🔥 Escalation of the USA + Israel vs Iran → oil + crypto in turbulence 🔥
Oil is soaring: Iran has closed/threatens to close the Strait of Hormuz (20% of the world's oil). Oil futures are already +5–10% (WTI ~$70–73, Brent ~$73–80). Analysts expect $100+ with a blockade → inflation, risk-off.
Crypto reacted volatilely:
Bitcoin: on Saturday fell to ~$63,000 (–5–7%), then a rebound → now ~$66,800–67,000 (+~5% in a day). Some peaks up to $68k after confirmation of Khamenei's death.
Ethereum: dropped to ~$1,840–1,850, now ~$1,965–2,000 (+~6–7%).
Altcoins (Solana, XRP, etc.): +up to 10% rebound after the drop.
Total market cap: minus $128 billion at the peak of panic, then partial recovery.
Why crypto is holding/growing:
Some see BTC as "digital gold" in chaos (gold also +1–2%).
24/7 trading on crypto exchanges (like Hyperliquid) allows hedging oil/gold earlier than traditional markets.
Khamenei's death → hopes for a quick end to the conflict → less panic.
Risks ahead:
If fighting drags on + blockade of the strait → oil $100–150 → inflation → crypto may fall again (risk-off).
Threat of strikes on Iranian BTC mining farms (Iran ~15% hash rate) → possible short-term BTC shortage → pump in prices.
Max volatility: market 🚀💥
