Iranâs president just said neighboring countries will no longer be attacked.
Sounds like de-escalation. Itâs not.
Itâs actually the opposite.
Most people are going to completely misread this.
Hereâs whatâs really happening:
âUnless an attack on Iran is launched from their territory.â
The U.S. is literally launching strikes on Iran FROM those countries right now.
Al Udeid in Qatar. Al Dhafra in the UAE. Ali Al Salem in Kuwait. Bases in Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman.
Thatâs where American bombers, fighters, and drones are flying from.
Iran isnât saying âweâll stop.â Theyâre saying âtell America to leave or we keep hitting you.â
This is a pressure play on the Gulf states.
Iran is trying to split them from the U.S. Force them to choose.
Either kick American forces off your soil, or keep absorbing hundreds of drones and missiles.
If they let the U.S. keep operating from their bases, Iran says attacks continue.
If they ask the U.S. to leave, America loses its entire operational footprint in the region.
Iran knows it canât beat the U.S. military, so instead itâs trying to take away the staging ground.
Thereâs another layer. Iran may be running low on missiles and drones.
Cutting the number of fronts itâs fighting on is a way to conserve whatâs left for Israel and U.S. forces directly.
Donât read this as peace, read this as strategy.
And hereâs the part that should worry everyone.
Iranâs government is barely functioning right now.
The Supreme Leader is dead, the chain of command is fractured, Iranâs own Foreign Ministry admitted the military has lost control over several units operating on old standing orders.
That means even if Pezeshkian makes this promise, thereâs no guarantee every IRGC unit, every drone operator, every missile crew actually follows it.
Anyway, I will keep monitoring the situation, and Iâll post an update later. Turn on notifications, this is EXTREMELY important.
Many people will wish they followed me sooner.