportunities. The trend reflects increasing caution and weakening risk appetite — particularly among retail participants.
Falling OI during a price rebound often indicates that the move is driven by short covering rather than fresh bullish positioning, reinforcing the notion that the current recovery lacks strong participation.
Technical Outlook: Can HYPE Sustain a Break Above $30?
HYPE has been recovering from the pivot S1 support near $28.15 and is now testing the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart around $29.50. At the time of observation, the token posted a mild 1% gain during Saturday trading.
However, price remains below both the 50-period and 200-period EMAs — a technical configuration that still favors the broader bearish trend.
The recovery is now confronting a key resistance zone near $30, where multiple technical barriers converge:
EMA 50 (≈ $29.95)
Descending trendline connecting the Feb 2 and Feb 16 swing highs
Psychological resistance at $30
This confluence forms a critical barrier bulls must overcome to confirm a shift in momentum.
Bullish Scenario
If HYPE secures a decisive close above $30, the breakout could trigger acceleration toward the pivot resistance R1 near $33.40, representing an upside potential of roughly 10% from the breakout zone.
Momentum indicators are beginning to support this scenario:
MACD has crossed above its signal line on the 4-hour chart, suggesting strengthening bullish momentum.
RSI is rising toward the neutral 50 level (currently near 48), indicating weakening selling pressure and improving buying interest.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, failure to hold above the $28.15 support could expose the token to deeper downside risk, with the next pivot support S2 located near $25.60.
Market Sentiment: A Wait-and-See Environment
While Hyperliquid continues expanding its ecosystem and attracting attention through protocol upgrades, traders remain cautious amid broader market uncertainty. The divergence between improving technical momentum and declining derivatives participation underscores a transitional phase — one in which conviction has yet to return.
If upcoming upgrades deliver meaningful adoption and liquidity growth, sentiment could shift quickly. Until then, HYPE remains at a technical crossroads.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
🔥 What do you think — will HYPE break $30 and ignite the next rally, or is another pullback coming?
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#Hyperliquid #HYPE #CryptoNews

Trend & Performance:
Listed among today’s hottest trending coins, $HYPE is gaining traction as a high-performance DEX/DeFi protocol token.
Drivers:
Strong attention from DeFi traders.Seen as innovative execution layer in decentralized trading environments.Key takeaway: DeFi tokens with real utility or unique infrastructure features are repeatedly trending.

A significant debate is heating up in the world of decentralized finance (DeFi). Jake Chervinsky, the recently appointed CEO of the Hyperliquid Policy Center, has taken a firm stand against requiring Know Your Customer (KYC) procedures for front-end interfaces that connect to decentralized protocols.
⚖️ The Argument for Financial Privacy
Chervinsky, a veteran crypto advocate, argues that the front-end (the website or app you use to interact with a protocol) is simply software, not a financial intermediary. His core points include:
Non-Custodial Nature: Developers of non-custodial software do not hold user funds and, under U.S. law, should not be compelled to monitor users without a warrant.Privacy as a Right: Chervinsky emphasizes that financial privacy is a fundamental right that should not be sacrificed for outdated regulatory frameworks.Outdated Rules: He argues that applying "analog era" regulations to blockchain technology risks excluding billions of people from a more efficient and transparent financial system.
🏛️ The Regulatory "Clash"
This statement comes at a "critical time" for U.S. policy. While regulatory bodies like the SEC and CFTC are concerned about illicit activities on-chain, Chervinsky and the Hyperliquid Policy Center are pushing for:
Legal Pathways: Creating clear rules specifically for decentralized infrastructure and perpetual derivatives.Innovation vs. Exclusion: Ensuring the U.S. adopts rules that allow innovation to thrive rather than pushing developers offshore.
💡 Why This Matters for the Binance Community
For traders on Binance Square, this debate touches on the future of how you interact with decentralized exchanges (DEXs) like Hyperliquid:
Access: If KYC becomes mandatory for all front-ends, it could drastically change the "permissionless" nature of DeFi.Compliance: It highlights the ongoing struggle to find a middle ground between government oversight and the core values of blockchain: transparency, fairness, and freedom.
What's your take? Should the "website" you use to trade be responsible for knowing who you are, or should the code remain open and private? 💬 Let’s hear your thoughts below!
#DeFi #Hyperliquid #CryptoRegulation #BinanceSquare #Write2Earn

Hyperliquid (HYPE), the native token of the decentralized perpetuals exchange built on its own L1 chain, is trading around $31–$32 as of February 19, 2026, roughly 47% below its 2025 all-time high near $59. Despite the drawdown, sentiment across crypto circles has turned increasingly bullish following a bold forecast from BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes.

Key Takeaways
Arthur Hayes targets $150 for HYPE by July 2026, implying 4–5x upside from current levels.Hyperliquid generated approximately $2.6 trillion in notional volume in 2025, reinforcing its DEX dominance.50% of protocol fees are used for HYPE buybacks, creating a real-yield deflationary flywheel.New catalysts include HIP-4 derivatives expansion, institutional partnerships, and U.S. policy lobbying.
Hayes recently projected a $150 price target for HYPE by July 2026 and backed his conviction with a $100,000 outperformance bet against any altcoin above $1 billion in market capitalization. With Hyperliquid’s market cap sitting near $7 billion and daily trading volume ranging between $200–$300 million, the token remains one of the most closely watched decentralized exchange (DEX) plays of the cycle.
Arthur Hayes’ $150 Target: Conviction or Calculated Bet?
Arthur Hayes has emerged as one of the most vocal proponents of Hyperliquid. His recent $100,000 charity wager, that HYPE will outperform any altcoin above $1 billion in market cap between February 10 and July 31, 2026, directly challenged critics who argue Hyperliquid represents “everything wrong with crypto,” citing concerns over centralization and closed-source elements.
Hayes’ $150 target implies roughly a 4–5x move from current levels. He has also floated longer-term projections suggesting triple-digit multiples over a multi-year horizon, driven by what he describes as “real yield” mechanics and structural exchange revenue. Unlike inflationary token models, Hyperliquid directs 50% of trading fees toward HYPE buybacks, creating sustained demand pressure tied directly to protocol activity.
Aggregated Analyst Forecasts: 3–5x in 2026?
Beyond Hayes, several influencers and analysts project meaningful upside for HYPE if ecosystem expansion continues. While timeframes and conviction levels vary, the consensus leans bullish, particularly if Hyperliquid captures additional market share in perpetuals, prediction markets, and traditional finance integrations.
While extreme long-term projections remain speculative, the median expectation across analysts implies 3–5x upside during 2026 if execution remains strong.
Protocol Expansion: Building “All Finance On-Chain”
Hyperliquid has accelerated development in February 2026 with a series of high-profile initiatives aimed at institutional credibility and product depth.
Policy Center Launch: On February 18, the Hyper Foundation allocated 1 million HYPE, valued at approximately $29–$30 million to establish the Hyperliquid Policy Center in Washington, D.C. The initiative focuses on DeFi advocacy and regulatory engagement in the United States.
HIP-4 Outcomes Trading: Introduced on testnet in early February, HIP-4 enables fully collateralized derivatives tied to prediction markets and options. Liquidity will be shared with perpetual markets, positioning Hyperliquid to compete with platforms like Polymarket.
Institutional Integrations: Recent partnerships include Ripple Prime for prime brokerage access and FalconX leveraged services (up to 5x for institutions). Coinbase listed HYPE earlier in February, while Hyperliquid Strategies accumulated 5 million HYPE at an average price near $26.
Open interest has grown approximately 3x year-over-year, while user accounts increased 4.6x to 1.4 million. Native stablecoin usage has also expanded exponentially, reinforcing ecosystem stickiness.
Tokenomics and Buyback Flywheel
Hyperliquid’s deflationary structure remains central to bullish narratives. Roughly $2–3 million worth of HYPE is repurchased daily through protocol-generated fees. In 2025, Hyperliquid processed approximately $2.6 trillion in notional volume, rivaling major centralized exchanges in specific markets.
This “real yield” structure ties token value directly to exchange performance rather than speculative emissions. If volume scales through HIP-4 expansion and institutional participation, buyback intensity could accelerate significantly.
Current Market Structure
Technically, HYPE is consolidating near the $30 support zone while broader crypto markets digest Bitcoin volatility. A breakout above $44 would confirm a trend reversal toward previous highs, while extended weakness could revisit the $14 accumulation zone identified by several traders.
Despite a 47% drawdown from its all-time high, daily performance has stabilized with modest gains, suggesting absorption of overhead supply. Treasury flows have reportedly absorbed controversial transaction inflows, mitigating reputational pressure.
High Beta, High Conviction
Hyperliquid represents one of the highest-beta decentralized exchange plays in the current cycle. If lobbying efforts, HIP-4 expansion, and institutional integrations drive sustained volume growth, Arthur Hayes’ $150 target, implying a 4–5x move becomes structurally plausible.
Longer-term projections hinge on whether Hyperliquid can meaningfully capture market share from centralized exchanges and prediction platforms. Comparisons to Coinbase and Binance in valuation terms suggest 6–12x upside scenarios, though execution risk remains significant.
Risks include regulatory headwinds, slower-than-expected adoption, or broader crypto market weakness. For now, sentiment remains cautiously bullish as investors monitor Q2 mainnet developments and ongoing volume metrics.
#Hyperliquid