There is no change on the higher timeframes in the analysis since the 97K top the outlook remains bearish.
On the lower timeframes, price action over the coming days could move like this (short-term fluctuations).
Of course, the impact of this move on altcoins will be unpredictable:
Some coins will stay flat then drop
Others may rise slightly with BTC, then dump harder
Some will do a sudden pump, form a double distribution, and then continue falling
Any coin that pumps in the coming days should be treated as an exit opportunity, especially if youâre already stuck in it.
The probability of visiting $107K is still very, very low in my view.
But if it does happen, the drop afterward would likely be extremely violent, similar to 2022.
$BTC
$BNB Lecture Structure & Liquidity
The market is bearish in H1 structure, but the price is moving above the key equilibrium (880) after a technical rebound.
Current price ~891 USDT, above the key equilibrium 880.49 USDT
Global trend still bearish, BUT strong underlying buying pressure:
MACD, Vortex, PSAR, DMI, Fisher, MFI â aligned bullish
Active volatility (ATR â 5) --> opportunities for quick moves
Levels that really matter
905 --> liquidity of the last swing high
888 --> pivot zone (former resistance / recent reaction)
877 --> structural break level
869 â 865 --> demand zone + imbalance (FVG)
856 --> swing low / extreme liquidity
Smart Money Reading
Short-term flows are bullish
The oscillators show fatigue / conflict
--> Typical setup of a controlled retracement, not a healthy trend
The market is looking for reactions, not clean breakouts.
Priority Scenario
Bullish rejection between 877 and 869
â likely rotation towards 888,
â possible extension towards 905 if liquidity is taken
Clear Invalidation
H1 close below 865
â bearish bias confirmed
â logical target: 856
Classic retail error
Buying strength without waiting for the zone
Selling a wick without confirmation
Confusing technical rebound and structural change
Good luck @SaraHodler
Silver ETF trading volume is exploding:
Trading volume in the largest silver-backed ETF, $SLV, hit a record $40 billion on Monday.
This marks the highest turnover among any other asset and is 15 TIMES its average daily volume.
This also TRIPLES the previous peak seen in 2011.
By comparison, the S&P 500 ETF, $SPY, traded $25 billion, the Nasdaq 100 ETF, $QQQ, $17 billion, while Nvidia, $NVDA, and Tesla, $TSLA, each traded $16 billion.
Furthermore, the 2x leverage long-silver futures ETF, $AGQ, posted $8 billion in volume yesterday.
The largest Gold ETF, $GLD, also saw massive turnover of $13 billion, but $27 BILLION lower than $SLV.
Silver's recent moves are truly unprecedented.
Soon in Binance
$BTC
đ«đđč Petit message du cĆur suite Ă la campagne @Binance_Square_Official
Vous ĂȘtes nombreux Ă avancer en crypto et sur #BinanceSquare sans encore atteindre les 1K abonnĂ©(e)s⊠et câest totalement OK đ±
Chaque parcours est unique, chaque étape a sa valeur.
Jâaimerais savoir si un live bienveillant, sans jugement, pour partager conseils, encouragements et retours dâexpĂ©rience pourrait tâaider đ
Un espace simple et humain pour grandir ensemble.
đ Ton vote compte vraiment, quel quâil soit.
Merci dâĂȘtre lĂ âšđč
đ± Ă vous, crĂ©ateurs en chemin đ±
MĂȘme sans 1K, votre voix compte dĂ©jĂ ,
Chaque pas construit ce que demain sera.
Si un live pouvait vous guider, vous éclairer,
Pour avancer ensemble, sans pression, sans jugement âŠ
đ Dites-moi avec le cĆur, simplement,
Seriez-vous partants pour ce moment ?
Un espace dâaide, de partage, de lumiĂšre,
Juste nous, la crypto⊠et beaucoup de sincĂ©ritĂ© âšđč
QUESTION :
âïž Aimerais-tu que je fasse un live pour aider les crĂ©ateurs en dessous de 1K abonnĂ©s ?
Bienveillament âšïž
#PATRICIABM đčđđ«
Funny how everyone ditched M2 because they were staring at it on the LTF.
I called this at 120K. When a macro top is forming, do you really think the stars are going to line up perfectly for a short? They wonât. Delayed correlations exist specifically to mess up your timing.
M2 works, you just used it incorrectly. As we approach a macro top, thereâs a fresh influx of liquidity. Everyone thinks, âOMG, money entering markets, price goes up.â
Wrong. Thatâs exit liquidity.
In every cycle, $BTC has topped before M2. By the time M2 actually peaks, BTC is already down 30â40% based on prior cycles.
Thatâs exactly what happened this cycle. I pointed it out well before the drop, which is why I was already scaling into shorts. When M2 finally starts cooling, you get an acceleration of the downtrend,just like every other cycle from a macro point of interest.
The HTF is king. Yes, cycles will eventually decouple, but it wonât be this time.
BREAKING: US dollar is dumping hard since the Fed rate checks and YEN INTERVENTION rumors started.
The IMF has also confirmed that it is now stress testing scenarios where there is a rapid sell-off of U.S. dollar assets.
Kristalina Georgieva said the IMF is modeling even "UNTHINKABLE" events, including a fast exit from the dollar, because global financial risks and policy uncertainty are rising.
This means the IMF is officially treating stress in the dollar as a real global risk. They are preparing for what happens if trust in the dollar drops suddenly.
With this, the dollar will get weaker and asset owners will be the biggest winners.
Before 1985, it also began with rate checks, policy signals, and rumors of coordination. The dollar started weakening before any official intervention was announced.
Now the same pattern is showing again.
$BTC
$BTC đ«đđčQuand lâĂ©coute devient action
đ Merci @Binance_Square_Official
Pour lâĂ©coute sincĂšre, les gestes concrets,
Quand les voix sâĂ©lĂšvent, vous rĂ©pondez par des faits.
đ« Vous Ă©clairez les talents, semez la motivation,
Transformant la passion en véritable reconnaissance.
đ La crypto comme un pont vers demain,
Un monde décentralisé, audacieux, entre nos mains.
Savoir, partage et innovation en mouvement,
Chaque mot publiĂ© devient un pas vers lâavant.
đč Merci pour lâattention, lâĂ©lan et la confiance,
Quand une communautĂ© est entendue⊠elle grandit, elle danse. đâš
#BinanceSquare #Binance
Bienveillament âšïž
#PATRICIABM đčđđ«
đ«đđč Bonjour Ă toutes et tous (plus particuliĂšrement aux personnes prĂ©sentes sur le live) đ„° Câest avec plaisir que voici :
đ Bonne nouvelle pour les crĂ©ateurs Binance Square.
Face Ă une vague impressionnante de contenus de qualitĂ©, dâidĂ©es sincĂšres et dâĂ©changes authentiques lors du dernier 100 BNB Surprise Drop, #Binance a pris le temps dâĂ©couter, dâobserver⊠et dâagir.
âïž Oui, Binance entend les requĂȘtes et choisit dâaller encore plus loin đ
đč RĂ©sultat ?
Pour valoriser davantage les talents et donner encore plus de visibilité aux créateurs méritants, 200 BNB supplémentaires sont ajoutés aux récompenses.
đ Comment sont choisis les gagnants ?
âïž Engagement rĂ©el : vues, clics, likes, commentaires, partages.
âïž Impact concret : actions dĂ©clenchĂ©es par le contenu (trading, participation, conversionsâŠ).
âïž LibertĂ© totale de format : analyses, vidĂ©os courtes, actus, mĂšmes, opinions originales⊠tout est permis
đ 10 gagnants par jour pouvant ĂȘtre rĂ©compensĂ©s plusieurs fois.
đ° RĂ©compenses
Un pool quotidien de 10 BNB, partagé équitablement entre les 10 meilleurs créateurs.
Les gains sont versés chaque jour par pourboire via @Binance_Square_Official (pensez à activer la fonction).
đč Ă savoir
Seuls les contenus de qualité publiés dans les 48 derniÚres heures sont éligibles.
đ„° En rĂ©sumĂ© : crĂ©e, ose, partage ; Binance regarde, reconnaĂźt et rĂ©compense.
La crĂ©ativitĂ© est entendue⊠et cĂ©lĂ©brĂ©e đ
Je vous souhaite bonne chance,
Bienveillament âšïž
#PATRICIABM đčđđ«