$BTC Bitcoin: Is History Repeating Itself? $BTC Technical & Cycle Update — Feb 2026
Many traders online are claiming that Bitcoin $BTC) is following the same pattern it showed during the 2017 and 2021 bull-bear cycle peaks, with some predicting a deep crash toward $35,000 within the next 10 days. Let’s break this down clearly and realistically.
Bitcoin has historically moved in roughly four-year cycles, often linked to halving events. These cycles typically follow a pattern of strong rally, euphoric peak, and then a sharp correction. The 2017 cycle ended with an approximately 84% drop from its peak. The 2021 cycle followed a similar path with around a 77% correction. Because of these past drawdowns, some analysts argue that a comparable move could unfold again.
Based on historical percentage declines, some chart watchers suggest that Bitcoin could potentially revisit the $35K–$40K range if the current correction accelerates. However, percentage similarity alone does not confirm that price will follow the exact same path or timing.
From a technical structure perspective, Bitcoin recently lost the $69,000–$70,000 support zone, which many traders viewed as a key level. A sustained breakdown below major supports can increase downside pressure. Some analysts warn that if selling momentum strengthens and liquidity remains thin, the drawdown risk toward the mid-$30K region could increase. Macro factors such as interest rate expectations, liquidity conditions, ETF flows, and broader market sentiment also add to volatility risk.
It is important to clarify that no credible forecast confirms an exact move to $35,000 within 10 days. That specific timeline is speculative and not supported by confirmed data. Crypto markets can move quickly, but precise short-term predictions are highly uncertain.
There are also alternative scenarios. Some bullish analysts point to on-chain data showing relatively lower exchange reserves, which can indicate reduced available supply and potential long-term strength. Additionally, certain technical analysts see strong support forming between $60K–$65K. If this area holds and buyers step in aggressively, a bounce or even short squeeze could develop. Longer-term projections for late 2026 still vary widely, with some optimistic targets reaching $150K or higher if institutional demand strengthens.
The key reality is that past patterns do not guarantee future outcomes. While Bitcoin’s historical cycles provide useful context, market structure evolves over time. Liquidity conditions, regulatory developments, macroeconomic policy, ETF flows, and global risk appetite all influence price behavior in ways that differ from previous cycles.
History may rhyme, but it does not repeat perfectly. Smart participants focus on confirmation Loading risk management and disciplined decision-making rather than reacting emotionally to dramatic headlines.#CPIWatch #USRetailSalesMissForecast #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USRetailSalesMissForecast #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop 
