btcdominance

Bitcoin has shed roughly 22% of its value since January 1st, 2026, making it one of the weakest first-quarter starts the asset has seen in nearly a decade. While the number sounds alarming, context matters a lot here — and the story is more complex than just a price drop.
What Happened:
Bitcoin started 2026 near $87,700 and has since slipped to around $68,700, shedding almost $20,000 in value in just a few weeks. Both January and February closed in the red, making back-to-back negative months — a relatively rare pattern. The last time Bitcoin posted a worse Q1 was 2018, when BTC fell nearly 50% in its opening months following the previous bull cycle peak.
A brief 9% rebound offered some relief, but analysts noted that it may have actually increased short-term risk, since it triggered a surge in futures open interest and pushed funding rates sharply positive — signs of crowded bullish positioning that can precede further selling.
Bitcoin's dominance over the broader market remains elevated at around 58.5%, meaning capital hasn't rotated meaningfully into altcoins. This is typical during defensive market phases when investors prefer the "safer" big-cap asset over riskier alternatives. Meanwhile, public companies continue holding over 1.13 million BTC collectively, led by major corporate treasury holders — providing a floor of structural demand even if it doesn't prevent short-term swings.
Why It Matters:
Historically, Bitcoin has posted a negative first quarter in 7 out of 13 years — so a Q1 pullback is not unusual. The key difference this cycle is the scale and the broader context. In 2026, institutional money plays a much larger role than in past cycles. ETF flows, corporate treasuries, and macro liquidity conditions all feed into BTC's price in ways that simply didn't exist before 2024.
What this means for everyday crypto participants is that BTC's price is increasingly sensitive to macroeconomic signals — things like US Federal Reserve rate decisions, inflation data, and government bond yields — rather than just crypto-native factors like halving cycles or miner behavior. Understanding this shift helps you interpret price movements more clearly rather than reacting emotionally to every red candle.
Key Takeaways:
Bitcoin is down approximately 22% year-to-date in 2026, on pace for its worst Q1 since 2018.This is not entirely unusual — BTC has closed Q1 in the red 7 of the last 13 years.Elevated Bitcoin dominance (~58.5%) signals capital is staying cautious rather than rotating into altcoins.Over 1.13 million BTC are held by public corporations, providing long-term structural demand.Macro factors — not just crypto-native events — are now key drivers of Bitcoin's price behavior.
#BTC2026 #BitcoinCorrection #BTCdominance #MarketUpdate #Write2Earn

Widzieliśmy bardzo podobny układ z $BTC.D przed załamaniem w 2021 roku. Wtedy dominacja handlowała w dolnej połowie kanału Gaussa przez dłuższy czas, zanim w końcu ustąpiła.
Co jest teraz inne, to czas.
$BTC.D powtarza to samo zachowanie, ale już spędził więcej niż dwa razy dłużej utknął w tej strefie, nie zapewniając znaczącego zamknięcia tygodniowego powyżej linii środkowej, a także nie łamiąc się poniżej dolnego pasma Gaussa. Tego rodzaju przedłużona kompresja zazwyczaj nie rozwiązuje się bocznie na zawsze.

Dominacja Bitcoina rośnie, co sygnalizuje, że BTC zyskuje na sile w porównaniu do reszty rynku kryptowalut. Gdy Bitcoin dominuje, altcoiny często doświadczają wolniejszego wzrostu lub ruchu bocznego, ponieważ traderzy koncentrują się bardziej na BTC w poszukiwaniu stabilności.
Kluczowe punkty
Siła BTC: Bitcoin utrzymuje kluczowe poziomy i przewyższa większość altcoinów.
Wpływ altcoinów: Wiele altcoinów wykazuje niższy wolumen i ograniczone zyski.
Nastroje rynkowe: Traderzy są ostrożni, czekając na następny ruch BTC.
Na co zwrócić uwagę
Wybicie w BTC może później podnieść altcoiny.