I have been warning you for the last 45 days that a big dump was coming and now itās playing out exactly. Bitcoin has already dumped around $20K and is now trading near 112K, right at the major resistance zone that has triggered every big correction since 2018.
A small bounce to 115Kā116K is possible, but after that I expect another leg down toward 100K, and potentially lower to 90K. Iām still holding my 50% short position. If anything changes or I close my position, Iāll update you. Remember I mentioned earlier that if BTC went back to 125Kā128K, I would add more shorts and that plan hasnāt changed.
Till Monday, I expect some volatility, but Mondayās price action will give a clearer direction.
šø Weekly: BTC touched the long-term trendline again ā clear rejection happened. š Until we get a weekly close above 125K, the risk of a major pullback stays high.
šø Daily: Price is inside the 110Kā125K supply zone. Structure is weak. If price breaks and resists below 110K, then 100K is the next target.
š My Trade:
ā First target 105K hit Holding 50% shorts, expecting a bounce to 115K, then lower.
For the last 40 days Iāve been telling you guys Iām bearish on $BTC. We already dropped almost 8K twice, but every time Bitcoin reclaimed the levels again. Right now itās trading around 18K to 119k but nothing has changed for me. Iām still bearish.
Iāve said many times that the 115K to 124K region is a short zone, not a long zone. If youāre still holding longs, Iād strongly suggest you flip to shorts because the chart is flashing multiple top signals.
Donāt get trapped by hype like āBitcoin to 1 million by the end of this year.ā Thatās just noise. The structure is weak, liquidity is being engineered, and the bigger downside move is still ahead.
šØ Crypto Futures Risk Management (Read This Before You Trade) ā ļøāļø
ā”ļøHey traders, success in futures trading starts with strict risk management. Never allocate more than 10% of your total wallet to a single trade. Split this into two entries: 5% on the first entry and 5% on the second.
For example, if your wallet balance is $100, your maximum exposure per trade should be $10. That means $5 on Entry 1 and $5 on Entry 2. Following this 10% rule helps control risk, reduce emotional trading, and keep you consistent over the long run.
ā”ļøWhen you reach your target, adjust your stop loss (SL) to the entry price. If further targets are hit (e.g., Target 2 or Target 4), move your SL up to protect those gains. Remember: SL is criticalāanything can happen in crypto, as we've seen with assets like FTT and Luna.
⨠Profit-Taking Strategy: When the first target is reached, book 25% profit, and continue to take incremental profits as you hit each target. If SL hits, no worriesāwe'll recover, but only if you follow the setup consistently.
š Key Binance Futures Risk Management ā
Leverage decides how much margin you are allowed to use.
Break this rule and liquidation does the teaching.
⢠3x ā max 18% margin ⢠5x ā max 15% margin ⢠10x ā max 10% margin ⢠15x ā max 5% margin ⢠20x ā max 4% margin ⢠25x ā max 3% margin ⢠50x ā max 2% margin ⢠75x ā max 1% margin ⢠100x ā 1% only
High leverage is not for bigger positions. It is for smaller ones.
š” Pro Tip: Most disciplined traders stick to 5% - 10% margin usage with 10x leverage.
āāāāāāš½š½
š "We are not gamblers; we are risk managers. The market is 1% bad news/volatility and 99% discipline. If you follow the setup, the math works in your favor."
šIām here to guide you ā¤ļø
š“Use 5% of Fund with 10x Leverage
š¢1ST Set TP 4 And SL
š“Most important thing ā ļøUse Last Price for Short ā ļøUse Mark Price for Long
š“There is two entry in every given signal
ā ļøBuy 50% at the first entry ā ļøBuy 50% For 2nd Given Entry ā ļøIf the signal says Buy/Sell at market, enter at the market price ( current market price CMP ) ā ļøIf the signal provides specific entries, wait and place limit orders at those prices
ā This helps you achieve a better average entry price
āSome people enter in Entry 1 with 100% ,that's why when price going towards the Entry Two ,those people get panicked
ā This is call DCA (Doller Cost Average)
āŗRule 1 : In Each TP Book 25% Profit
ā ļøFlow: TP1 hit ā book 25% ā SL to entry ā ļøTP2 hit ā book another 25% ā SL to TP1. TP3 hit ā book another 25% ā SL to TP2. Continue until last TP
š“Rule 2: Step-by-Step SL Protection
ā ļøSet TP1 with 25% profit booking ā ļøIf TP2 is hit, move SL to TP1 & If TP3 is hit, move SL to TP2 ā”ļøRepeat this until the last TP
āŗRule 3 : Use Trailing Stop Loss. If You are busy
ā ļøCB ,( call back) rate 0.5% ā ļøActivate trailing stop at TP1 ā ļøUse 100% of the position ā ļøUse Last Price for trailing stop, not Mark Price
ā ļøNote: You can use any one of these three methods for profit booking. Do not mix them. Stay consistent and disciplined.
šØšØ Full more details š( LINK )
Understanding the Crypto Lingo:
š Market Sentiment
⢠BULLISH: Expecting price to go UP š¢
⢠BEARISH: Expecting price to go DOWN š“
⢠FOMO: Fear Of Missing Out (Buying because everyone else is).
After the vertical expansion, follow-through stalled quickly and upside attempts are getting sold into. The move up looks more like a liquidity grab than sustained demand. Pullbacks are no longer being aggressively defended and rebounds are weak, which usually signals distribution rather than continuation. If sellers keep control, price has room to unwind back toward the prior base where real demand last stepped in.
The vertical move lost steam quickly and price shifted into a tight, weak consolidation instead of continuation. Each push higher is getting absorbed while downside probes travel further than rebounds. That usually signals distribution after a hype-driven expansion. If bids donāt step in aggressively, price has room to mean-revert toward the lower EMAs where real demand previously built.
The vertical move lost steam quickly and price shifted into a tight, weak consolidation instead of continuation. Each push higher is getting absorbed while downside probes travel further than rebounds. That usually signals distribution after a hype-driven expansion. If bids donāt step in aggressively, price has room to mean-revert toward the lower EMAs where real demand previously built.
#Gold is currently trading inside a consolidation box after a sharp dump, which is a healthy pause rather than a trend reversal. The market now needs a clean breakout and acceptance above this range to continue the upside. All previously shared targets at $4,800, $5,000, and up to $5,500 have been hit and held, confirming the strength of the broader trend. From here, a break and hold above the upper boundary of the box opens the path back toward $5,500 and, on continuation, a move above $6,000. Technically, price is holding above the rising 50 EMA and 99 EMA, showing buyers remain in control. As long as gold stays above this structure, I remain bullish, and I stay strongly bullish on both gold and silver going forward.
After the vertical expansion, follow-through stalled quickly and upside attempts are getting sold into. The move up looks more like a liquidity grab than sustained demand. Pullbacks are no longer being aggressively defended and rebounds are weak, which usually signals distribution rather than continuation. If sellers keep control, price has room to unwind back toward the prior base where real demand last stepped in.
Wall Streetās biggest bank is already in crypto š¦
Goldman Sachs disclosed today about $2.36B in crypto exposure. Roughly $1.1B in BTC, $1B in ETH, $153M in XRP, and $108M in SOL.
š¤ Thatās only about 0.33% of their portfolio. Small on purpose. Institutions never go all-in on day one. They start small, see what actually works, and only scale once the system proves it can handle real money.
After the sharp pullback from the highs, price stabilized near the 200 EMA and started holding bids instead of cascading lower. Selling pressure is slowing and each push down is getting met with quicker responses from buyers. Structure looks more like a reset than a breakdown, and if demand stays active above this base, the path opens back toward the prior range highs.
After the vertical expansion, follow-through stalled quickly and upside attempts are getting sold into. The move up looks more like a liquidity grab than sustained demand. Pullbacks are no longer being aggressively defended and rebounds are weak, which usually signals distribution rather than continuation. If sellers keep control, price has room to unwind back toward the prior base where real demand last stepped in.
š Market Sentiment: The asset has experienced a massive vertical breakout on the 4H timeframe, characterized by high volume. While currently seeing a slight pullback/consolidation after hitting a local peak of 0.13000, the trend remains aggressively bullish as it holds above major EMA clusters.
šø Entry: 0.10800 - 0.10950 (Wait for a 4H candle close above the EMA 200 to confirm support flip) šø Stop Loss: 0.09400 (Just below the EMA 11 and recent structural breakout point) šø Take Profit: 0.12800
šÆ Targets:
ā TP1: 0.11500 ā TP2: 0.12200 ā TP3: 0.13000
š” Pro Tip: When you see a "God candle" like this, the first deep retest of the EMA 200 or the EMA 11 often provides a high-probability bounce. However, watch the volume on the red candles; if volume remains lower than the breakout green candle, it's likely just healthy profit-taking before the next leg up. $ZKP
When you buy or sell a token on an exchange, who is filling your order?
Itās not thousands of retail traders sitting in the book 24 hours a day. Most of the liquidity you see comes from market makers. They place continuous buy and sell quotes so spreads stay tight and execution stays stable.
šÆ Market makers run automated systems that constantly update orders as price moves. When one side of their quote gets filled, they hedge the exposure on futures or other venues.
Their goal is neutrality. They earn from spreads, rebates, and small arbitrage opportunities, not from guessing market direction.
They also manage inventory. If they accumulate too much of a token while making markets, they offset it elsewhere. If volatility rises, they pull back, widen spreads, or reduce size to control risk. Everything is systematic and tied to liquidity conditions.
š¤ So why do people dislike them so often? Because when volatility hits, price often rushes into areas packed with stops. Market makers step back to avoid getting high directional exposure, and the market slices through these levels quickly. Traders see this and assume market makers āhuntedā their positions.
In reality, they placed their stops in predictable spots where the most liquidity sits. Blaming MMs is easier than admitting the market punished a crowded idea. People hate taking responsibility and love to blame everything on others š¤¦
BTCUSDT
Perp
150X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+359.00%
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