roschamomile

Enjoying moment with bnb chain @ hongkong, alpha soon? 👀

Hype can bring attention, but liquidity is what keeps an ecosystem alive. Without liquidity, users can’t trade efficiently, builders can’t sustain activity, and capital can’t move. Prices become fragile, slippage increases, and trust slowly fades.

Liquidity is the real signal of adoption. It means people are actually using the chain trading, deploying capital, building, and staying. When liquidity flows in, volume follows. When volume stays, ecosystems grow.

This guy is up $200M+ in total PnL and he’s still buying ETH.

Trader 0xFB7 has made over $200M across multiple wallets, and for the past 2 years, he’s traded ETH only. No distractions.

And right now
He’s quietly accumulating $59.4M worth of ETH via FalconX and Wintermute OTC.

Sometimes it’s not about chasing every coin, it’s about knowing one asset really well.

$TROVE feels more like a trust issue than a price issue. The hype was big, expectations were high, and when the plan suddenly changed, people felt misled. Once trust cracked, the dump was almost inevitable. The token may still exist, but value in crypto isn’t just about code or charts it’s about credibility. Sometimes it’s honestly clearer to stay in the trenches playing what you understand and can manage. than chasing narratives that look big but aren’t solid yet.

Today’s drop comes from macro risk-off, long liquidations, and whales going defensive.

Smart money isn’t panic selling.
They’re trimming risk, hedging, and waiting.

Onchain shows:
• No long-term holder panic
• Mild exchange inflows
• Low conviction, low leverage

Base case: chop between $90K–$96K
Bull case needs $100K reclaim + real demand
Until then patience beats FOMO.

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Macro & Crypto Outlook: Why Markets Stay Bid Despite Geopolitical Noise

Despite elevated geopolitical tensions, global markets especially crypto remain surprisingly resilient. The reason is simple, liquidity expectations are overpowering fear narratives.

On the geopolitical front, risks are real and visible. Ongoing tensions across the Middle East, trade frictions, and political uncertainty in major economies continue to push traditional safe havens like gold and silver to new highs. Normally, this kind of environment would pressure risk assets. But this cycle is different.

The key difference lies in monetary expectations.

During the January 13–14 meetings, policymakers from the Federal Reserve signaled a clear stance:
rates are likely to be held steady, with no urgency to tighten further. Inflation data is cooling but not collapsing, allowing the Fed to remain patient rather than restrictive. Importantly, there was no pushback against current market optimism no strong hawkish surprise.

Markets interpreted this as confirmation that financial conditions will not be tightened aggressively, even with geopolitical risks still unresolved.

This is why capital behavior looks asymmetric:

Hard assets (gold, silver) are rising as hedges against political instability and currency debasement.

Risk assets (equities and crypto) are holding up because liquidity is expected to expand, not contract.

In crypto specifically, Bitcoin is acting less like a speculative asset and more like a macro liquidity barometer. While AI tokens and high-beta sectors show weakness, Bitcoin remains firm supported by institutional flows, ETF demand, and whale accumulation. This divergence suggests smart money is positioning early, while retail remains cautious.

This is not a risk-off environment—it’s a selective risk-on phase.

Hopefully
inflation continues trending lower, and
geopolitical shocks remain contained (not systemic),
liquidity rotation will continue—from cash → bonds → equities → Bitcoin.

Geopolitics explains the fear. Liquidity explains the price action.

💛💛💛💛

Survived the year.
Still standing, Still degen. If it’s quiet…
Maybee…. it’s accumulation season. Thankyou @binance @BinanceAcademy merry christmas and happy new year 💛💛🎄🎅

Shared on my private channel to buy hype at bottom $33 was a free entry, today hitted $49 / $HYPE congrats !

📉 BTC Technical Update

As mentioned previously, more downside on BTC looks to be playing out and the chart is showing it clearly.

Bitcoin is currently sitting at a major confluence zone:
1) 200 EMA (Daily)
2) Middle of the ascending channel
3) 0.618 Fib retracement from the last swing low

This zone has been holding price up, but momentum looks weak.
If this level breaks down with confirmation, I’ll start buying spot bags around the previously mentioned zones:

Price Target Reminder:
1️⃣ $100,963 –Daily + 0.5 Fib
2️⃣ $92,570 –Channel bottom + 0.618 Fib

Patience is key. A clean break and retest could set the stage for the final shakeout before the next major leg up. ⚡️

Altseason Might Be Closer Than You Think

Here’s what I’m seeing on the charts:

BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
For altseason to happen, BTC.D has to drop, meaning capital starts rotating from BTC into ETH and alts.

From the chart above:
- RSI is sitting high which showing overbought
- MACD just crossover above 0 and printed its first red bar, often a sign of bearish trend shift

This hints that BTC.D could start cooling off, exactly what we want before altseason kicks off.

ETH/BTC Pair

On the flip side,
- ETH/BTC is in a clean uptrend channel on the daily showing ETH gaining dominance over BTC
- RSI is low, hinting oversold
- MACD just made a bullish crossover from below 0, early sign of a bull trend reversal

If this plays out, it means ETH could start gaining strength over BTC — a classic signal before alts begin their major run.

⚡️ In Short:
BTC dominance cooling off + ETH gaining momentum = the perfect setup for altseason.

Of course, it requires time to play out and might just be entering the early phase!

According to several analysts, what we’re seeing isn’t a price bubble but “Leverage Bubble” which this crash wasn’t caused by hype, but by a Leverage Bubble, where total trading positions far exceeded real capital. Too many traders used massive leverage via perp DEXs, so when prices dipped slightly, auto-liquidations cascaded like dominoes. The market didn’t fall from euphoria, but from overexposure to borrowed risk.

Wild

📉 Market Update – BTC Dump Recap

Hope everyone’s surviving last night’s brutal dump
It came fast & hard. Expected support around 117K, entered a long but got stopped out. Thankfully, stop loss set, turned a potential liquidation into -35%.
ALWAYS SET STOP LOSS!

✅ Positives
BTC remains within the uptrend channel since Oct ‘23
RSI & Stochastics cooling off, a healthy reset.

💭 Vault Thoughts
Dip might not be over yet, watching for RSI & Stoch to hit oversold (~20)

Supports:
1️⃣ $100,963 –Daily + 0.5 Fib
2️⃣ $92,570 –Channel bottom + 0.618 Fib

If these break, I'm applying to McDonald

🎯 Game Plan
I’m 95% spot, not shorting as price at midchannel and next days likely choppy.
Expecting sharp, quick bounces from key support.

💬 Final Thoughts
Altseason coming but delayed.
100% China tariff feels like political theatre + liquidity flush for better entries

Stay safe, fam!
A wise trader told me “Trading’s a marathon, not a race.”

Keep patience, protect capital, and hold dry powder for better entries ahead.

🧭 Market Rotation Watch

As we are seeing dips across the board, BTC Dominance now overbought while ETH/BTC oversold

This usually hints that the next market pump could shift strength toward ETH, and if that happen, it might just send alts flying... what we all know as Altseason ⚡️

The dip over the last few days was necessary to reset indicators and charge up for the next move

📊 BTC Daily Outlook

BTC continues to move within its long-term ascending channel, currently sitting just below the upper mid-range after rejection near 124.6k.

Indicators are showing signs of cooling off:
- MACD: Potential bearish crossover forming ⚠️
- RSI: Drifting down from neutral-high levels
- Stochastic: Still slightly overbought

🔹 Key Support Zone (IF we continue downward): 118.8k – 116k (Support + Fib 0.5 + 50 EMA)

We could see some sideways or slight pullback movement before the next leg up.
But remember, the market often shakes out traders before the real move, so staying flexible is key. I'll trade accordingly to what the chart shows me

⚠️ Disclaimer: This outlook is purely based on technical analysis.
When the true parabolic phase begins, TA gets thrown out the window, liquidity, sentiment, and momentum will take over.

For now, the market’s just charging up, stay sharp, stay ready.

More outlook join Telegram :

https://t.me/rosrocket/1023

We cooked

BTC is currently testing resistance at $124K, with its momentum starting to slow down.

On the M15 timeframe, BTC just tapped the liquidity area around $123,500.

Based on the current daily bias, BTC remains vulnerable to a correction and on M15 it may potentially revisit the nearest liquidity area at $121,500.

📊 Bullish Divergences Spotted — $SOL & $ETH (1H Chart)

Both $SOL and $ETH showing bullish divergences on the 1-hour timeframe 👀

🧠 What this means:
- Price action making lower lows and lower highs
- RSI showing higher lows and higher highs

This mismatch between price and momentum often signals that selling pressure is weakening and a reversal could be near.

📈 Entered some longs here — will scale in more if confirmation comes in.
Let’s see if this plays out as the next leg up for majors.

Not financial advice. Just sharing my setup and thoughts as always. 💪

BNB SZN gonna change lot of people life