đ¨ THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE THE WORST TIME OF 2026
Iran is CLOSING the Strait of Hormuz.
Over 20% of global Oil supply is cut off.
And most people have no idea about the impact on other markets.
Stocks.
Metals.
Crypto.
If you hold any assets right now, you MUST know this:
YOU ARE MISSING THE REAL RISK.
The Strait of Hormuz has NEVER fully closed in modern history.
This is not about symbolism.
This is about a choke point.
The Strait of Hormuz, the narrow passage between Oman and Iran, connects the Persian Gulf to global markets.
Nearly ONE FIFTH of the worldâs oil consumption flows through it every single day.
After U.S. strikes on Iran, ships transiting the strait are receiving warnings, and the U.S. has recommended vessels avoid the area.
That alone should tell you how serious this is.
JP Morgan called a Hormuz closure their worst-case scenario in an IsraelâIran conflict.
Because if Hormuz shuts down, oil doesnât just rise.
It SPIKES.
Estimates suggest crude could jump to $120â$130 per barrel.
Now connect the dots.
â If oil surges, inflation comes back FAST.
â If inflation returns, rate cut hopes evaporate.
â If rate cuts evaporate, yields move higher.
â If yields rise, liquidity tightens.
And when liquidity tightens, markets donât stay calm.
Energy feeds directly into inflation. Every $10 move in oil can meaningfully push CPI higher, and oil is already up sharply from recent lows.
And this is before any full disruption.
Hereâs what most people overlook:
Saudi Arabia alone accounts for roughly 38% of crude flows through Hormuz.
About 5.5 million barrels per day.
Kuwait.
Qatar.
Bahrain.
Much of Saudi production.
They have NO alternative sea outlet.
Pipelines can reroute some supply, but nowhere near enough to offset a full disruption.
There is no easy workaround.
Shipping costs are already surging, tanker traffic is diverting, and vessels have been warned to keep distance from military assets.
This is not theoretical.
This is active risk repricing.
If Homuz is closed or even partially disrupted, this stops being a short-term shock.
It becomes a structural supply event.
And structural supply shocks donât resolve in a single session.
There are only three paths:
1⣠Temporary threat.
Rhetoric cools, oil pulls back.
2⣠Sustained tension.
Disruptions continue, oil grinds higher.
3⣠Full disruption.
Traffic halts, oil spikes violently, macro regime shifts.
Scenario three changes everything.
Because once oil spikes hard enough, the market stops pricing in fear.
It starts pricing in duration.
And duration is where real damage happens.
This isnât just about oil.
Itâs about inflation.
Itâs about rates.
Itâs about liquidity.
When liquidity tightens, investors donât sell what they hate.
They sell what they can.
Risk assets get hit first.
High-multiple tech.
Speculative growth.
Small caps.
And yes - crypto.
Bitcoin doesnât fall because the network breaks.
It falls because it trades like high-beta liquidity.
When leverage unwinds and crowded trades clear, volatility accelerates.
Thatâs how dominoes fall.
The next 24 hours are critical.
This wonât be âjust another headline.â
It will be a macro turning point.
By the time itâs obvious, most people will already be too late.
Iâve been calling major tops and bottoms for over a decade.
When I make my next move, Iâll post it here first.
If youâre not following yet, you probably should - before itâs too late.