hbar

HBAR is attempting to regain bullish momentum after spending several weeks consolidating within a tight trading range. Recent price action pushed the token close to the $0.10 psychological level, yet a decisive breakout has not materialized. Since the beginning of the month, resistance near this zone has repeatedly capped upside attempts, keeping the asset locked in a narrow structure.
Although HBAR briefly pierced the $0.10 level, bullish momentum faded quickly when confronted with a key technical barrier. Traders have adjusted positioning accordingly, but the market has yet to reach consensus on a sustainable upward trend.
Capital Inflows Strengthen as Buying Pressure Builds
Momentum indicators suggest growing accumulation.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) — a volume-weighted momentum indicator measuring capital inflows and outflows — has moved above the neutral 50 level. This shift signals strengthening buying pressure and suggests that market participants are gradually favoring accumulation.
A rising MFI typically indicates that capital is entering the asset alongside increasing volume. When sustained, such inflows often precede upward price movement, particularly if accompanied by expanding participation and liquidity.
If this trend continues, HBAR may benefit from steady accumulation, strengthening the probability of a short-term breakout above key resistance zones.
Market Sentiment: Optimistic but Still Uncertain
Derivatives market data paints a mixed picture.
HBAR’s funding rate currently leans positive, indicating that traders are willing to pay a premium to hold long positions — a sign of bullish expectations.
However, funding rate fluctuations over the past two weeks reveal persistent uncertainty.
Between February 6–11, short positions dominated open interest, placing downward pressure on price. The trend then reversed sharply, flipping bullish before weakening again.
This instability reflects hesitation among leveraged traders. While short pressure has eased, confidence in a sustained rally remains fragile.
A stable, consistently positive funding rate would strengthen bullish conviction. For now, sentiment appears reactive to short-term volatility rather than driven by long-term confidence.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
At the time of writing, HBAR trades near $0.099, holding above the critical support level at $0.0961, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Maintaining this support is technically significant, as it serves as a pivot for sustaining the current bullish structure.
Immediate Resistance
$0.1035 — 50% Fibonacci retracement (major breakout barrier)
This level remains the primary obstacle preventing upward expansion.
A decisive breakout above $0.1035 could signal a short-term structural shift. If resistance flips into support, renewed buying demand may accelerate momentum — especially if inflows continue to rise.
Upside Target
$0.1109 — 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
This level is closely monitored by traders and often acts as a strong technical zone once breached.
Downside Risk Scenario
If bullish momentum fails to strengthen:
Continued consolidation may persist within the current range
Declining inflows could reinforce resistance strength
If price falls below $0.0961, the short-term structure would shift bearish.
In that scenario, HBAR could decline toward $0.0870, invalidating recovery expectations and returning market control to sellers.
Outlook: A Critical Turning Point
HBAR stands at an important crossroads.
• Buying pressure is gradually increasing
• Capital inflows signal potential accumulation
• Derivatives sentiment remains cautious
• Resistance still prevents breakout confirmation
A move above $0.1035 would strengthen bullish structure and open the door for further gains. Conversely, a breakdown below $0.0961 may signal a renewed bearish phase.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
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