吹牛b的多空大师

Important announcement regarding trading method adjustment:
The subsequent method will be: a 1:1 profit-loss ratio or a direct push of 1-1.5:1, for example, a 40-point stop loss and a 40-point take profit (profit-loss ratio 1:1), or a 40-point stop loss and a 60-point take profit (1.5:1 profit-loss ratio).
The reasons for this are as follows:
1. The current market situation is not continuous, and the fluctuations are quite high. (It is difficult to capture large market movements in one go, and the intermediate wear is too high.)
2. The market liquidity is poor, making it easy to get small spikes (for example, dropping to 1920 and quickly recovering to 1935; assuming a 15-point stop loss can't cover the previous low, it can easily be used to gain liquidity; a narrow stop loss cannot operate, and a wide stop loss with a high profit-loss ratio cannot stop profit drawdown).
3. A more relaxed trading method means directly setting take profit and stop loss after opening, and it is completely unnecessary to watch the market; a single trade no longer indefinitely expects the market to provide unlimited profits.
Currently, the absence of large single-sided strong patterns in the market will lead to excessive profit drawdown (recent profit drawdown is even greater than the actual losses from stop-outs), and feeling that the profit-loss ratio is not enough if eating less; if the profit-loss ratio is sufficient, the stop loss must be very small; a very small stop loss has a low win rate. Therefore, it is essential to lower the profit-loss ratio because the stop loss must be at least 30 points to adapt to the current market (since the high and low points appearing must recover at least ten points; for example, dropping to 1910 and recovering to 1925 requires a 15-point stop loss, as it is impossible to open a position at 1910).
I believe that the current market should subsequently lower the profit-loss ratio and secure profits.
Future plan: During the wide oscillation period, we will prioritize meeting the win rate and adopt a push method for trading.
From the expected return calculation, either a high win rate or a high profit-loss ratio is required; an expected return greater than 1 is necessary for long-term profit. We will not count the situation within this month, as the recent high profit-loss ratio does not reach a high win rate. Therefore, we will choose to lower the profit-loss ratio and increase the win rate for trading for a period of time.

(Pinned Fan Must Read Post) Hello to all new fans:
Our trading focus is on the risk-reward ratio, which means capturing stars with controllable small losses.
✅ 10% win rate + 10:1 risk-reward ratio = Positive Expectation System
❌ 70% win rate + 0.5:1 risk-reward ratio = Chronic Suicide
Single trade profit and loss is not the most important indicator for us; several strategies with narrow stop-losses can result in an overall profit from one profitable strategy.
Do you want to reference the 'show-off single hit' influencer
or the 'mathematical odds' calculated positive expected return trading?
You can:
Open my historical posts, calculate past strategies: ∑(Profit Amount × Probability) - ∑(Loss Amount × Probability), and see through the essence of the system: a positive expected return rate of small losses and big wins.
If you are still disappointed after calculating the numbers, I respect your choice;
If you understand the risk-reward ratio and positive expected return rate (probability weapon), you are welcome to join the bragging team 😘.
Additionally: We are generally only responsible to our main base; in the plaza, we are just here on the side; our strategies and analysis can only serve as a reference for plaza fans. If we find fans with large positions, we will manually block them, as they are unlikely to survive in this market for long.

$ETH Ethereum 1.5:1 Profit and Loss Ratio Strategy
Current price of Ethereum is around 1959, bearish outlook, stop loss at 1975, take profit at 1925, position size 20x leverage 10%
Note:
1. Entry and take profit positions should be close
2. Do not hold positions, control your position size, personal opinion for reference only

$ETH Ethereum's current price is around 1920, holding a short position with a stop loss at 1945, leverage of 20 times at 10%, target 1800. Analysis is in the previous text.

$BTC has cut the cost and left the market first, the entry position is not very good. The proportion of bulls in this market continues to increase, and now I do not consider going long, the bearish view remains unchanged. Currently, the position in the market is small, but the proportion of bulls has reached a new high, and this harvesting should just be a matter of time. A reversal definitely needs to be cleared. I am currently waiting for the opportunity to short again. The proportion of bulls is unrelated to the current retail investors' long and short entry rates, meaning that the total number of long positions within the overall holdings is relatively high. Even if the current entry of bulls is small, it may be due to the exit of the previous short positions and the accumulation of long positions. The bullish sentiment is relatively stable, and the market may pay attention to small-level long and short data for minor increases, but it generally does not provide relief for the previous bulls, usually directly clearing them, because the opponents in front are the main force's short positions.

$BTC The current price of the big pancake is 65900, with a cost price stop loss at 67100. Assuming the opening price is slightly lower than this, a small profit can be taken before setting the stop loss at 67100.

$BTC The current market has rebounded and continues to look bearish, current price 67100 bearish, stop loss 67850, position 20 times leverage 20%. The market has cleared short positions and the number of long positions is increasing.

$ETH Ethereum trend judgment remains unchanged, current price continues to short, stop loss at 2030, position at 20x leverage 10%, target around 1920.
Just now I couldn't judge, so I exited the short position first, and now I'm re-entering the market considering it as a small loss of 8 points. The bullish entry rate is soaring rapidly. The long-short ratio is also skyrocketing, and it is very likely that today will not provide profits for the bulls, so it is now a reduction in positions and a continued decline, which may very well evolve into an increase in positions downward.

$ETH 2062 Multiple positions exited, rebound is weak, generally liquidity rebounds relatively quickly

$ETH Ethereum's current price looks bullish again, stop loss at 2042, position at 20x leverage 20%, pay attention to changes in position.
The probability of taking liquidity is relatively high, mainly due to the drop being in seconds of trading, and there hasn't been a continuous sell-off. The price has dropped below 2070, but the open interest has not returned to yesterday's starting point.

$GPS $SIREN counterfeit or continue with the two counterfeits that made a profit yesterday
GPS current price market bullish reminder: GPS current price around 0.0129 bullish, stop loss 0.0114, position 5 times leverage 5%
SIREN bearish market reminder: SIREN current price around 0.10200 bearish, stop loss 0.10755, position 5 times leverage 5%

Note: We currently hold this long position around 2100. Bitcoin has submerged all the gains, yet Ethereum has not broken the support level of 2080 and has started to increase positions. The short position has already exited near the cost price.

$ETH Ethereum current price bullish market reminder and analysis: directly bullish near 2100, stop loss at 2070, position 20 times leverage 10%, target 2225.
Basis: 1. Support was established once near 2080 in the morning, suspected support and resistance switch is complete.
2. Open interest continues to grow, the market needs to extend, and the direction of the extension is usually in line with the previous increase in positions.
3. K-line continues to move down but with no actual decline, combined with previous data shows a high probability of inducing shorts.
4. The robot pushes a high entry rate for retail shorts, and the long-short ratio has been continuously decreasing, which can verify that retail short sentiment is quite strong.

$ETH Ethereum current price 2106 exit first, market is questionable

$ETH Ethereum market reminder and analysis: The current price of Ethereum is 2104 with a bearish outlook, stop loss at 2134, and a position size of 20 times leverage at 10%.
The main long position has not seen significant retention, focusing on segment profits, and there has been no directional increase in positions. Additionally, Bitcoin has been consistently blocked in a key range, with a substantial reduction in open interest. Currently, the market may be experiencing wide fluctuations in the 1980-2140 range, with a bearish outlook on the upper end during the fluctuations.

$SIREN SIREN exiting the multiple orders, and not waiting for 0.146 anymore, mainly because today the loss on Ethereum and Bitcoin is quite large, especially since the loss on Bitcoin is quite painful, so I'm exiting for now and not going to adjust for profit, just that little profit to make up for the loss. After all, the position in altcoins is 1/16 of Bitcoin, so a gain of ten percentage points can help recover about 700 points of loss on Bitcoin.

$GPS GPS current price 0.0138 exit 50%, remaining cost loss, because it is a double counterfeit position, exiting half is sufficient

$GPS GPS current price 0.0135, factoring in cost and operation, because the position is relatively large (5 times leverage 10%, usually 5%), so it runs steadily.

$SIREN SIREN current price around 0.10300 looking to go long (small error, enter directly), stop loss 0.09677, position 5x leverage 5%.
Note: this position is 1/2 of GPS.

$GPS GPS current price around 0.0126 look for buying (small margin, enter directly), stop loss at 0.0113, position 5 times leverage 10%
Target: 50% increase