加密门徒-预言机

My Crypto Circle Answer Sheet - Half-Year Summary
ETH has been hovering near historical highs, and I have fulfilled my promise to everyone - this year ETH conservatively predicts breaking the previous high. In the past six months, we have collectively completed the largest dividend cycle in Ethereum.
Although ETH is not at an absolute high point right now, from today onwards, I will no longer advise anyone to continue buying; I recommend taking some profits. In chaotic times, it is essential to keep some cash on hand.
My original intention and background:
I am someone who has come out of Shandong and seen the world; this opportunity was given to me by the crypto circle. My growth and understanding of the industry have benefited from my former boss, teacher, and elder brother - Mr. Li Lin.
Crypto disciples are Li Lin's disciples, and after many years of following, I admire your generosity and vision, and I am grateful for your guidance and cultivation. Even though Wall Street is dominant this year, I still respond calmly with my early work experience and your philosophy.
Remember the teachings: Practitioners must never do evil!
This year's industry answer sheet:
1. The only person in the crypto circle who dares to make market predictions:
Main Line: Prediction of three major upward waves for ETH in the big cycle.
Best buying points: April 9, June 22, August 2.
Two escape opportunities for altcoins: May 22, July 23.
Sub Line: Whether on a weekly or daily basis, medium to short-term predictions are equally accurate, and all content has never been deleted.
2. High-frequency deep output:
In half a year, I published 281 pieces of content in simple language on Binance Square, totaling 170,000 words, covering all practical underlying logic.
3. Leading the market by a quarter, clearly distinguishing between BTC, ETH bulls, and altcoin bears, and explaining multiple times.
4. All liquidation points I have announced have been accurately triggered within the specified time.
5. Against the market and against the cycle, I have never deleted posts and never followed the crowd.
6. Some say that the crypto market is all about luck; price fluctuations cannot be predicted.
But I have spent half a year telling you - trends can be understood, and opportunities can be seized.
What I have proven is not just myself, but: the crypto circle is not finished yet!
I have done everything a true industry practitioner should do.
I have not said a single falsehood; I am just objectively stating the facts I have accomplished.
Now, it is time to reveal everything.
#以太坊创历史新高倒计时 #BTC再创新高 #加密市场回调
$BTC $ETH

Incredible Efficiency: Binance's $1 Billion Fund Has Completed Its Purchases!\nI just confirmed on-chain that the Binance SAFU Fund has completed its $1 billion Bitcoin purchase plan in 10 days, converting $1 billion into 15,000 BTC!\nDetails: \nPurchased 4,545 BTC on February 12.\nPurchased 4,225 BTC on February 9.\nPurchased 3,600 BTC on February 6.\nPurchased 1,315 BTC on February 4.\nPurchased 1,315 BTC on February 2.\n#BTC走势分析 #binance #safu \n$BTC

The brothers who listened to my live broadcast on Monday have made a fortune! UNI skyrocketed!
Throughout the event, someone kept asking if UNI could be bought. I firmly answered to buy at 3.3; if you lose, you can blame me!
㊗️ Brothers who listened to the advice, have a good year!
#加密市场动态 #加密市场下跌
$UNI $ETH

Unemployment rate, non-farm data is bearish
#美国零售数据逊预期 #黄金白银反弹 #加密市场下跌

In the past few days, a large number of cryptocurrency media have reported that Yi Lihua has lost 800 million in ETH, but at the same time, some people have seen him laughing and chatting at a banquet in Hong Kong, enjoying nightlife every night. Do you believe this contrast?
#易理华割肉清仓 #何时抄底？ #加密市场下跌
$ETH

This year's new narrative for Ethereum is clear: AI Ethereum. ETH holders must hold until the 3387 Air Force liquidation this year!
1. The true new main storyline for Ethereum has become very clear this year — AI Ethereum. The current market's extreme pessimism is not due to Ethereum's failure, but rather a narrative vacuum following the retreat of the old narrative, with emotions being deliberately pushed to the limit.
2. Vitalik Buterin has not abandoned Ethereum, but is switching battlefields.
Recently, Vitalik Buterin quickly distanced himself from the Ethereum L2 narrative, and today he has begun to promote Ethereum as the economic layer for AI interactions. Ethereum is no longer just a chain for people; it is a settlement and collaboration network coexisting with humans and AI agents. This direction is not a temporary idea; Vitalik has systematically discussed the prospects and challenges of combining cryptocurrency with artificial intelligence as early as January 2024, and now the conditions are finally ripe.
3. With the implementation of ERC-8004, ETH will not die, and it should not be sold at the lowest point.
With the proposal of ERC-8004 (Trustless Agents), AI agents officially become independent participants on Ethereum, capable of completing on-chain collaboration without intermediaries and prior trust. Coupled with multiple potential benefits this year — mutual visits between China and the U.S., the Federal Reserve's leadership change and interest rate cuts, mid-term elections, and progress on cryptocurrency legislation — my conclusion is simple: Ethereum projects will not die, and ETH prices will not die.
ETH holders must not sell at this low point of ETH2000; they must hold until the ETH 3387 Air Force liquidation, as that is where you should truly consider getting off!
#易理华割肉清仓 #eth #加密市场反弹 $ETH

Retail Revolution (3) Yi Li Hua has just liquidated all ETH! Where is the big player in the crypto circle?
In continuation (2), if we elevate our perspective, we will find that BitMine, Strategy, and Trend Research are not "independent companies" but rather tools and targets within Wall Street and the Chinese capital system, and the same goes for BTC and ETH; the real "big player" is not in the K-line.
This is a highly stratified capital structure. The top layer consists of Wall Street capital and political capital, which determines whether crypto assets enter the mainstream financial system through ETF approvals, options systems, regulatory signals, and macro narratives, thereby influencing bull and bear cycles and valuation centers. They determine whether it can rise and to what level.
The middle layer is primarily composed of Chinese capital and exchange systems, responsible for controlling the circulation, market making, and amplifying volatility. Through coin listing rules, contract parameters, and emotional rhythms, they dominate short- to medium-term market conditions and "Shanzhai season".
The bottom layer consists of project parties, market makers, and KOLs, creating narratives, spreading emotions, and completing token distribution. In addition, stablecoin issuance determines real liquidity, and mining capital chooses whether to sell or not at key price points, affecting whether a bottom is established.
Retail investors often think they are competing against a certain "big player", but in reality, they are being repeatedly transmitted and repriced between different levels of capital. Characters like "Ma Ji" have far more awareness and resources than retail investors, yet become "the ones with the most liquidations", playing the role of a utilized narrative rather than simply failing in trading!
Therefore, my conclusion is: during Trump's term in these years, as long as the top-level capital still allows crypto assets to exist as financial tools, then the middle and lower-level tools still have the value of being repeatedly utilized, creating volatility, and profiting.
The crypto circle will not disappear; rather, it will continually create fluctuations within a controllable range, maximizing benefits through volatility. If we retail investors cannot see this layered structure clearly, we will always passively accept prices within the system.
Welcome everyone to Binance Square, a main stage for free expression! I am here to plant my flag - Retail Revolution!
Thank you for your attention, likes, shares. I will ensure that all our retail investors stand with dignity and fairly fight against the big players, rather than being set up to fail at the starting line! To be continued!
#易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #加密市场反弹 #何时抄底？ $ETH $BTC $XRP

The cryptocurrency market can be completely predicted! Another masterpiece: called the ETH bottom of 1800 a day and a half in advance!
ETH has now broken through 2100!
On February 4th at 21:00, I called 1800 against the market for ETH2250!
What I actually expressed was two meanings: ETH will reach 1800, and it is also worth 1800!
The complete understanding and judgment logic of Ethereum, as well as the K-line deduction, are all in the original text on February 4th. Take it without thanks!
#加密市场反弹 #eth #何时抄底？ $ETH

This afternoon, Binance Fund and Sun Yuchen have both taken action to buy in, firing the bullet!
If you really don't know what to buy, just buy some BNB. Currently, 630 BNB is a decision that will never go wrong for maintaining a lower limit!
There are three functions:
1. Transferring to your own contract account to reduce handling fees.
2. It has certain investment value, with room for upward movement in the future, similar to when I recommended everyone to buy in last March; it can reach 1000 in the future.
3. New investment opportunities to earn profits.
#何时抄底？ #加密市场回调 #BNB走势
$BNB $BTC

Bitcoin mining machine shutdown price! This picture has gone viral!
My conclusion is: useless! The market logic of the cryptocurrency world has completely changed!
#加密市场回调 #何时抄底？ #BTC市场影响分析
$BTC $ETH

Retail Revolution (2) - Will BitMine and Strategy go bankrupt and sell coins to drive BTC down to 15000 this year!
The previous article analyzed the essence of Ethereum and its price; this one analyzes the main institutions on Wall Street.
Many people mistakenly believe that BTC and ETH treasury companies are high-leverage institutions, worrying about liquidation and forced selling whenever the coin price drops. However, this is a fundamental misunderstanding of their structure. Companies like BitMine and Strategy, which represent crypto treasury companies, do not have mechanisms for automatic liquidation due to price declines.
They do not speculate on short-term fluctuations through contracts and high leverage, but instead hold crypto assets long-term at the balance sheet level. As long as no hard default clauses in debt contracts are triggered, even if BTC or ETH experiences significant pullbacks, they will not be forcibly liquidated like on-chain collateralized lending.
BitMine's average ETH holding cost is about 3800, with an unrealized loss of 7 billion, but that is only an unrealized loss, not a liquidity or solvency crisis. It still holds hundreds of millions in cash reserves to maintain operations, and part of the ETH generates continuous income through staking, allowing it to survive in a bear market and even accumulate assets at lower levels under certain conditions.
Unlike the structure of ETFs, BitMine's stock sell-offs are merely turnover between shareholders in the secondary market and do not directly affect the company’s balance sheet, nor is there any redemption mechanism. The company could only be forced to sell crypto assets in three extreme cases: using crypto assets as collateral and triggering liquidation clauses, long-term cash flow disruptions, or when debt matures without refinancing.
Therefore, more and more long-term funds are choosing to allocate to these two treasury companies rather than just buying spot ETFs.
ETFs are redeemable open-ended structures, which means that during a downcycle, if they are continuously sold, they passively reduce BTC holdings through redemption mechanisms, creating real selling pressure; whereas Strategy, as a company balance sheet structure, has no redemption channels. Stock sell-offs will not automatically trigger coin sales, and they can also amplify BTC directional returns through debt, convertible bonds, and equity financing.
Under normal circumstances, these two companies will not go bankrupt and will not sell coins to crash the market.
They will confuse retail investors by shouting orders madly at the highest and lowest points of coin prices; you may think they are the manipulators, but they are merely tools of the manipulators. See you next time.
#Strategy增持比特币 $BTC $ETH

V God flipped the table, all ETH Layer 2 projects are officially over! ETH and L2 holders must see! Ether is only worth 1800!
This morning, Vitalik Buterin delivered a lengthy speech, with the core message being one sentence:
Ethereum Layer 1 is expanding, transaction fees are already very low, and the original vision and role of L2 are no longer applicable. Moreover, L2 is the most core development direction in the ETH ecosystem from 2020 to 2024. Now this main storyline has been declared over by him.
1. What does this mean?
OP / ARB / ZK / STRK / POL / BLAST these L2 projects have had their long-term logic directly siphoned away, and the root of their existence is gone. The long-term value is basically equal to zero.
The story of ETH in the past was: mainnet + L2 = infinite expansion.
Now it has changed to: the mainnet is sufficient, L2 can exit the stage.
This is not an upgrade, but the end of the growth story.
2. ETH has been issued for 8 years, spanning my entire career in the cryptocurrency industry.
Last year, I predicted in advance and provided the main buying and selling points for ETH, and I have repeatedly elaborated on Ethereum's core issues.
Today, I will only say one truth:
V God is a world-class computer scientist and cryptographer, but not a qualified leader.
And this determines Ethereum's upper limit, and directly affects ETH's price performance at critical moments.
3. Look at the whereabouts of Ethereum's early core figures:
Gavin Wood → DOT
Charles Hoskinson → ADA
Joseph Lubin → MetaMask (not issued)
This is not a coincidence, but an inevitable result of V God’s long-term lack of leadership and sense of direction.
Coupled with the fact that last year when ETH dropped to just over 1300 dollars, the foundation was still selling small amounts of coins, and recently during a major drop I was still selling coins and releasing long-term bearish views, ultimately leaving only one thing to say: the technology is correct, the market is bleeding.
5. The real application of Ethereum cannot support high valuations.
The current applications of Ethereum are still very limited, mainly driven by capital and financial attributes.
Last year’s ETH surge ≠ application explosion;
The real reason is only one: ETF + Wall Street strategic reserve companies.
The story is grand, but the fundamentals have not kept up.
6. Reasonable pricing judgment for ETH - several key anchor points:
Last year's low point: 1385, combined with historical K-line structure, plus Tom Lee's endorsement.
I believe 1800 dollars can be regarded as an acceptable price range for ETH spot investment.
#V神卖币 #eth #l2 $ETH $OP $ARB

Challenge the entire network to stop-loss and buy BTC!
Buying time: 3:06 AM
Buying point: BTC73193
Trading mode: Left-side trading
Logic: Last night, the US military shot down an Iranian drone approaching the US aircraft carrier group, and then Iran harassed and drove away US merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz, releasing a strong signal of 'escalation but controllable' in the fierce game.
The cryptocurrency market plummeted in response, reaching the maximum drop at 3 AM, while the US government was preparing to vote to end the shutdown at that time. After assessing the funds flow, they decisively chose to enter the market.
Currently, small funds with high leverage have achieved double profits, with the profit-loss ratio fully maximized!
#美国政府部分停摆结束 #美国伊朗对峙 #加密市场反弹 $BTC

This is the most worthwhile asset to invest in the cryptocurrency world! You don't need to work to buy it!
Policy track, US stock attributes, long-term development, limitless prospects, undervalued.
#特朗普称坚定支持加密货币 #白宫加密会议 #稳定币
$USDC $BTC $ETH

Breaking: Binance Fund just bought 100 million USD worth of BTC to support the market!
#BTC何时反弹？ #binance #加密市场动态
$BTC $BNB

Last night, 430,000 people were liquidated, with $2.6 billion settled in 24 hours. Is this a black swan? My answer: No.
Because this round of market movement was completely predictable.
The market that is meant to come will definitely come. After I predicted a once-in-a-century crash 4 days in advance on October 7, 2025, this time, I similarly placed the risks on the table through the most intuitive K-line trends: I drew the weekly framework for ETH on January 8 and outlined the key trends for BTC when the market was at its most FOMO on January 15, leading the market by more than 20 days.
1. The chart below is from January 8, where I based my weekly trend judgment on ETH's historical operational patterns + this year's macro environment, leading the market by a full 23 days. The core judgment is summarized in one sentence: the weekly consolidation is complete, and the direction is biased downward. The result now is: it has fallen below the November low of 2623, and the path of weekly consolidation → decline has been fully realized.
2. After drawing the "big framework," I did not stop, but instead continued to make predictions based on market changes every day:
Before the crash at 8 PM last night, I explicitly advised to bottom fish BNB at 750, and the actual spot market crash point matched the given point exactly;
On the 24th and 25th, I repeatedly reminded that the main force had accumulated 3 billion in funds for short positions, along with geopolitical risks + the risk of a U.S. government shutdown;
On the 23rd, I clearly told everyone not to dollar-cost average into BTC, buy at 7 not at 9, and now 7 has arrived;
On January 15, at the peak of market sentiment, I clearly outlined BTC's structure, pointing out: rebound + consolidation = liquidity hunting phase.
3. Therefore, my conclusion is very clear: yesterday was not a black swan, but a normal market trend that can be fully predicted through a deep understanding of macro, industry structure, and technical trends.
I hereby solemnly promise one thing: welcome all brothers and sisters in the crypto community to take advantage of my knowledge, I am completely willing!
You owe me nothing at all. You like and promote me, and I will teach you to learn and make money—we both clear 🫡
#加密市场下跌 #美国政府停摆 #加密市场回调
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Ethereum's major crash tonight! Leading the market decline! Why is this happening?
ETH has just plummeted to $2500, becoming the biggest loser among mainstream coins on the network.
In just 5 months, it has nearly halved from the nearly $4956 peak at the end of August last year — when ETH was once considered 'the safest crypto asset' on Wall Street.
So the question arises:
Why has ETH transformed from 'Wall Street's darling' into today's outcast?
Because 'the largest dividend cycle in Ethereum's history has passed! At this moment, ETH, along with all major institutions completing their layouts, has officially transitioned from a low-risk high-return asset to a high-risk low-return asset.' This is my simplest summary and understanding of ETH's price, but this statement was not written today.
I hope you can get to know me sooner, don't be too late🫡
#美国政府停摆 #加密市场回调 #贵金属巨震
$ETH

Long-term investors must see! Start building positions below BNB750 and HYPE25!
Binance launched traditional financial perpetual contracts this month: Gold XAU, Silver XAG, and Tesla TSLA stocks. Currently, the average daily trading volume of these three contracts exceeds 10 billion, attracting a large amount of altcoin liquidity and trading volume from small exchanges, which has been a hot topic recently, but this is the result of natural market selection.
From a long-term investment value perspective, there are not many exchange tokens with platform-level moats. BNB and HYPE are the two most representative ones. However, at this stage, the risk-reward ratio is not ideal.
It is advisable to wait for a pullback before entering, starting to build positions below BNB750 and HYPE25!
#金银为何暴跌 #美国政府停摆 #加密市场回调
$BNB $HYPE $XAG

BTC ETH Market Analysis - At this moment, the U.S. government is officially partially shut down! The impact on the cryptocurrency market depends on the duration of the shutdown. When core data publishing departments are shut down, it can cause the market to be 'unclear.' Institutions choose to reduce positions rather than increase them. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market has just experienced two consecutive days of sharp declines, and there is a natural demand for a rebound. If Monday happens to see a slight rebound, it would not be a positive sign for BTC due to the shutdown. The shutdown is not beneficial for the cryptocurrency market, as none of the cryptocurrencies are safe-haven assets! #美国政府停摆 #贵金属巨震 #加密市场下跌 $BTC $ETH $SOL