Will-123 BTC

Compilation of sustained growth in Binance and the certificates obtained so far #AprendeYGana #BinanceAcademy
📌Fundamentals of Cardano $ADA
📌Introduction to Regulatory Standards
📌INJECTIVE $INJ
📌Marlin Protocol

$PIPPIN finally comes the short after 48 hours on the rise, PIPPIN is a true festival of emotions but obviously it is manipulated

Te presento un Análisis Técnico Visual (Temporalidad 4h) para operar en longs o Short en el oro digital $BTC

​Estructura de Mercado:
​Viniendo de una caída fuerte desde los $80,000, el precio parece haber encontrado un suelo temporal cerca de los $60,000.

​Actualmente, el precio está en una fase de recuperación o rebote técnico, situándose en los $71,250.

​Estamos viendo una formación de "mínimos más altos" en el cp, lo que sugiere presión compradora momentánea.

​Zonas Relevantes:
​Resistencia Inmediata: La zona de los $72,000 - $74,000. El gráfico muestra que el precio ha tenido dificultades para superar los $72k recientemente (pabilos superiores).

​Soporte Inmediato: El nivel de los $68,000. Si cae de ahí, la estructura alcista de corto plazo se rompe.

​Sentimiento (Order Book):
​El indicador de la parte inferior muestra una Oferta (Venta) del 79.46% frente a una Demanda (Compra) del 20.54%.

​Ojo aquí: Hay una presión de venta masiva acumulada en los niveles actuales o superiores inmediatos.
​🔥👉✅️¿Long o Short? (Estrategia Disciplinada)

​Operar justo en el nivel actual ($71,250) es entrar en "tierra de nadie".

Aquí las opciones según la acción del precio:
​Opción A: El Short (Bajista)🔥

​Cuándo: Si ves rechazo claro (velas con mecha larga arriba) al tocar los $72,200.

​Lógica: Aprovechar la fuerte muralla de oferta que muestra el libro de órdenes.

​Target: $68,000.
​Opción B: El Long (Alcista)
​Cuándo: Solo si el precio cierra una vela de 4h con cuerpo sólido por encima de los $72,500 o si retrocede con éxito para testear los $68,500 y rebota.

​Lógica: Confirmar que la tendencia de recuperación tiene fuerza para buscar los $76k.
​Target: $75,500 - $76,000.

​Dado que la oferta (79%) domina el libro de órdenes, entrar en Long ahora mismo es nadar contra corriente. El precio está testeando una resistencia psicológica ($72k). La disciplina sugiere esperar una confirmación: o una ruptura clara hacia arriba, o un rechazo para entrar. #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop

We are seeing Bitcoin at $67,257, a level not visited since late 2024. As you well remember, "the market punishes emotions and rewards discipline", and what that extended red candle reflects is precisely a wave of emotions: panic and capitulation.

Here I detail why what you see on your screen is considered a phase of capitulation:

1. Chart Analysis (Intent Candle)
Key Support Break: The price has forcefully pierced the psychological zone of $70,000. Upon breaking this level, cascades of liquidations of long positions and stop-loss orders were activated, accelerating the fall.

The "Air Pocket": Between $70k and $68k there was very little recent transaction history, creating a void that the price crossed as if it were air, without finding brakes.
Panic Volume: Although in your capture the volume is not the main focus, the price action of the last 4 hours shows a vertical drop, typical of when the "weak hands" finally give up and sell at any price.

2. Fundamental Context of February 5
The market is reacting to a combination of factors that have "broken" the patience of the retail investor:

Treasury Stance: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently clarified before Congress that the government does not have the authority to "rescue" the market or force banks to buy BTC, which extinguished rumors of immediate state intervention.

Macro Pressure: The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish stance, eliminating hopes for short-term rate cuts, strengthening the dollar and punishing risk assets like Bitcoin.

3. The Sentiment: Discipline vs. Emotion
Capitulation is usually the last stage of a corrective cycle. It is the moment when sentiment reaches "Extreme Fear". #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold #WriteToEarnUpgrade

$BNB crosses its weakest performance level in recent months, it is a copy of what Bitcoin does, and that it has promotions and rewards for newcomers and learners ... inexplicable #WhenWillBTCRebound and the Alcoins in total crisis.. Level of extreme fear..

DO NOT SELL at a loss..

Collapse.. the platform does not allow convert $BTC $BNB

I never imagined such a negative scenario, when we are in the search for the much-desired Financial Freedom, we are trapped.. #WhenWillBTCRebound

The total collapse is coming, the collapse that the manipulators seek... $BTC dragging everything..
And the sad thing is that the poor-minded celebrate it.. #BitcoinDropMarketImpact

🛑💥We are facing a scenario of Extreme Fear (Index at 11), a situation that usually paralyzes the majority, but for the disciplined investor represents a technical opportunity window. 💥🔥🛑🛑🛑🛑🛑

Here I present an analysis of what these data tell us:
​1. The Sentiment: Systemic Panic
​An index of 11 is historically low. This indicates that the general sentiment is not just one of caution but of capitulation.

​The emotional trap: Extreme fear often comes accompanied by negative news that seems terminal, pushing retail investors to sell at losses to "save what’s left."
​The technical reality: Oversold levels are often at the limit. As indicated by your BTC Valuation panel (0.37), the system directly labels it as a "Buying Opportunity."

​2. The Price Contrast
​The market is in "offer," with widespread declines in major assets:
​BNB, BTC, and ETH are registering declines of between 7% and 9% in 24 hours.

​Seeing Bitcoin at $71,000 with that level of fear suggests that we are coming from much higher prices or that there is high expected volatility that is scaring off speculative capital.

​3. The AI Divergence
​It is curious to observe that, while human sentiment is of "Extreme Fear," the trend with AI for certain assets (like GPS) marks a 84.3% bullish. This demonstrates the disconnection between the algorithm (cold data) and the average investor (emotions). #Bearishmarket📊📥🔴

the fall of Bitcoin and its dominance makes all the others follow or copy its performance.. $BTC dependence on the market and a depressing manipulation by large corporations that subject retailers to their desires and euphoria.. #TrumpEndsShutdown in the midst of a good one that has to do with the stop of the partial technical government shutdown in the United States.. A tougher FED due to its policies of no cuts and thus decreasing liquidity, Japan continues to apply its interest rates to its loans and the escalation between Iran and the US is in full development.. Oil at stake and other minerals, not only because of the Strait of Hormuz but also because of the situation in Venezuela in the hands of its oil production under the dictates of the US government... Everything is a game of thrones and a new way of seeing how a new world order is reconfigured...

What a disastrous market, there is no strength, no liquidity, or the same manipulators are still at work. $BTC $ETH $BNB #BearishAlert

Technical Analysis and Price Action of $BTC 💥💥

The 4-hour chart shows a structure of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish trend.

Current Price: 76,406.47 USDT, with a decline of 2.96% in the last 24 hours.

Alert Signals (Risks): The moving averages (EMA7, EMA25, and EMA99) are aligned bearishly, indicating a sustained downward momentum. Additionally, a significant capital outflow of -474 million USDT was recorded, reflecting extreme caution.

Order Book: The supply (sellers) dominates with 60.79% compared to 39.21% demand, making any immediate bounce difficult.

🎯 Recovery Factors (Positives)
Despite the decline, there are data points that encourage discipline and not giving in to panic:

🛑 Selling Exhaustion: The RSI6 reached a level of 13.68 (extremely oversold), suggesting that selling pressure may be exhausting and a technical bounce is likely.

🛑 Institutional Backing: Spot ETFs recorded net inflows of 561.9 million dollars (led by Fidelity and BlackRock), breaking a streak of outflows.
Adoption: The integration of ETPs by ING Deutschland and the listing of crypto companies on the London Stock Exchange reinforce the long-term structure.
The analysis provided does not constitute investment advice but is for educational purposes only, and you should conduct your own research DYOR.. #BitcoinSPACDeal #WriteToEarnUpgrade

An updated Technical Analysis of $PAXG in Price Action 🚀🚀💥💥🔥🔥🔥

The chart shows a V-Recovery structure. After hitting a low near 4,600 USDT, the price has chained a series of strong green candles, breaking the immediate downtrend.

✅️ Current Price: Approximately 5,084.55 USDT.
Short-term Trend: Bullish (recovery). The price has surpassed the previous consolidation zone (around 4,800 - 4,900) with considerable strength.
Immediate Resistance: An important psychological and technical level is observed near 5,200 USDT. Historically, on the left side of the chart, that area served as support before the drop, so it will now act as a "ceiling".

✅️ Sentiment and Volume (Order Book)
A crucial detail in your capture is the Order Book at the bottom:
Demand (Buyers): 32.98%
Supply (Sellers): 67.02%
Important Note: Although the price is rising, there is significant selling pressure accumulated in the order book (almost double that of buying). This suggests that the price could face strong resistance soon or that "shorters" are positioning themselves at higher levels.

✅️ PAXG Context
Remember that PAXG is backed by physical gold. A movement of +5.11% in 24 hours is unusually high for gold, which usually indicates:
High volatility in the crypto market: Investors are seeking refuge.

Macroeconomic tensions: Gold reacts to global news. And despite the significant historical correction over many years, it gradually returns to its safe haven level. Remember that this analysis is for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice; do your own research DYOR. #GoldSilverRebound #Write2Earn

Technical Analysis of Chart $BTC actual 🔥✅️✅️

Short-term Trend: A severe correction is observed. The price has dropped from levels close to $92,000 to settle at $76,416.62.

This decline represents a significant pullback after what seems to have been an important local maximum at the end of January.

Market Structure: The chart shows a series of decreasing highs and lows. The most recent candle indicates an attempt to stabilize near $76,000, but selling pressure remains dominant, as reflected by the "Supply vs Demand" indicator at the bottom, with 80.46% selling pressure (Supply) compared to only 19.54% buying.

Performance Indicators: The figures in red are striking: a drop of 12.47% in the last 7 days and 28.74% in the last 90 days. This suggests that Bitcoin is going through a capitulation phase or a cyclical bear market within 2026.

Outlook for the rest of 2026✅️

Looking ahead, Bitcoin's behavior for the remainder of the year will depend on several key factors:
Search for Floor: The level of $74,604 (24h low) now acts as a vital psychological and technical support. If this level is broken, discipline would dictate seeking lower liquidity zones, possibly in the range of $68,000 - $70,000.

Macroeconomic Context: In 2026, the correlation with traditional markets and interest rate decisions will continue to be the main driver. If global liquidity contracts, risk assets like BTC could take months to regain the upward path.

Institutionalization and Halving: Depending on the proximity to emission reduction events, 2026 could be a year of lateral accumulation. Disciplined investors often see these 30% drops as cost averaging (DCA) opportunities, as long as the asset's fundamental backing remains intact #WhenWillBTCRebound #WriteToEarnUpgrade

The tokenization of gold is a fascinating process that connects an ancient asset with the efficiency of blockchain technology. However, in this sector, nature translates into a rigorous audit.

The greatest risk is not the technology itself but the disconnection between the digital world and the physical world.

Here I detail how it works and where the potential cracks are in the backing:

How does the backing work?
When you buy a gold token (like PAXG or Tether Gold), you are not buying abstract "digital gold" but a certificate of ownership over a fraction of a real bar (usually London Good Delivery) held in a vault.

Weaknesses and risks in the physical backing
Despite the transparency of blockchain, there are blind spots where trust can be compromised:

✅️ Counterparty and Custody Risk: The token is only as valuable as the solvency of the company holding the gold. If the custodian goes bankrupt or faces legal issues, access to the physical gold may be frozen in lengthy legal processes.
Lack of Real-Time Audits: Many projects promise 1:1 backing, but audits are often monthly or quarterly. There is a time "gap" where the company could theoretically sell part of the gold or use it as collateral for other operations (re-hypothecation) without the user knowing immediately.

✅️ The "Purity" of Origin: There is a risk that the tokenized gold comes from unethical sources or illegal mining. If international regulations sanction that specific gold, the token could lose liquidity or be blocked on regulated exchanges.

✅️ Redemption Risk: The most common weakness. Many tokens allow the purchase of small fractions but only permit the withdrawal of physical gold if you own an amount equivalent to a full bar (approx. 400 troy ounces). For the small investor, the "backing" is only theoretical if they cannot execute the redemption. #PreciousMetalsTurbulence #WriteToEarnUpgrade